FNUS51 KBUF 161832
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
232 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

.DISCUSSION...
No significant fire weather concerns are expected.

NYZ201-162000-
Lake Ontario Plains-
232 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                                Today      Tonight          Sat
Cloud Cover                    Cloudy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                     Tstms      Showers         None
Chance Precip (%)                 100           50            0
Chance of Thunder (%)              20            0            0
Max/Min Temp                       69           31           48
Min/Max Humidity (%)               73          100           38
AM Wind (mph)                S 10 G32                  N  9 G20
PM Wind (mph)                W 13 G33    NW 11 G23        NW  7
Precip Amount                    0.37         0.02         0.00
Precip Duration                    10            1             
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing             
Precip End                 Continuing         4 AM             
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           3150          420         5600
Transport Wind (kts)             W 21         N 17         N 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               66150         7140        89600
Dispersion Index                   83            7           98
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-162000-
Southern Tier-
232 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                                Today      Tonight          Sat
Cloud Cover                    Cloudy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                     Tstms      Showers         None
Chance Precip (%)                  90           60            0
Chance of Thunder (%)              20            0            0
Max/Min Temp                       69           32           46
Min/Max Humidity (%)               70          100           36
AM Wind (mph)               SW 10 G28                      N 10
PM Wind (mph)                W 12 G29    NW 11 G23        NW  7
Precip Amount                    0.36         0.03         0.00
Precip Duration                    10            3             
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing             
Precip End                 Continuing         6 AM             
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           3080          470         5330
Transport Wind (kts)             W 22        NW 18         N 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               67760         8460        95940
Dispersion Index                   83            8          109
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. 
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. 
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 60s. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 60s. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. 

WIND SATURDAY NIGHT...Light winds. 
WIND SUNDAY...Southeast around 5 mph. 
WIND MONDAY...East around 5 mph. 
WIND TUESDAY...Light winds. 
WIND WEDNESDAY...North around 5 mph. 
WIND THURSDAY...East around 5 mph. 

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$