529 AWUS01 KWNH 070019 FFGMPD NYZ000-PAZ000-MDZ000-VAZ000-DCZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-070530- Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0632 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 818 PM EDT Mon Jul 06 2026 Areas affected...Portions of the Upper OH Valley...Northern Mid-Atlantic and Central Appalachians Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding likely Valid 070018Z - 070530Z SUMMARY...Locally slow-moving and concentrated clusters of heavy showers and thunderstorms will continue through the late-evening hours. Additional areas of flash flooding are likely from high rainfall rates and locally wet antecedent conditions. DISCUSSION...The late-day radar and satellite imagery shows slow-moving clusters of heavy showers and thunderstorms impacting areas of central and western PA, with separate pockets of storms down across the higher terrain of northeast WV and the MD/WV Panhandles. Low amplitude shortwave energy and an overall elongated mid-level low center over the Upper OH Valley and northern Mid-Atlantic continues to combine with orographics and a moist/unstable airmass for convection. Given that the instability is gradually waning from a loss of daytime heating and convective overturning, the overall footprint for more organized areas of convection should begin to shrink through the remaining evening hours. However, there is a degree of modest forcing that is still likely to support some convective sustenance locally where a combination of convergence near a frontal zone and with terrain-driven orographics interact with the remaining instability. Areas of central and southwest PA in close proximity to the Allegheny Front will in particular have the greatest threat for heavy rainfall over the next few hours, and this is where several models including the HRRR and 18Z HREF suite favor additional rainfall amounts of 3 to 4+ inches. The model soundings and earlier RAOBs, along with recent OSPO ALPW data, show a deeply moist/tropical vertical column with a substantial threat for warm rain processes favoring elevated rainfall rates. These rates are likely to reach into the 1 to 3 inch/hour range with the stronger storms. The last couple of runs of the experimental WoFS supports the southwest to central PA convective threat, but also has been advertising pockets of locally persistent convection with high rainfall rates in west-central MD near the orographically favored Catoctin Mountains, and suggests potential for 2 to 3+ inch totals in this vicinity which will need to be closely monitored. Given the additional high rainfall rates and storm potential locally, and the generally wet antecedent conditions, more areas of flash flooding are likely through this evening. Orrison ...Please see www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...BGM...BUF...CLE...CTP...LWX...PBZ...PHI...RLX... ATTN...RFC...RHA...TAR...TIR...NWC... LAT...LON 42437616 41907584 41267619 40717645 39667611 39177631 38767686 38707796 38907902 39528011 39798115 40158179 40588157 41167947 41617867 42377726  514 FGUS74 KORN 070018 FFHMRX HEADWATER GUIDANCE FOR HSA.....MORRISTOWN TN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER FORECAST CENTER, SLIDELL LA 718 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2026 INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR SPECIFIED DURATIONS REQUIRED TO PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING IN HEADWATERS. .B SIL 260707 Z DH00/DC2607070018 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF/PPDCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR 12HR 24HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : :.....TENNESSEE : DOET1 3.5/ 4.0/ 4.5/ 5.4/ 6.5 :ELIZABETHTON, TN DOE R. RMTT1 3.5/ 4.2/ 5.5/ 5.7/ 6.5 :ROAN MOUNTAIN, TN DOE R. : :.....VIRGINIA : CLVV2 2.6/ 2.8/ 3.1/ 3.6/ 4.7 :CLEVELAND, VA CLINCH R. .END $$  508 FOUS74 KORN 070018 FFHFFC HEADWATER GUIDANCE FOR HSA.....ATLANTA GA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER FORECAST CENTER, SLIDELL LA 718 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2026 INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR SPECIFIED DURATIONS REQUIRED TO PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING IN HEADWATERS. .B SIL 260707 Z DH00/DC2607070018 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : :.....GEORGIA : ENGG1 1.9/ 2.1/ 2.4 :NEW ENGLAND, GA LOOKOUT CREEK HWEG1 3.5/ 4.3/ 5.4 :HIAWASSEE, GA HIAWASSEE R. .END $$  510 FOUS74 KORN 070018 FFHJAN HEADWATER GUIDANCE FOR HSA.....JACKSON MS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER FORECAST CENTER, SLIDELL LA 718 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2026 INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR SPECIFIED DURATIONS REQUIRED TO PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING IN HEADWATERS. .B SIL 260707 Z DH00/DC2607070018 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : :.....MISSISSIPPI : MEIM6 3.5/ 4.1/ 4.5 :MERIDIAN, MS SOWASHEE CREEK JCCM6 3.4/ 3.8/ 4.2 :JACKSON, MS CANY CREEK JHMM6 3.5/ 3.9/ 4.4 :JACKSON, MS HANGING MOSS CREEK LYNM6 3.5/ 3.8/ 4.3 :JACKSON, MS LYNCH CREEK TOWM6 3.5/ 3.8/ 4.2 :JACKSON, MS TOWN CREEK UBCM6 3.5/ 3.9/ 4.3 :JACKSON, MS EUBANKS CREEK .END $$  511 FOUS74 KORN 070018 FFHLZK HEADWATER GUIDANCE FOR HSA.....LITTLE ROCK AR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER FORECAST CENTER, SLIDELL LA 718 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2026 INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR SPECIFIED DURATIONS REQUIRED TO PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING IN HEADWATERS. .B SIL 260707 Z DH00/DC2607070018 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : :.....ARKANSAS : BTNA4 3.2/ 3.5/ 4.0 :BENTON, AR SALINE R. CIGA4 2.5/ 2.7/ 3.0 :CLINTON, AR S. FK LZKTLE RED R. HDYA4 3.4/ 4.2/ 5.3 :HARDY, AR SPRING R. .END $$  512 FOUS74 KORN 070018 FFHRNK HEADWATER GUIDANCE FOR HSA.....BLACKSBURG VA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER FORECAST CENTER, SLIDELL LA 718 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2026 INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR SPECIFIED DURATIONS REQUIRED TO PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING IN HEADWATERS. .B SIL 260707 Z DH00/DC2607070018 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF/PPDCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR 12HR 24HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : :.....VIRGINIA : SALV2 2.2/ 2.4/ 2.8/ 3.4/ 4.6 :SALTVILLE, VA N.F. HOLSTON R. SGWN7 1.7/ 1.8/ 2.0/ 3.1/ 3.4 :SUGAR GROVE, NC WATAUGA R. SMFV2 2.8/ 3.1/ 3.4/ 4.0/ 4.9 :SEVEN MILE FORD, VA M.F. HOLSTON R. RLRV2 1.3/ 1.5/ 1.6/ 2.1/ 3.0 :RICHLANDS, VA CLINCH R. .END $$  513 FOUS74 KORN 070018 FFHGSP HEADWATER GUIDANCE FOR HSA.....GREENVILLE/SPARTANBURG SC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER FORECAST CENTER, SLIDELL LA 718 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2026 INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR SPECIFIED DURATIONS REQUIRED TO PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING IN HEADWATERS. .B SIL 260707 Z DH00/DC2607070018 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF/PPDCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR 12HR 24HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : :.....NORTH CAROLINA : ROSN7 3.5/ 5.0/ 5.5/ 6.0/ 6.5 :ROSMAN, NC FRENCH BROAD R. BLTN7 3.5/ 4.7/ 5.5/ 6.0/ 6.5 :BILTMORE, NC SWANNANOAH R. BIRN7 3.5/ 5.0/ 5.5/ 6.0/ 6.5 :BIRDTOWN, NC OCONALUFTEE R. .END $$  515 FOUS74 KORN 070018 FFHHUN HEADWATER GUIDANCE FOR HSA.....HUNTSVILLE AL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER FORECAST CENTER, SLIDELL LA 718 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2026 INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR SPECIFIED DURATIONS REQUIRED TO PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING IN HEADWATERS. .B SIL 260707 Z DH00/DC2607070018 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : :.....ALABAMA : FRYA1 2.0/ 2.2/ 2.4 :FARLEY, AL ALDRIDGE CREEK SHEA1 1.9/ 2.0/ 2.2 :SHERWOOD, AL ALDRIDGE CREEK ATNA1 3.5/ 3.8/ 4.1 :ATHENS, AL LIMESTONE CREEK BPPA1 3.1/ 3.3/ 3.5 :BUCKS POCKET, AL S. SAUTY CREEK MADA1 2.9/ 3.2/ 3.4 :MADISON, AL INDIAN CREEK .END $$  518 FOUS74 KORN 070018 FFHSHV HEADWATER GUIDANCE FOR HSA.....SHREVEPORT LA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER FORECAST CENTER, SLIDELL LA 718 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2026 INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR SPECIFIED DURATIONS REQUIRED TO PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING IN HEADWATERS. .B SIL 260707 Z DH00/DC2607070018 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : :.....LOUISIANA : KEIL1 3.5/ 4.5/ 4.7 :KEITHVILLE, LA CYPRESS BAYOU .END $$  517 FOUS74 KORN 070019 FFHLSX HEADWATER GUIDANCE FOR HSA.....ST. LOUIS MO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER FORECAST CENTER, SLIDELL LA 718 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2026 INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR SPECIFIED DURATIONS REQUIRED TO PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING IN HEADWATERS. .B SIL 260707 Z DH00/DC2607070018 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : :.....MISSOURI : ANNM7 3.5/ 4.7/ 5.5 :ANNAPOLIS, MO BLACK R. .END $$  712 FOUS62 KALR 070040 FFGSJU COUNTY FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE...PUERTO RICO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SOUTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...ATLANTA GA 836 PM EDT MON JUL 6 2026 INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR SPECIFIED DURATIONS REQUIRED TO PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING IN FORECAST ZONES. LOWER AMOUNTS MAY CAUSE FLASH FLOODING IN URBAN OR MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. .B ALR 20260707 Z DH00/DC202607070036 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF :IDENTIFIERS ARE 2-LETTER STATE, Z FOR ZONE, 3-DIGIT ZONE NUMBER : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR ZONE NAME :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== PRZ001 1.9/ 3.4/ 4.7 PRZ002 1.9/ 3.4/ 4.7 PRZ003 1.9/ 3.2/ 4.4 PRZ004 1.9/ 3.2/ 4.4 PRZ005 1.5/ 2.0/ 2.7 PRZ006 1.5/ 2.0/ 2.7 PRZ007 1.5/ 2.0/ 2.7 PRZ008 1.5/ 2.0/ 2.7 PRZ009 1.5/ 2.0/ 2.7 PRZ010 1.5/ 2.0/ 2.7 PRZ011 1.5/ 2.0/ 2.7 PRZ012 2.0/ 3.2/ 4.4 PRZ013 2.0/ 3.2/ 4.5 VIZ001 2.1/ 3.3/ 4.6 VIZ002 2.0/ 3.2/ 4.5 .END $$ S.E.R.F.C. 770-486-0028 or 770-282-2112 Regular Hours 6am-10pm Eastern Time After Hours Please Follow Callback Instructions  428 AWUS01 KWNH 070056 FFGMPD MDZ000-VAZ000-WVZ000-070530- Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0633 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 855 PM EDT Mon Jul 06 2026 Areas affected...Southern WV...Southwest though Central/Southern VA Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding likely Valid 070055Z - 070530Z SUMMARY...Slow-moving areas of heavy showers and thunderstorms will continue to persist for at least a few more hours across areas of southern WV and southwest through central/southern VA. Additional areas of flash flooding are likely, including additional urban impacts. DISCUSSION...Radar imagery shows areas of slow-moving and very heavy showers and thunderstorms continuing to redevelop and locally persist across areas of southern WV and especially southwest to south-central VA. Rainfall rates with some of the stronger thunderstorms are on the order of 2 to 3 inches/hour. The activity continues to be supported by persistence of a moderately unstable airmass with a substantial pool of deep moisture with PWs of 2.0 to 2.25 inches. Multiple mesoscale boundaries are in place with the evolving convective clusters, and these colliding boundaries have been initiating new areas of convection over the last couple of hours. This general theme should continue for a few more hours until the existing instability pool becomes sufficiently exhausted to promote a weakening trend with the overall convective footprint. However, there is still as much as 1000 to 2000 J/kg of MLCAPE, so this process will still take some time. Therefore, expect some additional concerns for flash flooding through the remainder of the evening hours. This will include concerns for urban flash flooding locally with some areas still potentially see an additional 3 to 4 inches of rain through midnight. Orrison ...Please see www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...MRX...RLX...RNK... ATTN...RFC...ALR...ORN...RHA...TIR...NWC... LAT...LON 38607751 38157662 37667648 36957700 36587849 36688131 37098200 37688180 37978123 38377986 38587884  740 AWUS01 KWNH 070143 FFGMPD NCZ000-SCZ000-070600- Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0634 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 942 PM EDT Mon Jul 06 2026 Areas affected...Central and Northern SC Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible