FGUS53 KKRF 181347 RVFMTB RIVER FORECAST NWS MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO 1347Z MON MAY 18 2026 : : THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA AND SUBJECT TO REVISION. : REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST. : FORECAST GROUP IS LWRMOT : ********************************************************** : *** THESE FORECASTS ARE SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECTED BY QPF *** : ********************************************************** : ==> This forecast includes obsd precip & 24 hours of QPF RIVER/STATION FS TDY F O R E C A S T CROOKED RIVER RICHMOND 4 N MO 20.0 5.6 CREST NEAR 23.2 FT 05/19 PM WAKENDA CREEK CARROLLTON MO 16.0 3.7 CREST NEAR 16.7 FT 05/20 EARLY AM BLACKWATER RIVER VALLEY CITY 1 NW MO 22.0 3.7 CREST NEAR 26.5 FT 05/19 PM BLUE LICK MO 24.0 7.8 CREST NEAR 26.9 FT 05/21 EARLY AM LAMINE RIVER OTTERVILLE 1 E MO 15.0 1.4 CREST NEAR 15.1 FT 05/19 EARLY PM MOREAU RIVER JEFFERSON CITY 3 S MO 17.0 1.9 CREST NEAR 17.0 FT 05/19 PM MARIES RIVER WESTPHALIA MO 10.0 1.1 CREST NEAR 10.5 FT 05/19 AM :________________________________________________________________ :RICHMOND 4 N, MO - CROOKED RIVER HSA - EAX :MINOR FLOOD STAGE 20.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 18.0 FT :MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 21.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 29.0 FT :LATEST RIVER STAGE 5.6 FT AT 1230Z ON MAY 18 :obs Stage / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z : 0517 / 5.5 / 5.5 / 5.5 / 5.6 : :RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 15Z ON 05/19/2026 .AR :CREST: RICM7 0520 Z DC202605181347/DH0000/HGIFFXZ 23.2 :FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 15Z ON 05/20/2026 .ER RICM7 20260518 Z DC202605181347/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6 :Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z .E1 : 0518 : / 5.6 / 5.7 / 11.9 .E2 : 0519 : / 19.4 / 22.5 / 23.2 / 22.7 .E3 : 0520 : / 20.4 / 17.0 / 13.1 / 10.5 .E4 : 0521 : / 8.9 / 7.8 / 7.1 / 6.7 .E5 : 0522 : / 6.5 / 6.3 / 6.2 / 6.1 .E6 : 0523 : / 6.0 :Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs): : / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z : 0517 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 1.29 : :Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPE Total Ending May 18 at 12Z is 1.29 inches : :Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 24 hrs): : / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z : 0518 / 0.16 / 0.01 / 1.27 : 0519 / 0.79 : :Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPF Total Ending May 19 2.23 inches :________________________________________________________________ :CARROLLTON, MO - WAKENDA CREEK HSA - EAX :MINOR FLOOD STAGE 16.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 14.0 FT :MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 19.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 21.0 FT :LATEST RIVER STAGE 3.7 FT AT 1300Z ON MAY 18 :obs Stage / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z : 0517 / 2.9 / 2.8 / 2.8 / 3.5 : :RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 00Z ON 05/20/2026 .AR :CREST: CAXM7 0520 Z DC202605181347/DH0600/HGIFFXZ 16.7 :FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 15Z ON 05/20/2026 .ER CAXM7 20260518 Z DC202605181347/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6 :Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z .E1 : 0518 : / 4.4 / 3.4 / 3.5 .E2 : 0519 : / 9.0 / 13.2 / 16.0 / 16.7 .E3 : 0520 : / 16.3 / 15.8 / 15.1 / 14.3 .E4 : 0521 : / 13.4 / 12.5 / 11.4 / 10.2 .E5 : 0522 : / 8.8 / 7.1 / 4.8 / 4.3 .E6 : 0523 : / 4.0 :Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs): : / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z : 0517 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 1.16 : :Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPE Total Ending May 18 at 13Z is 1.16 inches : :Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 24 hrs): : / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z : 0518 / 0.32 / 0.01 / 0.83 : 0519 / 0.97 : :Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPF Total Ending May 19 2.13 inches :________________________________________________________________ :VALLEY CITY 1 NW, MO - BLACKWATER RIVER HSA - EAX :MINOR FLOOD STAGE 22.