@                      FNUS71 KBGM 190643
FWSBGM

Spot Forecast for Eales 5 and 6...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
243 AM EDT Tue May 19 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on May 19. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Above average temperatures expected today, with minimum RH values
in the mid- to low-40s heading into the afternoon hours. Generally
precipitation-free, with exception of the potential for strong to
severe storms. Storms are expected to be scattered, with the
general timeframe of late afternoon and into the evening hours.
Winds will shift between SW and W, with gusts picking up in the
afternoon. For Wednesday, a cold front is expected to move through
the area. Rain showers, storms, and some gusty winds will 
accompany, and expected starting in the late morning and into the 
afternoon. Minimum RH values expected in the low 50s.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). 
CWR.................0 percent. 
Max temperature.....Around 88. 
Min humidity........43 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........ 
 Slope/valley.......West winds 9 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 26 mph in 
                    the late morning and afternoon. 
Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....West 15 to 24 mph. 
LVORI...............1. 
ADI.................39 early in the morning increasing to 112 in 
                    the afternoon. 

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
Sky (%).........39  30  21  32  35  33  27  51  33  
Weather cov.....                                    
Weather type....                                    
Tstm cov........                                    
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   
Temp............75  78  81  83  85  85  86  86  85  
RH..............60  54  49  48  45  45  43  43  45  
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  W   
20 FT wind spd..10  12  13  14  15  15  15  15  15  
20 FT wind gust.18  21  24  24  25  26  26  25  24  
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 3.3 4.3 5.2 5.9 6.3 6.2 5.7 4.8 
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   
Transp wind spd.15  18  21  23  24  24  24  24  23  
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   
ADI.............39  61  80  95  106 110 112 107 93  

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming 
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent). 
CWR.................0 percent. 
Min temperature.....Around 68. 
Max humidity........73 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........ 
 Slope/valley.......West winds 8 to 13 mph. 
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....West 12 to 20 mph. 
LVORI...............2. 
ADI.................65 early in the evening decreasing to 1 late in 
                    the night. 

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 
Sky (%).........54  45  30  38  22  30  46  30  36  24  24  15  
Weather cov.....                                                
Weather type....                                                
Tstm cov........                                                
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   
Temp............84  83  81  79  77  75  74  72  71  70  70  70  
RH..............46  48  51  54  56  60  59  66  68  71  71  68  
20 FT wind dir..SW  W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   
20 FT wind spd..13  12  10  10  9   9   9   9   9   10  10  10  
20 FT wind gust.22  21  18  18  17  17  17  17  17  18  18  20  
Mix hgt (kft)...3.4 1.9 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   
Transp wind spd.20  16  13  12  13  13  13  13  13  13  12  12  
LVORI...........1   1   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   
ADI.............65  33  8   1   3   8   8   8   8   7   6   8   

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent) then becoming 
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of 
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in 
                    the morning, then showers and chance of 
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon. 
CWR.................0 percent increasing to 18 percent early in the 
                    morning, then decreasing to 8 percent late in 
                    the morning increasing to 18 percent late in 
                    the morning increasing to 50 percent increasing 
                    to 72 percent early in the afternoon increasing 
                    to 88 percent decreasing to 63 percent late in 
                    the afternoon decreasing to 46 percent. 
Max temperature.....Around 83. 
Min humidity........51 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........ 
 Slope/valley.......West winds 10 to 13 mph shifting to the 
                    northwest 10 to 12 mph late in the afternoon. 
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near 
                    thunderstorms late in the morning. Gusty and 
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late 
                    in the afternoon. 
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....West 13 to 18 mph shifting to the northwest 
                    late in the afternoon. 
LVORI...............2. 
ADI.................13 early in the morning increasing to 58 in the 
                    afternoon. 

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM      
Sky (%).........25        27        67        87        
Weather cov.....                    CHANCE    DEFNTE    
Weather type....NONE      NONE      RNSHWR    RNSHWR    
Tstm cov........                    S CHC     CHANCE    
CWR.............0         10        50        80        
Temp............68        73        79        72        
RH..............73        64        56        68        
20 FT wind......W 12G20   W 13G22   W 14G23   NW 12G22  
Mix hgt (ft)....700       2400      3600      2600      
Transport wind..W 13      W 15      W 16      NW 18     
LVORI...........3         1         1         3         
ADI.............13        41        54        39        

$$
Forecaster...Lardeo
Requested by...Patrick McElhenny
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2613994.0/BGM
.DELDT 05/19/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL pmcelhenny@tnc.org