Valid 070142Z - 070600Z SUMMARY...A cluster of very heavy showers and thunderstorms over portions of central and northern SC may tend to persist for a few more hours. Extremely high rainfall rates will support a threat for some areas of flash flooding, include localized urban impacts. DISCUSSION...The evening GOES-E IR satellite imagery shows an axis of very cold-topped convection impacting areas of central and northern SC. Some cloud tops are up around -75C and this is coupling with the very moist and unstable airmass for rainfall rates of 2 to 3 inches/hour. MLCAPE values of 1500 to 2500 J/kg are still in place with PWs near 2.25 inches. This environment at least for the next few hours will continue to foster concerns for flash flooding which will tend to be focused along multiple surface boundaries/troughs. Some additional localized rainfall totals of 3 to 5 inches will be possible which is supported by the latest RRFS guidance. Expect some of the additional flash flooding potential to include some of the more urbanized locations. Orrison ...Please see www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...CAE...CHS...GSP...ILM... ATTN...RFC...ALR...NWC... LAT...LON 35068150 34878046 33967966 33357966 33108013 33248093 33658147 34598183  400 FOUS73 KMSR 070200 FFHMPX HEADWATER FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 900 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2026 TWIN CITIES HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA AVERAGE INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR GIVEN DURATIONS REQUIRED TO INITIATE FLASH FLOODING AT THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. .B MSR 260707 Z DH00/DC2607070200 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : : *** MINNESOTA HEADWATER POINTS *** : SNCM5 1.7/ 1.9/ 2.1 :JORDAN MN SAND CR PNLM5 2.7/ 3.0/ 4.0 :PINE ISLAND MN MID FK ZUMBRO R PILM5 3.5/ 4.0/ 4.5 :PINE ISLAND MN N B MID FK ZUMBRO R WGOM5 3.2/ 3.3/ 3.6 :WANAMINGO MN NO FK ZUMBRO R .END $$  401 FOUS73 KMSR 070200 FFHARX HEADWATER FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 900 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2026 LA CROSSE HYDRLOGIC SERVICE AREA AVERAGE INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR GIVEN DURATIONS REQUIRED TO INITIATE FLASH FLOODING AT THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. .B MSR 260707 Z DH00/DC2607070200 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : : *** IOWA HEADWATER POINTS *** : DEHI4 3.3/ 3.4/ 3.4 :DECORAH IA UPPER IOWA R DCHI4 2.2/ 2.3/ 2.4 :DORCHESTER IA UPPER IOWA R GRBI4 1.9/ 2.1/ 2.2 :GARBER IA TURKEY R : : *** MINNESOTA HEADWATER POINTS *** : ASTM5 2.0/ 2.1/ 2.3 :AUSTIN WWTP MN CEDAR R DOBM5 2.4/ 2.4/ 2.5 :AUSTIN MN-21ST DOBBINS CR TRCM5 2.5/ 2.7/ 3.1 :AUSTIN MN-41 AV NW TURTLE CR HOUM5 1.4/ 1.5/ 1.7 :HOUSTON MN ROOT R LNSM5 2.4/ 2.4/ 2.5 :LANESBORO MN S BR ROOT R LANM5 2.5/ 2.5/ 2.7 :LANSING MN CEDAR R PTNM5 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.3 :PRESTON MN S BR ROOT R RBCM5 2.8/ 2.9/ 3.1 :ROCHESTER MN BEAR CR RCCM5 2.5/ 2.6/ 2.9 :ROCHESTER MN CASCADE CR ROCM5 2.9/ 3.1/ 3.4 :ROCHESTER MN SILVER CR RCSM5 3.5/ 4.0/ 4.4 :HWY 14 ROCHESTER S FK ZUMBRO R RCHM5 2.7/ 3.0/ 3.5 :ROCHESTER MN S FK ZUMBRO R WSPM5 2.1/ 2.3/ 2.7 :WHITEWATER ST.PK MFK WHITEWATER R ZUMM5 2.7/ 3.1/ 4.0 :ZUMBRO FALLS MN ZUMBRO R : : *** WISCONSIN HEADWATER POINTS *** : BTNW3 2.0/ 2.1/ 2.1 :BURTON WI GRANT R DDGW3 3.0/ 3.1/ 3.1 :DODGE WI TREMPEALEAU R GMIW3 0.5/ 1.0/ 1.0 :GAYS MILLS WI KICKAPOO R HILW3 2.0/ 2.0/ 2.1 :HILLSBORO WWTP WI S BR BARABOO R LAFW3 2.8/ 2.9/ 3.0 :LA FARGE WI KICKAPOO R NEIW3 2.7/ 3.1/ 3.6 :NEILLSVILLE WI BLACK R ONTW3 3.1/ 3.1/ 3.2 :ONTARIO WI KICKAPOO R REAW3 2.7/ 2.8/ 2.9 :READSTOWN WI KICKAPOO R RVLW3 2.3/ 2.4/ 2.4 :ROCKVILLE WI 2E PLATTE R SOGW3 2.6/ 2.7/ 2.7 :SOLDIERS GROVE WI KICKAPOO R STEW3 0.5/ 1.0/ 1.0 :STEUBEN WI KICKAPOO R VIOW3 2.7/ 2.8/ 2.8 :VIOLA WI KICKAPOO R .END $$  402 FOUS73 KMSR 070200 FFHILX HEADWATER FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 900 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2026 LINCOLN HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA AVERAGE INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR GIVEN DURATIONS REQUIRED TO INITIATE FLASH FLOODING AT THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. .B MSR 260707 Z DH00/DC2607070200 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : : *** ILLINOIS HEADWATER POINTS *** : BMII2 3.5/ 4.0/ 4.5 :BLOOMINGTON IL SUGAR CR RLLI2 1.9/ 1.9/ 1.9 :ROWELL IL SALT CR .END $$  403 FOUS73 KMSR 070200 FFHLOT HEADWATER FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 900 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2026 CHICAGO HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA AVERAGE INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR GIVEN DURATIONS REQUIRED TO INITIATE FLASH FLOODING AT THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. .B MSR 260707 Z DH00/DC2607070200 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : : *** ILLINOIS HEADWATER POINTS *** : NBPI2 2.4/ 2.4/ 2.6 :CHICAGO IL N BR CHICAGO R CDCI2 1.7/ 1.8/ 2.0 :CHICAGO HEIGHTS IL DEER CR DRFI2 2.3/ 2.6/ 3.5 :DEERFIELD IL N BR CHICAGO R DEKI2 3.5/ 4.0/ 4.5 :DE KALB IL S BR KISHWAUKEE R DSPI2 3.0/ 3.1/ 3.3 :DES PLAINES IL DES PLAINES R WLRI2 2.6/ 2.9/ 3.2 :DES PLAINES IL WELLER CR EMHI2 2.4/ 2.7/ 3.0 :ELMHURST IL SALT CR FLSI2 1.6/ 1.8/ 2.0 :FLOSSMOOR IL BUTTERFIELD CR GLWI2 2.1/ 2.4/ 2.7 :GLENWOOD IL THORN CR GUNI2 2.8/ 2.9/ 3.0 :GURNEE IL DES PLAINES R JHCI2 1.9/ 2.1/ 2.3 :JOLIET IL HICKORY CR LAFI2 2.3/ 2.6/ 3.5 :LAKE FOREST IL SKOKIE R NILI2 3.2/ 4.0/ 4.5 :NILES IL N BR CHICAGO R NBRI2 3.4/ 4.0/ 4.5 :NORTHBROOK IL W FK N BR CHICAGO R OAKI2 1.8/ 1.8/ 2.0 :OAK FOREST IL MIDLOTHIAN CR MCDI2 3.1/ 3.4/ 3.8 :PROSPECT HTS IL MCDONALD CR ALPI2 1.4/ 1.5/ 1.6 :ROCKFORD IL ALPINE DAM-KEITH CR LEVI2 1.7/ 2.0/ 2.3 :ROCKFORD IL LEVINGS LAKE PPLI2 1.8/ 2.1/ 2.5 :ROCKFORD IL PAGE PARK LAKE ROLI2 2.5/ 2.9/ 3.2 :ROLLING MEADOWS IL SALT CR SCHI2 3.2/ 3.5/ 3.8 :ST CHARLES IL FERSON CR SORI2 1.3/ 1.1/ 1.0 :SHOREWOOD IL DU PAGE R THNI2 0.6/ 1.0/ 1.0 :THORNTON IL THORN CR WHEI2 2.7/ 2.9/ 3.2 :WHEELING IL BUFFALO CR WLSI2 3.0/ 3.5/ 4.1 :WILLOW SPRINGS IL FLAG CR YRKI2 0.5/ 1.0/ 1.0 :YORKVILLE IL BLACKBERRY CR : : *** INDIANA HEADWATER POINTS *** : HDDI3 3.1/ 3.2/ 3.4 :DYER IN HART DITCH MNTI3 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6 :MUNSTER IN HART DITCH LCMI3 1.4/ 1.3/ 1.3 :MUNSTER IN LITTLE CALUMET R PRTI3 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.5 :PORTER IN LITTLE CALUMET R .END $$  404 FOUS73 KMSR 070200 FFHLSX HEADWATER FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 900 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2026 ST LOUIS HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA AVERAGE INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR GIVEN DURATIONS REQUIRED TO INITIATE FLASH FLOODING AT THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. .B MSR 260707 Z DH00/DC2607070200 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : : *** MISSOURI HEADWATER POINTS *** : EWNM7 3.2/ 3.4/ 3.5 :EWING MO 5E NORTH FABIUS R EWMM7 3.3/ 3.5/ 3.6 :EWING MO 1NNE MIDDLE FABIUS R PALM7 2.0/ 2.0/ 2.1 :PALMYRA MO NORTH R TAYM7 2.1/ 2.4/ 2.7 :TAYLOR MO S FABIUS R PMZM7 2.2/ 2.3/ 2.4 :HOLLIDAY MO 2N MI FK SALT R TRYM7 1.9/ 1.9/ 2.1 :TROY MO CUIVRE R DRCM7 2.3/ 2.4/ 2.5 :ST PETERS MO DARDENNE CR LSLM7 2.1/ 2.3/ 2.6 :LAKE SAINT LOUIS PERUQUE CR - ABOVE LSTM7 1.7/ 1.8/ 2.0 :LAKE ST LOUIS MO PERUQUE CR CSNM7 2.1/ 2.2/ 2.2 :COOK STATION MO 1N MERAMEC R SEEM7 1.3/ 1.4/ 1.6 :STEELVILLE MO 2N MERAMEC R UNNM7 3.4/ 3.6/ 3.8 :UNION MO BOURBEUSE R BYRM7 2.8/ 3.2/ 3.7 :BYRNESVILLE MO 2NNE BIG R .END $$  405 FOUS73 KMSR 070200 FFHAPX HEADWATER FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 900 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2026 GAYLORD HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA AVERAGE INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR GIVEN DURATIONS REQUIRED TO INITIATE FLASH FLOODING AT THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. .B MSR 260707 Z DH00/DC2607070200 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : : *** MICHIGAN HEADWATER POINTS *** : BVTM4 3.5/ 4.0/ 4.5 :BEAVERTON MI TOBACCO R MYFM4 3.5/ 3.6/ 3.7 :MAYFIELD MI BOARDMAN R RUDM4 3.5/ 4.0/ 4.5 :RUDYARD MI PINE RIVER .END $$  406 FOUS73 KMSR 070200 FFHDMX HEADWATER FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 900 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2026 DES MOINES HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA AVERAGE INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR GIVEN DURATIONS REQUIRED TO INITIATE FLASH FLOODING AT THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. .B MSR 260707 Z DH00/DC2607070200 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : : *** IOWA HEADWATER POINTS *** : AKWI4 2.6/ 2.7/ 2.9 :ACKWORTH IA SOUTH R AMWI4 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.2 :AMES IA IOWAY CR BSSI4 3.0/ 3.1/ 3.4 :BUSSEY IA CEDAR CR DFMI4 2.5/ 2.5/ 2.4 :DSM-EASTON FOUR MILE CR CLVI4 1.9/ 2.2/ 2.4 :CLIVE I-80/35 WALNUT CR DOSI4 2.1/ 2.2/ 2.5 :DSM-63RD ST WALNUT CR MCWI4 2.7/ 2.8/ 2.9 :MASON CITY IA WINNEBAGO R .END $$  407 FOUS73 KMSR 070200 FFHFGF HEADWATER FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 900 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2026 GRAND FORKS HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA AVERAGE INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR GIVEN DURATIONS REQUIRED TO INITIATE FLASH FLOODING AT THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. .B MSR 260707 Z DH00/DC2607070200 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : : *** MINNESOTA HEADWATER POINTS *** : CSRM5 3.2/ 3.2/ 3.3 :CAMPBELL MN 1W SO FK RABBIT R MALM5 3.1/ 3.5/ 3.9 :MALUNG MN 2NW ROSEAU R BLO SO FK : : *** NORTH DAKOTA HEADWATER POINTS *** : DWGN8 3.5/ 4.0/ 4.5 :DWIGHT ND 1NE ANTELOPE CR HGRN8 3.5/ 4.0/ 4.5 :HILLSBORO ND GOOSE R LTRN8 2.5/ 2.6/ 2.7 :LARIMORE ND 5ENE TURTLE R .END $$  408 FOUS73 KMSR 070200 FFHMKX HEADWATER FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 900 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2026 MILWAUKEE HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA AVERAGE INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR GIVEN DURATIONS REQUIRED TO INITIATE FLASH FLOODING AT THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. .B MSR 260707 Z DH00/DC2607070200 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : : *** WISCONSIN HEADWATER POINTS *** : AFTW3 2.6/ 3.0/ 3.4 :AFTON WI ROCK R BCHW3 1.8/ 1.9/ 2.0 :BLANCHARDVILLE WI E BR PECATONICA R BUNW3 2.5/ 2.6/ 2.9 :BUNCOMBE WI GALENA R DARW3 2.0/ 2.2/ 2.5 :DARLINGTON WI PECATONICA R MTNW3 1.7/ 1.8/ 2.0 :MARTINTOWN WI PECATONICA R MAZW3 2.4/ 2.5/ 2.7 :MAZOMANIE WI BLACK EARTH CR KINW3 3.5/ 4.0/ 4.5 :MILWAUKEE WI KINNICKINNIC R SEBW3 2.8/ 2.9/ 3.1 :SHEBOYGAN WI SHEBOYGAN R WKEW3 3.1/ 3.1/ 3.2 :WAUKESHA WI FOX R WWTW3 3.5/ 3.8/ 4.1 :WAUWATOSA WI MENOMONEE R BLOW3 1.9/ 2.0/ 2.1 :BELOIT WI TURTLE CR MFSW3 0.5/ 1.0/ 1.0 :MENOMONEE FALLS WI MENOMONEE R OAKW3 2.8/ 3.0/ 3.4 :SOUTH MILWAUKEE OAK CR .END $$  932 AWUS01 KWNH 070431 FFGMPD VAZ000-NCZ000-SCZ000-070828- Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0635 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 1230 AM EDT Tue Jul 07 2026 Areas affected...in and near central NC Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible Valid 070428Z - 070828Z Summary...Showers and thunderstorms with heavy rainfall are showing some higher rain rates as of late. Hourly rain amounts up to 3" are possible where cells merge or train for another few hours, which could lead to flash flooding. Discussion...Showers and thunderstorms with heavy rainfall have shown higher rain rates as of late. Effective bulk shear is ~15 kts, which is leading to minimal organization and a more pulse character. There is slight confluence in the 850 hPa flow in this area. Precipitable water values of ~2.2" lie here. MU CAPE is 500-1500 J/kg and slowly declining. The 00z runs of the HREF and REFS indicate that heavy rainfall could continue for another few hours. Given the relatively high flash flood guidance values, urban areas would be the most problematic. Hourly rain amounts up to 3" could continue isolated to widely scattered flash flooding for a few more hours. Roth ...Please see www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...AKQ...CAE...GSP...RAH...RNK... ATTN...RFC...ALR...NWC... LAT...LON 37087873 36427798 35217929 34848066 34928123 35288120 36618049  113 AWUS01 KWNH 070621 FFGMPD FLZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-071219- Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0636 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 220 AM EDT Tue Jul 07 2026 Areas affected...portions of the Central Gulf Coast Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible Valid 070619Z - 071219Z Summary...An incoming outflow boundary is beginning to enhance convection across portions of the central Gulf Coast. Hourly rain amounts to 3" are possible, which could lead to flash flooding in urban areas. Discussion...Showers and thunderstorms with heavy rainfall are beginning to multiply across portions of southeast LA, southern AL, and just offshore MS within a region of gently convergent 850 hPa inflow. ML CAPE of of 2000-3000 J/kg exists here. Effective bulk shear is weak, perhaps 15 kts, but cell motion is currently slow. Precipitable water values of 1.8-2" inhabit the region. The expectation is for the incoming outflow boundary to help broaden convective coverage from west to east as it interacts further with an unstable airmass with no CIN. Convergence at 850 hPa is expected to increase slightly this morning as well. Hourly rain amounts to 3" are possible, and given high flash flood guidance values, any flash flooding would be more probable in urban areas. Roth ...Please see www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...JAN...LCH...LIX...MOB...TAE... ATTN...RFC...ALR...ORN...NWC... LAT...LON 31248841 31038674 30298631 30108827 29558858 28938919 29168986 29099002 29009058 29099104 29279133 29549156 29919105 30269030 30828973  425 FOUS71 KRHA 070750 FFHNJ1 HEADWATER STATEMENT FOR NEW JERSEY STREAMS MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 330 AM EDT TUE JUL 7 2026 APPROXIMATE 1/3/6/12-HR BASIN AVERAGED RAINFALL (INCHES) REQUIRED TO CAUSE MINOR, MODERATE, AND MAJOR FLOODING AT THE INDICATED HEADWATER LOCATIONS. .B RHA 260707 Z DH06/DC2607070730/DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR 12HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : : NWS BROOKHAVEN SERVICE AREA... : Ramapo River... MAWN4 1.7/ 2.0/ 2.4/ 2.8 :Mahwah (8ft) Ramapo River :MAWN4md 1.9/ 2.3/ 2.9/ 3.4 Mahwah (9) Ramapo River :MAWN4mj 2.9/ 3.4/ 4.5/ 5.2 Mahwah (12) Ramapo River : Hohokus Brook... HOHN4 1.0/ 1.1/ 1.4/ 2.2 :Ho-Ho-Kus (3ft) Hohokus Brook : Saddle River... LODN4 0.9/ 0.9/ 1.1/ 1.7 :Lodi (5.5ft) Saddle River :LODN4md 1.3/ 1.4/ 1.7/ 2.6 Lodi (7) Saddle River :LODN4mj 1.7/ 1.7/ 2.0/ 3.1 Lodi (8) Saddle River : Rahway River... SPGN4 1.9/ 2.0/ 2.1/ 2.6 :Springfield (5.5ft) Rahway River : : NWS MT. HOLLY SERVICE AREA... : PASSAIC BASIN... : Passaic River... CAMN4 3.9/ 3.9/ 4.6/ 5.1 :Chatham (6ft) Passaic River :CAMN4md 5.2/ 5.7/ 6.6/ 7.6 Chatham (7.2) Passaic River :CAMN4mj 5.9/ 6.4/ 7.4/ 8.0 Chatham (8.2) Passaic River : Rockaway River... BOTN4 3.6/ 4.2/ 5.1/ 6.2 :Boonton Abv. (5ft) Rockaway River :BOTN4md 4.1/ 4.9/ 5.8/ 7.2 Boonton Abv. (6) Rockaway River :BOTN4mj 4.4/ 5.3/ 6.2/ 7.9 Boonton Abv. (7) Rockaway River : Whippany River... WHIN4 2.6/ 2.7/ 3.1/ 3.3 :Morristown (6ft) Whippany River : RARITAN BASIN.. : South Branch Raritan River... STTN4 2.9/ 3.4/ 4.1/ 5.1 :Stanton (8ft) S. Br. Raritan River :STTN4md 3.1/ 3.6/ 5.1/ 6.2 Stanton (10) S. Br. Raritan River :STTN4mj 3.3/ 3.9/ 5.7/ 7.1 Stanton (12) S. Br. Raritan River : North Branch Raritan River... RRTN4 2.2/ 2.5/ 2.9/ 3.7 :Raritan (10ft) N. Br. Raritan River :RRTN4md 2.4/ 2.8/ 3.4/ 4.2 Raritan (12) N. Br. Raritan River :RRTN4mj 2.8/ 3.3/ 4.2/ 5.2 Raritan (15) N. Br. Raritan River : Millstone River... BKWN4 2.9/ 3.3/ 3.4/ 3.4 :Blackwells Mills(9ft) Millstone River :BKWN4md 2.9/ 3.4/ 3.6/ 3.6 Blackwells Mills(10) Millstone River :BKWN4mj 3.3/ 3.8/ 4.4/ 5.5 Blackwells Mills(15) Millstone River : DELAWARE BASIN... : Assunpink Creek...TACN4 2.2/ 2.3/ 2.4/ 3.0 :Trenton (8.5ft) Assunpink Creek :TACN4md 2.3/ 2.4/ 3.0/ 3.8 Trenton (9.5) Assunpink Creek :TACN4mj 2.5/ 2.7/ 3.8/ 4.5 Trenton (11) Assunpink Creek .END $$ NNNN $$ NNNN  427 FOUS71 KRHA 070750 FFHPA2 HEADWATER STATEMENT FOR THE DELAWARE AND SUSQUEHANNA BASINS MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 330 AM EDT TUE JUL 7 2026 APPROXIMATE 1/3/6/12-HR BASIN AVERAGED RAINFALL (INCHES) REQUIRED TO CAUSE MINOR, MODERATE, AND MAJOR FLOODING AT THE INDICATED HEADWATER LOCATIONS. .B RHA 260707 Z DH06/DC2607070730/DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR 12HR HEADWATER NAME :======= ==== ==== ==== ==== ==================== : : NWS BINGHAMTON SERVICE AREA... : SUSQUEHANNA BASIN... : Tioughnioga River... CRTN6 1.6/ 1.9/ 2.0/ 2.4 :Cortland (8ft) :CRTN6md 1.7/ 2.0/ 2.5/ 3.1 Cortland (10) :CRTN6mj 1.9/ 2.3/ 3.1/ 3.5 Cortland (12.5) : Chenango River... SHBN6 1.5/ 1.7/ 1.8/ 2.0 :Sherburne (8.5ft) :SHBN6md 1.5/ 1.8/ 2.0/ 2.6 Sherburne (9) :SHBN6mj 1.7/ 1.9/ 2.2/ 3.0 Sherburne (10.6) : Otselic River... CINN6 2.3/ 2.5/ 2.9/ 3.8 :Cincinnatus (9ft) : ...moderate and major flood stages above rating table. : Cohocton River... CMPN6 2.1/ 2.3/ 2.7/ 3.2 :Campbell (8ft) :CMPN6md 2.3/ 2.6/ 3.4/ 3.9 Campbell (10) :CMPN6mj 2.4/ 2.8/ 3.9/ 4.4 Campbell (11) : Canisteo River... WCRN6 1.6/ 1.8/ 2.2/ 2.8 :West Cameron (17ft) :WCRN6md 1.6/ 1.9/ 2.4/ 3.0 West Cameron (18) :WCRN6mj 1.9/ 2.2/ 2.9/ 3.7 West Cameron (21) : Towanda Creek... MONP1 2.2/ 2.5/ 3.1/ 3.9 :Monroeton (15.5ft) :MONP1md 2.3/ 2.6/ 3.4/ 4.3 Monroeton (17) :MONP1mj 2.6/ 2.9/ 3.8/ 4.8 Monroeton (18.5) : Tunkhannock Creek... TNKP1 2.3/ 2.7/ 3.5/ 4.2 :Tunkhannock (11ft) :TNKP1md 2.4/ 2.9/ 4.0/ 4.8 Tunkhannock (14) :TNKP1mj 2.7/ 3.2/ 4.5/ 5.3 Tunkhannock (17) : Lackawanna River... OFRP1 2.1/ 2.4/ 2.9/ 3.8 :Old Forge (11ft) :OFRP1md 2.2/ 2.5/ 3.1/ 4.1 Old Forge (13) :OFRP1mj 2.4/ 2.8/ 3.4/ 4.5 Old Forge (16) : DELAWARE BASIN... : East Branch Delaware River... MRGN6 2.5/ 2.8/ 3.4/ 3.9 :Margaretville (11ft) :MRGN6md 3.1/ 3.6/ 4.3/ 5.0 Margaretville (12) :MRGN6mj 3.8/ 4.4/ 5.4/ 6.4 Margaretville (13) : West Branch Delaware River... WALN6 1.9/ 2.0/ 2.2/ 2.7 :Walton (11.5ft) :WALN6md 2.2/ 2.4/ 2.7/ 3.2 Walton (14) :WALN6mj 2.8/ 3.0/ 3.5/ 4.0 Walton (16) : Beaverkill Creek... CKFN6 1.7/ 1.8/ 2.2/ 2.8 :Cooks Falls (10ft) :CKFN6md 2.6/ 2.9/ 3.8/ 5.0 Cooks Falls (16) :CKFN6mj 3.0/ 3.4/ 4.5/ 6.1 Cooks Falls (18) : Lackawaxen River... HWYP1 2.3/ 2.7/ 3.3/ 4.1 :Hawley (14ft) :HWYP1md 3.0/ 3.4/ 4.3/ 5.4 Hawley (20) :HWYP1mj 3.3/ 3.8/ 4.7/ 5.9 Hawley (22) : : NWS STATE COLLEGE SERVICE AREA... : SUSQUEHANNA BASIN... : Tioga River... MFDP1 1.7/ 2.2/ 3.2/ 3.9 :Mansfield (12ft) :MFDP1md 1.8/ 2.4/ 3.6/ 4.3 Mansfield (13) :MFDP1mj 2.0/ 2.7/ 4.1/ 4.8 Mansfield (14) : Penns Creek... PNCP1 2.5/ 2.9/ 3.0/ 3.5 :Penns Creek (8ft) :PNCP1md 2.6/ 3.1/ 3.6/ 4.5 Penns Creek (10) :PNCP1mj 2.9/ 3.4/ 4.3/ 5.5 Penns Creek (12) : Frankstown Branch Juniata River... WIBP1 1.1/ 1.3/ 1.5/ 1.6 :Williamsburg (12ft) :WIBP1md 1.1/ 1.3/ 1.6/ 1.9 Williamsburg (13) :WIBP1mj 1.2/ 1.4/ 1.9/ 2.4 Williamsburg (15) : Little Juniata River... SPKP1 0.3/ 0.5/ 0.6/ 0.7 :Spruce Creek (8ft) :SPKP1md 0.4/ 0.6/ 0.9/ 1.4 Spruce Creek (10) :SPKP1mj 0.8/ 1.0/ 1.6/ 2.1 Spruce Creek (14) : Aughwick Creek... SLYP1 1.5/ 1.8/ 2.1/ 3.0 :Shirleysburg (10ft) :SLYP1md 1.7/ 2.0/ 2.4/ 3.4 Shirleysburg (12) :SLYP1mj 3.9/ 4.5/ 5.6/ 7.8 Shirleysburg (20) : Sherman Creek... SMDP1 2.1/ 2.4/ 2.9/ 3.5 :Shermans Dale (9ft) :SMDP1md 2.4/ 2.9/ 3.4/ 4.1 Shermans Dale (11) :SMDP1mj 3.8/ 4.4/ 5.4/ 6.2 Shermans Dale (16) : Conodoguinet Creek... HGSP1 3.3/ 3.4/ 3.6/ 3.7 :Hogestown (8ft) :HGSP1md 3.5/ 3.8/ 4.7/ 5.1 Hogestown (10) :HGSP1mj 3.8/ 4.3/ 5.3/ 6.0 Hogestown (12) : Yellow Breeches Creek... CPHP1 2.0/ 2.4/ 2.7/ 4.0 :Camp Hill (7ft) :CPHP1md 2.2/ 2.5/ 3.0/ 4.3 Camp Hill (9) :CPHP1mj 2.6/ 3.1/ 4.0/ 5.5 Camp Hill (13) : Swatara Creek... HTVP1 2.4/ 2.8/ 3.2/ 4.4 :Harper Tavern (9ft) :HTVP1md 2.7/ 3.2/ 3.9/ 5.3 Harper Tavern (12) :HTVP1mj 3.1/ 3.6/ 4.4/ 6.1 Harper Tavern (15) : Conestoga River... LNCP1 1.8/ 2.2/ 2.3/ 3.4 :Lancaster (11ft) :LNCP1md 1.9/ 2.4/ 2.7/ 3.8 Lancaster (13) :LNCP1mj 2.1/ 2.6/ 3.1/ 4.3 Lancaster (15) : DELAWARE BASIN... : Schuylkill River... LGVP1 2.8/ 2.9/ 3.0/ 3.2 :Landingville (8ft) :LGVP1md 3.6/ 3.8/ 4.0/ 4.4 Landingville (12) :LGVP1mj 4.3/ 4.8/ 5.0/ 5.5 Landingville (14) : : NWS MT. HOLLY SERVICE AREA... : DELAWARE BASIN... : Schuylkill River... BREP1 2.9/ 3.7/ 4.4/ 5.7 :Berne (12ft) :BREP1md 3.3/ 4.1/ 5.1/ 6.6 Berne (14) :BREP1mj 3.6/ 4.6/ 5.6/ 7.2 Berne (16) : Bush Kill... SHOP1 2.6/ 3.3/ 3.5/ 3.6 :Shoemakers (6ft) :SHOP1md 2.8/ 3.5/ 4.1/ 4.6 Shoemakers (7) :SHOP1mj 3.0/ 3.7/ 4.7/ 5.2 Shoemakers (8) : Brodhead Creek... MNSP1 1.9/ 2.4/ 3.1/ 4.3 :Minisink Hills(10ft) :MNSP1md 2.0/ 2.6/ 3.6/ 4.7 Minisink Hills(12) :MNSP1mj 2.3/ 2.9/ 4.1/ 5.5 Minisink Hills(15) : Little Lehigh Creek...APAP1 4.3/ 4.6/ 5.1/ 6.0 :Allentown-10th (8ft) :APAP1md 5.3/ 5.7/ 6.3/ 7.5 Allentown-10th (10) :APAP1mj 6.3/ 6.8/ 7.4/ 8.0 Allentown-10th (12) : Perkiomen Creek... GRAP1 1.7/ 2.1/ 2.8/ 3.6 :Graterford (11ft) :GRAP1md 1.9/ 2.3/ 3.3/ 3.9 Graterford (13) :GRAP1mj 2.2/ 2.7/ 3.8/ 4.6 Graterford (16) : Neshaminy Creek... LNGP1 2.4/ 2.4/ 2.4/ 2.4 :Langhorne (9ft) :LNGP1md 2.7/ 2.8/ 3.2/ 3.2 Langhorne (10) :LNGP1mj 2.8/ 3.1/ 3.7/ 4.0 Langhorne (12) : Chester Creek... CHSP1 2.2/ 2.3/ 2.6/ 3.2 :Chester (8ft) :CHSP1md 2.8/ 2.9/ 3.2/ 4.0 Chester (10) :CHSP1mj 3.7/ 3.8/ 4.3/ 5.3 Chester (14) : West Branch Brandywine Creek... MODP1 4.8/ 5.0/ 5.3/ 5.6 :Modena (9ft) :MODP1md 5.3/ 5.6/ 6.0/ 6.3 Modena (10) :MODP1mj 6.5/ 7.0/ 7.4/ 8.0 Modena (12) : East Branch Brandywine Creek... DWNP1 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.3/ 2.4 :Downingtown (7ft) :DWNP1md 3.0/ 3.1/ 3.2/ 3.5 Downingtown (9) :DWNP1mj 4.0/ 4.0/ 4.2/ 4.6 Downingtown (11) : Brandywine Creek... CDFP1 2.8/ 2.8/ 2.8/ 3.1 :Chadds Ford (9ft) :CDFP1md 2.9/ 3.0/ 3.3/ 4.2 Chadds Ford (11) :CDFP1mj 3.1/ 3.3/ 4.0/ 4.9 Chadds Ford (13) : Christina River... CHBD1 1.9/ 2.0/ 2.3/ 3.1 :Coochs Brdg(11ft) :CHBD1md 2.2/ 2.4/ 2.8/ 3.8 Coochs Brdg(12) :CHBD1mj 2.9/ 3.2/ 3.6/ 4.9 Coochs Brdg(13) : White Clay Creek... DPKD1 2.2/ 2.3/ 2.5/ 3.1 :Delaware Pk (13ft) :DPKD1md 2.9/ 3.1/ 3.3/ 4.1 Delaware Pk (15) :DPKD1mj 4.0/ 4.2/ 4.5/ 5.6 Delaware Pk (16.5) : Red Clay Creek... RCCD1 2.5/ 2.7/ 3.0/ 3.5 :Wooddale (7ft) :RCCD1md 3.2/ 3.5/ 3.9/ 4.5 Wooddale (8.5) :RCCD1mj 3.9/ 4.2/ 4.6/ 5.5 Wooddale (10) .END :=============================================================== : EXPERIMENTAL NON-FCST POINT RAW MODEL OUTPUT : NO MANUAL QC OR ADJUSTMENTS APPLIED...USE WITH CAUTION :=============================================================== : : NWS BINGHAMTON SERVICE AREA... .B RHA 260707 Z DH06/DC2607070730/DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF :GageID 1hr 3hr 6hr 12hr rainfall for indicated stages : Lackawanna River... ARHP1 3.2/ 3.3/ 3.7/ 4.4 :Archbald (8ft) :ARHP1md 3.8/ 3.9/ 4.3/ 5.3 Archbald (9) :ARHP1mj 4.4/ 4.5/ 5.1/ 6.4 Archbald (10) PKIP1 3.9/ 4.0/ 4.2/ 4.7 :Scranton (12.5ft.) :PKIP1md 4.2/ 4.3/ 4.5/ 5.0 Scranton (14) :PKIP1mj 4.4/ 4.5/ 4.7/ 5.2 Scranton (15) .END : Model-simulated 3-hourly stage forecasts including QPF... .E ARHP1 20260707 DC2607070750/DH09/HGIFX/DIH3/ .E1 2.2/2.4/2.4/2.3/2.2/2.2/2.2/2.2 .E PKIP1 20260707 DC2607070750/DH09/HGIFX/DIH3/ .E1 1.8/1.9/1.9/1.7/1.6/1.5/1.5/1.4 $$ NNNN  428 FOUS71 KRHA 070750 FFHVA2 HEADWATER STATEMENT FOR THE POTOMAC AND JAMES BASINS MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 330 AM EDT TUE JUL 7 2026 APPROXIMATE 1/3/6/12-HR BASIN AVERAGED RAINFALL (INCHES) REQUIRED TO CAUSE MINOR, MODERATE, AND MAJOR FLOODING AT THE INDICATED HEADWATER LOCATIONS. .B RHA 260707 Z DH06/DC2607070730/DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR 12HR HEADWATER NAME :======= ==== ==== ==== ==== ==================== : : NWS STERLING SERVICE AREA... : POTOMAC BASIN... : North Branch Potomac River... KITM2 2.2/ 2.4/ 2.9/ 3.7 :Kitzmiller (9ft) :KITM2md 3.0/ 3.3/ 4.2/ 5.6 Kitzmiller (11) :KITM2mj 4.3/ 4.9/ 6.3/ 8.0 Kitzmiller (13) : Georges Creek... WSTM2 1.0/ 1.2/ 1.4/ 1.7 :Westernport (8ft) :WSTM2md 1.7/ 1.9/ 2.2/ 2.6 Westernport (10) :WSTM2mj 2.3/ 2.6/ 3.1/ 3.6 Westernport (12) : South Branch Potomac River... FKLW2 1.9/ 2.3/ 2.6/ 3.9 :Franklin (7ft) :FKLW2md 2.1/ 2.6/ 3.0/ 4.4 Franklin (9) :FKLW2mj 2.3/ 2.9/ 3.5/ 5.1 Franklin (11) : Opequon Creek... MBGW2 2.5/ 3.0/ 3.6/ 4.0 :Martinsburg (10ft) :MBGW2md 2.7/ 3.2/ 3.8/ 5.0 Martinsburg (12.5) :MBGW2mj 3.1/ 3.7/ 4.4/ 5.8 Martinsburg (15) : South River... WAYV2 3.7/ 4.4/ 5.5/ 6.9 :Waynesboro (9.5ft) :WAYV2md 3.9/ 4.7/ 6.1/ 7.5 Waynesboro (11) :WAYV2mj 4.3/ 5.1/ 6.8/ 8.0 Waynesboro (13) : North Fork Shenandoah River... COOV2 2.4/ 2.9/ 3.9/ 4.8 :Cootes Store (15ft) :COOV2md 2.8/ 3.4/ 4.7/ 5.8 Cootes Store (18) :COOV2mj 3.3/ 3.9/ 5.6/ 7.0 Cootes Store (21) : Antietam Creek... SACM2 2.1/ 2.9/ 3.7/ 5.5 :Sharpsburg (8ft) :SACM2md 2.2/ 3.0/ 4.3/ 6.0 Sharpsburg (10) :SACM2mj 2.4/ 3.3/ 5.1/ 6.7 Sharpsburg (12) : Seneca Creek... DAWM2 2.1/ 2.4/ 3.2/ 3.9 :Dawsonville (7.5ft) :DAWM2md 2.7/ 3.3/ 4.9/ 6.5 Dawsonville (11) :DAWM2mj 4.7/ 5.8/ 7.4/ 8.0 Dawsonville (16) : : NWS BLACKSBURG SERVICE AREA... : Maury River... BVSV2 4.6/ 6.0/ 7.2/ 8.0 :Buena Vista (17ft) :BVSV2cs 4.2/ 5.2/ 6.5/ 7.4 Buena Vista (13) :BVSV2md 4.8/ 6.3/ 7.4/ 8.0 Buena Vista (19) :BVSV2mj 5.1/ 6.6/ 7.4/ 8.0 Buena Vista (21) .END : :=============================================================== : EXPERIMENTAL NON-FCST POINT RAW MODEL OUTPUT : NO MANUAL QC OR ADJUSTMENTS