FXUS65 KFGZ 192345
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
445 PM MST Tue May 19 2026

.SYNOPSIS...Gradually warming temperatures and dry conditions are
in store for much of the week and next weekend, along with typical 
afternoon breezes.

&&

.DISCUSSION...The remainder of the week will feature a slow and 
steady rise in temperatures, dry conditions and generally light 
southwesterly winds each afternoon. A weak trough does persist over 
the area through at least Friday, so some of those afternoon gusts 
may have a little extra speed at times, but nothing impactful.

By next weekend, ridging forms over the area and we should expect 
temperatures to rise a bit above normal as a result. However, it 
still looks very dry. There are some hints of a modest increase in 
mid-level moisture for Sunday/Monday, which could lead to isolated 
and high-based showers. However, amounts are likely to remain in 
the trace category, or just VIRGA.

&&

.AVIATION...Wednesday 20/00Z through Thursday 21/00Z...VFR
conditions, no precipitation expected. Winds light and variable or
terrain driven overnight, S-SW 5-15kts, gusts 20-25kts daytime.

OUTLOOK...Thursday 21/00Z through Saturday 23/00Z...VFR
conditions, no precipitation expected. Daytime winds SW-W 5-15kts
daytime, light and variable or terrain driven overnight.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Wednesday and Thursday...Dry conditions and a 
gradual warming trend. Winds are west through southwest 10-15 mph 
with gusts 20-25 mph each day, along with a minimum RH of 5-15%.

Friday through Sunday....Continued dry conditions with warming 
temperatures. Winds are west through southwest 5-15 mph each day. 
Minimum RH is 5-15% on Friday, then 10-20% on Saturday and Sunday.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...Peterson
AVIATION...Bernhart
FIRE WEATHER...Lewandowski

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff