979 FXUS63 KARX 161659 AFDARX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service La Crosse WI 1159 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Freeze Warning Late Tonight and early Saturday Morning. - Mainly dry through much of next week with slowly rising temperatures. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1158 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026 Tonight High pressure, currently located over the Northern and Central Plains, will build quickly east across the area tonight. As this occurs, the surface pressure gradient will slacken. The combination of light winds and clear skies will result is strong radiative cooling. As typical with the NBM, it looked too warm in central Wisconsin so blended in some MOS. Low temperatures will range the mid-20s to lower 30s. There may be even a few locations in the lower 20s in central Wisconsin. Weekend The surface high pressure area will shift east into the Great Lakes and into the Mid-Atlantic this weekend. As this occurs, the winds will become southerly and increase into the 10 to 20 mph. High temperatures will warm into the mid- and upper 50s on Saturday and into the lower and mid-60s on Sunday. Monday through Friday A 500 mb ridge will build across the region early in the week and it will keep the area dry and unseasonably warm through the remainder of the week. High temperatures will be mainly in the 60s through Wednesday and around 70s Thursday and Friday. Low temperatures in the 30s and 40s through Wednesday and 40s and 50s Thursday and Friday. && .AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/... Issued at 551 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026 MVFR to IFR cigs will persist over the morning as showers continue across the region through mid-morning. MVFR to IFR vsbys will be possible with any showers as well. Eventually showers will begin to exit to the southeast during the late morning allowing for cigs to slowly improve over the late morning and into the afternoon, reaching VFR before sunset. Winds will continue to remain strong through afternoon at around 15-20 kts with gusts up to 35 kts, primarily west of the Mississippi River. Winds will quickly diminish during the late afternoon and evening hours, trending light and variable overnight with clear skies. && .ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WI...Freeze Warning from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Saturday for WIZ017-029- 032>034-041>044-053>055-061. MN...Freeze Warning from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Saturday for MNZ079- 086>088-094>096. IA...Freeze Warning from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Saturday for IAZ008>011- 018-019-029-030. && $$ DISCUSSION...Boyne AVIATION...Naylor  689 FXUS64 KTSA 161625 AFDTSA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tulsa OK 1125 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1125 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026 - Gusty north winds continue Friday. A Wind Advisory is in effect for the higher terrain areas of NW AR and far SE OK. - Elevated fire weather concerns are forecast across far SE OK this afternoon due to the combination of low humidity, gusty winds and lack of rainfall in this area. - Temperatures drop enough both Friday and Saturday nights to support frost development across portions of NE OK and NW AR. && .SHORT TERM... (Through tonight) Issued at 1125 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026 Breezy and much cooler conditions are ongoing in the wake of last night/s cold frontal passage. A few northerly wind gusts around 40 mph have been observed late this morning in far southeast Oklahoma, with gusts in the 30 to 40 mph range across much of the rest of eastern Oklahoma. The very dry low levels will combine with the strong and gusty winds to lead to elevated fire weather concerns in far southeast Oklahoma where very little, if any, rainfall occurred in the last few days. A Fire Danger Statement was issued by an earlier shift through early evening and remains valid. Gust magnitude remains expected to decrease, albeit slowly, through the afternoon and the existing Wind Advisory will be allowed to expire on time at 1 pm. Wraparound cloudiness is increasing late this morning, particularly in areas north of I-40, as the main upper level trough swings through the region. This cloudiness should stick around through the afternoon and possibly into part of the evening and overnight in parts of northwest Arkansas. The main issue tonight is the potential for areas of frost, especially in locations north and west of I-44 in northeast Oklahoma. Wind speeds drop substantially overnight with the approach of surface high pressure, allowing temperatures to drop into the mid 30s. Highest confidence in frost development is in parts of Osage, Pawnee and Washington counties, and a Frost Advisory will be