FGUS53 KKRF 190109 RVFMTB RIVER FORECAST NWS MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO 0108Z TUE MAY 19 2026 : : THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA AND SUBJECT TO REVISION. : REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST. : FORECAST GROUP IS LWRMOT : *** EVENING FORECAST *** : ********************************************************** : *** THESE FORECASTS ARE SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECTED BY QPF *** : ********************************************************** : ==> This forecast includes obsd precip & 24 hours of QPF RIVER/STATION FS TDY F O R E C A S T CROOKED RIVER RICHMOND 4 N MO 20.0 5.9 CREST NEAR 20.7 FT 05/19 PM WAKENDA CREEK CARROLLTON MO 16.0 5.4 WITHIN BANK RISE..NO FURTHER FCSTS EXPECTED BLACKWATER RIVER VALLEY CITY 1 NW MO 22.0 11.6 CREST NEAR 28.3 FT 05/19 PM BLUE LICK MO 24.0 10.5 CREST NEAR 27.9 FT 05/21 PM LAMINE RIVER OTTERVILLE 1 E MO 15.0 6.3 CREST NEAR 18.3 FT 05/19 EARLY PM PETITE SALINE CREEK BOONVILLE 4 SSE MO 16.0 11.6 CREST NEAR 20.7 FT 05/19 PM MOREAU RIVER JEFFERSON CITY 3 S MO 17.0 5.2 CREST NEAR 22.0 FT 05/20 AM MARIES RIVER WESTPHALIA MO 10.0 3.4 WITHIN BANK RISE..NO FURTHER FCSTS EXPECTED :________________________________________________________________ :RICHMOND 4 N, MO - CROOKED RIVER HSA - EAX :MINOR FLOOD STAGE 20.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 18.0 FT :MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 21.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 29.0 FT :LATEST RIVER STAGE 5.9 FT AT 0030Z ON MAY 19 :obs Stage / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z : 0518 / 5.5 / 5.6 / 5.9 / 5.9 : :RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 21Z ON 05/19/2026 .AR :CREST: RICM7 0520 Z DC202605190108/DH0000/HGIFFXZ 20.7 :FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 06Z ON 05/20/2026 .ER RICM7 20260519 Z DC202605190108/DH06/HGIFFZZ/DIH6 :Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z .E1 : 0518 : / 8.7 .E2 : 0519 : / 17.0 / 19.9 / 20.7 / 20.0 .E3 : 0520 : / 17.9 / 14.9 / 11.7 / 9.7 .E4 : 0521 : / 8.5 / 7.7 / 7.1 / 6.7 .E5 : 0522 : / 6.5 / 6.3 / 6.2 / 6.1 .E6 : 0523 : / 6.0 / 6.0 / 5.9 :Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs): : / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z : 0518 / 0.00 / 1.29 / 0.00 / 0.00 : :Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPE Total Ending May 19 at 00Z is 1.29 inches : :Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 24 hrs): : / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z : 0518 / 1.26 : 0519 / 0.52 / 0.02 / 0.00 : :Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPF Total Ending May 20 1.80 inches :________________________________________________________________ :CARROLLTON, MO - WAKENDA CREEK HSA - EAX :MINOR FLOOD STAGE 16.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 14.0 FT :MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 19.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 21.0 FT :LATEST RIVER STAGE 5.4 FT AT 0000Z ON MAY 19 :obs Stage / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z : 0518 / 2.8 / 3.5 / 4.5 / 5.4 .ER CAXM7 20260519 Z DC202605190108/DH06/HGIFFZZ/DIH6 :Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z .E1 : 0518 : / 7.5 .E2 : 0519 : / 10.1 / 12.5 / 13.3 / 13.1 .E3 : 0520 : / 12.8 / 12.3 / 11.6 / 10.9 .E4 : 0521 : / 10.2 / 9.5 / 8.6 / 7.6 .E5 : 0522 : / 6.4 / 4.9 / 4.4 / 4.1 .E6 : 0523 : / 3.9 / 3.7 / 3.6 :Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs): : / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z : 0518 / 0.00 / 1.16 / 0.09 / 0.00 : :Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPE Total Ending May 19 at 00Z is 1.25 inches : :Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 24 hrs): : / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z : 0518 / 0.86 : 0519 / 0.71 / 0.04 / 0.00 : :Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPF Total Ending May 20 1.61 inches :________________________________________________________________ :VALLEY CITY 1 NW, MO - BLACKWATER RIVER HSA - EAX :MINOR FLOOD STAGE 22.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 20.0 FT :MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 25.