FXUS65 KFGZ 190511
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1011 PM MST Mon May 18 2026

.SYNOPSIS...Cooler and breezy conditions remain today behind a
cold front. Gradually warmer and less windy conditions return for
the remainder of the week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Gusty southwest winds continue over the eastern half 
of our CWA this afternoon, the Wind Advisory for Apache County has 
been extended through the end of the day. Much drier and stable air 
has moved into the western zones and this will move east across the 
CWA through the day and into Tuesday. The band of shallow moisture 
from earlier this morning is slowly mixing out and shower chances 
have essentially reached zero.

The remainder of the week will feature a slow and steady rise in 
temperatures, dry conditions and typical southwesterly winds each 
afternoon. A weak trough does persist over the area through at least 
Friday, so some of those afternoon gusts may have a little extra 
speed at times, but nothing impactful.

By next weekend, ridging forms over the area and we should expect 
temperatures to rise a bit above normal as a result. However, it 
still looks very dry.

&&

.AVIATION...Tuesday 19/06Z through Wednesday 20/06Z...VFR
conditions, no precipitation expected. Winds light and variable or
terrain driven overnight. Becoming S-SW 5-15 kts, gusts 20kts
after 15-18Z, light and variable again after 03Z.

OUTLOOK...Wednesday 20/06Z through Friday 22/06Z...VFR conditions,
no precipitation expected. Winds SW-W 5-15kts, gusts 20-25kts
daytime, light and variable or terrain driven overnight.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Tuesday and Wednesday...Dry and cool conditions. 
Winds west through southwest 10-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph each 
day, strongest in eastern AZ. Minimum afternoon RH is 10-20% on 
Tuesday, falling to 10-15% on Wednesday.

Thursday through Saturday....Dry conditions with gradually warming 
temperatures. Winds west through southwest 5-15 mph each day, along 
with minimum afternoon RH 5-15%.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...Peterson
AVIATION...Bernhart
FIRE WEATHER...Lewandowski

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff