FXUS64 KJAN 161726 AFDJAN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jackson MS 1226 PM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Significant threat for fire danger conditions continue through the weekend. Red Flag Warnings are in effect today, with a fire weather watch on Saturday. - Very little, if any, rainfall is expected through next week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1227 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026 An upper trough over the northern plains is poised to move southeast into the region today and this will drag a strong cold front across the area this afternoon. With little moisture to work with, this boundary will be dry with the main effect being gusty northwest winds. The main concern today will be the very dry conditions that persist across the area combined with the gusty winds. A red flag warning is in affect for the entire area this afternoon. The gusty northerly winds will continue on Saturday and along with min RH's in the low to mid 30 percent range a fire weather watch has also been issued. The dry weather will continue through the period and with min RH's in the upper 20 percent range on Sunday and Monday, at least a limited fire weather risk will continue into next week. No rain is expected through the end of next week./15/ && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1226 PM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026 All TAF sites are reporting VFR conditions as of 1726Z. VFR conditions will prevail through the whole period. Gusty northwesterly winds will persist across all sites, with gusts in excess of 30 knots as a cold front sweeps across the area. Low- level wind shear will occur across most TAF sites starting around 01Z Saturday and will prevail through 13Z Saturday. Wind gusts should begin to decrease across the area by late Saturday evening. /CR/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Jackson 50 71 45 74 / 0 0 0 0 Meridian 48 69 44 71 / 0 0 0 0 Vicksburg 48 70 44 75 / 0 0 0 0 Hattiesburg 50 72 46 74 / 0 0 0 0 Natchez 50 70 45 75 / 0 0 0 0 Greenville 48 69 43 73 / 0 0 0 0 Greenwood 47 70 41 75 / 0 0 0 0 && .JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MS...Red Flag Warning until 8 PM CDT this evening for MSZ018-019- 025>066-072>074. Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 7 PM CDT Saturday for MSZ018-019- 025>066-072>074. LA...Red Flag Warning until 8 PM CDT this evening for LAZ007>009-015- 016-023>026. Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 7 PM CDT Saturday for LAZ007>009- 015-016-023>026. AR...Red Flag Warning until 8 PM CDT this evening for ARZ074-075. Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 7 PM CDT Saturday for ARZ074-075. && $$ 15/CR