492 FNUS76 KMFR 151909 FWSMFR Spot Forecast for Hammond Ranch Burn...Shasta Valley RCD National Weather Service MEDFORD OR 1209 PM PDT Thu Oct 15 2026 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 PDT on October 16. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION...Dry, warm weather continues Friday. This is likely the driest humidity (perhaps down to single digits in some areas during mid afternoon) of the next several days. High probability (>90% chance) that it's lower than 20%. Winds should not be that strong, but could gust to 15 mph (at 20 ft). Expect moderate overnight RH recoveries. Weak dry front pushes by to the north on Saturday, so should be at least some cooling and higher humidity (but still could be below 20%). Dry weather continues Sunday. Next system with a chance of rain, cooler temps and higher RH arrives Monday/Monday night. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny. Chance of lightning.0 percent. Max temperature.....79-83. Min humidity........9-14 percent. Eye level winds.....SE 1-4 mph becoming variable 0-2 mph by 1100, then shifting back to E 1-4 mph with gusts to 6 mph in the afternoon. Wind (20 ft)........SE 4-7 mph becoming N 1-4 mph by 1100, shifting back to E 4-9 mph with gusts to 15 mph in the afternoon. Mixing height.......Rising to 4500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....ESE becoming S 5-10 mph. CWR.................0 percent. .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Chance of lightning.0 percent. Min temperature.....42-46. Max humidity........50-60 percent. Eye level winds.....ESE becoming SE 1-3 mph. Wind (20 ft)........ESE 3-6 mph with gusts to 12 mph in the evening, then SE 4-7. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....S 5-10 mph, easing to 5 mph. CWR.................0 percent. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny. Chance of lightning.0 percent. Max temperature.....74-78. Min humidity........15-20 percent. Eye level winds.....SE 1-4 mph becoming variable 0-2 mph by 1100, then shifting back to E 1-4 mph with gusts to 6 mph in the afternoon. Wind (20 ft)........SE 4-7 mph becoming N 1-4 mph by 1100, shifting back to E 4-9 mph with gusts to 15 mph in the afternoon. Mixing height.......Rising to 6000 ft AGL. Transport winds.....SW 5-10 mph. CWR.................0 percent. $$ Forecaster...SPILDE/SPINETTI Requested by...Sam Commarto Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2623852.0/MFR .DELDT 10/15/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL sam@crosscontourfire.com  716 FNUS71 KOKX 151939 FWSOKX Spot Forecast for Sleepy Hollow Hayride/Block Party...Sleepy Hollow Police Department National Weather Service New York NY 339 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1300 EDT on October 16. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... A strong frontal system brings showers tonight into Friday morning and a second round of showers/isolated thunderstorms primarily during Friday evening. Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible with a squall line that is forecast to move through. Start time of the squall line looks to be between 5 pm and 7 pm. The Storm Prediction Center has placed the area in a Slight risk (2 out of 5) for severe storms. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of showers early in the afternoon. Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Temperature.........68 at forecast start...Max 73. Surface winds (mph).Southwest winds 8 to 9 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph late in the afternoon. TIME (EDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........91 90 71 51 92 Weather cov.....CHC DEF Weather type....RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH Temp............68 69 71 73 72 Surface wnd dir.SW SW SW SW SW Surface wnd spd.9 9 9 9 8 Surface wnd gst.20 20 20 20 18 .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of rain showers overnight. Temperature.........Min 46. Surface winds (mph).Southwest winds around 9 mph with gusts to around 20 mph shifting to the northwest 11 to 13 mph with gusts to around 23 mph after 3 am. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........92 92 87 87 92 90 55 55 69 64 77 92 Weather cov.....DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........SCH SCH Temp............71 69 66 65 63 62 59 57 56 55 53 50 Surface wnd dir.SW W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW Surface wnd spd.9 9 9 8 8 8 9 10 10 11 11 13 Surface wnd gst.20 21 21 18 17 16 17 18 18 21 22 23 .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of rain showers early in the morning. Temperature.........Max 52. Surface winds (mph).North winds 11 to 13 mph with gusts to around 24 mph. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........90 89 88 90 79 67 56 44 33 26 19 12 Weather cov.....CHC CHC Weather type....RW RW Tstm cov........ Temp............48 47 46 47 48 49 50 50 50 50 49 48 Surface wnd dir.N N N N N N N N N N N N Surface wnd spd.13 13 11 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 11 Surface wnd gst.23 23 22 24 24 24 24 24 24 23 23 22 $$ Forecaster...JP Requested by...Anthony Bueti Jr. Type of request...OTHER .TAG 2623711.0/OKX .DELDT 10/15/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL abueti@sleepyhollowny.gov  170 FNUS76 KOTX 151947 FWSOTX Spot Forecast for Keller Ridge Block 182...WA-CAC National Weather Service Spokane WA 1247 PM PDT Thu Oct 15 2026 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1300 PDT on October 15. .DISCUSSION... Mild temperatures the next couple days, with high pressure. Skies will be mostly sunny this afternoon, then higher clouds increase tonight into Friday. Strong inversions develop around sunset and inversions lift near 1000-1100 hours. A dry cold front is forecast to push in Saturday between late morning to early afternoon, with slightly stronger winds, better mixing and the start of a slow cooling trend. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. *************************************************************** Forecasts for 20 foot wind speeds (valleys and ridge tops) are 10 minute averages reflecting RAWS wind. ***Ventilation Index is derived from transport wind multiplied by the mixing height divided by 100. Categories: low (< 200), moderate (200-500), high (500-800), and very high (> 800). *************************************************************** .