issued for these areas for Saturday morning. Potential for more patchy frost will extend farther east along the Kansas border, but confidence is not high enough in the areal extent to issue an advisory that far east. && .LONG TERM... (Tomorrow through Friday) Issued at 1125 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026 A low impact forecast will exist for much of the extended forecast. Saturday is shaping up to be absolutely fantastic for those who favor light winds, seasonably cool temperatures, low humidity and plenty of sun. Despite continued low afternoon humidities, the lighter winds will lead to improved fire weather conditions for southeast Oklahoma, and an additional Fire Danger Statement appears unnecessary. Additional frost development should occur Saturday night into Sunday morning across northern parts of the forecast area, with overnight lows being close to those expected tonight. Another Frost Advisory may be warranted. Southerly winds make a return to the area on Sunday, which will lead to warmer afternoon temperatures. Upper level ridging builds into the Central United States by early next week and persists through much of the upcoming week. This will keep warmer temperatures across the region, with near to above normal highs returning as early as Monday and certainly by Tuesday. The next chance of rain looks to accompany another strong storm system that makes its way eastward toward the area late in the week and into the next weekend. Low rain chances will return ahead of this feature possibly as early as Thursday-Friday, but with a trend toward a more delayed arrival, more likely over the next weekend. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 628 AM CDT FriOct 16 2026 VFR conditions will prevail through the forecast period, although ceilings around 4k feet will be common at most sites from late morning until around sunset. North winds will gust near 30 knots at times today before gradually diminishing this evening. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TUL 59 39 60 39 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 65 44 68 42 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 62 42 64 39 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 58 35 60 32 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 59 37 64 36 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 58 41 62 39 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 60 40 63 39 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 57 38 60 37 / 0 0 0 0 F10 60 40 61 37 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 64 44 67 42 / 0 0 0 0 && .TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...Wind Advisory until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for OKZ049-053-376. Frost Advisory from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Saturday for OKZ055-059-154- 254-354. AR...Wind Advisory until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for ARZ011-119-120. && $$ SHORT TERM...22 LONG TERM....22 AVIATION...05  759 FXUS65 KGJT 161653 AFDGJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Junction CO 1053 AM MDT Fri Oct 16 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Dry and unseasonably cool conditions remain in place through the weekend. - A Freeze Warning is in effect tonight for valley locations where sub-freezing temperatures are expected. - The potential for unsettled weather will increase throughout the week ahead. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1036 AM MDT Fri Oct 16 2026 COOL AND DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND: With high pressure driving the forecast, sunny days, clear nights, and dry conditons continue through the weekend. A Freeze Warning remains in effect tonight for parts of northwest Colorado and CO Zone 23 in southwest Colorado with another night of sub-freezing temperatures expected. Most locations within the Freeze Warning also saw a hard freeze last night. Otherwise, seasonable to seasonably cool daytime temperatures highlight the forecast through the weekend. UNSETTLED WEATHER RETURNS NEXT WEEK: The next chance for impactful weather comes next week as a low pressure system traverses the West. Ahead of this system, southwesterly flow will begin to direct moisture towards the region as early as Monday. As a result, isolated convection is possible over the southern Mountains early in the week. By mid- week, an uptick in synoptic forcing could increase the coverage of showers and storms across the region. It's too early to pin down the potential hazards associated with this system, but expect increasingly unsettled weather as the week progresses. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/... Issued at 1046 AM MDT Fri Oct 16 2026 Clear skies and light winds will keep VFR conditions solidly in place over the next 24 hours. && .GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CO...Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 9 AM MDT Saturday for COZ001-002-005-008-023. UT...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...KAA AVIATION...TGJT  323 FXUS66 KSEW 161613 AFDSEW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 913 AM PDT Fri Oct 16 2026 .SYNOPSIS...A ridge will bring dry and warm conditions today. Wetter and cooler weather arrives on Saturday. Sunday remains cool with more wet weather headed our way on Monday. Another front may reach us midweek. && .SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...Patchy, shallow, fog has formed once again this morning, especially in areas where the wind is calm. The fog will burn off later this morning. The previous discussion can be found below along with updates to the aviation and marine sections: High pressure and offshore flow will lead to one more warm and dry day across western WA. East winds have peaked overnight with 40-50 MPH gusts in the Cascade ridges and 20-30 MPH in the gaps. Winds will continue to ease today. Temperatures will track warmer than average with afternoon highs in the lower to mid 70s. Expect 60s near the water. Friday night/Saturday will be cooler and wetter as the ridge shifts east and a front and trough move in from the west. The bulk of the rain will fall tonight into Saturday morning and mainly affect the coast and mountains. Showers with a convergence zone are expected Saturday afternoon near the King/Snohomish line. A few sunbreaks are expected outside the convergence zone with afternoon highs in the 50s to lower 60s. We're in between systems on Sunday for cool but dry weather. Sunday morning lows will be in the 30s and 40s with temps near freezing around the south sound. Highs will be mostly in the 50s. 33 && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...An upper level low will spin offshore on Monday, with showers mainly clipping the coast. This system will weaken as it shifts farther south on Tuesday, with light/dry offshore flow across western WA. A weak front dissipates as it reaches the region Wednesday night and Thursday for a chance of light rain. 33 && .AVIATION... A bank of shallow surface fog has arrived into the central Puget Sound area, impacting KSEA and at times, KBFI this morning. Areas of the southwest interior toward Olympia are also experiencing fog. Have opted to extend the fog duration for these areas until 17Z. Once the fog lifts, expect VFR cigs and visbys to return for the rest of the day. The next weak frontal system will arrive late tonight into Saturday for MVFR cigs. Light rain is expected through tomorrow morning, clearing up in the afternoon. KSEA...Fog has become entrenched in the south end of the terminal as part of a shallow bank hugging Puget Sound. The fog is shallow, but has been visibility reducing in areas directly under it. Cigs are down to around 300 ft. This will linger until 17Z before beginning to scatter out. Once it does, expect VFR cigs throughout the rest of the afternoon and light southwesterly surface flow. Light rain has been introduced to the terminal toward the end of the TAF period as the next weak frontal system moves through the area. 21 && .MARINE... High pressure over the waters will weaken today. A frontal system will move through late tonight into Saturday morning. High pressure building over the waters Saturday afternoon will remain through Sunday. Another system will move by west of the coastal waters Monday. High pressure will rebuild over the area Tuesday. Small craft advisory westerlies in the Central and Eastern Strait of Juan de Fuca Saturday. Seas 5 to 7 feet today building to 7 to 9 feet Saturday and Sunday. Seas subsiding back down to 4 to 6 feet by Tuesday. Felton/21 && .SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WA...None. PZ...Small Craft Advisory from 6 AM to 6 PM PDT Saturday for Central U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-East Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.&& $$  909 FXUS63 KMPX 161657 AFDMPX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 1157 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Northwest winds with gusts to 45 mph possible across western and southern MN this morning. - Subfreezing temperatures for southern MN and western WI tonight. - Elevated fire weather concerns this weekend, then temperatures turn back to above normal next week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 317 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026 Scattered showers are ongoing early this morning as a trough axis swings through. The showers are expected to end from northwest to southeast during the next few hours as the axis propagates away from the region. Clouds will clear Surface high pressure over the Rockies and northern Plains will continue to build south today. Gusty northwest winds have developed across western MN and will continue to spread southeast this