877 FNUS86 KSTO 162114 FWLSTO ECCDA DISCUSSIONS FOR CALIFORNIA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA 214 PM PDT FRI OCT 16 2026 ECC005-171515- SHASTA-TRINITY NATIONAL FOREST- DISCUSSION FOR REDDING ECC DISPATCH 214 PM PDT FRI OCT 16 2026 ...DISCUSSION FROM SFOFWFSTO... ...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN PORTIONS OF THE SACRAMENTO VALLEY THROUGH TODAY AND MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS THROUGH SATURDAY... WARM AND DRY WEATHER WITH BREEZY OFFSHORE WINDS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY ACROSS THE REGION. LOW DAYTIME HUMIDITY IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO LOWER TEENS IS FORECAST WITH POOR TO VERY POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES EXPECTED AS WELL. DESPITE LIGHTER NORTH TO EAST WINDS, SOME GUSTS 15-25 MPH PERSIST WITH ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUING THROUGH SATURDAY. A PATTERN CHANGE REMAINS ON TRACK SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND RETURNING ONSHORE FLOW ALONGSIDE IMPROVING HUMIDITY VALUES BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. INCREASING PRECIPITATION CHANCES REMAIN IN THE FORECAST FROM TUESDAY ONWARD, WITH HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR WETTING RAIN AT THIS TIME IN THE MOUNTAINS. $$ ECC007-171515- MENDOCINO NATIONAL FOREST, SOUTHERN SACRAMENTO VALLEY, AND DELTA- DISCUSSION FOR WILLOWS ECC DISPATCH 214 PM PDT FRI OCT 16 2026 ...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN PORTIONS OF THE SACRAMENTO VALLEY THROUGH TODAY AND SIERRA AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS THROUGH SATURDAY... WARM AND DRY WEATHER WITH BREEZY OFFSHORE WINDS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY ACROSS THE REGION. LOW DAYTIME HUMIDITY IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO LOWER TEENS IS FORECAST WITH POOR TO VERY POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES EXPECTED AS WELL. DESPITE LIGHTER NORTH TO EAST WINDS, SOME GUSTS 15-25 MPH PERSIST, ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SIERRA AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS, WITH ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUING THROUGH SATURDAY. A PATTERN CHANGE REMAINS ON TRACK SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND RETURNING ONSHORE FLOW ALONGSIDE IMPROVING HUMIDITY VALUES BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. INCREASING PRECIPITATION CHANCES REMAIN IN THE FORECAST FROM TUESDAY ONWARD, WITH HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR WETTING RAIN AT THIS TIME IN THE MOUNTAINS. $$ ECC008-171515- RED BLUFF AND OROVILLE- DISCUSSION FOR RED BLUFF AND OROVILLE ECC DISPATCH 214 PM PDT FRI OCT 16 2026 ...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN PORTIONS OF THE SACRAMENTO VALLEY THROUGH TODAY AND SIERRA AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS THROUGH SATURDAY... WARM AND DRY WEATHER WITH BREEZY OFFSHORE WINDS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY ACROSS THE REGION. LOW DAYTIME HUMIDITY IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO LOWER TEENS IS FORECAST WITH POOR TO VERY POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES EXPECTED AS WELL. DESPITE LIGHTER NORTH TO EAST WINDS, SOME GUSTS 15-25 MPH PERSIST, ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SIERRA AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS, WITH ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUING THROUGH SATURDAY. A PATTERN CHANGE REMAINS ON TRACK SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND RETURNING ONSHORE FLOW ALONGSIDE IMPROVING HUMIDITY VALUES BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. INCREASING PRECIPITATION CHANCES REMAIN IN THE FORECAST FROM TUESDAY ONWARD, WITH HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR WETTING RAIN AT THIS TIME IN THE MOUNTAINS. $$ ECC011-171515- TAHOE NATIONAL FOREST- DISCUSSION FOR GRASS VALLEY ECC DISPATCH 214 PM PDT FRI OCT 16 2026 ...