FNUS86 KLOX 092132 FWLLOX ECCDA Discussions National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 232 PM PDT Thu Jul 9 2026 ECC029-101545- Los Padres National Forest- Discussion for Vandenberg ECC Dispatch 232 PM PDT Thu Jul 9 2026 ...Discussion from Monterey... A warmer and drier airmass setting up across the region will persist through early next week. While we are not expecting extreme heat, fuels will continue to dry out. In addition, mid-to-upper level monsoonal moisture surge from the south brings the potential for high based thunderstorms Sunday and Monday. This is a low confidence, low probability but potentially high impact scenario if we see elevated convection develop over the Bay Area and Central Coast. Any elevated thunderstorms that do develop could lead to dry lightning and gusty, erratic outflow winds. Remain aware of the thunderstorm potential through the weekend into the beginning of next week. Note : All winds are 20-foot Winds Unless otherwise specified. Thunderstorms imply strong, gusty and erratic winds. ...Discussion from Los Angeles/Oxnard... ...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH FRIDAY AWAY FROM THE COAST, WITH ELEVATED CONDITIONS CONTINUING THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY OVER THE FAR INTERIOR... ...HEAT ADVISORIES EXTENDED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING, WITH EXTREME HEAT WATCHES IN EFFECT TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... ...10 TO 20 PERCENT CHANCE FOR MONSOONAL SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEK... Southwest winds 10 to 25 mph with gusts 25 to 40 mph will be common through Saturday, peaking today and Friday in the afternoon and evening over the far interior. Humidities of 5 to 15 percent have been observed over the far interior today and are expected to slightly improve tomorrow and Saturday, with 10 to 20 percent expected by Saturday. Meanwhile most coastal valleys have and are expected to reach 15 to 25 percent today, improving to 20 to 30 percent Friday and Saturday. Further improvement expected Sunday into early next week over the entire area, especially the coastal side of coastal slope. Southwest Santa Barbara will see weaker northwest winds this afternoon through evening (10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph) and minimum humidites 20 to 30 percent (locally 15 to 20 percent). Temperatures will peak today away from the coasts (90 to 105 degrees), then a slight cooldown will occur Friday and Saturday. Another warming trend will begin early next week, with temperatures peaking by mid week. Onshore flow is expected to weaken next week, with a potential for moderate Sundowner winds and for vertical plume growth. Additionally an influx of monsoonal moisture into the region will bring a 10 to 20 percent chance of showers/thunderstorms each day from Sunday through at least next week. While the better chances for storms will be across the mountains and deserts, there is a small risk of storms reaching coastal/valley areas. The greatest time frame of concern for fire weather will likely be the onset of the monsoonal surge Sunday when moisture will likely be more limited with any thunderstorm activity. Then storms next week will likely be wetter. $$ ECC028-101545- Santa Barbara County excluding Los Padres National Forest- Discussion for Santa Barbara ECC Dispatch 232 PM PDT Thu Jul 9 2026 ...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH FRIDAY AWAY FROM THE COAST, WITH ELEVATED CONDITIONS CONTINUING THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY OVER THE FAR INTERIOR... ...HEAT ADVISORIES EXTENDED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING, WITH EXTREME HEAT WATCHES IN EFFECT TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... ...10 TO 20 PERCENT CHANCE FOR MONSOONAL SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEK... Southwest winds 10 to 25 mph with gusts 25 to 40 mph will be common through Saturday, peaking today and Friday in the afternoon and evening over the far interior. Humidities of 5 to 15 percent have been observed over the far interior today and are expected to slightly improve tomorrow and Saturday, with 10 to 20 percent expected by Saturday. Meanwhile most coastal valleys have and are expected to reach 15 to 25 percent today, improving to 20 to 30 percent Friday and Saturday. Further improvement expected Sunday into early next week over the entire area, especially the coastal side of coastal slope. Southwest Santa Barbara will see weaker northwest winds this afternoon through evening (10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph) and minimum humidites 20 to 30 percent (locally 15 to 20 percent). Temperatures will peak today away from the coasts (90 to 105 degrees), then a slight cooldown will occur Friday and Saturday. Another warming trend will begin early next week, with temperatures peaking by mid week. Onshore flow is expected to weaken next week, with a potential for moderate Sundowner winds and for vertical plume growth. Additionally an influx of monsoonal moisture into the region will bring a 10 to 20 percent chance of showers/thunderstorms each day from Sunday through at least next week. While the better chances for storms will be across the mountains and deserts, there is a small risk of storms reaching coastal/valley areas. The greatest time frame of concern for fire weather will likely be the onset of the monsoonal surge Sunday when moisture will likely be more limited with any thunderstorm activity. Then storms next week will likely be wetter. $$ ECC031-101545- Angeles National Forest- Discussion for Lancaster ECC Dispatch 232 PM PDT Thu Jul 9 2026 ...