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 31.0 FT :LATEST RIVER STAGE 11.6 FT AT 0000Z ON MAY 19 :obs Stage / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z : 0518 / 3.5 / 3.7 / 5.7 / 11.6 : :RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 09Z ON 05/19/2026 .AR :CREST: VLYM7 0520 Z DC202605190108/DH0000/HGIFFXZ 28.3 :FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 21Z ON 05/20/2026 .ER VLYM7 20260519 Z DC202605190108/DH06/HGIFFZZ/DIH6 :Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z .E1 : 0518 : / 17.9 .E2 : 0519 : / 25.3 / 27.6 / 28.3 / 28.3 .E3 : 0520 : / 26.6 / 22.4 / 18.1 / 15.4 .E4 : 0521 : / 13.5 / 12.0 / 10.7 / 9.9 .E5 : 0522 : / 9.0 / 8.1 / 7.2 / 6.5 .E6 : 0523 : / 6.1 / 5.6 / 5.2 :Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs): : / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z : 0518 / 0.00 / 0.88 / 0.43 / 0.00 : :Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPE Total Ending May 19 at 00Z is 1.31 inches : :Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 24 hrs): : / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z : 0518 / 0.96 : 0519 / 0.92 / 0.08 / 0.00 : :Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPF Total Ending May 20 1.96 inches :________________________________________________________________ :BLUE LICK, MO - BLACKWATER RIVER HSA - EAX :MINOR FLOOD STAGE 24.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 22.0 FT :MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 29.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 37.0 FT :LATEST RIVER STAGE 10.5 FT AT 0045Z ON MAY 19 :obs Stage / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z : 0518 / 7.8 / 7.8 / 8.6 / 10.6 : :RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 15Z ON 05/19/2026 .AR :CREST: BLVM7 0522 Z DC202605190108/DH0000/HGIFFXZ 27.9 :FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 21Z ON 05/22/2026 .ER BLVM7 20260519 Z DC202605190108/DH06/HGIFFZZ/DIH6 :Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z .E1 : 0518 : / 12.0 .E2 : 0519 : / 21.9 / 24.7 / 26.3 / 26.7 .E3 : 0520 : / 27.0 / 26.9 / 27.1 / 27.3 .E4 : 0521 : / 27.6 / 27.8 / 27.9 / 27.5 .E5 : 0522 : / 26.7 / 25.3 / 23.1 / 21.2 .E6 : 0523 : / 19.7 / 18.5 / 17.7 :Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs): : / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z : 0518 / 0.00 / 0.72 / 0.33 / 0.00 : :Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPE Total Ending May 19 at 00Z is 1.05 inches : :Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 24 hrs): : / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z : 0518 / 0.69 : 0519 / 0.82 / 0.10 / 0.00 : :Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPF Total Ending May 20 1.61 inches :________________________________________________________________ :OTTERVILLE 1 E, MO - LAMINE RIVER HSA - EAX :MINOR FLOOD STAGE 15.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 13.0 FT :MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 18.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT :LATEST RIVER STAGE 6.3 FT AT 0015Z ON MAY 19 :obs Stage / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z : 0518 / 1.3 / 1.3 / 2.6 / 5.0 : :RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 09Z ON 05/19/2026 .AR :CREST: OTTM7 0519 Z DC202605190108/DH1800/HGIFFXZ 18.3 :FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 09Z ON 05/20/2026 .ER OTTM7 20260519 Z DC202605190108/DH06/HGIFFZZ/DIH6 :Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z .E1 : 0518 : / 13.1 .E2 : 0519 : / 17.6 / 18.3 / 18.3 / 17.0 .E3 : 0520 : / 13.9 / 10.1 / 6.6 / 4.8 .E4 : 0521 : / 4.1 / 3.3 / 3.0 / 2.8 .E5 : 0522 : / 2.6 / 2.3 / 2.2 / 2.0 .E6 : 0523 : / 1.9 / 1.7 / 1.6 :Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs): : / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z : 0518 / 0.00 / 0.84 / 1.08 / 0.15 : :Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPE Total Ending May 19 at 00Z is 2.07 inches : :Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 24 hrs): : / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z : 0518 / 0.47 : 0519 / 1.00 / 0.09 / 0.01 : :Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPF Total Ending May 20 1.57 inches :________________________________________________________________ :BOONVILLE 4 SSE, MO - PETITE SALINE CREEK HSA - EAX :MINOR FLOOD STAGE 16.