FNUS51 KBUF 160632
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
232 AM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

.DISCUSSION...
No significant fire weather concerns are expected.

NYZ201-160800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
232 AM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                            Overnight          Fri    Fri Night          Sat
Cloud Cover                    Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy        Pcldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms      Showers         None
Chance Precip (%)                  90           90           40            0
Chance of Thunder (%)              20           20            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       43           70           32           47
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           73          100           39
AM Wind (mph)                            SW 12 G29                  N 10 G23
PM Wind (mph)                             W 13 G31    NW 11 G23        NW  8
Precip Amount                    0.22         0.40         0.03         0.00
Precip Duration                     4           10            2             
Precip Begin                     2 AM   Continuing   Continuing             
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing         6 AM             
Mixing Height (ft-agl)            430         2990          430         5740
Transport Wind (kts)             S 16         W 20        NW 18        NW 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                6880        59800         7740        97580
Dispersion Index                    4           63            8          100
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-160800-
Southern Tier-
232 AM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                            Overnight          Fri    Fri Night          Sat
Cloud Cover                    Cloudy        Mcldy       Cloudy        Pcldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  80           90           60           30
Chance of Thunder (%)              20           20            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       51           69           33           45
Max/Min Humidity (%)               99           69          100           37
AM Wind (mph)                            SW 11 G26                  N 10 G22
PM Wind (mph)                             W 13 G27    NW 11 G23    NW  9 G20
Precip Amount                    0.13         0.35         0.06         0.01
Precip Duration                     3           10            4            1
Precip Begin                     2 AM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing         8 AM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)            430         2830          560         5150
Transport Wind (kts)             S 18         W 20        NW 18         N 19
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                7740        56600        10080        97850
Dispersion Index                    6           70           10          105
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. 
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. 
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower
60s. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower 60s.

WIND SATURDAY NIGHT...West around 5 mph. 
WIND SUNDAY...South around 5 mph. 
WIND MONDAY...East around 5 mph. 
WIND TUESDAY...Light winds. 
WIND WEDNESDAY...Northeast around 5 mph. 
WIND THURSDAY...East around 5 mph. 

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$