FNUS53 KAPX 080632 FWFAPX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan National Weather Service Gaylord MI 232 AM EDT Wed Jul 8 2026 ...Increasing shower/storm chances today into Thursday... .DISCUSSION...Deepening moisture ahead of a slow moving front will bring increasing shower and thunderstorm chances to the area, especially this afternoon into Thursday morning. Some areas could receive some respectable rain totals by later Thursday, with isolated amounts in excess of an inch possible. That increasing moisture will keep afternoon relative humidity values mostly elevated despite well above normal temperatures today, although could see some locations across northeast lower Michigan dip below 40 percent. Elevated moisture expected tonight and Thursday. Rain- free weather returns Friday through much of the weekend. Rather aggressive mixing out of low level moisture will likely result in sub 40 percent RH values each afternoon Friday through the weekend. Other than perhaps some gusty winds with any thunderstorm activity today through Thursday, just not seeing any evidence of any significant wind concerns for the next several days. MIZ016-017-021>023-099-082200- Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency Counties- 232 AM EDT Wed Jul 8 2026 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms after 1200. Max Temperature.....84-89...except 72-77 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........41-46 percent...except 58-63 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......18 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 23 mph. Vent Rate...........Good (441). Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 9 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.31 in. Chance of Thunder...24 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms until 2400, then showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Min Temperature.....59-64...except 66-71 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. Max Humidity........95-100 percent. 24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (28). Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.10- 0.38 in. Chance of Thunder...31 percent. .THURSDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Showers likely until 1200Chance of showers after 1200. Max Temperature.....75-80...except around 71 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........55-60 percent. 24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph. Vent Rate...........Fair (276). Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph shifting to the north around 9 mph in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.34 in. Chance of Thunder...16 percent. $$ MIZ018-024-030-036-042-082200- Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac Counties...including Eastern Huron NF- 232 AM EDT Wed Jul 8 2026 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1200. Max Temperature.....86-91...except 72-77 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. Min Humidity........38-43 percent. 24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph. Vent Rate...........Good (517). Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 6 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in . Chance of Thunder...23 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms until 2400, then showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Min Temperature.....59-64...except 66-71 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........94-99 percent. 24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter...except 7 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Vent Rate...........Poor (24). Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.26 in. Chance of Thunder...28 percent. .THURSDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Showers likely. Chance of thunderstorms after 1200. Max Temperature.....77-82...except 67-72 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler...except 1 degree cooler near the coast. Min Humidity........57-62 percent. 24 HR Trend......19 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. Vent Rate...........Fair (195). Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph shifting to the northwest around 9 mph in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.40 in. Chance of Thunder...27 percent. $$ MIZ020-025>027-082200- Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL- 232 AM EDT Wed Jul 8 2026 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of rain showers after 1200. Max Temperature.....83-88...except 71-76 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........48-53 percent. 24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter...except 25 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 23 mph. Vent Rate...........Good (432). Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in . Chance of Thunder...14 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms until 2400, then showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Min Temperature.....61-66. 24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer. Max Humidity........95-100 percent. 24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 13 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (26). Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.10- 0.50 in. Chance of Thunder...30 percent. .THURSDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of showers. Max Temperature.....74-79...except around 70 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........64-69 percent. 24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter...except 2 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph. Vent Rate...........Fair (248). Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in . Chance of Thunder...19 percent. $$ MIZ031>033-082200- Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the northern quarter of Manistee NF- 232 AM EDT Wed Jul 8 2026 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of rain showers after 1200. Max Temperature.....83-88. 24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler. Min Humidity........43-48 percent...except 61-66 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter...except 29 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 18 mph. Vent Rate...........Good (543). Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in . Chance of Thunder...12 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of showers until 2400. Chance of thunderstorms. Showers likely after 2400. Min Temperature.....61-66...except 68-73 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........95-100 percent. 24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (26). Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 6 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.28 in. Chance of Thunder...34 percent. .THURSDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Showers likely until 1200Chance of showers after 1200. Max Temperature.....75-80. 24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........64-69 percent. 24 HR Trend......20 percent wetter...except 4 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph. Vent Rate...........Fair (294). Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.18 in. Chance of Thunder...22 percent. $$ MIZ028-029-034-035-041-082200- Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin Counties...including Western Huron NF- 232 AM EDT Wed Jul 8 2026 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms after 1200. Max Temperature.....86-91. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. Min Humidity........38-43 percent. 24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (647). Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 9 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in . Chance of Thunder...15 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms until 2400, then showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Min Temperature.....61-66. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........94-99 percent. 24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Vent Rate...........Poor (29). Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.15 in. Chance of Thunder...29 percent. .THURSDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Showers likely. Chance of thunderstorms after 1200. Max Temperature.....78-83. 24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........62-67 percent. 24 HR Trend......24 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 13 mph. Vent Rate...........Fair (241). Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.23 in. Chance of Thunder...35 percent. $$ .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. $$ MSB