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 14.0 FT :MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 19.5 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT :LATEST RIVER STAGE 11.6 FT AT 0030Z ON MAY 19 :obs Stage / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z : 0518 / 4.1 / 4.1 / 6.4 / 10.8 : .AR :CREST: BONM7 0520 Z DC202605190108/DH0000/HGIFFXZ 20.7 :FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 06Z ON 05/20/2026 .ER BONM7 20260519 Z DC202605190108/DH06/HGIFFZZ/DIH6 :Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z .E1 : 0518 : / 17.2 .E2 : 0519 : / 19.3 / 20.2 / 20.7 / 16.0 .E3 : 0520 : / 12.2 / 9.4 / 8.5 / 7.6 .E4 : 0521 : / 6.8 / 6.2 / 6.4 / 6.2 .E5 : 0522 : / 5.9 / 5.6 / 5.4 / 5.2 .E6 : 0523 : / 5.0 / 4.8 / 4.7 :Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs): : / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z : 0518 / 0.00 / 0.49 / 0.91 / 0.02 : :Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPE Total Ending May 19 at 00Z is 1.42 inches : :Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 24 hrs): : / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z : 0518 / 0.47 : 0519 / 0.94 / 0.10 / 0.01 : :Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPF Total Ending May 20 1.52 inches :________________________________________________________________ :JEFFERSON CITY 3 S, MO - MOREAU RIVER HSA - LSX :MINOR FLOOD STAGE 17.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 13.0 FT :MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 25.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 29.0 FT :LATEST RIVER STAGE 5.2 FT AT 0030Z ON MAY 19 :obs Stage / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z : 0518 / 1.9 / 1.9 / 2.0 / 4.9 : :RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 03Z ON 05/20/2026 .AR :CREST: JCMM7 0520 Z DC202605190108/DH1200/HGIFFXZ 22.0 :FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 03Z ON 05/21/2026 .ER JCMM7 20260519 Z DC202605190108/DH06/HGIFFZZ/DIH6 :Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z .E1 : 0518 : / 6.5 .E2 : 0519 : / 9.7 / 13.8 / 16.8 / 19.8 .E3 : 0520 : / 22.0 / 22.0 / 18.6 / 11.1 .E4 : 0521 : / 6.6 / 5.1 / 4.1 / 3.4 .E5 : 0522 : / 3.0 / 2.6 / 2.4 / 2.2 .E6 : 0523 : / 2.2 / 2.1 / 2.1 :Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs): : / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z : 0518 / 0.00 / 0.40 / 0.67 / 0.59 : :Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPE Total Ending May 19 at 00Z is 1.66 inches : :Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 24 hrs): : / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z : 0518 / 0.34 : 0519 / 0.69 / 0.11 / 0.07 : :Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPF Total Ending May 20 1.21 inches :________________________________________________________________ :WESTPHALIA, MO - MARIES RIVER HSA - LSX :MINOR FLOOD STAGE 10.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 8.0 FT :MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 15.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 20.0 FT :LATEST RIVER STAGE 3.4 FT AT 0000Z ON MAY 19 :obs Stage / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z : 0518 / 1.1 / 1.1 / 1.3 / 3.4 .ER WPHM7 20260519 Z DC202605190108/DH06/HGIFFZZ/DIH6 :Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z .E1 : 0518 : / 5.0 .E2 : 0519 : / 6.8 / 7.4 / 6.3 / 4.5 .E3 : 0520 : / 3.7 / 3.1 / 2.8 / 2.3 .E4 : 0521 : / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.0 / 2.0 .E5 : 0522 : / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.8 / 1.8 .E6 : 0523 : / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.7 :Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs): : / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z : 0518 / 0.00 / 0.02 / 1.21 / 0.61 : :Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPE Total Ending May 19 at 00Z is 1.84 inches : :Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 24 hrs): : / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z : 0518 / 0.23 : 0519 / 0.41 / 0.14 / 0.08 : :Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPF Total Ending May 20 0.86 inches :**************************************************************** :COMMENT : : :HSA - Hydrologic Service Area :WFO - Weather Forecast Office :EAX - NWS WFO Pleasant Hill, Missouri :LSX - NWS WFO St. Louis, Missouri :SGF - NWS WFO Springfield, Missouri :OBS - Observed :EST - Estimated :M - Missing :Stage Fcst - River Stage forecast including future precipitation :Flow Fcst - River Flow forecast including future precipitation :Precip - Precipitation :QPE - Observed radar estimated precipitation :QPF - Forecasted mean areal precipitation for local basin : : $$ :MBRFC ecd :...END of MESSAGE...