morning. Forecast soundings indicate the potential for some gusts to reach 45 mph, but low level lapse rates aren't dry adiabatic due to the lack of strong cold air advection. Therefore, such gusts will be more sporadic with 35-40 mph gusts more common. Winds will gradually subside this afternoon and become light and variable this evening as high pressure builds to the central Plains. With the ridge axis overhead, clear skies, and light winds in place this evening, temperatures should drop quickly into the 30s. Frost formation is likely by late evening area wide. During the overnight hours, the high will shift to the southern Plains and return flow will increase, particularly across central and western MN. This should halt additional frost formation, and may keep temperatures from reaching freezing in those areas. Therefore, kept the Freeze Watch going across portions of central and western MN where winds should increase to around 10 kts late tonight. Farther south and east, winds should remain decoupled for much of the night and the likelihood of subfreezing temperatures is higher. Upgraded southern MN and western WI to a Freeze Warning. The urban heat island of the Twin Cities metro should keep temperatures above 32, but light winds and high RH with temps in the mid 30s should allow frost. Upgraded to a Frost Advisory there. With southwest winds increasing late tonight, temperatures are expected to make a rebound as early as tomorrow. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s are expected. Breezy conditions with wind gusts of 25 to 30 mph and RH in the 30s will lead to elevated fire weather conditions, especially in areas that largely missed the soaking rain Thursday. A near repeat for Sunday, although temperatures will warm to the mid to upper 60s. Next week will feature a ridge across much of the CONUS with troughs on the east and west coasts. Very quiet and mild weather will result and temperatures should reach the low to mid 70s each day from Tuesday onward, or 15 to 20 degrees above normal. A weak short wave passing through Wednesday will bring a low chance for rain, with additional chances coming next weekend as the western long wave trough finally begins to approach. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/... Issued at 1144 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026 Visible satellite trends over the last 2 hours show a rapid reduction in clouds, especially across central and northern Minnesota. This clearing will spread south this afternoon, resulting in widespread clear skies and VFR conditions for the rest of the period. Strong northerly winds continue to start the period, though will quickly drop this afternoon and become light and variable by this evening for most locations. Winds will shift out of the southwest by tomorrow morning, becoming gusty again tomorrow afternoon. KMSP...Clouds may clear earlier than 21z. Northwest winds gust to 30 kts for the first hour of the TAF, then gusts are expected to weaken and become less frequent through the afternoon. Winds become light and variable by 02-03z, and then increase out of the southwest after sunrise tomorrow. /OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ SUN...VFR. Wind SW 15G25kts. MON...VFR. Wind VRB 5kts. TUE...VFR. Wind SE 10G20kts. && .MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MN...Freeze Watch from late tonight through Saturday morning for Benton-Chippewa-Douglas-Kandiyohi-Lac Qui Parle-Meeker- Morrison-Pope-Sherburne-Stearns-Stevens-Swift-Todd-Wright- Yellow Medicine. Freeze Warning from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Saturday for Blue Earth- Brown-Carver-Chisago-Dakota-Faribault-Freeborn-Goodhue- Isanti-Kanabec-Le Sueur-Martin-McLeod-Mille Lacs-Nicollet- Redwood-Renville-Rice-Scott-Sibley-Steele-Waseca-Watonwan. Frost Advisory from 1 AM to 8 AM CDT Saturday for Anoka- Hennepin-Ramsey-Washington. WI...Freeze Warning from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Saturday for Barron- Chippewa-Dunn-Eau Claire-Pepin-Pierce-Polk-Rusk-St. Croix. && $$ DISCUSSION...Borghoff AVIATION...BED  873 FXUS66 KLOX 161656 AFDLOX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 956 AM PDT Fri Oct 16 2026 ***UPDATED AVIATION AND MARINE SECTIONS*** .SYNOPSIS...15/1247 PM. A moderate to strong Santa Ana Wind will bring widespread strong winds and critical fire weather conditions to much of Southwest California through Saturday. Additionally, very warm temperatures bring a high risk of heat illness to all coastal areas. A significant cool down is expected Sunday with a chance of widespread rain by Tuesday or Wednesday. && .SHORT TERM (TDY-SUN)...16/738 AM. ***UPDATE*** Latest satellite and surface observations indicate clear skies across the area this morning. Currently, northeast winds, gusting between 45 and 70 MPH, are observed across Ventura and LA counties. Forecast-wise for the immediate short