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN THE SIERRA AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS THROUGH SATURDAY... WARM AND DRY WEATHER WITH BREEZY OFFSHORE WINDS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY ACROSS THE REGION. LOW DAYTIME HUMIDITY IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO LOWER TEENS IS FORECAST WITH POOR TO VERY POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES EXPECTED AS WELL. DESPITE LIGHTER NORTH TO EAST WINDS, SOME GUSTS 15-25 MPH PERSIST, ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SIERRA AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS, WITH ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUING THROUGH SATURDAY.A PATTERN CHANGE REMAINS ON TRACK SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND RETURNING ONSHORE FLOW ALONGSIDE IMPROVING HUMIDITY VALUES BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. INCREASING PRECIPITATION CHANCES REMAIN IN THE FORECAST FROM TUESDAY ONWARD, WITH HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR WETTING RAIN AT THIS TIME IN THE MOUNTAINS. $$ ECC015-171515- STANISLAUS NATIONAL FOREST- DISCUSSION FOR SAN ANDREAS ECC DISPATCH 214 PM PDT FRI OCT 16 2026 ...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN THE SIERRA AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS THROUGH SATURDAY... WARM AND DRY WEATHER WITH BREEZY OFFSHORE WINDS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY ACROSS THE REGION. LOW DAYTIME HUMIDITY IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO LOWER TEENS IS FORECAST WITH POOR TO VERY POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES EXPECTED AS WELL. DESPITE LIGHTER NORTH TO EAST WINDS, SOME GUSTS 15-25 MPH PERSIST, ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SIERRA AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS, WITH ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUING THROUGH SATURDAY. A PATTERN CHANGE REMAINS ON TRACK SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND RETURNING ONSHORE FLOW ALONGSIDE IMPROVING HUMIDITY VALUES BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. INCREASING PRECIPITATION CHANCES REMAIN IN THE FORECAST FROM TUESDAY ONWARD, WITH HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR WETTING RAIN AT THIS TIME IN THE MOUNTAINS. $$  701 FNUS85 KVEF 162147 FWLVEF ECCDA DISCUSSIONS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV 247 PM PDT FRI OCT 16 2026 ##################################################################### ## ## ## DISCUSSIONS FROM THE LATEST FWF BELOW ## ## ## ##################################################################### ...DISCUSSION FROM RNOFWFVEF... BREEZY WINDS LINGER BUT THE STRONGEST WINDS HAVE SUBSIDED INTO THE AFTERNOON. EXPECT WINDS TO BECOME LIGHT INTO THE NIGHT. WINDS LOOK TO BECOME BREEZY AGAIN INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON BUT BECOME WEAK FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND LATER THAT NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL MOSTLY BE BELOW AVERAGE THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FALLING BETWEEN 10 TO 20 PERCENT FOR MOST AREAS DURING THE DAYS, AND ONLY RECOVERING TO 40 TO 50 PERCENT OVERNIGHT. THE RELATIVELY CALM PATTERN TRANSITIONS BACK TO BREEZY CONDITIONS INTO THE NEXT WORK WEEK AS A TROUGH AND LOW PRESSURE APPROACH THE REGION. AS THE TROUGH CENTERS OVER THE AREA IN THE MID-WEEK, EXPECT WIDESPREAD CHANCES FOR SHOWERS WITH SLIGHT CHANCES FOR STORMS. RAIN CHANCES LOOK TO LINGER INTO THE END OF THE WEEK. ...DISCUSSION FROM LAXFWFSGX... ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WITH NEAR CRITICAL CONDITIONS IN LOCATIONS WITH ABUNDANT DRY FUELS WHERE TOPOGRAPHY AND WIND DIRECTION ARE WELL ALIGNED THROUGH SATURDAY. NORTHEAST TO EAST SANTA ANA WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY. WINDS OUT OF THE EAST WILL MAINLY BE 35 TO 55 MPH, LOCALLY TO 60 MPH BELOW PASSES AND NEAR MOUNTAIN FOOTHILLS. LOWEST DAYTIME RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE VALLEYS AND INLAND COASTAL AREAS WILL BE AROUND 20 TO 30 PERCENT SATURDAY. MUCH WEAKER OFFSHORE WINDS EXPECTED SUNDAY, WITH THE PRESSURE GRADIENT RETURNING TO ONSHORE BY MONDAY. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR TWO DEVELOPING OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT DESERTS IN SAN DIEGO COUNTY EARLY SATURDAY, ALTHOUGH THERE IS VERY LITTLE CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN. HOT TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY, WITH WARMEST CONDITIONS ALONG THE COAST. COOLING WILL BEGIN FOR THE COASTAL BASIN ON SUNDAY WITH GREATER COOLING REGION-WIDE TUESDAY ONWARD. WIDESPREAD RAIN EXPECTED FOR NEXT WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. ...DISCUSSION FROM PHXFWFPSR... STRONG WINDS WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT RIDGE TOPS AND WIND PRONE AREAS OF EASTERN DISTRICTS EARLY SATURDAY BEFORE WEAKENING BY SUNDAY. ELSEWHERE, WINDS