380 

ACUS03 KWNS 160650

SWODY3

SPC AC 160649



Day 3 Convective Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0149 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026



Valid 181200Z - 191200Z



...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...



...SUMMARY...

Severe thunderstorms are not expected anywhere across the Contiguous

United States on Sunday.



...Synopsis...

Upper ridging will prevail across the central CONUS as a weak 500 mb

cutoff low meanders off of the East Coast and broad, low-amplitude

upper troughing dominates the Interior West on Sunday. A surface

anticyclone will overspread the CONUS east of the MS River while

surface troughing occurs across the Great Plains. Despite this

surface troughing, medium-range guidance shows moist trajectories

across the Gulf oriented away from the U.S. shoreline, suggesting

that a stable airmass will remain over the CONUS. Therefore,

thunderstorm potential should be hindered over most locales. The one

exception may be southern FL into the Keys, where lingering

low-level moisture in a post-cold-frontal airmass may support

isolated thunderstorm development during the afternoon.



..Squitieri.. 10/16/2026



$$