FXUS62 KJAX 192339 AFDJAX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 739 PM EDT Tue May 19 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:/www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf - High Risk Of Rip Currents at All Area Beaches through Tonight - Patchy to Areas of Fog Tonight, which may become locally dense - Thunderstorm chances increasing this week, with greatest chances over the weekend && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/... Main Highlights This Period: - High Risk for Rip Currents at beaches through Tonight. - Patchy to areas of fog Tonight, which may become locally dense High pressure will be centered to the northeast of the region through Tonight. Inland convection will continue to fade as it drifts west this evening. Patchy to areas of fog are expected to develop Tonight. The greatest chance for fog will be over SE GA, where better low level moisture will be. Locally dense fog will be possible. Lows will range from around 70 at the coast, to the mid to upper 60s inland. && .SHORT TERM /7 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... Main Highlights This Period: - Daily isolated thunderstorms each afternoon as the Atlantic sea breeze pushes inland towards the I-75 corridor. Drier air in place will limit showers and storms over much of the area Wednesday and Thursday, however isolated storms will be possible Wednesday afternoon over north central Florida, and again on Thursday afternoon over north central FL and near I-75. The persistent east-southeast flow will continue to bring breezy conditions along the coast, with gusts up range from 15 mph to 20 mph each afternoon. Inland high temperatures will soar into the lower to mid 90s, whereas coastal highs will stay a little cooler with the sea breeze, in the mid to upper 80s I-95 eastward. Mild low temperatures in the upper 60s to mid 70s both nights, with chances for patchy inland fog both Wednesday and Thursday mornings. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... - Hot temperatures continue through the weekend - Increasing chances of showers and storms into and through the upcoming holiday weekend into next week. Rain and storm chances increase Friday through Monday areawide as southerly flow allows both the Gulf and Atlantic sea breezes to develop and meet in a more central location. Storms will primarily develop in the afternoons, beginning to dissipate around sunset. PWATs will trend towards the 1.5" to 1.75" range, possibly as high as 2" for some locations over SE GA by Sunday, which could lead to locally heavy downpours for any storms that develop. The hot temperatures will continue through the weekend as highs will rise to lower to mid 90s across inland locations outside of convective activity, while the mid to upper 80s along the coast. Overnight Lows will be in the upper 60s to 70s area-wide. && .AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/... Stratus will move off the Atlantic Tonight, which may briefly cause restrictions. The potential for these restrictions in stratus is low. Further inland, fog is expected to cause restrictions at VQQ and GNV. Prevailing VFR conditions is forecast for Wednesday. && .MARINE... Atlantic high pressure centered near Bermuda will continue to extend its axis westward across the southeastern states through the end of the week. This feature will maintain a prevailing east to southeasterly wind flow across our local waters during the next several days. A frontal boundary will briefly stall over the southeastern states late this week. Caution level wind speeds will be possible for the near shore waters during the late afternoon and evening hours from Friday through early next week as Atlantic high pressure becomes reinforced near Bermuda. Only isolated showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms are expected through Saturday, with a slight increase in coverage possible towards Memorial Day. Rip Currents: Persistent easterly winds and surf of 2-4 ft will keep a high risk of rip currents in place today at all area beaches, with at least a moderate risk on Wednesday and Thursday. High risks are expected again from Friday through the upcoming Holiday weekend, as late afternoon and evening east to southeasterly wind surges return. && .FIRE WEATHER... - Patchy High Dispersions This Week - Patchy to areas of fog Tonight, locally dense High pressure will be centered to the east northeast. FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS: Isolated mainly afternoon thunderstorms each day this week into next week. Patchy to areas of fog Tonight, locally dense. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AMG 64 90 65 91 / 10 10 0 10 SSI 70 84 73 86 / 10 0 0 0 JAX 65 89 69 92 / 10 0 0 10 SGJ 71 87 72 89 / 10 10 0 10 GNV 66 93 69 94 / 10 20 0 10 OCF 68 92 70 93 / 10 20 0 10 && .JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...High Risk for Rip Currents until 5 AM EDT Wednesday for FLZ124-125- 138-233-333. GA...High Risk for Rip Currents until 5 AM EDT Wednesday for GAZ154-166. MARINE...None. && $$