FNUS53 KAPX 190915 FWFAPX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan National Weather Service Gaylord MI 515 AM EDT Tue May 19 2026 ...Scattered Showers/Storms Today, Drier Conditions Ahead... .DISCUSSION... Scattered showers and storms will be possible across northern Michigan through much of today. Ongoing showers and embedded storms near the Lake Michigan shoreline will attempt to move inland while weakening over the next several hours. A break in rain chances is anticipated midday before additional shower/storm chances this afternoon through early evening. A few strong storms will be possible, mainly east of I-75. Otherwise, southwest 20ft winds of 10- 15 mph with gusts to 25-35 mph are in store later this morning through this afternoon. No RH concerns for today, but high pressure building in will bring drier conditions for the second half of this week -- including the potential for near-critical/critical RHs on Thursday. MIZ016-017-021>023-099-192015- Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency Counties- 515 AM EDT Tue May 19 2026 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after 1200. Max Temperature.....78-83...except 62-67 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........55-60 percent. 24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 32 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (619). Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 24 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.12 in. Chance of Thunder...23 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain showers until 2400. Patchy frost after 2400. Min Temperature.....34-39. 24 HR Trend......25 degrees cooler...except 19 degrees cooler near the coast. Max Humidity........80-85 percent. 24 HR Trend......18 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 27 mph. Vent Rate...........Fair (177). Mixing Height.......1300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in . Chance of Thunder...15 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Patchy frost until 1200. Max Temperature.....50-55...except 42-47 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......27 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........36-41 percent. 24 HR Trend......15 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 23 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (707). Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest around 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...1 percent. $$ MIZ018-024-030-036-042-192015- Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac Counties...including Eastern Huron NF- 515 AM EDT Tue May 19 2026 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of rain showers until 1200, then chance of showers and thunderstorms. Max Temperature.....79-84...except 64-69 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........52-57 percent. 24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 27 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (609). Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 24 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in . Chance of Thunder...24 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2400, then partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms until 2400. Patchy frost after 2400. Min Temperature.....38-43. 24 HR Trend......23 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........79-84 percent. 24 HR Trend......21 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 27 mph. Vent Rate...........Fair (203). Mixing Height.......1400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest around 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in . Chance of Thunder...16 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Patchy frost until 1200. Max Temperature.....56-61...except 40-45 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......28 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........34-39 percent. 24 HR Trend......21 percent drier...except 15 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 27 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (730). Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...1 percent. $$ MIZ020-025>027-192015- Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL- 515 AM EDT Tue May 19 2026 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after 1200. Max Temperature.....74-79...except 58-63 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........60-65 percent. 24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 32 mph. Vent Rate...........Good (549). Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 24 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.13 in. Chance of Thunder...23 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain showers until 2400. Patchy frost after 2400. Min Temperature.....35-40. 24 HR Trend......23 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........82-87 percent. 24 HR Trend......18 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 27 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (99). Mixing Height.......900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest around 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in . Chance of Thunder...15 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy frost until 1200. Max Temperature.....49-54...except 42-47 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......27 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........38-43 percent. 24 HR Trend......16 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 23 mph. Vent Rate...........Good (537). Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North around 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...1 percent. $$ MIZ031>033-192015- Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the northern quarter of Manistee NF- 515 AM EDT Tue May 19 2026 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Max Temperature.....75-80...except 67-72 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........59-64 percent. 24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter...except 14 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 32 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (633). Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 24 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.14 in. Chance of Thunder...21 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain showers until 2400. Patchy frost after 2400. Min Temperature.....37-42. 24 HR Trend......23 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........83-88 percent. 24 HR Trend......19 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 27 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (104). Mixing Height.......900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest around 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in . Chance of Thunder...15 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Patchy frost until 1200. Max Temperature.....52-57. 24 HR Trend......25 degrees cooler...except 20 degrees cooler near the coast. Min Humidity........36-41 percent. 24 HR Trend......20 percent drier...except 25 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 23 mph. Vent Rate...........Good (596). Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North around 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...1 percent. $$ MIZ028-029-034-035-041-192015- Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin Counties...including Western Huron NF- 515 AM EDT Tue May 19 2026 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after 1200. Max Temperature.....78-83. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........56-61 percent. 24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 27 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (791). Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 27 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in . Chance of Thunder...26 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms until 2400. Patchy frost after 2400. Min Temperature.....39-44. 24 HR Trend......24 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........80-85 percent. 24 HR Trend......16 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 27 mph. Vent Rate...........Fair (192). Mixing Height.......1400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest around 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in . Chance of Thunder...17 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Patchy frost until 1200. Max Temperature.....56-61. 24 HR Trend......25 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........35-40 percent. 24 HR Trend......19 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 23 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (697). Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...1 percent. $$ .EXTENDED... .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WIDESPREAD FROST. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MEMORIAL DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ DJC