FNUS51 KALY 151852 FWFALY FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 252 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 .DISCUSSION...Widespread wetting rain expected tonight and tomorrow with a half inch to 1 inch or more expected region-wide. This rain should prevent any fire weather concerns through the next several days, despite gusty 25-35 mph wind gusts and RH of 35-45% Saturday afternoon. Prolonged stretch of dry weather is expected through at least the middle of next week, although winds each day remain light. NYZ206-160815- Southern Adirondacks- Including the cities of Old Forge, Long Lake, Speculator, Piseco, Northville, Caroga Lake, and Johnstown 252 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Precip Type Showers Tstms Showers None Chance Precip (%) 100 100 40 0 Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0 0 Temp (24H Trend) 35 (-4) 64 (+9) 25 41 RH % (24H Trend) 100 (+3) 82 (+38) 100 39 Wind 20ft/early(MPH) S 11 G31 NW 11 G28 Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var SW 10 G31 W 12 G29 NW 10 G28 Precip Amount 0.39 0.63 0.07 0.00 Precip Duration 4 11 2 Precip Begin 12 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 AM Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2510 6040 Transport Wnd (mph) W 22 NW 22 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 47690 114760 ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Max LVORI early 6 10 10 7 Max LVORI late 9 7 9 2 Remarks...None. $$ NYZ207-160815- Upper Hudson Valley- Including the cities of North Creek, Glens Falls, Saratoga Springs, Clifton Park, Whitehall, and Cambridge 252 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Precip Type Showers Tstms Showers None Chance Precip (%) 100 100 40 0 Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0 0 Temp (24H Trend) 35 (-9) 67 (+10) 32 47 RH % (24H Trend) 100 (+9) 81 (+40) 97 36 Wind 20ft/early(MPH) S 11 G31 NW 11 G28 Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var SW 10 G31 W 11 G29 NW 12 G28 Precip Amount 0.28 0.50 0.05 0.00 Precip Duration 3 9 1 Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing 9 PM Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2230 6800 Transport Wnd (mph) SW 16 NW 21 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 31220 122400 ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Max LVORI early 8 10 8 5 Max LVORI late 9 7 7 2 Remarks...None. $$ NYZ208-160815- Middle Hudson Valley- Including the cities of Amsterdam, Schenectady, Albany, Troy, Berlin, Berne, Cairo, Catskill, Chatham, Kingston, Poughkeepsie, Dover Plains, Ellenville, and Monticello 252 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Precip Type Showers Tstms Showers None Chance Precip (%) 90 90 90 0 Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0 0 Temp (24H Trend) 41 (-5) 72 (+12) 36 48 RH % (24H Trend) 100 (+11) 77 (+31) 99 37 Wind 20ft/early(MPH) S 10 G35 NW 13 G32 Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var SW 10 G35 W 9 G33 NW 13 G32 Precip Amount 0.10 0.29 0.10 0.00 Precip Duration 2 7 2 Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing 1 AM Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2810 6730 Transport Wnd (mph) SW 18 NW 21 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 44960 121140 ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Max LVORI early 7 10 8 4 Max LVORI late 8 7 7 2 Remarks...None. $$ NYZ209-160815- Catskill- Including the cities of Tannersville and Phoenicia 252 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Precip Type Showers Tstms Showers None Chance Precip (%) 90 90 80 0 Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0 0 Temp (24H Trend) 41 (0) 69 (+10) 29 44 RH % (24H Trend) 100 (+11) 79 (+32) 99 39 Wind 20ft/early(MPH) S 10 G33 NW 14 G36 Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var SW 9 G33 W 10 G37 NW 12 G36 Precip Amount 0.13 0.32 0.10 0.00 Precip Duration 3 7 2 Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing 1 AM Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2450 5790 Transport Wnd (mph) SW 18 N 23 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 39200 115800 ADI early Very Poor Very Poor 1 Very Poor Very Poor ADI late Very Poor 1 Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Max LVORI early 5 10 9 6 Max LVORI late 10 7 8 2 Remarks...None. $$ VTZ036-160815- Southern Taconics- Including the cities of Bennington, Manchester Center, and Pownal 252 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Precip Type Showers Tstms Showers None Chance Precip (%) 80 100 90 0 Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0 0 Temp (24H Trend) 38 (-7) 66 (+11) 32 44 RH % (24H Trend) 100 (+9) 79 (+39) 100 39 Wind 20ft/early(MPH) S 13 G32 NW 11 G31 Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var SW 11 G32 W 12 G32 NW 12 G31 Precip Amount 0.19 0.64 0.13 0.00 Precip Duration 2 8 3 Precip Begin 3 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 AM Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 1770 6250 Transport Wnd (mph) SW 18 NW 21 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 28320 112500 ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Max LVORI early 7 10 9 7 Max LVORI late 7 7 9 3 Remarks...None. $$ VTZ037-160815- Southern Greens- Including the cities of Londonderry, Stratton, Woodford State Park, and Stamford 252 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Precip Type Showers Tstms