461 FNUS75 KPUB 221111 FWSPUB Spot Forecast for Willow...USFS National Weather Service Pueblo CO 511 AM MDT Sat Aug 22 2026 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 MDT on August 22. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... Thunderstorm chances over the burn scar will be moderate to high through Wednesday as monsoon moisture increases over the area. There will be the possibility of rainfall amounts sufficient to cause localized flash flooding on the burn scar most days, though Wednesday appears to have the greatest risk for heavy rainfall. Winds will be light downslope/downvalley overnight into the morning hours before becoming breezy from the west to northwest at around 10-20 mph most afternoons. The exception will be near thunderstorms where erratic gusts up to 45 mph will be possible. Temperatures will gradually cool through the period due to greater thunderstorm coverage and resultant cool thunderstorm outflows. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny(34 percent) until 1200, then mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers after 1200 until 1600. Chance of thunderstorms after 1200. Rain showers likely after 1600. Max temperature.....69-74F. Min humidity........30-35 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 4-8 mph until 0900, then southeast 5-10 mph until 1200, then northwest 8-18 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms after 1200. Mixing height.......1000 ft agl until 1000, then 5000 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southwest around 11 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Fair after 1200. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy until 0200, then partly cloudy(37 percent). Chance of rain showers and thunderstorms until 2000, then slight chance of rain showers and thunderstorms until 2100. Min temperature.....50F. Max humidity........69-74 percent. Wind (20 ft)........West 8-16 mph until 2000 then northwest 4-8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms until 2000. Mixing height.......2500 ft agl until 2000, then 500 ft agl. Transport winds.....West around 7 mph until 2200, then north around 6 mph until 2300, then west until 2400, then southwest until 0400, then west around 7 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny(38 percent) until 1400, then mostly cloudy until 1500. Chance of rain showers and thunderstorms after 1700. Max temperature.....66-72F. Min humidity........35-40 percent. Wind (20 ft)........West 4-8 mph until 1100, then west 12-24 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms after 1700. Mixing height.......2000 ft agl until 1000, then 6500 ft agl. Transport winds.....West around 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0800. Good after 1200. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY... Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. West 8-18 mph. .TUESDAY... Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Northwest 8-18 mph. .WEDNESDAY... Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Northwest 8-18 mph. $$ Forecaster...TORGERSON Requested by...Chris Frost Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2619978.3/PUB .DELDT 08/22/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0  536 FNUS71 KLWX 221133 FWSLWX Spot Forecast for Chuck Brown Day Event...National Park Service National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 733 AM EDT Sat Aug 22 2026 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 EDT on August 22. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... While some very light showers or sprinkles are possible this morning, thunderstorms are not expected until the afternoon. Any additional rain this morning would be brief and insignificant. The best chance for seeing a heavier shower or thunderstorm will be during the afternoon, mainly between 3 PM and 7 PM and a second late night round of showers or thunderstorms around midnight tonight. An area of low pressure along the Mid-Atlantic coast will ride along a stalled boundary and bring rain and some thunderstorms throughout the day today. Additionally, a cold front will push through later this evening into tonight, bringing another chance for showers and storms. High pressure tracks in from the Tennessee and Ohio Valleys early next week which leads to a cool down with less humidity. Dry weather is now expected Sunday and through the first half of next week. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms early in the morning, then scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......70 percent. Chance of thunder...30 percent. Max temperature.....Around 79. Min humidity........77 percent. Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming east 5 to 7 mph in the late morning and afternoon. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........81 79 85 83 80 72 77 80 73 83 Weather cov.....NUM NUM NUM SCT SCT ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO SCT Chc of pcpn (%).70 70 60 30 30 20 40 40 30 50 Chc of thdr (%).10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 30 Temp............69 71 73 74 73 75 77 77 78 79 RH..............100 100 93 90 93 87 82 85 82 77 Surface wnd dir.E E E E E E E E E E Surface wnd spd.3 3 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 Surface wnd gst.7 7 9 10 12 12 12 12 12 12 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms overnight. Chance of pcpn......60 percent. Chance of thunder...30 percent. Min temperature.....Around 68. Max humidity........100 percent. Surface winds (mph).East winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening becoming light. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........72 76 75 74 67 70 73 66 78 63 72 63 Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH Chc of pcpn (%).50 40 40 50 60 40 40 30 30 30 20 10 Chc of thdr (%).30 30 30 30 30 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 Temp............77 76 74 73 72 71 71 70 70 70 69 69 RH..............85 87 90 93 97 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 Surface wnd dir.E E E E NE SE NW NW S SW SW SW Surface wnd spd.6 5 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 Surface wnd gst.10 9 8 6 5 5 3 3 3 3 5 6 .