term, everything is on track. Current LAX-DAG gradient is -7.4 mb LAX-BFL is -3.8 mb and will likely strengthen a bit this morning. So, moderate to strong Santa Ana winds will continue across Ventura/LA counties with gusts of 80+ MPH at the windiest spots in the mountains (Magic Mountain Truck Trail, etc.) and widespread gusts peaking in the 45-65 MPH across the coasts/valleys. Across Santa Barbara and San Luis Obispo counties, winds will be weaker, but still will be gusts in the 30-45 mph range across the mountains and foothills. So, current suite of HIGH WIND WARNINGs and WIND ADVISORIES look great across Ventura/LA counties. Along with the wind, temperatures will be a concern today. Highs in the mid 80s to mid 90s will be common across the coasts and coastal valleys today. Based on Heat Risk grids, moderate to locally major heat risk is expected today across the coastal plain. Therefore, HEAT ADVISORIES will remain in effect today and will continue through Saturday. Overall, current forecast has good handle on the immediate short term. So, no significant updates are expected. ***From Previous Discussion*** We are on track for the longest and strongest period of Santa Ana winds today, especially at lower elevations (coastal valleys to coast) with the strongest cooridor of winds sliding a bit north into a more traditional Santa Ana setup. High wind warnings and strong wind advisories look good for much of Ventura and Los Angeles Counties with peak winds likely in the 50 to 70 mph range through late morning or early afternoon before gradually weakening. Breezy east to northeast winds with gusts of 25 to 45 mph will also extend to most other areas that do not typically get much winds in this type of setup. Red Flag Warnings also continue to be in effect for a large portion of Southwest California. Please take care with fire ignition sources. Moderate-to-high heat risk is equally concerning, especially near the coast with highs again in the 90s to near 100. Temperatures will shoot up quickly this morning and stay quite warm well into the evening, especially where breezy winds continue, increasing the duration of the heat, which is particularly concerning for those without air conditioning or that spend significant time outdoors. A Heat Advisory continues near the coast through Saturday. On Saturday, upper level support and surface gradients weaken but still expecting a windy day, albeit probably 15-30 mph weaker than Today. And with the offshore flow and cold advection weakening as well temperatures at the coast should cool at least a few degrees while valleys and other interior areas either remain the same or warm slightly. A digging trough from the northwest and the return of onshore flow will bring significant cooling and moistening trends along with breezy northwest to onshore winds to the region. Daytime highs by Monday will mostly be in the 70s with a sprinkling of low 80s for warmer valleys. Signs of potentially inclement weather are likely by Monday night in the form of increasing mid to high clouds. .LONG TERM (MON-THU)...16/403 AM. There is increasing confidence in rain chances next week, though low confidence on the details. Virtually all the solutions indicate at least some light rain, most likely starting Wednesday, but could start as early as Tuesday afternoon or as late as Wednesday evening. Rain amounts are even more scattered but mostly around a half inch area-wide. We may not have a good handle on this system until early next week as our guidance struggles with storms coming from the northwest, especially closed, cut-off low pressure systems. There are more than a few solutions that bring an inch or more so there is a small potential for heavy rain and flood concerns. && .AVIATION...16/1644Z. At 16Z over KLAX, there was no marine layer or inversion. High confidence in VFR conditions, unless a fire breaks out upwind of an airport. NE-E winds will dominate the next 24 hours, with UDDF near any mountains and LLWS 10-20 knots near most airports, especially those with winds above 20 knots. Moderate confidence on wind forecasts (speed +/- 5 mph and direction +/- 30 degrees). KLAX...High confidence in VFR conditions through at least Saturday. High confidence in east winds dominating today with little to no west influence. Moderate confidence in speed and timing. 