FNUS51 KBUF 161405
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1005 AM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

.DISCUSSION...
No significant fire weather concerns are expected.

NYZ201-162000-
Lake Ontario Plains-
1005 AM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                                Today      Tonight          Sat
Cloud Cover                    Cloudy       Cloudy        Pcldy
Precip Type                     Tstms      Showers         None
Chance Precip (%)                  90           40            0
Chance of Thunder (%)              20            0            0
Max/Min Temp                       70           32           47
Min/Max Humidity (%)               73          100           39
AM Wind (mph)               SW 12 G29                  N 10 G23
PM Wind (mph)                W 13 G31    NW 11 G23        NW  8
Precip Amount                    0.40         0.03         0.00
Precip Duration                    10            2             
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing             
Precip End                 Continuing         6 AM             
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           2990          430         5740
Transport Wind (kts)             W 20        NW 18        NW 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               59800         7740        97580
Dispersion Index                   63            8          100
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-162000-
Southern Tier-
1005 AM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                                Today      Tonight          Sat
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy       Cloudy        Pcldy
Precip Type                     Tstms      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  90           60           30
Chance of Thunder (%)              20            0            0
Max/Min Temp                       70           33           45
Min/Max Humidity (%)               69          100           37
AM Wind (mph)               SW 11 G26                  N 10 G22
PM Wind (mph)                W 13 G27    NW 11 G23    NW  9 G20
Precip Amount                    0.35         0.06         0.01
Precip Duration                    10            4            1
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing         8 AM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           2830          560         5150
Transport Wind (kts)             W 20        NW 18         N 19
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               56600        10080        97850
Dispersion Index                   70           10          105
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. 
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. 
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower
60s. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower 60s.

WIND SATURDAY NIGHT...West around 5 mph. 
WIND SUNDAY...South around 5 mph. 
WIND MONDAY...East around 5 mph. 
WIND TUESDAY...Light winds. 
WIND WEDNESDAY...Northeast around 5 mph. 
WIND THURSDAY...East around 5 mph. 

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$