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 20.0 FT :MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 25.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 31.0 FT :LATEST RIVER STAGE 3.7 FT AT 1300Z ON MAY 18 :obs Stage / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z : 0517 / 3.6 / 3.6 / 3.5 / 3.7 : :RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 15Z ON 05/19/2026 .AR :CREST: VLYM7 0520 Z DC202605181347/DH0000/HGIFFXZ 26.5 :FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 15Z ON 05/20/2026 .ER VLYM7 20260518 Z DC202605181347/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6 :Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z .E1 : 0518 : / 3.8 / 4.6 / 6.6 .E2 : 0519 : / 15.5 / 24.9 / 26.5 / 25.7 .E3 : 0520 : / 23.0 / 20.3 / 17.6 / 15.2 .E4 : 0521 : / 13.6 / 12.2 / 11.0 / 9.8 .E5 : 0522 : / 8.9 / 8.0 / 7.1 / 6.3 .E6 : 0523 : / 5.8 :Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs): : / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z : 0517 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.88 : :Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPE Total Ending May 18 at 13Z is 0.88 inches : :Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 24 hrs): : / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z : 0518 / 0.74 / 0.02 / 0.18 : 0519 / 1.05 : :Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPF Total Ending May 19 1.99 inches :________________________________________________________________ :BLUE LICK, MO - BLACKWATER RIVER HSA - EAX :MINOR FLOOD STAGE 24.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 22.0 FT :MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 29.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 37.0 FT :LATEST RIVER STAGE 7.8 FT AT 1245Z ON MAY 18 :obs Stage / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z : 0517 / 7.8 / 7.8 / 7.8 / 7.8 : :RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 09Z ON 05/20/2026 .AR :CREST: BLVM7 0521 Z DC202605181347/DH0600/HGIFFXZ 26.9 :FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 21Z ON 05/21/2026 .ER BLVM7 20260518 Z DC202605181347/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6 :Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z .E1 : 0518 : / 7.8 / 7.8 / 8.1 .E2 : 0519 : / 14.3 / 20.7 / 22.1 / 23.7 .E3 : 0520 : / 25.4 / 26.3 / 26.8 / 26.9 .E4 : 0521 : / 26.9 / 26.1 / 23.9 / 21.2 .E5 : 0522 : / 18.6 / 16.2 / 14.2 / 12.8 .E6 : 0523 : / 11.9 :Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs): : / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z : 0517 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.72 : :Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPE Total Ending May 18 at 12Z is 0.72 inches : :Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 24 hrs): : / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z : 0518 / 0.52 / 0.02 / 0.04 : 0519 / 0.95 : :Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPF Total Ending May 19 1.53 inches :________________________________________________________________ :OTTERVILLE 1 E, MO - LAMINE RIVER HSA - EAX :MINOR FLOOD STAGE 15.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 13.0 FT :MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 18.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT :LATEST RIVER STAGE 1.4 FT AT 1315Z ON MAY 18 :obs Stage / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z : 0517 / 1.3 / 1.3 / 1.3 / 1.3 : :RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 15Z ON 05/19/2026 .AR :CREST: OTTM7 0519 Z DC202605181347/DH1800/HGIFFXZ 15.1 :FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 21Z ON 05/19/2026 .ER OTTM7 20260518 Z DC202605181347/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6 :Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z .E1 : 0518 : / 5.9 / 10.3 / 12.1 .E2 : 0519 : / 13.5 / 15.1 / 14.9 / 12.9 .E3 : 0520 : / 10.4 / 8.1 / 5.5 / 4.2 .E4 : 0521 : / 3.6 / 3.0 / 2.6 / 2.5 .E5 : 0522 : / 2.2 / 2.1 / 1.9 / 1.8 .E6 : 0523 : / 1.7 :Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs): : / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z : 0517 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.79 : :Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPE Total Ending May 18 at 13Z is 0.79 inches : :Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 24 hrs): : / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z : 0518 / 1.65 / 0.07 / 0.02 : 0519 / 0.90 : :Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPF Total Ending May 19 2.64 inches :________________________________________________________________ :JEFFERSON CITY 3 S, MO - MOREAU RIVER HSA - LSX :MINOR FLOOD STAGE 17.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 13.0 FT :MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 25.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 29.0 FT :LATEST RIVER STAGE 1.9 FT AT 1330Z ON MAY 18 :obs Stage / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z : 0517 / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.9 : .AR :CREST: JCMM7 0520 Z DC202605181347/DH0000/HGIFFXZ 17.0 .ER JCMM7 20260518 Z DC202605181347/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6 :Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z .E1 : 0518 : / 3.2 / 6.8 / 9.0 .E2 : 0519 : / 12.2 / 15.3 / 17.0 / 17.0 .E3 : 0520 : / 14.4 / 12.5 / 9.6 / 6.3 .E4 : 0521 : / 4.9 / 4.0 / 3.4 / 3.0 .E5 : 0522 : / 2.6 / 2.4 / 2.3 / 2.2 .E6 : 0523 : / 2.1 :Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs): : / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z : 0517 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.40 : :Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPE Total Ending May 18 at 13Z is 0.40 inches : :Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 24 hrs): : / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z : 0518 / 1.41 / 0.66 / 0.00 : 0519 / 0.50 : :Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPF Total Ending May 19 2.57 inches :________________________________________________________________ :WESTPHALIA, MO - MARIES RIVER HSA - LSX :MINOR FLOOD STAGE 10.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 8.0 FT :MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 15.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 20.0 FT :LATEST RIVER STAGE 1.1 FT AT 1300Z ON MAY 18 :obs Stage / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z : 0517 / 1.1 / 1.1 / 1.1 / 1.1 : :RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 09Z ON 05/19/2026 .AR :CREST: WPHM7 0519 Z DC202605181347/DH1200/HGIFFXZ 10.5 :FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 15Z ON 05/19/2026 .ER WPHM7 20260518 Z DC202605181347/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6 :Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z .E1 : 0518 : / 1.1 / 4.7 / 9.7 .E2 : 0519 : / 10.5 / 8.4 / 6.2 / 5.1 .E3 : 0520 : / 4.1 / 3.4 / 2.8 / 2.4 .E4 : 0521 : / 2.1 / 1.9 / 1.6 / 1.5 .E5 : 0522 : / 1.4 / 1.3 / 1.3 / 1.3 .E6 : 0523 : / 1.3 :Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs): : / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z : 0517 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.02 : :Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPE Total Ending May 18 at 13Z is 0.02 inches : :Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 24 hrs): : / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z : 0518 / 1.04 / 1.74 / 0.04 : 0519 / 0.30 : :Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPF Total Ending May 19 3.12 inches :**************************************************************** :COMMENT : : :HSA - Hydrologic Service Area :WFO - Weather Forecast Office :EAX - NWS WFO Pleasant Hill, Missouri :LSX - NWS WFO St. Louis, Missouri :SGF - NWS WFO Springfield, Missouri :OBS - Observed :EST - Estimated :M - Missing :Stage Fcst - River Stage forecast including future precipitation :Flow Fcst - River Flow forecast including future precipitation :Precip - Precipitation :QPE - Observed radar estimated precipitation :QPF - Forecasted mean areal precipitation for local basin : : $$ :MBRFC ldh :...END of MESSAGE...