FNUS75 KGJT 091846
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Morapos Creek...USFS
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1246 PM MDT Thu Jul 9 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1300 MDT on July 09. 
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms
are expected through the afternoon, and will likely move over or near
the fire location. These storms are capable of producing small hail,
frequent lightning, and wind gusts in excess of 55 mph. Showers and
storms will taper off after sunset, with drier air moving in. 
Temperatures start to climb tomorrow, with near-record setting heat 
expected by Sunday. Winds remain light enough that critical fire 
weather conditions are not expected.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers 
                    and thunderstorms through the afternoon. 
CWR.................10 percent. 
Max temperature.....74-79. 
Min humidity........22-27 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10-14 mph becoming southwest winds 8-12
                    mph by 1700. Gusts to around 20 mph through the 
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near 
                    thunderstorms. 
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent decreasing to very good by 1400, to
                    good by 1500, and to fair by 1700. 
Mixing height.......10500 ft AGL decreasing through the afternoon to   
                    4400 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....West 17 mph. 
Chance of thunder...30 percent. 

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent). 
CWR.................0 percent. 
Min temperature.....51-56. 
Max humidity........40-45 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 4-8 mph shifting to the southeast
                    by 2100 
Smoke dispersal.....Fair decreasing to poor (3000-5000 knot-ft) 
                    by 2000.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL by 2100. 
Transport winds.....Southeast 11 mph. 
Chance of thunder...0 percent. 

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). 
CWR.................10 percent. 
Max temperature.....76-81. 
Min humidity........12-17 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 4-8 mph shifting to the northwest
                    by 0900. Gusts up to 20 mph possible in the 
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2000-17000 knot-ft) increasing to fair by 
                    1000, to good by 1100, and to very good by 1200. 
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL increasing to 13100 ft AGL by 1400. 
Transport winds.....West 10 mph. 
Chance of thunder...10 percent. 

$$
Forecaster...Brianna Bealo
Requested by...Vaelli
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617096.0/GJT
.DELDT 07/09/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL cogjc@firenet.gov