FNUS75 KGJT 221131
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Elk knob...USWFS
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
531 AM MDT Sat Aug 22 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on August 22. 
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Look for showers with embedded thunderstorms 
developing in the area through the afternoon and lasting into the 
evening. Primary threats are lightning, gusts to 40 mph and
periods of heavy rain. Expect similar conditions and timing 
Sunday as the monsoonal moisture remains in place over the region.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Rain showers 
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms in the 
                    afternoon. 
CWR.................30 percent. 
Max temperature.....65-70. 
Min humidity........32-37 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 mph shifting to the west in the 
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected 
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon. 
Smoke dispersal.....Fair increasing to good in the afternoon. 
Mixing height.......8600 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....West 12 mph. 
Chance of thunder...40 percent. 

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) then becoming 
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Rain showers 
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms in the 
                    evening.
CWR.................10 percent. 
Min temperature.....46-51. 
Max humidity........70-75 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 mph shifting to the south 
                    overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected 
                    near thunderstorms in the evening. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4000-31000 knot-ft). 
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL decreasing to 600 ft AGL overnight. 
Transport winds.....South 10 mph. 
Chance of thunder...25 percent. 

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) then becoming 
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers 
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms in the 
                    afternoon. 
CWR.................20 percent. 
Max temperature.....62-67. 
Min humidity........36-41 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds 
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. 
Smoke dispersal.....Fair increasing to very good in the afternoon. 
Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL increasing to 9900 ft AGL in the 
                    afternoon. 
Transport winds.....West 16 mph. 
Chance of thunder...45 percent. 

$$
Forecaster...David Byers
Requested by...M.Herrera
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2619996.3/GJT
.DELDT 08/22/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mdherrera@blm.gov,cogjc@firenet.gov