APPLIED...USE WITH CAUTION :=============================================================== : : NWS STERLING SERVICE AREA... : Rock Creek at Sherrill Drive., Washington DC .B RHA 260707 Z DH06/DC2607070730/DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF :GageID 1hr 3hr 6hr 12hr rainfall for indicated stages RCKD2 1.4/ 1.5/ 1.6/ 1.9 :Washington, DC (7ft) :RCKD2md 2.0/ 2.2/ 2.4/ 3.0 Washington, DC (10) :RCKD2mj 2.7/ 3.0/ 3.4/ 4.2 Washington, DC (12) .END : Model-simulated 3-hourly stage forecasts including QPF... .E RCKD2 20260707 DC2607070750/DH09/HGIFX/DIH3/ .E1 3.5/3.1/2.7/2.5/2.3/2.2/2.2/2.5 $$ NNNN  565 FOUS62 KALR 071347 FFGSJU COUNTY FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE...PUERTO RICO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SOUTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...ATLANTA GA 946 AM EDT TUE JUL 7 2026 INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR SPECIFIED DURATIONS REQUIRED TO PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING IN FORECAST ZONES. LOWER AMOUNTS MAY CAUSE FLASH FLOODING IN URBAN OR MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. .B ALR 20260707 Z DH12/DC202607071346 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF :IDENTIFIERS ARE 2-LETTER STATE, Z FOR ZONE, 3-DIGIT ZONE NUMBER : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR ZONE NAME :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== PRZ001 2.0/ 3.5/ 4.8 PRZ002 2.0/ 3.5/ 4.8 PRZ003 2.0/ 3.1/ 4.3 PRZ004 2.0/ 3.1/ 4.3 PRZ005 1.4/ 2.0/ 2.6 PRZ006 1.4/ 2.0/ 2.6 PRZ007 1.4/ 2.0/ 2.6 PRZ008 1.4/ 2.0/ 2.6 PRZ009 1.4/ 2.0/ 2.6 PRZ010 1.4/ 2.0/ 2.6 PRZ011 1.4/ 2.0/ 2.6 PRZ012 2.0/ 3.2/ 4.5 PRZ013 2.0/ 3.2/ 4.5 VIZ001 2.1/ 3.2/ 4.5 VIZ002 2.0/ 3.2/ 4.5 .END $$ S.E.R.F.C. 770-486-0028 or 770-282-2112 Regular Hours 6am-10pm Eastern Time After Hours Please Follow Callback Instructions  625 FOUS71 KRHA 071350 FFHNJ1 HEADWATER STATEMENT FOR NEW JERSEY STREAMS MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 930 AM EDT TUE JUL 7 2026 APPROXIMATE 1/3/6/12-HR BASIN AVERAGED RAINFALL (INCHES) REQUIRED TO CAUSE MINOR, MODERATE, AND MAJOR FLOODING AT THE INDICATED HEADWATER LOCATIONS. .B RHA 260707 Z DH12/DC2607071330/DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR 12HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : : NWS BROOKHAVEN SERVICE AREA... : Ramapo River... MAWN4 1.8/ 2.0/ 2.5/ 2.8 :Mahwah (8ft) Ramapo River :MAWN4md 2.1/ 2.3/ 2.9/ 3.4 Mahwah (9) Ramapo River :MAWN4mj 3.1/ 3.5/ 4.5/ 5.1 Mahwah (12) Ramapo River : Hohokus Brook... HOHN4 1.1/ 1.3/ 1.6/ 2.5 :Ho-Ho-Kus (3ft) Hohokus Brook : Saddle River... LODN4 1.0/ 1.0/ 1.2/ 1.9 :Lodi (5.5ft) Saddle River :LODN4md 1.4/ 1.5/ 1.8/ 2.7 Lodi (7) Saddle River :LODN4mj 1.7/ 1.8/ 2.1/ 3.2 Lodi (8) Saddle River : Rahway River... SPGN4 1.9/ 1.9/ 2.1/ 2.6 :Springfield (5.5ft) Rahway River : : NWS MT. HOLLY SERVICE AREA... : PASSAIC BASIN... : Passaic River... CAMN4 3.9/ 3.9/ 4.6/ 5.1 :Chatham (6ft) Passaic River :CAMN4md 5.1/ 5.7/ 6.5/ 7.5 Chatham (7.2) Passaic River :CAMN4mj 5.9/ 6.3/ 7.4/ 8.0 Chatham (8.2) Passaic River : Rockaway River... BOTN4 3.6/ 4.2/ 5.0/ 6.2 :Boonton Abv. (5ft) Rockaway River :BOTN4md 4.1/ 4.8/ 5.7/ 7.1 Boonton Abv. (6) Rockaway River :BOTN4mj 4.4/ 5.2/ 6.2/ 7.8 Boonton Abv. (7) Rockaway River : Whippany River... WHIN4 2.5/ 2.7/ 3.1/ 3.2 :Morristown (6ft) Whippany River : RARITAN BASIN.. : South Branch Raritan River... STTN4 2.9/ 3.3/ 4.0/ 5.1 :Stanton (8ft) S. Br. Raritan River :STTN4md 3.0/ 3.5/ 5.0/ 6.1 Stanton (10) S. Br. Raritan River :STTN4mj 3.3/ 3.8/ 5.7/ 7.0 Stanton (12) S. Br. Raritan River : North Branch Raritan River... RRTN4 2.1/ 2.4/ 2.8/ 3.6 :Raritan (10ft) N. Br. Raritan River :RRTN4md 2.3/ 2.7/ 3.3/ 4.2 Raritan (12) N. Br. Raritan River :RRTN4mj 2.7/ 3.2/ 4.1/ 5.1 Raritan (15) N. Br. Raritan River : Millstone River... BKWN4 2.9/ 3.3/ 3.5/ 3.5 :Blackwells Mills(9ft) Millstone River :BKWN4md 2.9/ 3.4/ 3.6/ 3.6 Blackwells Mills(10) Millstone River :BKWN4mj 3.3/ 3.8/ 4.4/ 5.5 Blackwells Mills(15) Millstone River : DELAWARE BASIN... : Assunpink Creek...TACN4 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.7/ 3.3 :Trenton (8.5ft) Assunpink Creek :TACN4md 2.2/ 2.4/ 3.4/ 3.9 Trenton (9.5) Assunpink Creek :TACN4mj 2.4/ 2.7/ 3.8/ 4.7 Trenton (11) Assunpink Creek .END $$ NNNN $$ NNNN  628 FOUS71 KRHA 071350 FFHPA2 HEADWATER STATEMENT FOR THE DELAWARE AND SUSQUEHANNA BASINS MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 930 AM EDT TUE JUL 7 2026 APPROXIMATE 1/3/6/12-HR BASIN AVERAGED RAINFALL (INCHES) REQUIRED TO CAUSE MINOR, MODERATE, AND MAJOR FLOODING AT THE INDICATED HEADWATER LOCATIONS. .B RHA 260707 Z DH12/DC2607071330/DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR 12HR HEADWATER NAME :======= ==== ==== ==== ==== ==================== : : NWS BINGHAMTON SERVICE AREA... : SUSQUEHANNA BASIN... : Tioughnioga River... CRTN6 1.5/ 1.8/ 2.0/ 2.3 :Cortland (8ft) :CRTN6md 1.7/ 2.0/ 2.4/ 3.0 Cortland (10) :CRTN6mj 1.9/ 2.3/ 3.0/ 3.5 Cortland (12.5) : Chenango River... SHBN6 1.4/ 1.6/ 1.7/ 1.9 :Sherburne (8.5ft) :SHBN6md 1.5/ 1.7/ 1.9/ 2.5 Sherburne (9) :SHBN6mj 1.6/ 1.8/ 2.2/ 2.9 Sherburne (10.6) : Otselic River... CINN6 2.2/ 2.4/ 2.9/ 3.7 :Cincinnatus (9ft) : ...moderate and major flood stages above rating table. : Cohocton River... CMPN6 2.0/ 2.3/ 2.6/ 3.1 :Campbell (8ft) :CMPN6md 2.2/ 2.5/ 3.3/ 3.8 Campbell (10) :CMPN6mj 2.4/ 2.8/ 3.9/ 4.3 Campbell (11) : Canisteo River... WCRN6 1.6/ 1.8/ 2.3/ 2.8 :West Cameron (17ft) :WCRN6md 1.7/ 1.9/ 2.4/ 3.0 West Cameron (18) :WCRN6mj 2.0/ 2.2/ 2.9/ 3.7 West Cameron (21) : Towanda Creek... MONP1 2.1/ 2.4/ 3.0/ 3.9 :Monroeton (15.5ft) :MONP1md 2.2/ 2.6/ 3.3/ 4.2 Monroeton (17) :MONP1mj 2.5/ 2.8/ 3.7/ 4.7 Monroeton (18.5) : Tunkhannock Creek... TNKP1 2.2/ 2.6/ 3.4/ 4.2 :Tunkhannock (11ft) :TNKP1md 2.4/ 2.8/ 3.9/ 4.7 Tunkhannock (14) :TNKP1mj 2.6/ 3.1/ 4.4/ 5.2 Tunkhannock (17) : Lackawanna River... OFRP1 2.1/ 2.4/ 2.9/ 3.8 :Old Forge (11ft) :OFRP1md 2.2/ 2.5/ 3.1/ 4.0 Old Forge (13) :OFRP1mj 2.4/ 2.7/ 3.4/ 4.4 Old Forge (16) : DELAWARE BASIN... : East Branch Delaware River... MRGN6 2.5/ 2.8/ 3.4/ 3.9 :Margaretville (11ft) :MRGN6md 3.1/ 3.6/ 4.3/ 5.1 Margaretville (12) :MRGN6mj 3.8/ 4.4/ 5.4/ 6.5 Margaretville (13) : West Branch Delaware River... WALN6 1.8/ 1.9/ 2.1/ 2.6 :Walton (11.5ft) :WALN6md 2.1/ 2.3/ 2.7/ 3.1 Walton (14) :WALN6mj 2.7/ 2.9/ 3.4/ 3.9 Walton (16) : Beaverkill Creek... CKFN6 1.7/ 1.8/ 2.2/ 2.7 :Cooks Falls (10ft) :CKFN6md 2.6/ 2.9/ 3.7/ 4.9 Cooks Falls (16) :CKFN6mj 3.0/ 3.4/ 4.5/ 6.1 Cooks Falls (18) : Lackawaxen River... HWYP1 2.3/ 2.6/ 3.2/ 4.0 :Hawley (14ft) :HWYP1md 3.0/ 3.4/ 4.2/ 5.3 Hawley (20) :HWYP1mj 3.3/ 3.7/ 4.6/ 5.8 Hawley (22) : : NWS STATE COLLEGE SERVICE AREA... : SUSQUEHANNA BASIN... : Tioga River... MFDP1 1.7/ 2.2/ 3.2/ 3.8 :Mansfield (12ft) :MFDP1md 1.8/ 2.4/ 3.5/ 4.2 Mansfield (13) :MFDP1mj 2.0/ 2.7/ 4.0/ 4.8 Mansfield (14) : Penns Creek... PNCP1 2.6/ 2.9/ 3.1/ 3.6 :Penns Creek (8ft) :PNCP1md 2.7/ 3.1/ 3.6/ 4.5 Penns Creek (10) :PNCP1mj 3.0/ 3.5/ 4.3/ 5.4 Penns Creek (12) : Frankstown Branch Juniata River... WIBP1 1.3/ 1.5/ 1.6/ 1.6 :Williamsburg (12ft) :WIBP1md 1.3/ 1.5/ 1.7/ 1.7 Williamsburg (13) :WIBP1mj 1.4/ 1.6/ 1.9/ 2.1 Williamsburg (15) : Little Juniata River... SPKP1 0.6/ 0.7/ 0.7/ 0.7 :Spruce Creek (8ft) :SPKP1md 0.7/ 0.8/ 1.0/ 1.0 Spruce Creek (10) :SPKP1mj 1.1/ 1.2/ 1.7/ 2.0 Spruce Creek (14) : Aughwick Creek... SLYP1 1.6/ 1.8/ 2.1/ 3.0 :Shirleysburg (10ft) :SLYP1md 1.8/ 2.1/ 2.5/ 3.4 Shirleysburg (12) :SLYP1mj 4.0/ 4.5/ 5.6/ 7.9 Shirleysburg (20) : Sherman Creek... SMDP1 2.1/ 2.5/ 3.0/ 3.6 :Shermans Dale (9ft) :SMDP1md 2.5/ 2.9/ 3.5/ 4.2 Shermans Dale (11) :SMDP1mj 3.8/ 4.5/ 5.4/ 6.2 Shermans Dale (16) : Conodoguinet Creek... HGSP1 3.3/ 3.4/ 3.7/ 3.7 :Hogestown (8ft) :HGSP1md 3.5/ 3.8/ 4.7/ 5.2 Hogestown (10) :HGSP1mj 3.8/ 4.3/ 5.4/ 6.1 Hogestown (12) : Yellow Breeches Creek... CPHP1 2.1/ 2.4/ 2.7/ 4.1 :Camp Hill (7ft) :CPHP1md 2.2/ 2.5/ 3.0/ 4.4 Camp Hill (9) :CPHP1mj 2.7/ 3.1/ 4.0/ 5.5 Camp Hill (13) : Swatara Creek... HTVP1 2.4/ 2.8/ 3.2/ 4.4 :Harper Tavern (9ft) :HTVP1md 2.7/ 3.2/ 3.9/ 5.3 Harper Tavern (12) :HTVP1mj 3.1/ 3.7/ 4.4/ 6.1 Harper Tavern (15) : Conestoga River... LNCP1 1.8/ 2.2/ 2.4/ 3.5 :Lancaster (11ft) :LNCP1md 1.9/ 2.4/ 2.7/ 3.9 Lancaster (13) :LNCP1mj 2.1/ 2.7/ 3.2/ 4.4 Lancaster (15) : DELAWARE BASIN... : Schuylkill River... LGVP1 2.8/ 3.0/ 3.0/ 3.2 :Landingville (8ft) :LGVP1md 3.6/ 3.9/ 4.1/ 4.4 Landingville (12) :LGVP1mj 4.4/ 4.8/ 5.0/ 5.6 Landingville (14) : : NWS MT. HOLLY SERVICE AREA... : DELAWARE BASIN... : Schuylkill River... BREP1 3.0/ 3.7/ 4.4/ 5.7 :Berne (12ft) :BREP1md 3.3/ 4.1/ 5.1/ 6.6 Berne (14) :BREP1mj 3.7/ 4.6/ 5.6/ 7.3 Berne (16) : Bush Kill... SHOP1 2.5/ 3.2/ 3.4/ 3.4 :Shoemakers (6ft) :SHOP1md 2.7/ 3.4/ 4.0/ 4.5 Shoemakers (7) :SHOP1mj 2.9/ 3.6/ 4.5/ 5.1 Shoemakers (8) : Brodhead Creek... MNSP1 1.8/ 2.3/ 3.0/ 4.2 :Minisink Hills(10ft) :MNSP1md 1.9/ 2.5/ 3.5/ 4.6 Minisink Hills(12) :MNSP1mj 2.2/ 2.8/ 4.1/ 5.4 Minisink Hills(15) : Little Lehigh Creek...APAP1 4.3/ 4.6/ 5.1/ 6.0 :Allentown-10th (8ft) :APAP1md 5.3/ 5.7/ 6.3/ 7.6 Allentown-10th (10) :APAP1mj 6.3/ 6.8/ 7.4/ 8.0 Allentown-10th (12) : Perkiomen Creek... GRAP1 1.7/ 2.1/ 2.8/ 3.5 :Graterford (11ft) :GRAP1md 1.8/ 2.3/ 3.2/ 3.9 Graterford (13) :GRAP1mj 2.1/ 2.7/ 3.8/ 4.6 Graterford (16) : Neshaminy Creek... LNGP1 2.4/ 2.4/ 2.4/ 2.4 :Langhorne (9ft) :LNGP1md 2.6/ 2.8/ 3.1/ 3.2 Langhorne (10) :LNGP1mj 2.8/ 3.0/ 3.7/ 4.0 Langhorne (12) : Chester Creek... CHSP1 2.3/ 2.3/ 2.6/ 3.2 :Chester (8ft) :CHSP1md 2.8/ 2.9/ 3.2/ 4.0 Chester (10) :CHSP1mj 3.7/ 3.9/ 4.3/ 5.3 Chester (14) : West Branch Brandywine Creek... MODP1 4.8/ 5.0/ 5.4/ 5.6 :Modena (9ft) :MODP1md 5.4/ 5.6/ 6.1/ 6.3 Modena (10) :MODP1mj 6.5/ 7.0/ 7.4/ 8.0 Modena (12) : East Branch Brandywine Creek... DWNP1 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.3/ 2.5 :Downingtown (7ft) :DWNP1md 3.0/ 3.1/ 3.2/ 3.5 Downingtown (9) :DWNP1mj 4.0/ 4.1/ 4.2/ 4.6 Downingtown (11) : Brandywine Creek... CDFP1 2.8/ 2.8/ 2.8/ 3.1 :Chadds Ford (9ft) :CDFP1md 2.9/ 3.0/ 3.3/ 4.2 Chadds Ford (11) :CDFP1mj 3.1/ 3.2/ 3.9/ 4.9 Chadds Ford (13) : Christina River... CHBD1 1.9/ 2.0/ 2.3/ 3.2 :Coochs Brdg(11ft) :CHBD1md 2.2/ 2.4/ 2.8/ 3.9 Coochs Brdg(12) :CHBD1mj 2.9/ 3.2/ 3.7/ 5.0 Coochs Brdg(13) : White Clay Creek... DPKD1 2.2/ 2.3/ 2.5/ 3.2 :Delaware Pk (13ft) :DPKD1md 3.0/ 3.1/ 3.3/ 4.1 Delaware Pk (15) :DPKD1mj 4.0/ 4.2/ 4.6/ 5.7 Delaware Pk (16.5) : Red Clay Creek... RCCD1 2.5/ 2.8/ 3.0/ 3.5 :Wooddale (7ft) :RCCD1md 3.2/ 3.5/ 3.9/ 4.5 Wooddale (8.5) :RCCD1mj 3.9/ 4.2/ 4.7/ 5.5 Wooddale (10) .END :=============================================================== : EXPERIMENTAL NON-FCST POINT RAW MODEL OUTPUT : NO MANUAL QC OR ADJUSTMENTS APPLIED...USE WITH CAUTION :=============================================================== : : NWS BINGHAMTON SERVICE AREA... .B RHA 260707 Z DH12/DC2607071330/DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF :GageID 1hr 3hr 6hr 12hr rainfall for indicated stages : Lackawanna River... ARHP1 3.2/ 3.3/ 3.7/ 4.4 :Archbald (8ft) :ARHP1md 3.8/ 3.9/ 4.3/ 5.4 Archbald (9) :ARHP1mj 4.4/ 4.5/ 5.1/ 6.4 Archbald (10) PKIP1 4.0/ 4.1/ 4.2/ 4.7 :Scranton (12.5ft.) :PKIP1md 4.3/ 4.4/ 4.5/ 5.1 Scranton (14) :PKIP1mj 4.4/ 4.5/ 4.7/ 5.3 Scranton (15) .END : Model-simulated 3-hourly stage forecasts including QPF... .E ARHP1 20260707 DC2607071350/DH15/HGIFX/DIH3/ .E1 2.2/2.3/2.3/2.2/2.2/2.2/2.1/2.1 .E PKIP1 20260707 DC2607071350/DH15/HGIFX/DIH3/ .E1 1.5/1.5/1.5/1.5/1.5/1.4/1.4/1.4 $$ NNNN  629 FOUS71 KRHA 071350 FFHVA2 HEADWATER STATEMENT FOR THE POTOMAC AND JAMES BASINS MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 930 AM EDT TUE JUL 7 2026 APPROXIMATE 1/3/6/12-HR BASIN AVERAGED RAINFALL (INCHES) REQUIRED TO CAUSE MINOR, MODERATE, AND MAJOR FLOODING AT THE INDICATED HEADWATER LOCATIONS. .B RHA 260707 Z DH12/DC2607071330/DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR 12HR HEADWATER NAME :======= ==== ==== ==== ==== ==================== : : NWS STERLING SERVICE AREA... : POTOMAC BASIN... : North Branch Potomac River... KITM2 2.2/ 2.4/ 2.9/ 3.7 :Kitzmiller (9ft) :KITM2md 3.0/ 3.4/ 4.2/ 5.7 Kitzmiller (11) :KITM2mj 4.4/ 4.9/ 6.4/ 8.0 Kitzmiller (13) : Georges Creek... WSTM2 1.1/ 1.3/ 1.5/ 1.8 :Westernport (8ft) :WSTM2md 1.7/ 2.0/ 2.3/ 2.7 Westernport (10) :WSTM2mj 2.4/ 2.7/ 3.1/ 3.7 Westernport (12) : South Branch Potomac River... FKLW2 1.9/ 2.4/ 2.7/ 3.9 :Franklin (7ft) :FKLW2md 2.1/ 2.6/ 3.1/ 4.5 Franklin (9) :FKLW2mj 2.3/ 2.9/ 3.6/ 5.2 Franklin (11) : Opequon Creek... MBGW2 2.5/ 3.1/ 3.6/ 4.0 :Martinsburg (10ft) :MBGW2md 2.7/ 3.3/ 3.8/ 5.1 Martinsburg (12.5) :MBGW2mj 3.1/ 3.7/ 4.4/ 5.8 Martinsburg (15) : South River... WAYV2 3.8/ 4.4/ 5.5/ 6.9 :Waynesboro (9.5ft) :WAYV2md 4.0/ 4.7/ 6.1/ 7.5 Waynesboro (11) :WAYV2mj 4.3/ 5.1/ 6.8/ 8.0 Waynesboro (13) : North Fork Shenandoah River... COOV2 2.4/ 2.9/ 4.0/ 4.8 :Cootes Store (15ft) :COOV2md 2.8/ 3.4/ 4.8/ 5.8 Cootes Store (18) :COOV2mj 3.3/ 4.0/ 5.7/ 7.0 Cootes Store (21) : Antietam Creek... SACM2 2.2/ 2.9/ 3.7/ 5.5 :Sharpsburg (8ft) :SACM2md 2.3/ 3.1/ 4.3/ 6.0 Sharpsburg (10) :SACM2mj 2.4/ 3.3/ 5.1/ 6.7 Sharpsburg (12) : Seneca Creek... DAWM2 2.3/ 2.5/ 3.1/ 3.7 :Dawsonville (7.5ft) :DAWM2md 2.8/ 3.4/ 5.0/ 6.5 Dawsonville (11) :DAWM2mj 4.8/ 5.9/ 7.4/ 8.0 Dawsonville (16) : : NWS BLACKSBURG SERVICE AREA... : Maury River... BVSV2 4.6/ 6.0/ 7.2/ 8.0 :Buena Vista (17ft) :BVSV2cs 4.2/ 5.2/ 6.6/ 7.4 Buena Vista (13) :BVSV2md 4.8/ 6.3/ 7.4/ 8.0 Buena Vista (19) :BVSV2mj 5.1/ 6.6/ 7.4/ 8.0 Buena Vista (21) .END : :=============================================================== : EXPERIMENTAL NON-FCST POINT RAW MODEL OUTPUT : NO MANUAL QC OR ADJUSTMENTS APPLIED...USE WITH CAUTION :=============================================================== : : NWS STERLING SERVICE AREA... : Rock Creek at Sherrill Drive., Washington DC .B RHA 260707 Z DH12/DC2607071330/DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF :GageID 1hr 3hr 6hr 12hr rainfall for indicated stages RCKD2 1.4/ 1.5/ 1.6/ 2.0 :Washington, DC (7ft) :RCKD2md 2.0/ 2.2/ 2.5/ 3.1 Washington, DC (10) :RCKD2mj 2.8/ 3.1/ 3.4/ 4.2 Washington, DC (12) .END : Model-simulated 3-hourly stage forecasts including QPF... .E RCKD2 20260707 DC2607071350/DH15/HGIFX/DIH3/ .E1 2.8/2.5/2.4/2.3/2.4/2.5/2.5/2.5 $$ NNNN  027 FOUS73 KMSR 071400 FFHLOT HEADWATER FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 900 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2026 CHICAGO HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA AVERAGE INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR GIVEN DURATIONS REQUIRED TO INITIATE FLASH FLOODING AT THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. .B MSR 260707 Z DH12/DC2607071400 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : : *** ILLINOIS HEADWATER POINTS *** : NBPI2 2.4/ 2.5/ 2.7 :CHICAGO IL N BR CHICAGO R CDCI2 1.9/ 2.0/ 2.2 :CHICAGO HEIGHTS IL DEER CR DRFI2 2.3/ 2.6/ 3.6 :DEERFIELD IL N BR CHICAGO R DEKI2 3.5/ 4.0/ 4.5 :DE KALB IL S BR KISHWAUKEE R DSPI2 3.1/ 3.2/ 3.4 :DES PLAINES IL DES PLAINES R WLRI2 2.7/ 3.0/ 3.4 :DES PLAINES IL WELLER CR EMHI2 2.5/ 2.8/ 3.1 :ELMHURST IL SALT CR FLSI2 1.8/ 2.0/ 2.2 :FLOSSMOOR IL BUTTERFIELD CR GLWI2 2.3/ 2.6/ 2.9 :GLENWOOD IL THORN CR GUNI2 2.9/ 2.9/ 3.1 :GURNEE IL DES PLAINES R JHCI2 2.0/ 2.2/ 2.4 :JOLIET IL HICKORY CR LAFI2 2.3/ 2.6/ 3.6 :LAKE FOREST IL SKOKIE R NILI2 3.2/ 4.0/ 4.5 :NILES IL N BR CHICAGO R NBRI2 3.5/ 4.0/ 4.5 :NORTHBROOK IL W FK N BR CHICAGO R OAKI2 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.2 :OAK FOREST IL MIDLOTHIAN CR MCDI2 3.2/ 3.5/ 3.9 :PROSPECT HTS IL MCDONALD CR ALPI2 1.4/ 1.6/ 1.7 :ROCKFORD IL ALPINE DAM-KEITH CR LEVI2 1.8/ 2.0/ 2.4 :ROCKFORD IL LEVINGS LAKE PPLI2 1.9/ 2.2/ 2.6 :ROCKFORD IL PAGE PARK LAKE ROLI2 2.6/ 3.0/ 3.4 :ROLLING MEADOWS IL SALT CR SCHI2 3.2/ 3.6/ 3.9 :ST CHARLES IL FERSON CR SORI2 2.8/ 2.4/ 2.0 :SHOREWOOD IL DU PAGE R THNI2 1.3/ 1.2/ 1.1 :THORNTON IL THORN CR WHEI2 2.8/ 3.0/ 3.3 :WHEELING IL BUFFALO CR WLSI2 3.2/ 3.7/ 4.3 :WILLOW SPRINGS IL FLAG CR YRKI2 0.5/ 1.0/ 1.0 :YORKVILLE IL BLACKBERRY CR : : *** INDIANA HEADWATER POINTS *** : HDDI3 3.3/ 3.4/ 3.6 :DYER IN HART DITCH MNTI3 2.8/ 2.8/ 2.8 :MUNSTER IN HART DITCH LCMI3 1.8/ 1.7/ 1.7 :MUNSTER IN LITTLE CALUMET R PRTI3 1.8/ 1.8/ 1.8 :PORTER IN LITTLE CALUMET R .END $$  028 FOUS73 KMSR 071400 FFHMKX HEADWATER FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 900 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2026 MILWAUKEE HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA AVERAGE INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR GIVEN DURATIONS REQUIRED TO INITIATE FLASH FLOODING AT THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. .B MSR 260707 Z DH12/DC2607071400 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : : *** WISCONSIN HEADWATER POINTS *** : AFTW3 2.7/ 3.0/ 3.5 :AFTON WI ROCK R BCHW3 1.8/ 1.9/ 2.1 :BLANCHARDVILLE WI E BR PECATONICA R BUNW3 2.6/ 2.7/ 3.0 :BUNCOMBE WI GALENA R DARW3 2.1/ 2.3/ 2.6 :DARLINGTON WI PECATONICA R MTNW3 1.7/ 1.9/ 2.1 :MARTINTOWN WI PECATONICA R MAZW3 2.5/ 2.6/ 2.8 :MAZOMANIE WI BLACK EARTH CR KINW3 3.5/ 4.0/ 4.5 :MILWAUKEE WI KINNICKINNIC R SEBW3 2.8/ 2.9/ 3.1 :SHEBOYGAN WI SHEBOYGAN R WKEW3 3.2/ 3.2/ 3.3 :WAUKESHA WI FOX R WWTW3 3.5/ 3.9/ 4.2 :WAUWATOSA WI MENOMONEE R BLOW3 2.0/ 2.0/ 2.2 :BELOIT WI TURTLE CR MFSW3 0.5/ 1.0/ 1.0 :MENOMONEE FALLS WI MENOMONEE R OAKW3 2.9/ 3.0/ 3.5 :SOUTH MILWAUKEE OAK CR .END $$  030 FOUS73 KMSR 071400 FFHLSX HEADWATER FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 900 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2026 ST LOUIS HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA AVERAGE INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR GIVEN DURATIONS REQUIRED TO INITIATE FLASH FLOODING AT THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. .B MSR 260707 Z DH12/DC2607071400 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : : *** MISSOURI HEADWATER POINTS *** : EWNM7 3.3/ 3.4/ 3.6 :EWING MO 5E NORTH FABIUS R EWMM7 3.4/ 3.5/ 3.7 :EWING MO 1NNE MIDDLE FABIUS R PALM7 2.0/ 2.0/ 2.1 :PALMYRA MO NORTH R TAYM7 2.1/ 2.4/ 2.7 :TAYLOR MO S FABIUS R PMZM7 2.3/ 2.4/ 2.5 :HOLLIDAY MO 2N MI FK SALT R TRYM7 1.9/ 2.0/ 2.1 :TROY MO CUIVRE R DRCM7 2.4/ 2.4/ 2.6 :ST PETERS MO DARDENNE CR LSLM7 2.1/ 2.3/ 2.6 :LAKE SAINT LOUIS PERUQUE CR - ABOVE LSTM7 1.7/ 1.9/ 2.0 :LAKE ST LOUIS MO PERUQUE CR CSNM7 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.3 :COOK STATION MO 1N MERAMEC R SEEM7 1.3/ 1.4/ 1.7 :STEELVILLE MO 2N MERAMEC R UNNM7 3.4/ 3.6/ 3.9 :UNION MO BOURBEUSE R BYRM7 2.9/ 3.3/ 3.8 :BYRNESVILLE MO 2NNE BIG R .END $$  031 FOUS73 KMSR 071400 FFHILX HEADWATER FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 900 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2026 LINCOLN HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA AVERAGE INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR GIVEN DURATIONS REQUIRED TO INITIATE FLASH FLOODING AT THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. .B MSR 260707 Z DH12/DC2607071400 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : : *** ILLINOIS HEADWATER POINTS *** : BMII2 3.5/ 4.0/ 4.5 :BLOOMINGTON IL SUGAR CR RLLI2 2.0/ 2.0/ 2.0 :ROWELL IL SALT CR .END $$  032 FOUS73 KMSR 071400 FFHFGF HEADWATER FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 900 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2026 GRAND FORKS HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA AVERAGE INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR GIVEN DURATIONS REQUIRED TO INITIATE FLASH FLOODING AT THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. .B MSR 260707 Z DH12/DC2607071400 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : : *** MINNESOTA HEADWATER POINTS *** : CSRM5 2.5/ 2.6/ 2.6 :CAMPBELL MN 1W SO FK RABBIT R MALM5 3.1/ 3.7/ 3.9 :MALUNG MN 2NW ROSEAU R BLO SO FK : : *** NORTH DAKOTA HEADWATER POINTS *** : DWGN8 3.5/ 4.0/ 4.5 :DWIGHT ND 1NE ANTELOPE CR HGRN8 3.5/ 4.0/ 4.5 :HILLSBORO ND GOOSE R LTRN8 2.5/ 2.6/ 2.8 :LARIMORE ND 5ENE TURTLE R .END $$  033 FOUS73 KMSR 071400 FFHMPX HEADWATER FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 900 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2026 TWIN CITIES HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA AVERAGE INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR GIVEN DURATIONS REQUIRED TO INITIATE FLASH FLOODING AT THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. .B MSR 260707 Z DH12/DC2607071400 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : : *** MINNESOTA HEADWATER POINTS *** : SNCM5 1.4/ 1.6/ 1.7 :JORDAN MN SAND CR PNLM5 2.6/ 2.9/ 3.9 :PINE ISLAND MN MID FK ZUMBRO R PILM5 3.5/ 4.0/ 4.5 :PINE ISLAND MN N B MID FK ZUMBRO R WGOM5 2.9/ 3.1/ 3.3 :WANAMINGO MN NO FK ZUMBRO R .END $$  039 FOUS73 KMSR 071400 FFHAPX HEADWATER FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 900 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2026 GAYLORD HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA AVERAGE INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR GIVEN DURATIONS REQUIRED TO INITIATE FLASH FLOODING AT THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. .B MSR 260707 Z DH12/DC2607071400 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : : *** MICHIGAN HEADWATER POINTS *** : BVTM4 3.5/ 4.0/ 4.5 :BEAVERTON MI TOBACCO R MYFM4 3.5/ 3.6/ 3.7 :MAYFIELD MI BOARDMAN R RUDM4 3.5/ 4.0/ 4.5 :RUDYARD MI PINE RIVER .END $$  040 FOUS73 KMSR 071400 FFHDMX HEADWATER FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 900 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2026 DES MOINES HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA AVERAGE INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR GIVEN DURATIONS REQUIRED TO INITIATE FLASH FLOODING AT THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. .B MSR 260707 Z DH12/DC2607071400 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : : *** IOWA HEADWATER POINTS *** : AKWI4 2.7/ 2.8/ 2.9 :ACKWORTH IA SOUTH R AMWI4 2.2/ 2.3/ 2.3 :AMES IA IOWAY CR BSSI4 3.0/ 3.2/ 3.4 :BUSSEY IA CEDAR CR DFMI4 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.5 :DSM-EASTON FOUR MILE CR CLVI4 2.1/ 2.3/ 2.5 :CLIVE I-80/35 WALNUT CR DOSI4 2.2/ 2.3/ 2.6 :DSM-63RD ST WALNUT CR MCWI4 2.8/ 2.9/ 3.0 :MASON CITY IA WINNEBAGO R .END $$  041 FOUS73 KMSR 071400 FFHARX HEADWATER FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 900 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2026 LA CROSSE HYDRLOGIC SERVICE AREA AVERAGE INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR GIVEN DURATIONS REQUIRED TO INITIATE FLASH FLOODING AT THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. .B MSR 260707 Z DH12/DC2607071400 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : : *** IOWA HEADWATER POINTS *** : DEHI4 3.5/ 3.5/ 3.6 :DECORAH IA UPPER IOWA R DCHI4 2.3/ 2.4/ 2.6 :DORCHESTER IA UPPER IOWA R GRBI4 2.0/ 2.1/ 2.3 :GARBER IA TURKEY R : : *** MINNESOTA HEADWATER POINTS *** : ASTM5 2.0/ 2.2/ 2.3 :AUSTIN WWTP MN CEDAR R DOBM5 2.5/ 2.5/ 2.6 :AUSTIN MN-21ST DOBBINS CR TRCM5 2.4/ 2.6/ 3.1 :AUSTIN MN-41 AV NW TURTLE CR HOUM5 1.5/ 1.6/ 1.8 :HOUSTON MN ROOT R LNSM5 2.4/ 2.5/ 2.6 :LANESBORO MN S BR ROOT R LANM5 2.5/ 2.5/ 2.7 :LANSING MN CEDAR R PTNM5 2.3/ 2.3/ 2.4 :PRESTON MN S BR ROOT R RBCM5 2.8/ 2.9/ 3.2 :ROCHESTER MN BEAR CR RCCM5 2.5/ 2.6/ 2.9 :ROCHESTER MN CASCADE CR ROCM5 3.0/ 3.1/ 3.4 :ROCHESTER MN SILVER CR RCSM5 3.5/ 4.0/ 4.5 :HWY 14 ROCHESTER S FK ZUMBRO R RCHM5 2.8/ 3.1/ 3.5 :ROCHESTER MN S FK ZUMBRO R WSPM5 2.2/ 2.3/ 2.7 :WHITEWATER ST.PK MFK WHITEWATER R ZUMM5 2.7/ 3.1/ 4.0 :ZUMBRO FALLS MN ZUMBRO R : : *** WISCONSIN HEADWATER POINTS *** : BTNW3 2.1/ 2.2/ 2.2 :BURTON WI GRANT R DDGW3 3.1/ 3.2/ 3.2 :DODGE WI TREMPEALEAU R GMIW3 2.6/ 2.7/ 2.9 :GAYS MILLS WI KICKAPOO R HILW3 2.0/ 2.1/ 2.2 :HILLSBORO WWTP WI S BR BARABOO R LAFW3 2.9/ 3.0/ 3.1 :LA FARGE WI KICKAPOO R NEIW3 2.7/ 3.2/ 3.7 :NEILLSVILLE WI BLACK R ONTW3 3.1/ 3.2/ 3.3 :ONTARIO WI KICKAPOO R REAW3 2.8/ 2.9/ 2.9 :READSTOWN WI KICKAPOO R RVLW3 2.3/ 2.5/ 2.5 :ROCKVILLE WI 2E PLATTE R SOGW3 2.7/ 2.8/ 2.8 :SOLDIERS GROVE WI KICKAPOO R STEW3 0.5/ 1.0/ 1.0 :STEUBEN WI KICKAPOO R VIOW3 2.8/ 2.9/ 2.9 :VIOLA WI KICKAPOO R .END $$  765 FGUS74 KORN 071517 FFHMRX HEADWATER GUIDANCE FOR HSA.....MORRISTOWN TN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER FORECAST CENTER, SLIDELL LA 1016 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2026 INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR SPECIFIED DURATIONS REQUIRED TO PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING IN HEADWATERS. .B SIL 260707 Z DH12/DC2607071516 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF/PPDCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR 12HR 24HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : :.....TENNESSEE : DOET1 3.5/ 4.0/ 4.5/ 5.4/ 6.5 :ELIZABETHTON, TN DOE R. RMTT1 3.5/ 4.2/ 5.5/ 5.7/ 6.5 :ROAN MOUNTAIN, TN DOE R. : :.....VIRGINIA : CLVV2 2.6/ 2.8/ 3.1/ 3.6/ 4.7 :CLEVELAND, VA CLINCH R. .END $$  760 FOUS74 KORN 071517 FFHGSP HEADWATER GUIDANCE FOR HSA.....GREENVILLE/SPARTANBURG SC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER FORECAST CENTER, SLIDELL LA 1016 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2026 INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR SPECIFIED DURATIONS REQUIRED TO PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING IN HEADWATERS. .B SIL 260707 Z DH12/DC2607071516 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF/PPDCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR 12HR 24HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : :.....NORTH CAROLINA : ROSN7 3.5/ 5.0/ 5.5/ 6.0/ 6.5 :ROSMAN, NC FRENCH BROAD R. BLTN7 3.5/ 4.7/ 5.5/ 6.0/ 6.5 :BILTMORE, NC SWANNANOAH R. BIRN7 3.5/ 5.0/ 5.5/ 6.0/ 6.5 :BIRDTOWN, NC OCONALUFTEE R. .END $$  761 FOUS74 KORN 071517 FFHHUN HEADWATER GUIDANCE FOR HSA.....HUNTSVILLE AL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER FORECAST CENTER, SLIDELL LA 1016 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2026 INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR SPECIFIED DURATIONS REQUIRED TO PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING IN HEADWATERS. .B SIL 260707 Z DH12/DC2607071516 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : :.....ALABAMA : FRYA1 2.0/ 2.2/ 2.4 :FARLEY, AL ALDRIDGE CREEK SHEA1 1.9/ 2.0/ 2.2 :SHERWOOD, AL ALDRIDGE CREEK ATNA1 3.5/ 3.8/ 4.1 :ATHENS, AL LIMESTONE CREEK BPPA1 3.1/ 3.3/ 3.5 :BUCKS POCKET, AL S. SAUTY CREEK MADA1 2.9/ 3.2/ 3.4 :MADISON, AL INDIAN CREEK .END $$  762 FOUS74 KORN 071517 FFHRNK HEADWATER GUIDANCE FOR HSA.....BLACKSBURG VA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER FORECAST CENTER, SLIDELL LA 1016 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2026 INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR SPECIFIED DURATIONS REQUIRED TO PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING IN HEADWATERS. .B SIL 260707 Z DH12/DC2607071516 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF/PPDCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR 12HR 24HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : :.....VIRGINIA : SALV2 2.2/ 2.4/ 2.8/ 3.4/ 4.6 :SALTVILLE, VA N.F. HOLSTON R. SGWN7 1.7/ 1.8/ 2.0/ 3.1/ 3.4 :SUGAR GROVE, NC WATAUGA R. SMFV2 2.8/ 3.1/ 3.4/ 4.0/ 4.9 :SEVEN MILE FORD, VA M.F. HOLSTON R. RLRV2 1.3/ 1.5/ 1.6/ 2.1/ 3.0 :RICHLANDS, VA CLINCH R. .END $$  764 FOUS74 KORN 071517 FFHLZK HEADWATER GUIDANCE FOR HSA.....LITTLE ROCK AR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER FORECAST CENTER, SLIDELL LA 1016 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2026 INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR SPECIFIED DURATIONS REQUIRED TO PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING IN HEADWATERS. .B SIL 260707 Z DH12/DC2607071516 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : :.....ARKANSAS : BTNA4 3.2/ 3.5/ 4.0 :BENTON, AR SALINE R. CIGA4 2.5/ 2.7/ 3.0 :CLINTON, AR S. FK LZKTLE RED R. HDYA4 3.4/ 4.2/ 5.3 :HARDY, AR SPRING R. .END $$  766 FOUS74 KORN 071517 FFHSHV HEADWATER GUIDANCE FOR HSA.....SHREVEPORT LA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER FORECAST CENTER, SLIDELL LA 1016 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2026 INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR SPECIFIED DURATIONS REQUIRED TO PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING IN HEADWATERS. .B SIL 260707 Z DH12/DC2607071516 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : :.....LOUISIANA : KEIL1 3.5/ 4.5/ 4.7 :KEITHVILLE, LA CYPRESS BAYOU .END $$  767 FOUS74 KORN 071517 FFHFFC HEADWATER GUIDANCE FOR HSA.....ATLANTA GA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER FORECAST CENTER, SLIDELL LA 1016 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2026 INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR SPECIFIED DURATIONS REQUIRED TO PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING IN HEADWATERS. .B SIL 260707 Z DH12/DC2607071516 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : :.....GEORGIA : ENGG1 1.9/ 2.1/ 2.4 :NEW ENGLAND, GA LOOKOUT CREEK HWEG1 3.5/ 4.3/ 5.4 :HIAWASSEE, GA HIAWASSEE R. .END $$  768 FOUS74 KORN 071517 FFHJAN HEADWATER GUIDANCE FOR HSA.....JACKSON MS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER FORECAST CENTER, SLIDELL LA 1016 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2026 INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR SPECIFIED DURATIONS REQUIRED TO PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING IN HEADWATERS. .B SIL 260707 Z DH12/DC2607071516 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : :.....MISSISSIPPI : MEIM6 3.5/ 4.1/ 4.5 :MERIDIAN, MS SOWASHEE CREEK JCCM6 3.4/ 3.8/ 4.2 :JACKSON, MS CANY CREEK JHMM6 3.5/ 3.9/ 4.4 :JACKSON, MS HANGING MOSS CREEK LYNM6 3.5/ 3.8/ 4.3 :JACKSON, MS LYNCH CREEK TOWM6 3.5/ 3.8/ 4.2 :JACKSON, MS TOWN CREEK UBCM6 3.5/ 3.9/ 4.3 :JACKSON, MS EUBANKS CREEK .END $$  771 FOUS74 KORN 071517 FFHLSX HEADWATER GUIDANCE FOR HSA.....ST. LOUIS MO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER FORECAST CENTER, SLIDELL LA 1016 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2026 INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR SPECIFIED DURATIONS REQUIRED TO PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING IN HEADWATERS. .B SIL 260707 Z DH12/DC2607071516 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : :.....MISSOURI : ANNM7 3.5/ 4.7/ 5.5 :ANNAPOLIS, MO BLACK R. .END $$  179 AWUS01 KWNH 071646 FFGMPD VAZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-MSZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-072159- Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0637 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 1245 PM EDT Tue Jul 07 2026 Areas affected...Lower OH Valley...TN Valley Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible Valid 071644Z - 072159Z Summary...Expanding coverage of slow moving thunderstorms with 2"/hr rainfall rates could support isolated instances of flash flooding this afternoon. Discussion...Recent radar mosaic shows increasing coverage of thunderstorms across the discussion area as upwind vorticity maxima interact with an unstable and weakly sheared airmass near a washed out stationary front. Earlier today, the 12z BNA sounding ahead of the front highlighted a favorable environment for efficient warm rainfall production in the region, featuring a "tall-skinny" CAPE profile, 1.82" PW, and warm cloud layer around 12,000 feet. Since then, strong heating and moistening of this airmass has resulted in a positive MLCAPE and PW change of 1000 J/kg and 0.2", respectively. Thus, a rapid uptick in showers and thunderstorms is expected over the next several hours as the vorticity maxima and front linger overhead. Weak vertical shear will limit the overall longevity and organization of storms, but this will also support slow cell motions (around 10 kts) and chaotic cell mergers to drive hourly rainfall rates exceeding 2"/hr in the most intense updrafts. The last several runs of the HRRR have trended upwards in terms of the rainfall magnitude this afternoon, and suggest localized rainfall totals of 2-4" are possible through 22z. With 1" HR FFGs in the 1-2.5" range, this could support isolated flash flooding going forward today. Asherman ...Please see www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...JKL...LMK...MEG...MRX...OHX...PAH... ATTN...RFC...ORN...TIR...NWC... LAT...LON 38348523 38098466 37358384 37068305 36878221 36138281 35708485 35898672 35158877 34959003 35529039 36758949 37298847 37578747 38258620  203 AWUS01 KWNH 071826 FFGMPD PAZ000-MDZ000-VAZ000-NCZ000-WVZ000-TNZ000-080003- Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0638 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 224 PM EDT Tue Jul 07 2026 Areas affected...Central Appalachians Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible Valid 071823Z - 080003Z Summary...Thunderstorms containing very heavy 2-3"/hr rainfall rates could drive scattered flash flooding this afternoon in the discussion area. Discussion...Broad lee-troughing and an approaching shortwave trough in the Mid-Atlantic are supporting thunderstorm development along the spine of the Appalachians as these interact with an increasingly unstable airmass. Within this plume, a few cells in the Maryland/West Virginia Panhandle and Shenadoah Valley recently exhibited 1.5-2.0"/hr rainfall rates. Earlier RAOBs across the region highlighted PWATs of 1.70-2.15", "tall-skinny" CAPE profiles, and warm cloud depths around 13-14,000 ft. This environment will support very efficient rainfall prouduction as these storms tap into unstable air characterized by 1500-2000 J/kg MLCAPE on the warm side of a back-door front this afternoon anchored in the Mid-Atlantic. Storms across the area should vary from pulse storms to loosely organized multicellular modes as mid-level flow strengthens ahead of the shortwave trough. Through 00z this evening, the 12Z CAM suite is in generally good agreement for scattered 1-3" rainfall amounts to materialize as these storms drift eastward with time. This implies scattered flash flooding is possible this afternoon as these storms could overlap with previous heavy rainfall (1-3") over the last 24 hours in this region, where 1 HR FFGs are in the 0.75-2"/hr range. ...Please see www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...AKQ...CTP...GSP...LWX...MRX...PBZ...RAH...RLX... RNK... ATTN...RFC...ALR...ORN...RHA...TIR...NWC... LAT...LON 40427842 39857800 38847802 37857829 37037908 36388016 35458145 36168221 37048189 38098028 39337961 40367925  225 FOUS62 KALR 071856 FFGSJU COUNTY FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE...PUERTO RICO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SOUTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...ATLANTA GA 255 PM EDT TUE JUL 7 2026 INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR SPECIFIED DURATIONS REQUIRED TO PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING IN FORECAST ZONES. LOWER AMOUNTS MAY CAUSE FLASH FLOODING IN URBAN OR MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. .B ALR 20260707 Z DH18/DC202607071855 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF :IDENTIFIERS ARE 2-LETTER STATE, Z FOR ZONE, 3-DIGIT ZONE NUMBER : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR ZONE NAME :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== PRZ001 2.0/ 3.5/ 4.8 PRZ002 2.0/ 3.5/ 4.8 PRZ003 2.0/ 3.1/ 4.3 PRZ004 2.0/ 3.1/ 4.3 PRZ005 1.4/ 2.0/ 2.6 PRZ006 1.4/ 2.0/ 2.6 PRZ007 1.4/ 2.0/ 2.6 PRZ008 1.4/ 2.0/ 2.6 PRZ009 1.4/ 2.0/ 2.6 PRZ010 1.4/ 2.0/ 2.6 PRZ011 1.4/ 2.0/ 2.6 PRZ012 2.0/ 3.2/ 4.5 PRZ013 2.0/ 3.2/ 4.5 VIZ001 2.1/ 3.2/ 4.5 VIZ002 2.0/ 3.2/ 4.5 .END $$ S.E.R.F.C. 770-486-0028 or 770-282-2112 Regular Hours 6am-10pm Eastern Time After Hours Please Follow Callback Instructions  343 AWUS01 KWNH 071940 FFGMPD LAZ000-TXZ000-072320- Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0639 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 339 PM EDT Tue Jul 07 2026 Areas affected...eastern TX into western LA Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible Valid 071938Z - 072320Z Summary...A short-fused flash flood threat will exist across portions of eastern TX into western LA through 23Z. Isolated rainfall totals of 2-4 inches will be possible with hourly rainfall of 2 to 3 inches. Discussion...1915Z visible satellite imagery showed a southward propagating outflow boundary over eastern TX, from near Athens to Lufkin, TX to Polk, LA. The northwestern end of the outflow near Athens was only slowly advancing west, compared to the portion near the Sabine River. Another outflow/sea breeze boundary was located to the south, over southeastern TX into southern LA, propagating northward. The two boundaries are likely to marge over eastern TX/western LA over the next 1-2 hours, resulting in a brief surge in thunderstorm activity. There are two areas of concern regarding flash flooding over the next few hours. First, low level flow overrunning the northwestern end of the outflow near Athens has had a history of slow cell movement with 15-minute rates near 1 inch and flash flooding from Lindale to Tyler. Similar potential will exist over locations to the immediate west given recent convective development just ahead of the outflow boundary and continued slow movement. Farther south, slow cell motions of less than 10 kt (slowest with southward extent) will possibly yield hourly rainfall of 2-3 inches with isolated 2-4 inch totals from near (-45 into the Piney Woods region of eastern TX and far western LA. These high short term rates may result in localized flash flooding, especially if there is overlap with urban locations. A lack of better low and mid-level wind speeds should limit duration and organization of storms with the flash flood threat likely diminishing after 00Z. Otto ...Please see www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FWD...HGX...LCH...SHV... ATTN...RFC...FWR...ORN...NWC... LAT...LON 32619550 31979516 31589482 31369402 31279301 30609304 30399409 30419493 30929587 31809635 32429624  524 AWUS01 KWNH 071944 FFGMPD LAZ000-TXZ000-072320- Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0639...Corrected NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 343 PM EDT Tue Jul 07 2026 Corrected for typo in second paragraph Areas affected...eastern TX into western LA Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible Valid 071938Z - 072320Z Summary...A short-fused flash flood threat will exist across portions of eastern TX into western LA through 23Z. Isolated rainfall totals of 2-4 inches will be possible with hourly rainfall of 2 to 3 inches. Discussion...1915Z visible satellite imagery showed a southward propagating outflow boundary over eastern TX, from near Athens to Lufkin, TX to Polk, LA. The northwestern end of the outflow near Athens was only slowly advancing west, compared to the portion near the Sabine