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny. CWR.................0 percent. Chance of lightning.0 percent. Max temperature.....Around 62. Min humidity........34-38 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 4 to 7 mph. Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast around 6 mph. Ventilation Index...Low (177). .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. CWR.................0 percent. Chance of lightning.0 percent. Min temperature.....Around 40. Max humidity........77 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 4 to 6 mph. Mixing height.......Dropping to near surface after 1900. Transport winds.....East 7 to 9 mph. Ventilation Index...Low (40). .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy CWR.................0 percent. Chance of lightning.0 percent. Max temperature.....Around 62. Min humidity........31 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph shifting to the southeast 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon with gusts to 13 mph Mixing height.......Near the surface in the morning, with the inversion lifting after 1000-1000, rising to 2500 ft AGL in the afternoon. Transport winds.....East around 7 mph shifting to the south around 9 mph in the afternoon. Ventilation Index...Moderate (238). $$ Forecaster...MSC Requested by...Ron Salas Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2623856.0/OTX .DELDT 10/15/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL twila.leith-monaghan.mtf@colvilletribes.com  197 FNUS74 KSHV 151948 FWSSHV Spot Forecast for Friendship Trail...USFS National Weather Service Shreveport LA 248 PM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 CDT on October 16. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at (318) 631-3669 ext. 241, if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM FRIDAY TO 1 AM CDT SATURDAY... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM FRIDAY TO 1 AM CDT SATURDAY... .DISCUSSION... A powerful dry cold front will arrive in area fire districts overnight into the day Friday, with unseasonably cooler temperatures to follow. The airmass behind the front will be extremely dry, plunging relative humidity values into the 25 to 35 percent range by Friday afternoon. Winds will become north-northwesterly, reaching and maintaining sustained speeds of 10 to 20 mph through the day, with gusts of up to 30 mph possible. The passage of this front is not expected to produce any significant wetting rainfall to improve our already critically dry fuels. On top of the prolonged and worsening drought, these conditions merit an areawide Red Flag Warning, in effect through Friday night. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming partly sunny (60-70 percent). CWR.................0 percent. Temperature.........70 at forecast start...Max 77. RH..................97 percent at forecast start...Min 35 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Winds northwest at 7 mph at forecast start...otherwise Light winds becoming north 13 to 18 mph. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL at forecast start...otherwise 3900 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 16 mph shifting to the north 20 to 23 mph in the late morning and afternoon. LVORI...............4. Dispersion index....8 increasing to 19 early in the morning, then increasing to 31 late in the morning increasing to 45 late in the morning increasing to 57 decreasing to 50 late in the afternoon. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........41 51 55 51 72 69 71 73 72 67 60 56 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............70 70 68 67 68 69 70 71 72 75 74 73 RH..............97 90 97 100 93 84 73 66 57 45 43 40 20 FT wind dir..NW N N N N N N N N N N N 20 FT wind mph..3 13 13 13 15 15 15 17 17 17 18 18 20 FT wind gust.12 17 22 23 24 23 24 24 25 25 25 26 Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.6 1.5 2.0 2.3 2.7 2.9 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.6 3.9 Transp wind dir.NW N N N N N N N N N N N Transp wind spd.9 13 16 20 20 22 22 23 22 22 22 23 Dispersion idx..5 10 19 31 41 48 53 57 60 60 58 50 LVORI...........6 5 5 4 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent). CWR.................0 percent. Temperature.........Min 52. RH..................Max 69 percent. Wind (20 ft)........North winds 16 to 18 mph. Mixing height.......900 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North 18 to 23 mph. LVORI...............2. Dispersion index....39 decreasing to 22. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........47 29 18 14 16 19 31 40 19 13 23 7 Weather cov..... Weather type....Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............73 70 66 65 65 63 63 61 60 59 57 55 RH..............35 38 42 43 43 44 44 50 51 51 55 59 20 FT wind dir..N N N N N N N N N N N N 20 FT wind mph..18 17 17 17 17 17 17 16 16 16 16 16 20 FT wind gust.28 28 29 29 29 29 30 29 30 30 29 29 Mix hgt (kft)...3.7 2.6 1.4 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.2 0.9 1.0 1.5 1.6 Transp wind dir.N N N N N N N NE NE NE NE NE Transp wind spd.23 22 21 21 21 21 20 20 18 20 20 18 Dispersion idx..39 29 24 20 19 17 17 18 18 19 22 26 LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). CWR.................0 percent. Temperature.........Max 70. RH..................Min 42 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 12 to 16 mph. Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northeast 13 to 21 mph. LVORI...............1. Dispersion index....35 increasing to 49 early in the morning, then decreasing to 43 late in the afternoon decreasing to 31 late in the afternoon. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........7 15 0 0 0 1 4 5 4 3 3 3 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............54 54 52 54 55 58 60 63 65 67 69 68 RH..............61 61 69 66 66 60 58 52 48 45 42 44 20 FT wind dir..N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N N 20 FT wind mph..16 15 15 15 14 14 14 13 13 13 12 12 20 FT wind gust.28 26 24 25 23 22 21 20 20 20 20 17 Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 1.8 2.8 3.3 3.4 3.7 4.0 4.3 4.8 5.1 5.1 4.1 Transp wind dir.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE Transp wind spd.18 21 20 20 21 20 18 16 15 15 14 13 Dispersion idx..32 38 44 50 53 52 49 46 46 46 43 31 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 $$ Forecaster...PENDLETON Requested by...D. Morris Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2623851.0/SHV .DELDT 10/15/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL dustin.morris@usda.gov