FXUS65 KLKN 090707
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
1207 AM PDT Thu Jul 9 2026

.KEY MESSAGES... 

* Isolated to scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms 
  coverage Thursday is expected to be near the Utah border
 
* Temperatures will remain above seasonal values this week

* Moderate risk for heat-related illnesses each afternoon from Friday
  through Sunday as highs soar into the upper 90s to low 100s

&&


.DISCUSSION...
(Today through next Thursday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: For Thursday, drier air will continue 
migrating east across the area. Kept isolated showers and 
thunderstorms in far eastern Nevada. Otherwise, most locations 
will be on the dry side. Highs will be in the mid 90s with 
overnight lows in the 50s.

Friday through early next week. Not much in the way
of precipitation is expected during this time frame but 
temperatures will be warming in response to building heights. The
heat is expected to commence on Friday with highs reaching the 
mid 90s to low 100s, with a few degrees of additional warming on 
Saturday. Record high temperatures for Elko, Eureka, and Ely may
be met during this time. This is leading to minor to moderate 
HeatRisk impacts across northern and central Nevada with the 
increasing probability of heat headlines needed for portions of 
the area through the weekend, including Sunday. Though Sunday 
could see a degree or two of cooling, the main heat impacts 
remain. Overnight lows will be in the 50s and 60s. Afternoon 
breezes to 20 mph will be possible over the area. Look for
additional degrees of cooling Monday and Tuesday as a large and
expansive upper ridge dominates the weather across the United
States. Models are showing a southerly fetch of moisture, which
will increase the chances for thunderstorms over the forecast area
early next week. Will need to continue watching for possible fire
weather concerns.


FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: The PoP, weather, sky and wind
grids were adjusted for the short term forecast due to fire 
weather concerns. High confidence on the upper ridge strengthening 
late in the week, with high confidence on HeatRisk for Friday
through the weekend. Confidence is low on the timing and coverage
of storms for early next week.

&&


.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will persist at all locations. Winds will be light
with gusts to 22KT possible.

AMD NOT SKED continues for KEKO due to communications issue.

&&


.FIRE WEATHER...

Through the rest of the week temperatures continue to rise 
increasing HeatRisk by the weekend when afternoon highs across all
fire weather zones are expected to climb to triple digits.

Elevated fire weather conditions due to winds and low relative
humidity are a possibility across northern and portions of central
Nevada Saturday afternoon. Temperatures will be hot with minimum 
relative humidity values between 4 and 8%. This will need to be
watch for the potential of headline fire products. Lastly, models
are showing a southerly fetch of moisture, which will increase 
the chances for thunderstorms over the forecast area early next 
week. Will need to continue watching for possible fire weather 
concerns.

&&


.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...86
AVIATION...86
FIRE WEATHER...86