River. Another outflow/sea breeze boundary was located to the south, over southeastern TX into southern LA, propagating northward. The two boundaries are likely to marge over eastern TX/western LA over the next 1-2 hours, resulting in a brief surge in thunderstorm activity. There are two areas of concern regarding flash flooding over the next few hours. First, low level flow overrunning the northwestern end of the outflow near Athens has had a history of slow cell movement with 15-minute rates near 1 inch and flash flooding from Lindale to Tyler. Similar potential will exist over locations to the immediate west given recent convective development just ahead of the outflow boundary and continued slow movement. Farther south, slow cell motions of less than 10 kt (slowest with southward extent) will possibly yield hourly rainfall of 2-3 inches with isolated 2-4 inch totals from near I-45 into the Piney Woods region of eastern TX and far western LA. These high short term rates may result in localized flash flooding, especially if there is overlap with urban locations. A lack of better low and mid-level wind speeds should limit duration and organization of storms with the flash flood threat likely diminishing after 00Z. Otto ...Please see www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FWD...HGX...LCH...SHV... ATTN...RFC...FWR...ORN...NWC... LAT...LON 32619550 31979516 31589482 31369402 31279301 30609304 30399409 30419493 30929587 31809635 32429624  822 FOUS71 KRHA 071950 FFHNJ1 HEADWATER STATEMENT FOR NEW JERSEY STREAMS MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 330 PM EDT TUE JUL 7 2026 APPROXIMATE 1/3/6/12-HR BASIN AVERAGED RAINFALL (INCHES) REQUIRED TO CAUSE MINOR, MODERATE, AND MAJOR FLOODING AT THE INDICATED HEADWATER LOCATIONS. .B RHA 260707 Z DH18/DC2607071930/DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR 12HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : : NWS BROOKHAVEN SERVICE AREA... : Ramapo River... MAWN4 1.7/ 1.9/ 2.3/ 2.5 :Mahwah (8ft) Ramapo River :MAWN4md 2.0/ 2.2/ 2.7/ 3.0 Mahwah (9) Ramapo River :MAWN4mj 3.0/ 3.4/ 4.3/ 4.8 Mahwah (12) Ramapo River : Hohokus Brook... HOHN4 1.1/ 1.3/ 1.7/ 2.6 :Ho-Ho-Kus (3ft) Hohokus Brook : Saddle River... LODN4 1.2/ 1.2/ 1.5/ 2.2 :Lodi (5.5ft) Saddle River :LODN4md 1.7/ 1.7/ 2.0/ 3.0 Lodi (7) Saddle River :LODN4mj 2.0/ 2.0/ 2.4/ 3.5 Lodi (8) Saddle River : Rahway River... SPGN4 1.9/ 2.0/ 2.1/ 2.6 :Springfield (5.5ft) Rahway River : : NWS MT. HOLLY SERVICE AREA... : PASSAIC BASIN... : Passaic River... CAMN4 3.9/ 3.9/ 4.6/ 5.1 :Chatham (6ft) Passaic River :CAMN4md 5.1/ 5.7/ 6.6/ 7.6 Chatham (7.2) Passaic River :CAMN4mj 5.9/ 6.4/ 7.4/ 8.0 Chatham (8.2) Passaic River : Rockaway River... BOTN4 3.6/ 4.2/ 5.0/ 6.2 :Boonton Abv. (5ft) Rockaway River :BOTN4md 4.1/ 4.8/ 5.7/ 7.1 Boonton Abv. (6) Rockaway River :BOTN4mj 4.4/ 5.2/ 6.2/ 7.8 Boonton Abv. (7) Rockaway River : Whippany River... WHIN4 2.5/ 2.7/ 3.1/ 3.2 :Morristown (6ft) Whippany River : RARITAN BASIN.. : South Branch Raritan River... STTN4 2.3/ 2.7/ 3.4/ 4.4 :Stanton (8ft) S. Br. Raritan River :STTN4md 2.5/ 2.9/ 4.3/ 5.3 Stanton (10) S. Br. Raritan River :STTN4mj 2.7/ 3.2/ 4.9/ 6.2 Stanton (12) S. Br. Raritan River : North Branch Raritan River... RRTN4 1.9/ 2.2/ 2.6/ 3.1 :Raritan (10ft) N. Br. Raritan River :RRTN4md 2.1/ 2.4/ 3.0/ 3.7 Raritan (12) N. Br. Raritan River :RRTN4mj 2.5/ 2.9/ 3.7/ 4.6 Raritan (15) N. Br. Raritan River : Millstone River... BKWN4 2.9/ 3.3/ 3.5/ 3.5 :Blackwells Mills(9ft) Millstone River :BKWN4md 3.0/ 3.4/ 3.6/ 3.6 Blackwells Mills(10) Millstone River :BKWN4mj 3.4/ 3.9/ 4.4/ 5.6 Blackwells Mills(15) Millstone River : DELAWARE BASIN... : Assunpink Creek...TACN4 2.3/ 2.3/ 2.6/ 3.3 :Trenton (8.5ft) Assunpink Creek :TACN4md 2.3/ 2.5/ 3.1/ 3.9 Trenton (9.5) Assunpink Creek :TACN4mj 2.5/ 2.8/ 3.7/ 4.5 Trenton (11) Assunpink Creek .END $$ NNNN $$ NNNN  823 FOUS71 KRHA 071950 FFHPA2 HEADWATER STATEMENT FOR THE DELAWARE AND SUSQUEHANNA BASINS MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 330 PM EDT TUE JUL 7 2026 APPROXIMATE 1/3/6/12-HR BASIN AVERAGED RAINFALL (INCHES) REQUIRED TO CAUSE MINOR, MODERATE, AND MAJOR FLOODING AT THE INDICATED HEADWATER LOCATIONS. .B RHA 260707 Z DH18/DC2607071930/DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR 12HR HEADWATER NAME :======= ==== ==== ==== ==== ==================== : : NWS BINGHAMTON SERVICE AREA... : SUSQUEHANNA BASIN... : Tioughnioga River... CRTN6 1.6/ 1.8/ 2.0/ 2.3 :Cortland (8ft) :CRTN6md 1.7/ 2.0/ 2.3/ 2.9 Cortland (10) :CRTN6mj 1.9/ 2.2/ 2.9/ 3.3 Cortland (12.5) : Chenango River... SHBN6 1.4/ 1.6/ 1.7/ 1.8 :Sherburne (8.5ft) :SHBN6md 1.5/ 1.7/ 1.9/ 2.2 Sherburne (9) :SHBN6mj 1.6/ 1.8/ 2.1/ 2.7 Sherburne (10.6) : Otselic River... CINN6 2.2/ 2.5/ 2.9/ 3.8 :Cincinnatus (9ft) : ...moderate and major flood stages above rating table. : Cohocton River... CMPN6 2.0/ 2.3/ 2.6/ 3.1 :Campbell (8ft) :CMPN6md 2.2/ 2.5/ 3.4/ 3.8 Campbell (10) :CMPN6mj 2.4/ 2.8/ 3.9/ 4.4 Campbell (11) : Canisteo River... WCRN6 1.8/ 2.0/ 2.4/ 3.0 :West Cameron (17ft) :WCRN6md 1.9/ 2.1/ 2.6/ 3.2 West Cameron (18) :WCRN6mj 2.1/ 2.4/ 3.1/ 3.9 West Cameron (21) : Towanda Creek... MONP1 2.1/ 2.4/ 3.1/ 3.9 :Monroeton (15.5ft) :MONP1md 2.3/ 2.6/ 3.3/ 4.2 Monroeton (17) :MONP1mj 2.5/ 2.9/ 3.7/ 4.8 Monroeton (18.5) : Tunkhannock Creek... TNKP1 2.2/ 2.6/ 3.4/ 4.2 :Tunkhannock (11ft) :TNKP1md 2.4/ 2.8/ 4.0/ 4.7 Tunkhannock (14) :TNKP1mj 2.6/ 3.1/ 4.4/ 5.3 Tunkhannock (17) : Lackawanna River... OFRP1 2.1/ 2.4/ 2.9/ 3.8 :Old Forge (11ft) :OFRP1md 2.2/ 2.5/ 3.1/ 4.0 Old Forge (13) :OFRP1mj 2.4/ 2.8/ 3.4/ 4.4 Old Forge (16) : DELAWARE BASIN... : East Branch Delaware River... MRGN6 2.4/ 2.8/ 3.4/ 3.9 :Margaretville (11ft) :MRGN6md 3.1/ 3.6/ 4.3/ 5.0 Margaretville (12) :MRGN6mj 3.8/ 4.4/ 5.4/ 6.4 Margaretville (13) : West Branch Delaware River... WALN6 1.9/ 2.0/ 2.2/ 2.6 :Walton (11.5ft) :WALN6md 2.2/ 2.4/ 2.7/ 3.1 Walton (14) :WALN6mj 2.8/ 3.0/ 3.4/ 3.9 Walton (16) : Beaverkill Creek... CKFN6 1.8/ 1.9/ 2.3/ 2.8 :Cooks Falls (10ft) :CKFN6md 2.7/ 3.0/ 3.8/ 5.0 Cooks Falls (16) :CKFN6mj 3.1/ 3.5/ 4.6/ 6.1 Cooks Falls (18) : Lackawaxen River... HWYP1 2.3/ 2.6/ 3.1/ 3.9 :Hawley (14ft) :HWYP1md 3.0/ 3.4/ 4.1/ 5.2 Hawley (20) :HWYP1mj 3.3/ 3.7/ 4.5/ 5.7 Hawley (22) : : NWS STATE COLLEGE SERVICE AREA... : SUSQUEHANNA BASIN... : Tioga River... MFDP1 1.7/ 2.2/ 3.2/ 3.8 :Mansfield (12ft) :MFDP1md 1.8/ 2.4/ 3.6/ 4.2 Mansfield (13) :MFDP1mj 2.0/ 2.7/ 4.1/ 4.8 Mansfield (14) : Penns Creek... PNCP1 2.7/ 3.0/ 3.1/ 3.7 :Penns Creek (8ft) :PNCP1md 2.8/ 3.2/ 3.7/ 4.6 Penns Creek (10) :PNCP1mj 3.0/ 3.6/ 4.4/ 5.5 Penns Creek (12) : Frankstown Branch Juniata River... WIBP1 1.5/ 1.6/ 1.8/ 1.8 :Williamsburg (12ft) :WIBP1md 1.5/ 1.7/ 1.9/ 1.9 Williamsburg (13) :WIBP1mj 1.6/ 1.8/ 2.1/ 2.4 Williamsburg (15) : Little Juniata River... SPKP1 1.2/ 1.3/ 1.5/ 1.5 :Spruce Creek (8ft) :SPKP1md 1.4/ 1.5/ 1.8/ 2.0 Spruce Creek (10) :SPKP1mj 1.8/ 1.9/ 2.4/ 2.9 Spruce Creek (14) : Aughwick Creek... SLYP1 1.6/ 1.8/ 2.1/ 2.9 :Shirleysburg (10ft) :SLYP1md 1.7/ 2.0/ 2.4/ 3.3 Shirleysburg (12) :SLYP1mj 3.9/ 4.5/ 5.5/ 7.7 Shirleysburg (20) : Sherman Creek... SMDP1 2.1/ 2.4/ 2.9/ 3.5 :Shermans Dale (9ft) :SMDP1md 2.4/ 2.8/ 3.4/ 4.1 Shermans Dale (11) :SMDP1mj 3.8/ 4.4/ 5.3/ 6.2 Shermans Dale (16) : Conodoguinet Creek... HGSP1 3.2/ 3.3/ 3.5/ 3.6 :Hogestown (8ft) :HGSP1md 3.4/ 3.7/ 4.6/ 5.1 Hogestown (10) :HGSP1mj 3.7/ 4.2/ 5.3/ 6.0 Hogestown (12) : Yellow Breeches Creek... CPHP1 1.9/ 2.2/ 2.6/ 3.9 :Camp Hill (7ft) :CPHP1md 2.0/ 2.4/ 2.9/ 4.2 Camp Hill (9) :CPHP1mj 2.5/ 2.9/ 3.9/ 5.4 Camp Hill (13) : Swatara Creek... HTVP1 2.4/ 2.8/ 3.2/ 4.4 :Harper Tavern (9ft) :HTVP1md 2.7/ 3.2/ 3.9/ 5.3 Harper Tavern (12) :HTVP1mj 3.1/ 3.7/ 4.4/ 6.1 Harper Tavern (15) : Conestoga River... LNCP1 1.7/ 2.1/ 2.3/ 3.4 :Lancaster (11ft) :LNCP1md 1.8/ 2.3/ 2.6/ 3.8 Lancaster (13) :LNCP1mj 2.0/ 2.6/ 3.1/ 4.3 Lancaster (15) : DELAWARE BASIN... : Schuylkill River... LGVP1 2.8/ 2.9/ 3.0/ 3.2 :Landingville (8ft) :LGVP1md 3.6/ 3.9/ 4.0/ 4.4 Landingville (12) :LGVP1mj 4.3/ 4.8/ 5.0/ 5.6 Landingville (14) : : NWS MT. HOLLY SERVICE AREA... : DELAWARE BASIN... : Schuylkill River... BREP1 2.9/ 3.6/ 4.3/ 5.6 :Berne (12ft) :BREP1md 3.2/ 4.0/ 5.0/ 6.5 Berne (14) :BREP1mj 3.5/ 4.5/ 5.5/ 7.2 Berne (16) : Bush Kill... SHOP1 2.5/ 3.0/ 3.3/ 3.3 :Shoemakers (6ft) :SHOP1md 2.7/ 3.2/ 3.7/ 4.3 Shoemakers (7) :SHOP1mj 2.9/ 3.4/ 4.2/ 4.8 Shoemakers (8) : Brodhead Creek... MNSP1 1.8/ 2.3/ 3.0/ 4.1 :Minisink Hills(10ft) :MNSP1md 1.9/ 2.5/ 3.4/ 4.5 Minisink Hills(12) :MNSP1mj 2.2/ 2.8/ 4.0/ 5.2 Minisink Hills(15) : Little Lehigh Creek...APAP1 4.3/ 4.6/ 5.1/ 6.0 :Allentown-10th (8ft) :APAP1md 5.3/ 5.7/ 6.3/ 7.6 Allentown-10th (10) :APAP1mj 6.3/ 6.8/ 7.4/ 8.0 Allentown-10th (12) : Perkiomen Creek... GRAP1 1.7/ 2.1/ 2.8/ 3.5 :Graterford (11ft) :GRAP1md 1.8/ 2.3/ 3.2/ 3.8 Graterford (13) :GRAP1mj 2.1/ 2.7/ 3.7/ 4.5 Graterford (16) : Neshaminy Creek... LNGP1 2.4/ 2.5/ 2.5/ 2.5 :Langhorne (9ft) :LNGP1md 2.7/ 2.8/ 3.2/ 3.3 Langhorne (10) :LNGP1mj 2.9/ 3.1/ 3.6/ 4.1 Langhorne (12) : Chester Creek... CHSP1 2.3/ 2.4/ 2.6/ 3.3 :Chester (8ft) :CHSP1md 2.8/ 2.9/ 3.3/ 4.0 Chester (10) :CHSP1mj 3.8/ 3.9/ 4.4/ 5.4 Chester (14) : West Branch Brandywine Creek... MODP1 4.9/ 5.1/ 5.4/ 5.6 :Modena (9ft) :MODP1md 5.4/ 5.7/ 6.1/ 6.4 Modena (10) :MODP1mj 6.5/ 7.0/ 7.4/ 8.0 Modena (12) : East Branch Brandywine Creek... DWNP1 2.2/ 2.3/ 2.3/ 2.5 :Downingtown (7ft) :DWNP1md 3.1/ 3.1/ 3.3/ 3.5 Downingtown (9) :DWNP1mj 4.0/ 4.1/ 4.3/ 4.6 Downingtown (11) : Brandywine Creek... CDFP1 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.9 :Chadds Ford (9ft) :CDFP1md 2.7/ 2.8/ 3.1/ 3.9 Chadds Ford (11) :CDFP1mj 2.9/ 3.0/ 3.6/ 4.6 Chadds Ford (13) : Christina River... CHBD1 1.9/ 2.0/ 2.3/ 3.2 :Coochs Brdg(11ft) :CHBD1md 2.3/ 2.5/ 2.9/ 3.9 Coochs Brdg(12) :CHBD1mj 3.0/ 3.2/ 3.7/ 5.0 Coochs Brdg(13) : White Clay Creek... DPKD1 2.2/ 2.3/ 2.6/ 3.2 :Delaware Pk (13ft) :DPKD1md 3.0/ 3.1/ 3.3/ 4.1 Delaware Pk (15) :DPKD1mj 4.1/ 4.3/ 4.6/ 5.7 Delaware Pk (16.5) : Red Clay Creek... RCCD1 2.5/ 2.8/ 3.0/ 3.6 :Wooddale (7ft) :RCCD1md 3.2/ 3.5/ 3.9/ 4.6 Wooddale (8.5) :RCCD1mj 4.0/ 4.3/ 4.7/ 5.6 Wooddale (10) .END :=============================================================== : EXPERIMENTAL NON-FCST POINT RAW MODEL OUTPUT : NO MANUAL QC OR ADJUSTMENTS APPLIED...USE WITH CAUTION :=============================================================== : : NWS BINGHAMTON SERVICE AREA... .B RHA 260707 Z DH18/DC2607071930/DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF :GageID 1hr 3hr 6hr 12hr rainfall for indicated stages : Lackawanna River... ARHP1 3.2/ 3.3/ 3.7/ 4.5 :Archbald (8ft) :ARHP1md 3.8/ 4.0/ 4.4/ 5.4 Archbald (9) :ARHP1mj 4.4/ 4.6/ 5.2/ 6.4 Archbald (10) PKIP1 4.0/ 4.1/ 4.3/ 4.7 :Scranton (12.5ft.) :PKIP1md 4.3/ 4.4/ 4.5/ 5.1 Scranton (14) :PKIP1mj 4.4/ 4.5/ 4.7/ 5.3 Scranton (15) .END : Model-simulated 3-hourly stage forecasts including QPF... .E ARHP1 20260707 DC2607071950/DH21/HGIFX/DIH3/ .E1 2.2/2.2/2.2/2.1/2.1/2.1/2.1/2.1 .E PKIP1 20260707 DC2607071950/DH21/HGIFX/DIH3/ .E1 1.5/1.4/1.4/1.4/1.4/1.4/1.3/1.3 $$ NNNN  824 FOUS71 KRHA 071950 FFHVA2 HEADWATER STATEMENT FOR THE POTOMAC AND JAMES BASINS MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 330 PM EDT TUE JUL 7 2026 APPROXIMATE 1/3/6/12-HR BASIN AVERAGED RAINFALL (INCHES) REQUIRED TO CAUSE MINOR, MODERATE, AND MAJOR FLOODING AT THE INDICATED HEADWATER LOCATIONS. .B RHA 260707 Z DH18/DC2607071930/DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR 12HR HEADWATER NAME :======= ==== ==== ==== ==== ==================== : : NWS STERLING SERVICE AREA... : POTOMAC BASIN... : North Branch Potomac River... KITM2 1.6/ 1.8/ 2.3/ 3.0 :Kitzmiller (9ft) :KITM2md 2.4/ 2.8/ 3.6/ 5.0 Kitzmiller (11) :KITM2mj 3.8/ 4.3/ 5.7/ 8.0 Kitzmiller (13) : Georges Creek... WSTM2 1.1/ 1.3/ 1.5/ 1.7 :Westernport (8ft) :WSTM2md 1.7/ 2.0/ 2.3/ 2.7 Westernport (10) :WSTM2mj 2.4/ 2.7/ 3.1/ 3.7 Westernport (12) : South Branch Potomac River... FKLW2 1.8/ 2.3/ 2.6/ 3.8 :Franklin (7ft) :FKLW2md 2.0/ 2.5/ 2.9/ 4.4 Franklin (9) :FKLW2mj 2.2/ 2.8/ 3.5/ 5.0 Franklin (11) : Opequon Creek... MBGW2 2.8/ 3.3/ 3.9/ 4.3 :Martinsburg (10ft) :MBGW2md 3.0/ 3.5/ 4.1/ 5.3 Martinsburg (12.5) :MBGW2mj 3.4/ 4.0/ 4.7/ 6.1 Martinsburg (15) : South River... WAYV2 3.5/ 4.2/ 5.3/ 6.7 :Waynesboro (9.5ft) :WAYV2md 3.7/ 4.4/ 5.8/ 7.3 Waynesboro (11) :WAYV2mj 4.1/ 4.9/ 6.6/ 8.0 Waynesboro (13) : North Fork Shenandoah River... COOV2 1.9/ 2.4/ 3.4/ 4.3 :Cootes Store (15ft) :COOV2md 2.3/ 2.8/ 4.2/ 5.3 Cootes Store (18) :COOV2mj 2.8/ 3.4/ 5.1/ 6.4 Cootes Store (21) : Antietam Creek... SACM2 1.9/ 2.7/ 3.5/ 5.2 :Sharpsburg (8ft) :SACM2md 2.0/ 2.8/ 4.1/ 5.7 Sharpsburg (10) :SACM2mj 2.2/ 3.1/ 4.9/ 6.5 Sharpsburg (12) : Seneca Creek... DAWM2 2.3/ 2.5/ 3.3/ 4.0 :Dawsonville (7.5ft) :DAWM2md 2.9/ 3.5/ 5.1/ 6.6 Dawsonville (11) :DAWM2mj 4.9/ 6.0/ 7.4/ 8.0 Dawsonville (16) : : NWS BLACKSBURG SERVICE AREA... : Maury River... BVSV2 4.4/ 5.8/ 7.0/ 8.0 :Buena Vista (17ft) :BVSV2cs 4.0/ 5.0/ 6.3/ 7.2 Buena Vista (13) :BVSV2md 4.6/ 6.1/ 7.3/ 8.0 Buena Vista (19) :BVSV2mj 