60% chance of east winds in the 8-12 knot range from 18 to 24Z. LLWS 5-15 knots also possible in the 16Z-02Z window. East winds will go below 08 knots by 03Z. There is a 20% chance of east winds around 8 knots returning Saturday 16-20Z. KBUR...High confidence in VFR conditions through at least Saturday. High confidence in east winds dominating today with little to no south influence. LLWS 15-25 knots also possible at times in the 16Z-06Z window. && .MARINE...16/955 AM. NE to E winds will bring short period and hazard seas to many nearshore waters. Winds will be strongest from Ventura to Santa Monica where pockets of Gale Force winds of 30 to 40 knots are possible into the afternoon hours. Gusts of 15 to 25 knots will also be possible for the nearshore Central Coast waters as well as the waters from Orange County to Catalina. These winds will likely have rapid fluctuations. High confidence in still winds but much improved conditions on Saturday, followed by benign conditions on Sunday. If you have the option, go out on Sunday and try to stay off the waters Friday and Saturday. && .LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CA...Wind Advisory in effect until 8 PM PDT this evening for zones 88-354-355-358-362-370>374-376-377. (See LAXNPWLOX). Heat Advisory in effect until 8 PM PDT Saturday for zones 340-341-346-347-349-350-354-355-362-366>368. (See LAXNPWLOX). High Wind Warning in effect until 8 PM PDT this evening for zones 369-375-378>380. (See LAXNPWLOX). Red Flag Warning in effect until 8 PM PDT Saturday for zones 288-354>358-362-369>382-548. (See LAXRFWLOX). Red Flag Warning in effect until 6 PM PDT this evening for zones 342-345-353. (See LAXRFWLOX). PZ...Gale Warning in effect until 5 PM PDT this afternoon for zones 650-655. (See LAXMWWLOX). Small Craft Advisory in effect until 5 PM PDT this afternoon for zone 676. (See LAXMWWLOX). && $$ PUBLIC...Munroe/Thompson AVIATION...RK MARINE...RK SYNOPSIS...MW/Lewis weather.gov/losangeles Experimental Graphical Hazardous Weather Outlook at: https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=lox  872 FXUS64 KBMX 161655 AFDBMX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 1155 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1155 AM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026 - Fall Weather: A cold front will move through the region Friday into Friday evening, bringing cooler temperatures and breezy conditions to the area behind it for the weekend. && .DISCUSSION... (This afternoon through Thursday) Issued at 1155 AM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026 A strong cold front is expected to move through the area today. Winds are already shifting to the NW in NW portions of AL here around noon. We're not expecting much in the way of rainfall with this, though a few sprinkles can't be ruled out. The main impact is going to be gusty winds this afternoon and through much of the day tomorrow as the front moves through. This will be some of the coldest temperatures so far this year with lows Saturday dropping into the upper 40s to near 50, then dropping to the low to mid 40s on Sunday and Monday mornings. Daytime highs should rebound quite a bit, reaching the upper 60s to low 70s for overall mild Fall conditions this weekend. This trough that's moving through develops into a cut-off low along the Atlantic Coast Sunday into Monday as ridging builds in to our west. This will generally lead to continued dry weather with northerly to northwesterly flow. We'll gradually see a warming trend through the remainder of the week with mostly clear skies and ample sunshine, though overnight lows will remain in the mid to upper 40 to near 50 through Friday. 25/Owen && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1155 AM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026 VFR conditions expected through the next 24 hours at all sites. A strong cold front is moving through the area this afternoon and through the overnight hours, so we'll see winds shift from southerly to southwesterly to northwesterly generally before 06z. After that, gusty northwesterly winds will persist through at least 18z (likely longer and beyond this forecast period). We're not expecting much in the way of rainfall with this frontal passage, so I don't have that mentioned in any of the TAFs, but we could see at least some lower VFR to higher MVFR clouds right along the front. I've kept VFR in the forecast for now, but we'll need to monitor the CIGs along the front this evening. 25/Owen && .FIRE WEATHER... A cold front will move through the area this afternoon and evening. A much drier air mass builds into the region this weekend and will persist through the upcoming week. Winds will be strong tonight and through much of tomorrow afternoon with 20ft winds in the 10-15 mph range and gusts up to 25 mph. RHs drop to the low 30% range in western portions of Central AL, with the eastern half of the area dropping just below 40%. This keeps us out of critical Red Flag Warning criteria, but conditions are notably dry and windy on Saturday, so outdoor burning is discouraged. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Gadsden 84 47 66 41 / 10 10 0 0 Anniston 85 47 65 42 / 20 0 0 0 Birmingham 84 48 65 44 / 10 10 0 0 Tuscaloosa 86 49 68 45 / 0 10 0 0 Calera 85 48 65 44 / 10 10 0 0 Auburn 84 50 67 47 / 10 0 0 0 Montgomery 87 50 69 47 / 10 0 0 0 Troy 86 48 68 46 / 0 0 0 0 && .BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...25/Owen AVIATION...25/Owen