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of pcpn......10 percent. Chance of thunder...8 percent. Max temperature.....Around 84. Min humidity........53 percent. Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming west 5 to 10 mph early in the morning. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........56 49 33 7 9 4 7 10 21 49 46 47 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Chc of thdr (%).10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............68 68 70 72 76 79 80 81 82 83 84 83 RH..............100 100 100 93 82 69 67 60 56 55 53 53 Surface wnd dir.SW SW W W W W W W W W W W Surface wnd spd.2 3 5 6 8 9 10 10 10 10 10 9 Surface wnd gst.6 7 9 10 15 16 17 17 17 17 17 16 $$ Forecaster...Rosa Requested by...Ruhi Ellis Type of request...OTHER .TAG 2620231.0/LWX .DELDT 08/22/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL ruhi_ellis@nps.gov  499 FNUS75 KGJT 221131 FWSGJT Spot Forecast for Elk knob...USWFS National Weather Service Grand Junction CO 531 AM MDT Sat Aug 22 2026 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on August 22. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION...Look for showers with embedded thunderstorms developing in the area through the afternoon and lasting into the evening. Primary threats are lightning, gusts to 40 mph and periods of heavy rain. Expect similar conditions and timing Sunday as the monsoonal moisture remains in place over the region. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. CWR.................30 percent. Max temperature.....65-70. Min humidity........32-37 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Fair increasing to good in the afternoon. Mixing height.......8600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 12 mph. Chance of thunder...40 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in the evening. CWR.................10 percent. Min temperature.....46-51. Max humidity........70-75 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 mph shifting to the south overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the evening. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4000-31000 knot-ft). Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL decreasing to 600 ft AGL overnight. Transport winds.....South 10 mph. Chance of thunder...25 percent. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. CWR.................20 percent. Max temperature.....62-67. Min humidity........36-41 percent. Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Fair increasing to very good in the afternoon. Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL increasing to 9900 ft AGL in the afternoon. Transport winds.....West 16 mph. Chance of thunder...45 percent. $$ Forecaster...David Byers Requested by...M.Herrera Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2619996.3/GJT .DELDT 08/22/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL mdherrera@blm.gov,cogjc@firenet.gov  567 FNUS75 KMSO 221134 FWSMSO Spot Forecast for Skillet Fire National Weather Service Missoula MT 534 AM MDT Sat Aug 22 2026 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 MDT on August 22. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM MDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... .DISCUSSION...Light rain showers this morning will give way to breaks in clouds followed by showers and thunderstorms tracking from southwest to northeast likely to begin after 5pm MDT through the overnight. Storms will be capable of strong to near-severe wind gusts (30-50 mph), localized briefly intense wetting rains, and hail less than one inch in diameter. A cold front passing through late tonight into Sunday will draw in a significantly drier airmass, along with deep vertical mixing, and strong westerly winds bringing near-critical fire weather conditions to the region. .REST OF TODAY... * Sky/Weather.........Cloudy with a chance of rain showers in the morning then becoming partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...Less than 10 percent. * Chance Lightning....15 percent. * Max Temperature.....79-84. * Min Humidity........22-27 percent. * Wind (20 ft)........Variable 2-6 mph in the morning becoming south-southwest 3-10 with gusts to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Mixing Height.......Near 500 ft agl in the morning increasing to 6500 ft agl in the afternoon. * Mixing Winds........Southwest 15 mph. * Precip Amount.......0.00-0.05 inches. .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. * CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...40 percent. * Chance Lightning....40 percent. * Min Temperature.....52-57. * Max Humidity........75-80 percent. * Wind (20 ft)........South-southwest 3-6 mph with gusts up to 15 mph. * Mixing Height.......Decreasing to 500 ft agl overnight. * Mixing Winds........Southwest 20 mph. * Precip Amount.......0.00-0.30 inches. .SUNDAY... * Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny, slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent. * Chance Lightning....10 percent. * Max Temperature.....66-71. * Min Humidity........25-30 percent. * Wind (20 ft)........West-southwest 6-15 mph with gusts to 30 mph in the afternoon. * Mixing Height.......Increasing to 8500 ft agl. * Mixing Winds........West 20 mph. * Precip Amount.......0.00-0.03 inches. $$ Forecaster...Parker Requested by...Katelyn Miller Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2620011.2/MSO .DELDT 08/22/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL katelyn_miller@firenet.gov  579 FNUS76 KPDT 221135 FWSPDT Spot Forecast for Anthony...FS National Weather Service Pendleton OR 435 AM PDT Sat Aug 22 2026 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 PDT on August 22. ***Thunderstorms imply gusty and erratic winds *** ***Winds are 20 foot 10-minute averages *** ***CWR: Chance of wetting rain 0.10 or greater *** ***Ventilation Index is derived from transport wind multiplied by the mixing height in 100's of ft. Categories are a generalized indicator only: low (< 200), moderate (200-500), high (500-700), and very high (> 700). *** If you have questions or concerns with this forecast, please contact our office at (541) 276-8134. .DISCUSSION...Upper weather system passage today will lead to breezy southwest to west winds developing by this afternoon, with winds weakening late overnight. West winds will prevail tomorrow. Afternoon relative humidity will dip into the mid 20s today, then decrease into the upper teens tomorrow. Overnight recovery will be fair to good. There is a low chance (10-15%) of isolated thunderstorms/showers impacting the fire area between 2PM to 6PM this afternoon. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). CWR.................7 percent. Chance of lightning.12 percent. Max temperature.....70-73. Min humidity........24-29 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph increasing to 7 to 13 mph with gusts up to 21 mph around 12PM, then shifting to the southwest around 2PM, then shifting to the west around 5PM. Ridgetop wind.......South winds 6 to 12 mph increasing to 9 to 15 mph with gusts up to 24 mph around 12PM, then shifting to the southwest around 2PM, then shifting to the west around 5PM. Mixing height.......9300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 7 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest 13 to 20 mph late in the morning. Ventilation Index...Low (110) increasing to very high (1050) in the afternoon. TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Chc of ltng (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Temp............63 63 64 64 65 66 68 68 67 68 68 66 RH..............33 35 39 39 37 34 32 31 31 31 29 33 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S SW SW SW W 20 FT wind spd..7 8 9 9 8 9 10 10 11 13 13 11 20 FT wind gust. 16 17 19 19 21 18 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Patchy smoke overnight. CWR.................6 percent. Chance of lightning.8 percent. Min temperature.....50-53. Max humidity........57-62 percent. Wind (20 ft)........West winds 7 to 13 mph with gusts up to 21 mph shifting to the northwest around 7PM, then shifting to the west around 11PM, then decreasing to 5 to 10 mph after 2AM. Ridgetop wind.......West winds 9 to 15 mph with gusts up to 24 mph shifting to the northwest around 7PM, then shifting to the west around 11PM, then decreasing to 6 t0 11 mph after 2AM. Mixing height.......500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 8 to 13 mph. Ventilation Index...Moderate (290) decreasing to low (50) overnight. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). CWR.................0 percent. Chance of lightning.0 percent. Max temperature.....62-65. Min humidity........18-23 percent. Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph. Ridgetop wind.......West winds 6 to 11 mph. Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 8 to 13 mph. Ventilation Index...Low (120) increasing to high (660) in the afternoon. $$ Forecaster...Lawhorn Requested by...IC Makarowski Type ofrequest...WILDFIRE .TAG 2619281.13/PDT .DELDT 08/22/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL ormbc@firenet.gov,daniel.oneal@usda.gov,jeffrey.duke@usda.gov,Andrew.livingston@usda.gov  666 FNUS75 KTFX 221137 FWSTFX Spot Forecast for Sieben...HIDC National Weather Service Great Falls MT 537 AM MDT Sat Aug 22 2026 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on August 22. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Scattered light showers and perhaps a rumble of thunder will move through this morning. Localized gusty winds up to 25 mph and an isolated lightning strike will be the primary hazards with this activity. A more impactful area of showers and thunderstorms will move northeastward in the afternoon and evening. Strong, gusty winds, brief heavy downpours, and some instances of hail will be possible with these later day storms. Otherwise, southwest to westerly winds will be on the increase tonight into Sunday in advance of the approaching Pacific trough. The warm, dry, and breezy to windy conditions will create elevated fire weather concerns on Sunday. There will also be some scattered thunderstorms, though most of this activity will be east of the incident site. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) then becoming mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain showers and slight chance of dry thunderstorms in the morning. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. CWR.................5 percent. Chance of thunder...20 percent. Max temperature.....86-91. Min humidity........19-24 percent. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming south 5 to 15 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near and showers or thunderstorms. Ridgetop...........Southwest 15 to 20 mph, then decreasing to 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon shifting to the west late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest late in the afternoon. TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........75 99 94 83 89 80 63 56 58 58 57 50 Weather cov..... SCH SCH CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Chc of thdr (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 Temp............61 59 61 64 71 73 77 81 84 86 87 86 RH..............61 61 62 60 45 43 37 31 26 24 24 25 20 FT wind dir..S S S SE SE S S S S S S S 20 FT wind spd..0 0 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 5 5 20 FT wind gust.5 5 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 Ridge wind dir..S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W Ridge wind spd..15 20 20 20 20 20 15 15 15 15 10 10 Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.5 1.5 2.0 3.5 5.0 7.0 7.5 7.0 Transp wind dir.SE S SE S S S S S S SW W SW Transp wind spd.5 5 10 10 10 10 15 15 10 15 10 10 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. CWR.................35 percent decreasing to 0 percent overnight. Chance of thunder...48 percent. Min temperature.....54-59. Max humidity........87-92 percent. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......Southerly winds 5 to 15 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near and showers or thunderstorms. Ridgetop...........West 10 to 15 mph shifting to the southwest 15 to 20 mph in the late evening and overnight, thenincreasing to 25 to 30 mph overnight. Mixing height.......500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwesterly 5 to 15 mph. TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........68 72 62 72 97 87 71 70 60 43 44 47 Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CWR.............40 40 40 40 40 40 0 0 0 0 0 0 Chc of thdr (%).50 50 40 40 30 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............85 83 79 74 71 69 67 66 64 62 60 58 RH..............26 31 39 49 58 63 68 69 75 80 82 87 20 FT wind dir..S W S SW SW S S S SE SE SE SE 20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT wind gust.15 15 10 15 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Ridge wind dir..NW W W W SW SW S S SW SW SW SW Ridge wind spd..10 10 10 15 15 15 15 20 25 30 30 25 Mix hgt (kft)...5.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW W SW S S S S S S Transp wind spd.10 10 10 10 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of rain showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. CWR.................5 percent. Chance of thunder...15 percent. Max temperature.....83-88. Min humidity........16-21 percent. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......South winds 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest around 15 mph early in the afternoon, then shifting to the west with gusts to around 30 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near any showers or thunderstorms. Ridgetop...........Southwest 20 to 25 mph increasing to west 30 to 35 mph late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......10000 ft AGL increasing to 10500 ft AGL late in the afternoon. Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph increasing to southwest 20 to 25 mph late in the afternoon. TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........72 72 72 46 46 46 25 25 25 10 10 10 Weather cov..... SCH Weather type.... RW Tstm cov........ SCH CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 10 0 0 0 Temp............58 56 58 62 71 75 79 81 83 83 83 84 RH..............89 92 90 75 58 46 38 33 29 27 23 23 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S SW SW SW W W W 20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 20 FT wind gust.10 10 10 15 15 15 25 25 25 30 30 30 Ridge wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W Ridge wind spd..25 25 25 25 25 20 20 25 30 35 30 30 Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 2.0 3.0 5.5 8.0 10 8.5 11 10 Transp wind dir.S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW W Transp wind spd.10 10 10 10 15 10 15 15 20 25 25 20 $$ Forecaster...Greely Requested by...Mikkelson Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2620228.0/TFX .DELDT 08/22/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL charlie.ewart@mt.gov,mthdc@firenet.gov,braeden.mikkelson@mt.gov, tfx.ops@noaa.gov  966 FNUS75 KTFX 221145 FWSTFX Spot Forecast for Rugby...HIDC National Weather Service Great Falls MT 545 AM MDT Sat Aug 22 2026 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on August 22. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Scattered light showers and perhaps a rumble of thunder will move through this morning. Localized gusty winds up to 25 mph and an isolated lightning strike will be the primary hazards with this activity. A more impactful area of showers and thunderstorms will move northeastward in the afternoon and evening. Strong, gusty winds, brief heavy downpours, and some instances of hail will be possible with these later day storms. Otherwise, southwest to westerly winds will be on the increase tonight into Sunday in advance of the approaching Pacific trough. The warm, dry, and breezy to windy conditions will create elevated fire weather concerns on Sunday. There will also be some scattered thunderstorms. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the morning. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. CWR.................5 percent. Chance of thunder...32 percent. Max temperature.....77-82. Min humidity........26-31 percent. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......Southerly wind 5 to 15 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near any showers or thunderstorms. Ridgetop...........Southwest 15 to 20 mph decreasing to 10 to 15 mph late in the morning. Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph becoming southwest late in the afternoon. TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........76 92 85 80 95 88 82 70 70 54 43 55 Weather cov..... SCH SCH CHC CHC SCH Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH CHC SCH CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Chc of thdr (%).0 0 10 20 20 20 30 20 10 0 0 0 Temp............62 60 61 64 69 70 72 76 77 78 79 77 RH..............48 52 53 54 46 45 42 39 34 31 31 34 20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE S S S S S S S S SW 20 FT wind spd..5 10 5 5 5 5 5 10 5 5 5 5 20 FT wind gust.15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 Ridge wind dir..S S SW SW SW S S S S SW SW SW Ridge wind spd..15 20 20 20 15 10 10 10 10 15 10 10 Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.5 2.0 3.0 4.5 4.5 6.0 6.0 5.0 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW Transp wind spd.10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 10 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. CWR.................5 percent. Chance of thunder...36 percent. Min temperature.....55-60. Max humidity........66-71 percent. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......Southerly 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near any showers or thunderstorms. Ridgetop...........Southwest 10 to 15 mph increasing to 20 to 25 mph overnight. Mixing height.......500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 15 mph after 3 am. TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........50 76 58 59 90 84 71 57 75 71 74 48 Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 Chc of thdr (%).20 30 30 40 30 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............77 76 71 68 66 65 64 63 62 61 59 59 RH..............38 43 52 57 59 62 64 64 66 67 65 67 20 FT wind dir..SW S SW S S S S S S S SE SE 20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT wind gust.15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 10 Ridge wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW S S SW SW SW SW W Ridge wind spd..10 10 15 15 15 15 15 20 25 25 25 25 Mix hgt (kft)...4.5 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 Transp wind dir.SW S SW S S S S S S S S S Transp wind spd.10 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 15 10 10 .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent) then becoming partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the afternoon. CWR.................0 percent increasing to 15 percent in the afternoon. Chance of thunder...35 percent. Max temperature.....75-80. Min humidity........24-29 percent. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......South winds around 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest with gusts to around 25 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near any showers or thunderstorms. Ridgetop...........Southwest 20 to 25 mph decreasing to 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon. Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL increasing to 10500 ft AGL in the afternoon. Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph late in the afternoon. TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........84 84 84 40 40 40 65 65 65 63 63 63 Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC SCH Weather type.... RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC SCH CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 20 20 20 Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 40 40 20 0 Temp............59 57 59 63 68 71 73 74 75 75 75 76 RH..............67 70 70 69 54 46 39 36 33 32 30 32 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S SW SW SW W W W 20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 FT wind gust.15 15 15 15 15 15 20 20 20 25 25 25 Ridge wind dir..W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W Ridge wind spd..25 25 25 25 25 20 20 15 15 15 20 20 Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 2.0 3.5 5.5 11 11 7.5 10 9.5 Transp wind dir.S S S S SW SW SW SW W SW SW W Transp wind spd.10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 20 20 15 $$ Forecaster...Greely Requested by...RCH Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2620058.3/TFX .DELDT 08/22/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL Ryan.Kooiker@usda.gov,mthdc@firenet.gov,xavier.delatorre@usda.gov,claybus2481@gmail.com, tfx.ops@noaa.gov  165 FNUS75 KGJT 221148 FWSGJT Spot Forecast for Kittle...Grand Junction Interagency Dispatch National Weather Service Grand Junction CO 548 AM MDT Sat Aug 22 2026 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on August 22. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION...Look for showers with embedded thunderstorms developing in the area through the afternoon and lasting into the evening. Primary threats are lightning, gusts to 40 mph and periods of heavy rain. Sunday will see fewer showers and thunderstorms, but the threats remain much the same as the monsoonal moisture remains in place over the region. Expect afternoon showers and thunderstorms through mid week. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. CWR.................20 percent. Max temperature.....75-80. Min humidity........24-29 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Fair increasing to good in the afternoon. Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL increasing to 10200 ft AGL in the afternoon. Transport winds.....Southwest 10 mph. Chance of thunder...40 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. CWR.................10 percent. Min temperature.....46-51. Max humidity........78-83 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East winds 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the evening. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4000-15000 knot-ft). Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 10 mph. Chance of thunder...25 percent. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. CWR.................10 percent. Max temperature.....72-77. Min humidity........29-34 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Good increasing to very good in the afternoon. Mixing height.......6900 ft AGL increasing to 10300 ft AGL in the afternoon. Transport winds.....Southwest 13 mph. Chance of thunder...30 percent. $$ Forecaster...David Byers Requested by...Cade Bragonier Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2620061.4/GJT .DELDT 08/22/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL cogjc@firenet.gov  441 FNUS75 KSLC 221156 FWSSLC Spot Forecast for Widemouth 2...RIFC National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT 556 AM MDT Sat Aug 22 2026 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on August 22. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION...Dry conditions in the morning will give way to isolated convection beginning around noon with the threat persisting through sunset. Convection will dissipate overnight with another round of afternoon convection developing on Sunday afternoon, although slightly lower precipitation probabilities compared to Saturday given drier air starting to make it's way into the region. This trend will continue through midweek. Relative humidity will also decrease as the week continues. Afternoon winds out of the southwest will be breezy over the next couple of days, but these will decrease in strength overnight as winds become more terrain driven. Winds will weaken by Monday with primarily upslope and drainage winds. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent cloud cover). Isolated showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. CWR.................20 percent. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. Chance of lightning.15 percent. Max temperature.....93-96. Min humidity........29-32 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Upslope winds 3 to 9 mph with southwest gusts to around 17 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Mixing height.......11100 ft AGL (80-90th Percentile). Transport winds.....Southeast around 12 mph becoming southwest around 14 mph in the afternoon. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent cloud cover). CWR.................0 percent. Chance of pcpn......10 percent. Chance of lightning.5 percent. Min temperature.....Around 70. Max humidity........48-51 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Drainage winds 2 to 8 mph. Mixing height.......500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 13 mph. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent cloud cover). Isolated showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. CWR.................10 percent. Chance of pcpn......25 percent. Chance of lightning.10 percent. Max temperature.....93-96. Min humidity........21-24 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Upslope winds 3 to 10 mph with southwest gusts to around 18 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Mixing height.......13300 ft AGL (90-95th Percentile). Transport winds.....Southwest 14 to 17 mph. $$ Forecaster...Mahan Requested by...Race Nielson IC (T) Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2620108.1/SLC .DELDT 08/22/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL Rhett.bailey@usda.gov,utrfc@firenet.gov,rmnielson@blm.gov  436 FNUS76 KPDT 221156 FWSPDT Spot Forecast for TANEUM CREEK...USFS National Weather Service Pendleton OR 456 AM PDT Sat Aug 22 2026 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 PDT on August 22. ***Thunderstorms imply gusty and erratic winds *** ***Winds are 20 foot 10-minute averages *** ***CWR: Chance of wetting rain 0.10 or greater *** ***Ventilation Index is derived from transport wind multiplied by the mixing height in 100's of ft. Categories are a generalized indicator only: low (< 200), moderate (200-500), high (500-700), and very high (> 700). *** If you have questions or concerns with this forecast, please contact our office at (541) 276-8134. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON PDT TODAY FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING... .DISCUSSION...A weather system moving through the region will bring a slight chance (15-25%) of thunderstorms to the fire area this afternoon with chances diminishing in the evening. Breezy winds from the northwest will develop late in the morning, and persist into the evening before weakening overnight. Expect winds to increase again tomorrow afternoon, but are not expected to be as strong as today. Cooler, moist air from west of the Cascade crest will bring RHs into the mid 40s today and Sunday, with good overnight recovery. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent) then becoming sunny (15-25 percent). Chance of showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms late in the morning. CWR.................4 percent. Chance of lightning.18 percent. Max temperature.....74-77. Min humidity........43-48 percent. Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 8 mph shifting to the northwest around 8AM, then increasing to 9 to 15 mph with gusts to around 24 mph around 11AM. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the morning. Ridgetop wind.......West winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the northwest around 8AM, then increasing to 14 to 19 mph with gusts up to 28 mph around 11AM. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the morning Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 8 to 16 mph increasing to around 21 mph late in the afternoon. Ventilation Index...Low (50) increasing to moderate (270) in the afternoon. TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Chc of ltng (%).10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 0 Temp............63 62 63 64 66 69 72 72 73 72 70 68 RH..............62 67 67 63 60 55 52 49 47 45 50 53 20 FT wind dir..W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT wind spd..7 7 8 8 9 10 12 12 13 13 14 14 20 FT wind gust. 15 18 19 21 21 23 24 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (45-55 percent). CWR.................0 percent. Chance of lightning.2 percent. Min temperature.....52-55. Max humidity........73-78 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 9 to 15 mph with gusts to around 24 mph decreasing to 6 to 11 mph after 1AM. Ridgetop wind.......Northwest winds 14 to 19 mph with gusts to around 28 mph decreasing to 9 to 15 mph after 1AM. Mixing height.......500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 16 to 21 mph. Ventilation Index...Moderate (290) decreasing to low (80) overnight. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming sunny (15-25 percent).CWR.................0 percent. Chance of lightning.2 percent. Max temperature.....Around 70. Min humidity........43-48 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 11 mph increasing to 8 to 13 mph with gusts up to 21 mph around 9AM. Ridgetop wind.......Northwest winds 9 to 15 mph with gusts to around 24 mph. Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest 16 to 18 mph. Ventilation Index...Moderate (290) increasing to high (530) in the afternoon. $$ Forecaster...Lawhorn Requested by...CERD Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2619886.4/PDT .DELDT 08/22/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL michael.barajas@usda.gov  544 FNUS75 KTFX 221159 FWSTFX Spot Forecast for Smith Gulch...HIDC National Weather Service Great Falls MT 559 AM MDT Sat Aug 22 2026 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0630 MDT on August 22. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Scattered light showers and perhaps a rumble of thunder will move through this morning. Localized gusty winds up to 25 mph and an isolated lightning strike will be the primary hazards with this activity. A more impactful area of showers and thunderstorms will move northeastward in the afternoon and evening. Strong, gusty winds, brief heavy downpours, and some instances of hail will be possible with these later day storms. Otherwise, southwest to westerly winds will be on the increase tonight into Sunday in advance of the approaching Pacific trough. The warm, dry, and breezy to windy conditions will create elevated fire weather concerns on Sunday. There will also be some scattered thunderstorms, though most of this activity will be east of the incident site. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) then becoming partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of dry thunderstorms in the morning. Chance of showers through the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. CWR.................5 percent. Chance of thunder...29 percent. Max temperature.....85-90. Min humidity........22-27 percent. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming south around 5 to 10 mph becoming easterly. Gusty and erratic winds expected near any showers or thunderstorms. Ridgetop...........Southwest 15 to 20 mph decreasing and becoming northwest 5 to 10 mph late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 15 mph. TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........87 100 84 81 86 86 50 62 53 62 52 45 Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Chc of thdr (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 30 30 30 20 Temp............66 64 66 67 72 73 76 81 84 85 86 84 RH..............48 48 49 49 44 45 40 35 30 27 27 31 20 FT wind dir..NW W W S NE E E SE E E SE SE 20 FT wind spd..0 0 0 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 20 FT wind gust.5 5 5 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 Ridge wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W NW Ridge wind spd..15 15 20 20 20 15 15 15 15 15 10 5 Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.5 3.5 5.0 7.5 7.0 6.5 Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW SE S SW SW SW W SW W Transp wind spd.5 5 10 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. CWR.................20 percent decreasing to 0 percent overnight. Chance of thunder...50 percent. Min temperature.....58-63. Max humidity........65-70 percent. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......Southwest winds around 5 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near any showers or . Ridgetop...........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph shifting south southwest 15 to 25 mph late in the evening. Mixing height.......500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph. TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........75 71 86 91 96 79 71 43 65 42 47 44 Weather cov.....LKY CHC CHC CHC SCH Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH CWR.............20 20 20 20 20 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 Chc of thdr (%).50 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............83 81 78 73 71 69 68 66 66 64 62 62 RH..............34 38 43 52 57 57 60 61 62 66 67 69 20 FT wind dir..SW SW W SW W SW SW W SW W SW SW 20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT wind gust.15 15 15 15 15 15 10 10 10 10 10 10 Ridge wind dir..NW NW W W SW S S S SW SW SW SW Ridge wind spd..5 5 10 10 10 15 15 15 20 25 25 25 Mix hgt (kft)...4.0 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 Transp wind dir.W SW SW W W SW SW W SW W W W Transp wind spd.10 10 10 10 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming sunny (10-20 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the afternoon. CWR.................5 percent. Chance of thunder...21 percent. Max temperature.....81-86. Min humidity........20-25 percent. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......Southwest winds around 5 to 15 mph increasing to west 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near any showers or thunderstorms. Ridgetop...........Southwest 20 to 25 mph increasing to 30 mph in the afternoon. Mixing height.......10000 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph increasing to west 20 to 25 mph in the afternoon. TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........69 69 69 35 35 35 40 40 40 16 16 16 Weather cov..... SCH SCH Weather type.... RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH SCH CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 20 10 0 0 Temp............61 60 63 66 72 74 78 79 81 81 81 82 RH..............68 70 65 58 51 46 40 37 34 32 28 26 20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W 20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 5 5 5 15 15 15 20 20 20 20 FT wind gust.10 10 10 15 15 15 30 30 30 30 30 30 Ridge wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W Ridge wind spd..20 20 20 20 20 25 25 30 30 35 35 30 Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 2.0 3.5 6.0 7.5 9.0 9.5 10 9.5 Transp wind dir.W W W SW SW W SW SW W W W W Transp wind spd.10 10 10 10 10 15 15 20 20 25 20 20 $$ Forecaster...Greely Requested by...RCH Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2620054.3/TFX .DELDT 08/22/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL mthdc@firenet.gov,matthew.gingery@usda.gov,seth.bond@usda.gov, tfx.ops@noaa.gov  512 FNUS76 KPQR 221158 FWSPQR Spot Forecast for High Lava IAP...USFS National Weather Service Portland OR 458 AM PDT Sat Aug 22 2026 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 PDT on August 22. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION...Gusty westerly onshore flow continues today and tonight supporting good overnight RH recoveries. Winds shift to the northwest on Sunday as high pressure begins to move in. Slight chance of rain showers late tonight into early Sunday. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny becoming mostly sunny. CWR.................3 percent. Chance of lightning.5 percent. Max temperature.....Around 67. Min humidity........55 percent. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......West winds 6 to 8 mph. Gusts up to 22 mph late in the afternoon. Ridgetop...........West winds 8 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 8 to 13 mph. TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........66 66 45 38 31 39 41 38 32 16 9 13 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Chc of ltng (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............56 52 50 51 52 55 60 63 65 66 67 66 RH..............80 87 91 90 89 80 69 64 58 55 55 55 20 FT wind dir..W W W W W W W W W W W W 20 FT wind spd..6 7 7 7 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 20 FT wind gust.11 12 13 13 13 13 14 14 16 17 17 18 Ridge wind dir..W W W W W W W W W W W W Ridge wind spd..8 8 8 9 9 10 10 10 11 11 11 10 Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.4 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.6 3.0 3.2 3.2 Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W W W W W Transp wind spd.8 9 9 9 8 9 10 10 12 13 13 13 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers late in the evening. Chance of rain showers after 3 am. CWR.................3 percent. Chance of lightning.4 percent. Min temperature.....Around 47. Max humidity........98 percent. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......West winds 8 to 11 mph with gusts to around 20 mph. Ridgetop...........West winds 9 to 12 mph with gusts to around 23 mph. Mixing height.......700 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 12 to 14 mph. TIME (PDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM Sky (%).........14 44 90 95 Weather cov..... S CHC CHANCE Weather type....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 Chc of ltng (%).0 0 0 0 Temp............65 58 59 59 RH..............55 72 74 75 20 FT wind......W 8G18 W 10G19 W 10G19 W 11G19 Ridgetop wind...W 8G18 W 11G20 W 12G22 W 12G23 Mix hgt (ft)....3100 700 1300 1100 Transport wind..W 13 W 13 W 13 W 14 .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy becoming mostly sunny. Slight chance of rain showers early in the morning. CWR.................3 percent. Chance of lightning.4 percent. Max temperature.....Around 66. Min humidity........59 percent. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......West winds 5 to 9 mph with gusts to around 18 mph shifting to the northwest around 6 mph late in the afternoon. Ridgetop...........West winds 7 to 10 mph with gusts to around 21 mph shifting to the northwest around 8 mph late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 8 to 12 mph. TIME (PDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM Sky (%).........91 86 34 Weather cov.....S CHC Weather type....RNSHWR NONE NONE Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 Chc of ltng (%).0 0 0 Temp............55 49 61 RH..............80 100 67 20 FT wind......W 9G18 W 6G14 W 6G12 Ridgetop wind...W 10G20 W 8G16 NW 7G13 Mix hgt (ft)....900 1700 3000 Transport wind..W 12 W 8 NW 9 $$ Forecaster...Batz Requested by...Scott Koehler Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2618852.35/PQR .DELDT 08/22/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL Scott_Koehler@firenet.gov  499 FNUS76 KSEW 221157 FWSSEW Spot Forecast for Border 2 Fire...NPS National Weather Service Seattle WA 457 AM PDT Sat Aug 22 2026 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 PDT on August 22. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at (206) 526-6095, if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION...Unstable air mass over the site today. Convective activity increasing with daytime heating. Thunderstorm chances ending after sunset tonight. Weak upper level trough moving through Sunday morning. Upper level ridge building in late Sunday will stabilize the air mass ending the shower activity. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of rain showers in the morning, then rain showers and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. CWR.................25 percent. Chance of lightning.40 percent. Max temperature.....72. Min humidity........55 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South around 7 mph. Rainfall amount.....0.12 inches. Ceiling (KFT).......1.0. Visibility..........5. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of rain showers overnight. CWR.................22 percent. Chance of lightning.30 percent. Min temperature.....52. Max humidity........90 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the evening. Mixing height.......700 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South around 9 mph. Rainfall amount.....0.08 inches. Ceiling (KFT).......1.0. Visibility..........5. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers likely in the morning, then chance of rain showers in the afternoon. CWR.................9 percent. Chance of lightning.10 percent. Max temperature.....56-70. Min humidity........71 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph. Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest around 8 mph. Rainfall amount.....0.02 inches. Ceiling (KFT).......1.0 increasing to 4.0. Visibility..........5 increasing to 10. $$ Forecaster...Felton Requested by...Wildland Firefighter Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2619414.11/SEW .DELDT 08/22/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL kbonham@blm.gov