FNUS53 KAPX 161847 FWFAPX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan National Weather Service Gaylord MI 247 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026 ...Breezy conditions continue through the weekend... DISCUSSION...Scattered showers will continue tonight before high pressure builds from the west this weekend, bringing rain-free weather through the weekend. Winds driven by the pressure gradient force will shift to the southwest Saturday, gusting as high as 25- 35mph for most locations. Dewpoint temperatures will fall steadily tonight. Combined with efficient afternoon mixing, this supports minimum relative humidity (RH) values in the 30s this Saturday and Sunday. Temperatures will begin to climb above normal for mid- October, with highs reaching the 60s from this Sunday through the middle of next week. MIZ016-017-021>023-099-170815- Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency Counties- 247 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2400, then partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of rain showers until 2400. Min Temperature.....29-34...except 38-43 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler...except 5 degrees cooler near the coast. Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 71-76 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......8 percent drier...except 14 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 41 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (31). Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 12 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in . Chance of Thunder...1 percent. .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Max Temperature.....51-56. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........40-45 percent. 24 HR Trend......36 percent drier...except 24 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 32 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (730). Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph increasing to around 21 mph in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...0 percent. .SATURDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Min Temperature.....40-45...except 47-52 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........82-87 percent...except 71-76 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......3 percent drier...except 7 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 36 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (65). Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...0 percent. .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Max Temperature.....61-66...except 52-57 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........34-39 percent...except 43-48 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......1 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 36 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (704). Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 27 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...0 percent. $$ MIZ018-024-030-036-042-170815- Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac Counties...including Eastern Huron NF- 247 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2400, then partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of rain showers until 2400. Min Temperature.....27-32...except 36-41 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........86-91 percent...except 68-73 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......15 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 36 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (51). Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 15 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in . Chance of Thunder...2 percent. .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Max Temperature.....52-57. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........37-42 percent. 24 HR Trend......27 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 23 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (662). Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 9 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...0 percent. .SATURDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Min Temperature.....37-42. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 77-82 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 23 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (46). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...0 percent. .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Max Temperature.....62-67...except around 60 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........34-39 percent. 24 HR Trend......1 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 32 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (676). Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 24 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...0 percent. $$ MIZ020-025>027-170815- Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL- 247 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2400, then partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of rain showers. Min Temperature.....30-35...except 43-48 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler...except 5 degrees cooler near the coast. Max Humidity........88-93 percent...except 74-79 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......8 percent drier...except 14 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 41 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (50). Mixing Height.......600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North around 24 mph decreasing to around 12 mph after midnight. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in . Chance of Thunder...5 percent. .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Max Temperature.....53-58. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........41-46 percent. 24 HR Trend......31 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 mph. Vent Rate...........Good (599). Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph increasing to around 21 mph in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...0 percent. .SATURDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Min Temperature.....38-43...except around 50 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer...except 5 degrees warmer near the coast. Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 71-76 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......2 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 32 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (81). Mixing Height.......600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...0 percent. .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Max Temperature.....60-65...except 53-58 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........36-41 percent. 24 HR Trend......2 percent drier...except 12 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 41 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (673). Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 27 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...0 percent. $$ MIZ031>033-170815- Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the northern quarter of Manistee NF- 247 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2400, then partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of rain showers until 2400, then slight chance of rain showers. Min Temperature.....30-35. 24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 80-85 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 11 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 32 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (33). Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 12 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in . Chance of Thunder...5 percent. .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Max Temperature.....52-57. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........40-45 percent. 24 HR Trend......35 percent drier...except 30 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph. Vent Rate...........Good (567). Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph increasing to west around 18 mph in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...0 percent. .SATURDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Min Temperature.....38-43. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 74-79 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......4 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 27 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (50). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...0 percent. .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Max Temperature.....59-64. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........36-41 percent...except 51-56 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......2 percent drier...except 6 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 27 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (656). Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 24 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...0 percent. $$ MIZ028-029-034-035-041-170815- Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin Counties...including Western Huron NF- 247 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2400, then partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of rain showers until 2400. Min Temperature.....25-30. 24 HR Trend......15 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........86-91 percent. 24 HR Trend......10 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 27 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (38). Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 12 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in . Chance of Thunder...1 percent. .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Max Temperature.....52-57. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........38-43 percent. 24 HR Trend......31 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (654). Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 9 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...0 percent. .SATURDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Min Temperature.....34-39. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........90-95 percent. 24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 23 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (42). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...0 percent. .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Max Temperature.....61-66. 24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........35-40 percent. 24 HR Trend......1 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 27 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (710). Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 24 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...0 percent. $$ .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. $$ SJC