4.8/ 6.4/ 7.4/ 8.0 Buena Vista (21) .END : :=============================================================== : EXPERIMENTAL NON-FCST POINT RAW MODEL OUTPUT : NO MANUAL QC OR ADJUSTMENTS APPLIED...USE WITH CAUTION :=============================================================== : : NWS STERLING SERVICE AREA... : Rock Creek at Sherrill Drive., Washington DC .B RHA 260707 Z DH18/DC2607071930/DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF :GageID 1hr 3hr 6hr 12hr rainfall for indicated stages RCKD2 1.5/ 1.6/ 1.8/ 2.1 :Washington, DC (7ft) :RCKD2md 2.1/ 2.3/ 2.6/ 3.2 Washington, DC (10) :RCKD2mj 2.9/ 3.2/ 3.5/ 4.3 Washington, DC (12) .END : Model-simulated 3-hourly stage forecasts including QPF... .E RCKD2 20260707 DC2607071950/DH21/HGIFX/DIH3/ .E1 2.3/2.3/2.4/2.7/2.9/2.7/2.5/2.4 $$ NNNN  303 FOUS73 KMSR 072000 FFHLOT HEADWATER FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 300 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2026 CHICAGO HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA AVERAGE INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR GIVEN DURATIONS REQUIRED TO INITIATE FLASH FLOODING AT THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. .B MSR 260707 Z DH18/DC2607072000 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : : *** ILLINOIS HEADWATER POINTS *** : NBPI2 2.4/ 2.5/ 2.8 :CHICAGO IL N BR CHICAGO R CDCI2 1.9/ 2.1/ 2.3 :CHICAGO HEIGHTS IL DEER CR DRFI2 2.3/ 2.6/ 3.6 :DEERFIELD IL N BR CHICAGO R DEKI2 3.5/ 4.0/ 4.5 :DE KALB IL S BR KISHWAUKEE R DSPI2 3.2/ 3.3/ 3.4 :DES PLAINES IL DES PLAINES R WLRI2 2.7/ 3.1/ 3.4 :DES PLAINES IL WELLER CR EMHI2 2.5/ 2.8/ 3.2 :ELMHURST IL SALT CR FLSI2 1.9/ 2.1/ 2.3 :FLOSSMOOR IL BUTTERFIELD CR GLWI2 2.3/ 2.7/ 3.0 :GLENWOOD IL THORN CR GUNI2 2.9/ 3.0/ 3.1 :GURNEE IL DES PLAINES R JHCI2 2.1/ 2.3/ 2.5 :JOLIET IL HICKORY CR LAFI2 2.3/ 2.7/ 3.7 :LAKE FOREST IL SKOKIE R NILI2 3.3/ 4.0/ 4.5 :NILES IL N BR CHICAGO R NBRI2 3.5/ 4.0/ 4.5 :NORTHBROOK IL W FK N BR CHICAGO R OAKI2 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.4 :OAK FOREST IL MIDLOTHIAN CR MCDI2 3.2/ 3.6/ 3.9 :PROSPECT HTS IL MCDONALD CR ALPI2 1.5/ 1.6/ 1.7 :ROCKFORD IL ALPINE DAM-KEITH CR LEVI2 1.8/ 2.1/ 2.4 :ROCKFORD IL LEVINGS LAKE PPLI2 1.9/ 2.3/ 2.6 :ROCKFORD IL PAGE PARK LAKE ROLI2 2.6/ 3.0/ 3.4 :ROLLING MEADOWS IL SALT CR SCHI2 3.3/ 3.6/ 4.0 :ST CHARLES IL FERSON CR SORI2 3.0/ 2.9/ 2.8 :SHOREWOOD IL DU PAGE R THNI2 1.4/ 1.3/ 1.2 :THORNTON IL THORN CR WHEI2 2.9/ 3.1/ 3.3 :WHEELING IL BUFFALO CR WLSI2 3.3/ 3.8/ 4.4 :WILLOW SPRINGS IL FLAG CR YRKI2 0.5/ 1.0/ 1.0 :YORKVILLE IL BLACKBERRY CR : : *** INDIANA HEADWATER POINTS *** : HDDI3 3.4/ 3.5/ 3.7 :DYER IN HART DITCH MNTI3 2.8/ 2.9/ 2.9 :MUNSTER IN HART DITCH LCMI3 2.0/ 1.9/ 1.9 :MUNSTER IN LITTLE CALUMET R PRTI3 1.8/ 1.8/ 1.8 :PORTER IN LITTLE CALUMET R .END $$  308 FOUS73 KMSR 072000 FFHMKX HEADWATER FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 300 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2026 MILWAUKEE HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA AVERAGE INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR GIVEN DURATIONS REQUIRED TO INITIATE FLASH FLOODING AT THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. .B MSR 260707 Z DH18/DC2607072000 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : : *** WISCONSIN HEADWATER POINTS *** : AFTW3 2.7/ 3.1/ 3.5 :AFTON WI ROCK R BCHW3 1.9/ 2.0/ 2.1 :BLANCHARDVILLE WI E BR PECATONICA R BUNW3 2.6/ 2.7/ 3.0 :BUNCOMBE WI GALENA R DARW3 2.2/ 2.3/ 2.6 :DARLINGTON WI PECATONICA R MTNW3 1.7/ 1.9/ 2.1 :MARTINTOWN WI PECATONICA R MAZW3 2.5/ 2.6/ 2.8 :MAZOMANIE WI BLACK EARTH CR KINW3 3.5/ 4.0/ 4.5 :MILWAUKEE WI KINNICKINNIC R SEBW3 2.8/ 3.0/ 3.2 :SHEBOYGAN WI SHEBOYGAN R WKEW3 3.2/ 3.2/ 3.3 :WAUKESHA WI FOX R WWTW3 3.5/ 3.9/ 4.2 :WAUWATOSA WI MENOMONEE R BLOW3 2.0/ 2.1/ 2.2 :BELOIT WI TURTLE CR MFSW3 0.5/ 1.0/ 1.0 :MENOMONEE FALLS WI MENOMONEE R OAKW3 2.9/ 3.0/ 3.5 :SOUTH MILWAUKEE OAK CR .END $$  310 FOUS73 KMSR 072000 FFHLSX HEADWATER FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 300 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2026 ST LOUIS HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA AVERAGE INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR GIVEN DURATIONS REQUIRED TO INITIATE FLASH FLOODING AT THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. .B MSR 260707 Z DH18/DC2607072000 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : : *** MISSOURI HEADWATER POINTS *** : EWNM7 3.3/ 3.4/ 3.6 :EWING MO 5E NORTH FABIUS R EWMM7 3.4/ 3.5/ 3.7 :EWING MO 1NNE MIDDLE FABIUS R PALM7 2.0/ 2.1/ 2.1 :PALMYRA MO NORTH R TAYM7 2.1/ 2.4/ 2.7 :TAYLOR MO S FABIUS R PMZM7 2.3/ 2.4/ 2.5 :HOLLIDAY MO 2N MI FK SALT R TRYM7 1.9/ 2.0/ 2.1 :TROY MO CUIVRE R DRCM7 2.4/ 2.5/ 2.6 :ST PETERS MO DARDENNE CR LSLM7 2.2/ 2.4/ 2.6 :LAKE SAINT LOUIS PERUQUE CR - ABOVE LSTM7 1.7/ 1.9/ 2.1 :LAKE ST LOUIS MO PERUQUE CR CSNM7 2.2/ 2.3/ 2.3 :COOK STATION MO 1N MERAMEC R SEEM7 1.4/ 1.5/ 1.7 :STEELVILLE MO 2N MERAMEC R UNNM7 3.5/ 3.7/ 3.9 :UNION MO BOURBEUSE R BYRM7 2.9/ 3.3/ 3.8 :BYRNESVILLE MO 2NNE BIG R .END $$  313 FOUS73 KMSR 072000 FFHILX HEADWATER FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 300 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2026 LINCOLN HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA AVERAGE INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR GIVEN DURATIONS REQUIRED TO INITIATE FLASH FLOODING AT THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. .B MSR 260707 Z DH18/DC2607072000 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : : *** ILLINOIS HEADWATER POINTS *** : BMII2 3.5/ 4.0/ 4.5 :BLOOMINGTON IL SUGAR CR RLLI2 2.0/ 2.1/ 2.0 :ROWELL IL SALT CR .END $$  315 FOUS73 KMSR 072000 FFHFGF HEADWATER FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 300 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2026 GRAND FORKS HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA AVERAGE INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR GIVEN DURATIONS REQUIRED TO INITIATE FLASH FLOODING AT THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. .B MSR 260707 Z DH18/DC2607072000 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : : *** MINNESOTA HEADWATER POINTS *** : CSRM5 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.7 :CAMPBELL MN 1W SO FK RABBIT R MALM5 3.1/ 3.7/ 3.9 :MALUNG MN 2NW ROSEAU R BLO SO FK : : *** NORTH DAKOTA HEADWATER POINTS *** : DWGN8 3.5/ 4.0/ 4.5 :DWIGHT ND 1NE ANTELOPE CR HGRN8 3.5/ 4.0/ 4.5 :HILLSBORO ND GOOSE R LTRN8 2.5/ 2.6/ 2.8 :LARIMORE ND 5ENE TURTLE R .END $$  316 FOUS73 KMSR 072000 FFHAPX HEADWATER FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 300 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2026 GAYLORD HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA AVERAGE INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR GIVEN DURATIONS REQUIRED TO INITIATE FLASH FLOODING AT THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. .B MSR 260707 Z DH18/DC2607072000 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : : *** MICHIGAN HEADWATER POINTS *** : BVTM4 3.5/ 4.0/ 4.5 :BEAVERTON MI TOBACCO R MYFM4 3.5/ 3.6/ 3.7 :MAYFIELD MI BOARDMAN R RUDM4 3.5/ 4.0/ 4.5 :RUDYARD MI PINE RIVER .END $$  318 FOUS73 KMSR 072000 FFHMPX HEADWATER FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 300 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2026 TWIN CITIES HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA AVERAGE INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR GIVEN DURATIONS REQUIRED TO INITIATE FLASH FLOODING AT THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. .B MSR 260707 Z DH18/DC2607072000 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : : *** MINNESOTA HEADWATER POINTS *** : SNCM5 1.5/ 1.6/ 1.8 :JORDAN MN SAND CR PNLM5 2.6/ 2.9/ 4.0 :PINE ISLAND MN MID FK ZUMBRO R PILM5 3.5/ 4.0/ 4.5 :PINE ISLAND MN N B MID FK ZUMBRO R WGOM5 3.0/ 3.2/ 3.4 :WANAMINGO MN NO FK ZUMBRO R .END $$  320 FOUS73 KMSR 072000 FFHDMX HEADWATER FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 300 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2026 DES MOINES HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA AVERAGE INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR GIVEN DURATIONS REQUIRED TO INITIATE FLASH FLOODING AT THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. .B MSR 260707 Z DH18/DC2607072000 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : : *** IOWA HEADWATER POINTS *** : AKWI4 2.7/ 2.8/ 3.0 :ACKWORTH IA SOUTH R AMWI4 2.3/ 2.3/ 2.4 :AMES IA IOWAY CR BSSI4 3.1/ 3.2/ 3.4 :BUSSEY IA CEDAR CR DFMI4 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6 :DSM-EASTON FOUR MILE CR CLVI4 2.2/ 2.4/ 2.5 :CLIVE I-80/35 WALNUT CR DOSI4 2.3/ 2.3/ 2.7 :DSM-63RD ST WALNUT CR MCWI4 2.8/ 2.9/ 3.0 :MASON CITY IA WINNEBAGO R .END $$  322 FOUS73 KMSR 072000 FFHARX HEADWATER FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 300 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2026 LA CROSSE HYDRLOGIC SERVICE AREA AVERAGE INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR GIVEN DURATIONS REQUIRED TO INITIATE FLASH FLOODING AT THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. .B MSR 260707 Z DH18/DC2607072000 /DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF : :IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR HEADWATER NAME STREAM :======= ==== ==== ==== ==================== ================== : : *** IOWA HEADWATER POINTS *** : DEHI4 3.5/ 3.6/ 3.7 :DECORAH IA UPPER IOWA R DCHI4 2.3/ 2.5/ 2.6 :DORCHESTER IA UPPER IOWA R GRBI4 2.0/ 2.2/ 2.3 :GARBER IA TURKEY R : : *** MINNESOTA HEADWATER POINTS *** : ASTM5 2.1/ 2.2/ 2.4 :AUSTIN WWTP MN CEDAR R DOBM5 2.5/ 2.6/ 2.7 :AUSTIN MN-21ST DOBBINS CR TRCM5 2.5/ 2.7/ 3.2 :AUSTIN MN-41 AV NW TURTLE CR HOUM5 1.5/ 1.7/ 1.8 :HOUSTON MN ROOT R LNSM5 2.5/ 2.5/ 2.7 :LANESBORO MN S BR ROOT R LANM5 2.5/ 2.6/ 2.7 :LANSING MN CEDAR R PTNM5 2.3/ 2.4/ 2.5 :PRESTON MN S BR ROOT R RBCM5 2.8/ 3.0/ 3.2 :ROCHESTER MN BEAR CR RCCM5 2.6/ 2.7/ 3.0 :ROCHESTER MN CASCADE CR ROCM5 3.0/ 3.2/ 3.4 :ROCHESTER MN SILVER CR RCSM5 3.5/ 4.0/ 4.5 :HWY 14 ROCHESTER S FK ZUMBRO R RCHM5 2.8/ 3.1/ 3.6 :ROCHESTER MN S FK ZUMBRO R WSPM5 2.2/ 2.4/ 2.8 :WHITEWATER ST.PK MFK WHITEWATER R ZUMM5 2.7/ 3.2/ 4.0 :ZUMBRO FALLS MN ZUMBRO R : : *** WISCONSIN HEADWATER POINTS *** : BTNW3 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.2 :BURTON WI GRANT R DDGW3 3.2/ 3.2/ 3.2 :DODGE WI TREMPEALEAU R GMIW3 2.7/ 2.8/ 2.9 :GAYS MILLS WI KICKAPOO R HILW3 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.2 :HILLSBORO WWTP WI S BR BARABOO R LAFW3 3.0/ 3.1/ 3.2 :LA FARGE WI KICKAPOO R NEIW3 2.8/ 3.2/ 3.7 :NEILLSVILLE WI BLACK R ONTW3 3.2/ 3.3/ 3.4 :ONTARIO WI KICKAPOO R REAW3 2.8/ 2.9/ 3.0 :READSTOWN WI KICKAPOO R RVLW3 2.4/ 2.5/ 2.6 :ROCKVILLE WI 2E PLATTE R SOGW3 2.7/ 2.8/ 2.9 :SOLDIERS GROVE WI KICKAPOO R STEW3 0.5/ 1.0/ 1.0 :STEUBEN WI KICKAPOO R VIOW3 2.8/ 2.9/ 2.9 :VIOLA WI KICKAPOO R .END $$  177 AWUS01 KWNH 072205 FFGMPD TNZ000-KYZ000-ALZ000-ILZ000-MSZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-080215- Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0641 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 604 PM EDT Tue Jul 07 2026 Areas affected...southern KY into TN and the mid-MS Valley Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible Valid 072202Z - 080215Z SUMMARY...Ongoing thunderstorms containing slow movement will maintain a threat for flash flooding through 02Z from KY into TN and portions of the mid-MS Valley. Peak hourly rainfall of 2-3 inches is expected, but storm coverage and the threat for flash flooding is expected to wane after sunset. DISCUSSION...At 2145Z, scattered thunderstorms persisted across portions of central and southern KY into a good portion of TN. A number of outflow boundaries were observed through visible satellite and radar imagery with a mean movement toward the south, helping ignite new rounds of convection. SPC mesoanalysis data from 21Z indicated roughly 1000-2000 J/kg MLCAPE remained over KY to TN and the MS Valley with PWs of 1.8 to 2.1 inches. Given a lack of shear, storms were fairly short-lived over any given location but occasional merging and repeating along with the efficient environment has supported hourly rainfall over 2 inches in a few locations. Thunderstorms will continue over the next few hours with a similar behavior as observed over the afternoon with somewhat chaotic motions. However, an expected lowering in coverage should occur beyond sunset with increasing low level inhibition. Until then, expect a continued threat for isolated to widely scattered areas of flash flooding with peak hourly rainfall in excess of 2 inches. Otto ...Please see www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...HUN...JKL...LMK...LZK...MEG...MRX...OHX...PAH... ATTN...RFC...ORN...TIR...NWC... LAT...LON 37668429 37418326 37028315 36428395 35748457 35388527 35008635 34928803 34878976 34979055 35269097 36179078 36929037 37348962 37508859 37618593