559 FLUS41 KLWX 091003 HWOLWX Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 603 AM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026 ANZ530>543-DCZ001-MDZ008-011-013-014-016>018-504-506-508- VAZ053>057-527-101015- Chesapeake Bay north of Pooles Island MD- Chesapeake Bay from Pooles Island to Sandy Point MD- Chesapeake Bay from Sandy Point to North Beach MD- Chesapeake Bay from North Beach to Drum Point MD- Chesapeake Bay from Drum Point MD to Smith Point VA- Tidal Potomac from Key Bridge to Indian Head MD- Tidal Potomac from Indian Head to Cobb Island MD- Tidal Potomac from Cobb Island MD to Smith Point VA- Patapsco River including Baltimore Harbor- Chester River to Queenstown MD-Eastern Bay- Choptank River to Cambridge MD and the Little Choptank River- Patuxent River to Broomes Island MD- Tangier Sound and the inland waters surrounding Bloodsworth Island-District of Columbia-Cecil-Southern Baltimore- Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles-St. Marys-Calvert- Central and Southeast Montgomery-Central and Southeast Howard- Southeast Harford-Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria- Stafford-Spotsylvania-King George- Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- 603 AM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Maryland portion of the Chesapeake Bay, Tidal Potomac River, and I-95 corridor through central Maryland, northern Virginia, and District of Columbia. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Flood Watches have been issued for the threat of flash flooding from 2 PM until 11 PM. This covers the I-95 corridor across Baltimore and Washington, D.C., down to Prince William County. Scattered severe thunderstorms capable of producing damaging winds are possible this afternoon into the early evening. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed today for the severe weather and flash flooding threats. $$ MDZ003>006-503-505-507-VAZ025>031-036>040-050-051-501-502-505>508- 526-WVZ050>053-055-101015- Washington-Frederick-Carroll-Northern Baltimore- Northwest Montgomery-Northwest Howard-Northwest Harford-Augusta- Rockingham-Shenandoah-Page-Warren-Clarke-Nelson-Albemarle-Greene- Madison-Rappahannock-Orange-Culpeper-Northern Fauquier- Southern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun- Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-Central Virginia Blue Ridge- Northwest Prince William-Hampshire-Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson- Hardy- 603 AM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern West Virginia, northern and central Virginia, and central and western Maryland. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Flood Watches have been issued for the threat of flash flooding from 2 PM until 11 PM. This includes north-central to northeastern Maryland down into portions of northern Virginia. A few severe thunderstorms capable of producing damaging winds are possible this afternoon into the early evening, especially east of the Blue Ridge Mountains. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed today for the severe weather and flash flooding threats. $$ MDZ501-502-509-510-VAZ503-504-WVZ501>506-101015- Extreme Western Allegany-Central and Eastern Allegany- Western Garrett-Eastern Garrett-Western Highland-Eastern Highland- Western Grant-Eastern Grant-Western Mineral-Eastern Mineral- Western Pendleton-Eastern Pendleton- 603 AM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Allegheny Front counties in western Maryland, eastern West Virginia, and Highland County Virginia. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Scattered instances of flash flooding are possible today, particularly across areas which have seen recent heavy rainfall. A severe thunderstorm or two are possible this afternoon which would be capable of producing damaging winds. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed today for the flash flood threat. $$  597 FLUS43 KMKX 091005 HWOMKX Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 505 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026 WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-101015- Marquette-Green Lake-Fond du Lac-Sheboygan-Sauk-Columbia-Dodge- Washington-Ozaukee-Iowa-Dane-Jefferson-Waukesha-Milwaukee- Lafayette-Green-Rock-Walworth-Racine-Kenosha- 505 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central Wisconsin, south central Wisconsin and southeast Wisconsin. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Scattered showers and some thunderstorms are expected at times into this evening. Gusty winds, small hail and locally heavy rainfall are possible in any stronger storms. Patchy dense fog may occur later tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday Patchy dense fog may occur into Friday morning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed. $$ LMZ643>646-101015- Sheboygan to Port Washington WI- Port Washington to North Point Light WI- North Point Light to Wind Point WI- Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL- 505 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the nearshore waters from Sheboygan Wisconsin to Winthrop Harbor Illinois. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Scattered showers and some thunderstorms are expected at times into this evening. Gusty winds and small hail are possible in any stronger storms. Patchy dense fog may occur later tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday Patchy dense fog may occur into Friday morning. $$ LMZ080-261-362-364-366-563-565-567-669-671-673-675-777-779-868- 870-872-874-876-878-101015- Lake Michigan Michigan City IN to St. Joseph MI 5 NM offshore to mid-line of lake.- Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South Fox Island 5NM offshore- Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to mid lake- Lake Michigan from Point Betsie to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM offshore to mid lake- Lake Michigan from Sturgeon Bay to Two Rivers WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Two Rivers to Sheboygan WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Sheboygan to Port Washington WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Port Washington to North Point Light WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from North Point Light to Wind Point WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Winthrop Harbor to Wilmette Harbor IL 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Wilmette Harbor to Michigan City in 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Pentwater to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Whitehall to Pentwater MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Grand Haven to Whitehall MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Holland to Grand Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from South Haven to Holland MI 5NM offshore to Mid lake- Lake Michigan from St Joseph to South Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- 505 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the open waters of Lake Michigan. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Patchy dense fog may occur today into tonight. Scattered showers and some thunderstorms are expected at times into this evening, mainly over southern and central portions of the lake. Gusty winds and small hail are possible in any stronger storms. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday Patchy dense fog may occur Friday morning. $$ Wood www.weather.gov/mkxMKX-926368  599 FLUS43 KMKX 091005 HWOMKX Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 505 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026 WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-101015- Marquette-Green Lake-Fond du Lac-Sheboygan-Sauk-Columbia-Dodge- Washington-Ozaukee-Iowa-Dane-Jefferson-Waukesha-Milwaukee- Lafayette-Green-Rock-Walworth-Racine-Kenosha- 505 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central Wisconsin, south central Wisconsin and southeast Wisconsin. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Scattered showers and some thunderstorms are expected at times into this evening. Gusty winds, small hail and locally heavy rainfall are possible in any stronger storms. Patchy dense fog may occur later tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday Patchy dense fog may occur into Friday morning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed. $$ LMZ643>646-101015- Sheboygan to Port Washington WI- Port Washington to North Point Light WI- North Point Light to Wind Point WI- Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL- 505 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the nearshore waters from Sheboygan Wisconsin to Winthrop Harbor Illinois. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Scattered showers and some thunderstorms are expected at times into this evening. Gusty winds and small hail are possible in any stronger storms. Patchy dense fog may occur later tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday Patchy dense fog may occur into Friday morning. $$ LMZ080-261-362-364-366-563-565-567-669-671-673-675-777-779-868- 870-872-874-876-878-101015- Lake Michigan Michigan City IN to St. Joseph MI 5 NM offshore to mid-line of lake.- Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South Fox Island 5NM offshore- Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to mid lake- Lake Michigan from Point Betsie to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM offshore to mid lake- Lake Michigan from Sturgeon Bay to Two Rivers WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Two Rivers to Sheboygan WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Sheboygan to Port Washington WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Port Washington to North Point Light WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from North Point Light to Wind Point WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Winthrop Harbor to Wilmette Harbor IL 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Wilmette Harbor to Michigan City in 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Pentwater to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Whitehall to Pentwater MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Grand Haven to Whitehall MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Holland to Grand Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from South Haven to Holland MI 5NM offshore to Mid lake- Lake Michigan from St Joseph to South Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- 505 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the open waters of Lake Michigan. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Patchy dense fog may occur today into tonight. Scattered showers and some thunderstorms are expected at times into this evening, mainly over southern and central portions of the lake. Gusty winds and small hail are possible in any stronger storms. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday Patchy dense fog may occur Friday morning. $$ Wood www.weather.gov/mkx  666 FLUS43 KEAX 091006 HWOEAX Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO 0505 AM CDT Thu Jul 09 2026 KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-101005- Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS- Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler- Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton- Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton- Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis- Cooper-Bates-Henry- 0505 AM CDT Thu Jul 09 2026 This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. Please go to https://weather.gov/media/eax/DssPacket.pdf for more information on potential weather hazards. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .KEY MESSAGES... - Thunderstorms Expected Overnight; Heavy Rainfall Possible - Conditional Severe Threat Thursday Afternoon; Activity May Push Further Eastward - Near Triple Digit Heat Index Values Interstate 70 and South Thursday $$  781 FLUS43 KLOT 091009 HWOLOT Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville IL 509 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026 ILZ003>006-008-010>013-019>021-023-032-033-039-103>108-INZ001-002- 010-011-019-101015- Winnebago-Boone-McHenry-Lake IL-Ogle-Lee-De Kalb-Kane-DuPage- La Salle-Kendall-Grundy-Kankakee-Livingston-Iroquois-Ford- Northern Cook-Central Cook-Southern Cook-Northern Will- Southern Will-Eastern Will-Lake IN-Porter-Newton-Jasper-Benton- 509 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026 /609 AM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central Illinois...northeast Illinois and northwest Indiana. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Weather hazards expected... Elevated Flooding Risk. Limited Thunderstorm Risk...with an associated: Level 1 of 5 Damaging Wind Risk...up to 60 mph. Limited Fog Risk tonight. DISCUSSION... Scattered thunderstorms are expected at times late this morning through tonight. Any storms that develop will be capable of heavy rainfall which may lead to localized flooding. The strongest storms will be capable of gusty to locally damaging wind gusts, greatest threat south of a Pontiac to Rensselaer line. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Friday... Limited Thunderstorm Risk south of I-80. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters may be needed this afternoon and evening. GENERAL STORM MOTION OF THE DAY: Moving toward the east around 20 mph. $$ LMZ740>745-101015- Winthrop Harbor to Wilmette Harbor IL- Wilmette Harbor to Northerly Island IL- Northerly Island to Calumet Harbor IL- Calumet Harbor IL to Gary IN-Gary to Burns Harbor IN- Burns Harbor to Michigan City IN- 509 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Illinois nearshore waters of Lake Michigan and the Indiana nearshore waters of Lake Michigan. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Weather hazards expected... Limited Thunderstorm Risk. Limited Fog Risk tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. $$ Petr Visit us at www.weather.gov/chicago  312 FLUS43 KEAX 091013 HWOEAX Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO 513 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026 KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-101015- Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS- Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler- Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton- Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton- Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis- Cooper-Bates-Henry- 513 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026 This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Slight to Marginal risk for severe weather this afternoon with the main hazards of damaging winds 60-70 mph and heavy rainfall. Slight risk for excessive rainfall for today as well. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday Marginal risk for severe weather on Friday mainly south of I-70. Main risks are wind gusts up to 60 mph and up to quarter sized hail. Intermittent rain chances linger through the weekend. More detailed information can be accessed at... https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo $$  466 FLUS44 KTSA 091015 HWOTSA Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Tulsa OK 515 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026 ARZ001-002-010-011-119-120-129-219-220-229-OKZ049-053-055>071- 073>075-154-172-176-254-272-276-354-376-101015- Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Northern Crawford- Northern Franklin-North and Central Sebastian-Southern Crawford- Central and Southern Franklin-Southern Sebastian-Pushmataha- Choctaw-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers- Mayes-Delaware-Creek-Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-Cherokee-Adair- Muskogee-McIntosh-Pittsburg-Haskell-Latimer-Western Osage- Northern Sequoyah-Northern Le Flore-Northeast Osage- Central and Southern Sequoyah-Central Le Flore-Southeast Osage- Southern Le Flore- 515 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026 This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as much of Eastern Oklahoma. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. RISK...Limited. AREA...Northeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas. ONSET...This Afternoon. DANGEROUS HEAT. RISK...Significant. AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas. ONSET...Early Afternoon. DISCUSSION... Hot and humid conditions are expected across eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas today. Afternoon heat index values in the 100 to 110 degree range are forecast, with the higher values across northeast Oklahoma into west central Arkansas. A Heat Advisory is in effect from Noon to 8 PM for most of eastern Oklahoma and also west central Arkansas. Take precautions while outdoors today. Also today, low thunderstorm chances are forecast through tonight for parts of northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. Ongoing showers and a few storms early morning look to spread over northeast Oklahoma, and potentially into northwest Arkansas through the morning hours. A slight chance of storms continues this afternoon for any storm redevelopment, with additional low storm chances tonight from a weakening storm complex approaching from the northwest. Increasing instability combined with hot and humid conditions will create limited severe potentials this afternoon and evening. Locally damaging winds are the primary severe threat with hail being a secondary threat. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Dangerous Heat Potential. SUNDAY AND MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential. TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...No Hazards. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... Low storm chances remain across parts of northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas during the day Friday. Chances then increase Friday night through the weekend over eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas from a disturbance moving over the central Plains. Limited severe potentials along with a heavy rain threat exist Friday into the weekend. Majority of the shower and storm chances begin to move out of the region early next week. However, a slight chance of storms remains into the middle part next week ahead of a ridge of high pressure building over western and central United States. Hot and humid conditions also continue Friday and Saturday with heat index values of upper 90s to around 108 degrees. More closer to seasonal averages temperatures are forecast Sunday into early next week from a weak front moving through, though heat index values could still approach or exceed 100 degrees at times for parts of the region. weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information. $$