WILL BE SOMEWHAT GUSTY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS MAY ALSO MOVE INTO EASTERN DISTRICTS SATURDAY EVENING, HOWEVER THE CHANCES FOR WETTING RAINFALL IS ONLY 10%. MINIMUM HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL FALL INTO A 20-30% RANGE SATURDAY, THEN INCREASE CLOSER TO A 30-50% RANGE SUNDAY. THIS WILL FOLLOW GOOD TO EXCELLENT OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. ##################################################################### ## ## ## AFTER REVIEWING THE FWF DISCUSSIONS (ABOVE) - COMPLETE ## ## THE DISCUSSION (BELOW) FOR THE ECCDA FORECAST ## ## WHEN DONE CLICK TRANSMIT, PRODUCT SENT AS KVEFFWLVEF ## ## ## ##################################################################### ECC027-171600- SAN BERNARDINO ECC DISPATCH- DISCUSSION FOR SAN BERNARDINO ECC DISPATCH 247 PM PDT FRI OCT 16 2026 BREEZY WINDS LINGER BUT THE STRONGEST WINDS HAVE SUBSIDED INTO THE AFTERNOON. EXPECT WINDS TO BECOME LIGHT INTO THE NIGHT. WINDS LOOK TO BECOME BREEZY AGAIN INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON BUT BECOME WEAK FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND LATER THAT NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL MOSTLY BE BELOW AVERAGE THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FALLING BETWEEN 10 TO 20 PERCENT FOR MOST AREAS DURING THE DAYS, AND ONLY RECOVERING TO 40 TO 50 PERCENT OVERNIGHT. THE RELATIVELY CALM PATTERN TRANSITIONS BACK TO BREEZY CONDITIONS INTO THE NEXT WORK WEEK AS A TROUGH AND LOW PRESSURE APPROACH THE REGION. AS THE TROUGH CENTERS OVER THE AREA IN THE MID-WEEK, EXPECT WIDESPREAD CHANCES FOR SHOWERS WITH SLIGHT CHANCES FOR STORMS. RAIN CHANCES LOOK TO LINGER INTO THE END OF THE WEEK. $$  860 FNUS86 KHNX 162151 FWLHNX ECCDA DISCUSSIONS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA 251 PM PDT FRI OCT 16 2026 ECC019-171600- MARIPOSA- DISCUSSION FOR MARIPOSA ECC DISPATCH 251 PM PDT FRI OCT 16 2026 RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PDT FRIDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ELEVATIONS ABOVE 4,000 FEET OF THE SIERRA NEVADA AND THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS. A RIDGE IS SET UP IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA, WHILE AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. MIN RH'S WILL BEGIN TO STEADILY INCREASE OVER THE WEEKEND AS A SHORTWAVE COMES THROUGH. TODAY, MINRH'S WILL BE 15-22% FOR THE MOJAVE DESERT AND THE VALLEY. THE SIERRA NEVADA'S WILL SEE SIMILAR MINRH'S, SAVE FOR THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS, WHICH WILL BE IN THE MID 30S TO 40S. MAX TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL TODAY, BUT DROP TO MORE SEASONAL LEVELS IN THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. $$ ECC021-171600- FRESNO- DISCUSSION FOR FRESNO ECC DISPATCH 251 PM PDT FRI OCT 16 2026 RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PDT FRIDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ELEVATIONS ABOVE 4,000 FEET OF THE SIERRA NEVADA AND THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS. A RIDGE IS SET UP IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA, WHILE AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THIS IS BRINGING STRONG WINDS FROM THE EAST, PARTICULARLY ALONG THE TEHACHAPI RANGE. GUSTS WILL BEGIN TO DIE OFF THIS AFTERNOON, BUT PICK BACK UP IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. MIN RH'S WILL BEGIN TO STEADILY INCREASE OVER THE WEEKEND AS A SHORTWAVE COMES THROUGH. TODAY, MINRH'S WILL BE 15-22% FOR THE MOJAVE DESERT AND THE VALLEY. THE SIERRA NEVADA'S WILL SEE SIMILAR MINRH'S, SAVE FOR THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS, WHICH WILL BE IN THE MID 30S TO 40S. MAX TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL TODAY, BUT DROP TO MORE SEASONAL LEVELS IN THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. $$ ECC023-171600- VISALIA- DISCUSSION FOR VISALIA ECC DISPATCH 251 PM PDT FRI OCT 16 2026 RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PDT FRIDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ELEVATIONS ABOVE 4,000 FEET OF THE SIERRA NEVADA AND THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS. A RIDGE IS SET UP IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA, WHILE AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THIS IS BRINGING STRONG WINDS FROM THE EAST, PARTICULARLY ALONG THE TEHACHAPI RANGE. GUSTS WILL BEGIN TO DIE OFF THIS AFTERNOON, BUT PICK BACK UP IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. MIN RH'S WILL BEGIN TO STEADILY INCREASE OVER THE WEEKEND AS A SHORTWAVE COMES THROUGH. TODAY, MINRH'S WILL BE 15-22% FOR THE MOJAVE DESERT AND THE VALLEY. THE SIERRA NEVADA'S WILL SEE SIMILAR MINRH'S, SAVE FOR THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS, WHICH WILL BE IN THE MID 30S TO 40S. MAX TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL TODAY, BUT DROP TO MORE SEASONAL LEVELS IN THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. $$ ECC025-171600- BAKERSFIELD- DISCUSSION FOR BAKERSFIELD ECC DISPATCH 251 PM PDT FRI OCT 16 2026 RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PDT FRIDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ELEVATIONS ABOVE 4,000 FEET OF THE SIERRA NEVADA AND THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS. A RIDGE IS SET UP IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA, WHILE AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THIS IS BRINGING STRONG WINDS FROM THE EAST, PARTICULARLY ALONG THE TEHACHAPI RANGE. GUSTS WILL BEGIN TO DIE OFF THIS AFTERNOON, BUT PICK BACK UP IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. MIN RH'S WILL BEGIN TO STEADILY INCREASE OVER THE WEEKEND AS A SHORTWAVE COMES THROUGH. TODAY, MINRH'S WILL BE 15-22% FOR THE MOJAVE DESERT AND THE VALLEY. THE SIERRA NEVADA'S WILL SEE SIMILAR MINRH'S, SAVE FOR THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS, WHICH WILL BE IN THE MID 30S TO 40S. MAX TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL TODAY, BUT DROP TO MORE SEASONAL LEVELS IN THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. $$ ECC020-171600- YOSEMITE- DISCUSSION FOR YOSEMITE ECC DISPATCH 251 PM PDT FRI OCT 16 2026 RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PDT FRIDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ELEVATIONS ABOVE 4,000 FEET OF THE SIERRA NEVADA AND THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS. A RIDGE IS SET UP IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA, WHILE AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THIS IS BRINGING STRONG WINDS FROM THE EAST, PARTICULARLY ALONG THE TEHACHAPI RANGE. MIN RH'S WILL BEGIN TO STEADILY INCREASE OVER THE WEEKEND AS A SHORTWAVE COMES THROUGH. TODAY, MINRH'S WILL BE 15-22% FOR THE MOJAVE DESERT AND THE VALLEY. THE SIERRA NEVADA'S WILL SEE SIMILAR MINRH'S, SAVE FOR THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS, WHICH WILL BE IN THE MID 30S TO 40S. $$ ECC022-171600- ASH MOUNTAIN- DISCUSSION FOR ASH MOUNTAIN ECC DISPATCH 251 PM PDT FRI OCT 16 2026 RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PDT FRIDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ELEVATIONS ABOVE 4,000 FEET OF THE SIERRA NEVADA AND THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS. A RIDGE IS SET UP IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA, WHILE AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THIS IS BRINGING STRONG WINDS FROM THE EAST, PARTICULARLY ALONG THE TEHACHAPI RANGE. GUSTS WILL BEGIN TO DIE OFF THIS AFTERNOON, BUT PICK BACK UP IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. MIN RH'S WILL BEGIN TO STEADILY INCREASE OVER THE WEEKEND AS A SHORTWAVE COMES THROUGH. TODAY, MINRH'S WILL BE 15-22% FOR THE MOJAVE DESERT AND THE VALLEY. THE SIERRA NEVADA'S WILL SEE SIMILAR MINRH'S, SAVE FOR THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS, WHICH WILL BE IN THE MID 30S TO 40S. MAX TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR, AS WELL AS MINIMUM TEMPERATURES. $$ ECC026-171600- PORTERVILLE- DISCUSSION FOR PORTERVILLE ECC DISPATCH 251 PM PDT FRI OCT 16 2026 RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PDT FRIDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ELEVATIONS ABOVE 4,000 FEET OF THE SIERRA NEVADA AND THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS. A RIDGE IS SET UP IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA, WHILE AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THIS IS BRINGING STRONG WINDS FROM THE EAST, PARTICULARLY ALONG THE TEHACHAPI RANGE. GUSTS WILL BEGIN TO DIE OFF THIS AFTERNOON, BUT PICK BACK UP IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. MIN RH'S WILL BEGIN TO STEADILY INCREASE OVER THE WEEKEND AS A SHORTWAVE COMES THROUGH. TODAY, MINRH'S WILL BE 15-22% FOR THE MOJAVE DESERT AND THE VALLEY. THE SIERRA NEVADA'S WILL SEE SIMILAR MINRH'S, SAVE FOR THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS, WHICH WILL BE IN THE MID 30S TO 40S. $$