Showers None Chance Precip (%) 70 100 90 0 Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0 0 Temp (24H Trend) 36 (-6) 65 (+10) 30 41 RH % (24H Trend) 100 (+6) 86 (+42) 100 44 Wind 20ft/early(MPH) S 10 G29 NW 11 G31 Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var SW 9 G29 W 11 G32 NW 10 G31 Precip Amount 0.20 0.68 0.12 0.00 Precip Duration 1 8 3 Precip Begin 3 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 AM Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 1850 5880 Transport Wnd (mph) SW 18 NW 22 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 29600 111720 ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Max LVORI early 7 10 9 7 Max LVORI late 9 8 9 3 Remarks...None. $$ VTZ038-160815- Lower Connecticut Valley South- Including the cities of Bellows Falls, Brattleboro, Guilford Center, and West Brattleboro 252 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Type Showers Showers Showers None Chance Precip (%) 50 100 80 0 Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0 Temp (24H Trend) 37 (-6) 66 (+7) 34 45 RH % (24H Trend) 100 (+13) 86 (+46) 100 38 Wind 20ft/early(MPH) S 8 G26 NW 10 G29 Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var S 6 G26 W 7 G31 NW 10 G29 Precip Amount 0.13 0.49 0.05 0.00 Precip Duration 1 7 2 Precip Begin 3 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing 12 AM Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 1620 6130 Transport Wnd (mph) SW 16 NW 22 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 22680 116470 ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Max LVORI early 7 10 10 5 Max LVORI late 8 8 8 3 Remarks...None. $$ MAZ001-160815- Northern Berkshire- Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida, and North Adams 252 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms None Chance Precip (%) 70 100 100 0 Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 20 0 Temp (24H Trend) 39 (-6) 67 (+11) 36 44 RH % (24H Trend) 100 (+8) 83 (+39) 100 38 Wind 20ft/early(MPH) S 13 G32 NW 14 G34 Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var SW 11 G32 W 13 G35 NW 14 G34 Precip Amount 0.16 0.60 0.19 0.00 Precip Duration 1 8 3 Precip Begin 3 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing 3 AM Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 1680 5740 Transport Wnd (mph) S 20 NW 23 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 28560 114800 ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Max LVORI early 6 10 9 5 Max LVORI late 9 8 9 3 Remarks...None. $$ MAZ025-160815- Southern Berkshire- Including the cities of Sandisfield, Great Barrington, and South Egremont 252 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms None Chance Precip (%) 70 90 100 0 Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 20 0 Temp (24H Trend) 42 (-3) 68 (+9) 39 45 RH % (24H Trend) 100 (+10) 82 (+37) 100 39 Wind 20ft/early(MPH) S 11 G29 NW 13 G32 Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var SW 10 G29 W 10 G33 NW 13 G32 Precip Amount 0.10 0.37 0.19 0.00 Precip Duration 1 7 3 Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing 2 AM Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 1680 5660 Transport Wnd (mph) SW 17 NW 23 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 25200 113200 ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Max LVORI early 7 10 10 4 Max LVORI late 9 8 9 3 Remarks...None. $$ CTZ001-160815- Northern Litchfield- Including the city of Torrington 252 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms None Chance Precip (%) 60 90 90 0 Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 20 0 Temp (24H Trend) 43 (-2) 69 (+7) 40 47 RH % (24H Trend) 100 (+12) 82 (+37) 100 39 Wind 20ft/early(MPH) S 10 G27 NW 13 G31 Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var SW 10 G27 W 8 G32 NW 13 G31 Precip Amount 0.09 0.28 0.17 0.00 Precip Duration 1 6 3 Precip Begin 3 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing 2 AM Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 1670 5700 Transport Wnd (mph) SW 17 N 25 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 25050 125400 ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Max LVORI early 7 10 10 5 Max LVORI late 9 8 8 3 Remarks...None. $$ CTZ013-160815- Southern Litchfield- Including the cities of Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford, Terryville, and Thomaston 252 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms None Chance Precip (%) 60 90 80 0 Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 20 0 Temp (24H Trend) 44 (-3) 70 (+7) 42 48 RH % (24H Trend) 100 (+13) 85 (+38) 100 39 Wind 20ft/early(MPH) S 8 G26 NW 13 G31 Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var SW 9 G26 W 8 G29 NW 13 G31 Precip Amount 0.06 0.19 0.14 0.00 Precip Duration 1 5 3 Precip Begin 3 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 AM Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 1590 5560 Transport Wnd (mph) SW 16 N 22 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 22260 105640 ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Max LVORI early 9 10 10 5 Max LVORI late 9 9 8 3 Remarks...None. $$ .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the lower 50s. West winds 15 to 20 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs around 60. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs around 60. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal. $$