FNUS74 KEPZ 091151 FWSEPZ Spot Forecast for Allie Canyon Trail Work...USFS National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 551 AM MDT Thu Jul 9 2026 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 MDT on July 09. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Showers and thunderstorms, at least in vicinity, are a good bet this afternoon and evening with the most likely time for storms between 1pm and 5pm though it is not expected to rain continuously during that period. Moisture is a bit lacking, limiting heavy rainfall potential, with rainfall totals of about 0.25" expected with a very low chance (less than 5%) of an inch or more. Thus, the flash flooding risk is very low (under 5%). Otherwise, winds will be light today with temperatures in the low to mid 90s. Each afternoon and evening for the days ahead will feature a chance of storms, but with a little bit higher risk for flash flooding Sunday into Tuesday. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly Cloudy (15-25 percent) becoming mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers and thunderstorms are likely in the afternoon and evening. Chance of pcpn......70 percent. Chance of thunder...55 percent. Surface winds (mph).West winds around 5 mph. TIME (MDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........24 24 12 12 12 25 25 25 69 69 69 Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONECHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONECHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 20 50 60 70 70 50 Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 20 60 50 50 50 30 Surface wnd dir.NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W W Surface wnd spd.4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 Surface wnd gst.8 8 9 9 9 10 10 10 12 12 12 .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (20-30 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......40 percent. Chance of thunder...34 percent. Surface winds (mph).North winds around 9 mph shifting to the west around 5 mph in the afternoon. TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........15 15 15 19 19 19 24 24 24 39 39 39 Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONECHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONECHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 30 30 30 40 40 40 Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 30 30 30 30 30 30 Surface wnd dir.N N N N N N W W W W W W Surface wnd spd.9 9 9 9 9 9 5 5 5 5 5 5 Surface wnd gst.15 15 15 16 16 16 10 10 10 13 13 13 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY... Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. North winds around 7 mph. .SUNDAY... Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. East winds around 6 mph. .MONDAY... Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. East winds around 8 mph. $$ Forecaster...BROWN Requested by...Brian Stultz Type of request...OTHER .TAG 2616937.1/EPZ .DELDT 07/09/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL Brian.Stultz@usda.gov