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH FRIDAY AWAY FROM THE COAST, WITH ELEVATED CONDITIONS CONTINUING THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY OVER THE FAR INTERIOR... ...HEAT ADVISORIES EXTENDED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING, WITH EXTREME HEAT WATCHES IN EFFECT TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... ...10 TO 20 PERCENT CHANCE FOR MONSOONAL SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEK... Southwest winds 10 to 25 mph with gusts 25 to 40 mph will be common through Saturday, peaking today and Friday in the afternoon and evening over the far interior. Humidities of 5 to 15 percent have been observed over the far interior today and are expected to slightly improve tomorrow and Saturday, with 10 to 20 percent expected by Saturday. Meanwhile most coastal valleys have and are expected to reach 15 to 25 percent today, improving to 20 to 30 percent Friday and Saturday. Further improvement expected Sunday into early next week over the entire area, especially the coastal side of coastal slope. Southwest Santa Barbara will see weaker northwest winds this afternoon through evening (10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph) and minimum humidites 20 to 30 percent (locally 15 to 20 percent). Temperatures will peak today away from the coasts (90 to 105 degrees), then a slight cooldown will occur Friday and Saturday. Another warming trend will begin early next week, with temperatures peaking by mid week. Onshore flow is expected to weaken next week, with a potential for moderate Sundowner winds and for vertical plume growth. Additionally an influx of monsoonal moisture into the region will bring a 10 to 20 percent chance of showers/thunderstorms each day from Sunday through at least next week. While the better chances for storms will be across the mountains and deserts, there is a small risk of storms reaching coastal/valley areas. The greatest time frame of concern for fire weather will likely be the onset of the monsoonal surge Sunday when moisture will likely be more limited with any thunderstorm activity. Then storms next week will likely be wetter. $$ ECC024-101545- San Luis Obispo County- Discussion for San Luis Obispo ECC Dispatch 232 PM PDT Thu Jul 9 2026 ...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH FRIDAY AWAY FROM THE COAST, WITH ELEVATED CONDITIONS CONTINUING THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY OVER THE FAR INTERIOR... ...HEAT ADVISORIES EXTENDED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING, WITH EXTREME HEAT WATCHES IN EFFECT TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... ...10 TO 20 PERCENT CHANCE FOR MONSOONAL SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEK... Southwest winds 10 to 25 mph with gusts 25 to 40 mph will be common through Saturday, peaking today and Friday in the afternoon and evening over the far interior. Humidities of 5 to 15 percent have been observed over the far interior today and are expected to slightly improve tomorrow and Saturday, with 10 to 20 percent expected by Saturday. Meanwhile most coastal valleys have and are expected to reach 15 to 25 percent today, improving to 20 to 30 percent Friday and Saturday. Further improvement expected Sunday into early next week over the entire area, especially the coastal side of coastal slope. Southwest Santa Barbara will see weaker northwest winds this afternoon through evening (10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph) and minimum humidites 20 to 30 percent (locally 15 to 20 percent). Temperatures will peak today away from the coasts (90 to 105 degrees), then a slight cooldown will occur Friday and Saturday. Another warming trend will begin early next week, with temperatures peaking by mid week. Onshore flow is expected to weaken next week, with a potential for moderate Sundowner winds and for vertical plume growth. Additionally an influx of monsoonal moisture into the region will bring a 10 to 20 percent chance of showers/thunderstorms each day from Sunday through at least next week. While the better chances for storms will be across the mountains and deserts, there is a small risk of storms reaching coastal/valley areas. The greatest time frame of concern for fire weather will likely be the onset of the monsoonal surge Sunday when moisture will likely be more limited with any thunderstorm activity. Then storms next week will likely be wetter. $$ ECC032-101545- Ventura County excluding Los Padres National Forest- Discussion for Ventura ECC Dispatch 232 PM PDT Thu Jul 9 2026 ...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH FRIDAY AWAY FROM THE COAST, WITH ELEVATED CONDITIONS CONTINUING THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY OVER THE FAR INTERIOR... ...HEAT ADVISORIES EXTENDED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING, WITH EXTREME HEAT WATCHES IN EFFECT TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... ...10 TO 20 PERCENT CHANCE FOR MONSOONAL SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEK... Southwest winds 10 to 25 mph with gusts 25 to 40 mph will be common through Saturday, peaking today and Friday in the afternoon and evening over the far interior. Humidities of 5 to 15 percent have been observed over the far interior today and are expected to slightly improve tomorrow and Saturday, with 10 to 20 percent expected by Saturday. Meanwhile most coastal valleys have and are expected to reach 15 to 25 percent today, improving to 20 to 30 percent Friday and Saturday. Further improvement expected Sunday into early next week over the entire area, especially the coastal side of coastal slope. Southwest Santa Barbara will see weaker northwest winds this afternoon through evening (10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph) and minimum humidites 20 to 30 percent (locally 15 to 20 percent). Temperatures will peak today away from the coasts (90 to 105 degrees), then a slight cooldown will occur Friday and Saturday. Another warming trend will begin early next week, with temperatures peaking by mid week. Onshore flow is expected to weaken next week, with a potential for moderate Sundowner winds and for vertical plume growth. Additionally an influx of monsoonal moisture into the region will bring a 10 to 20 percent chance of showers/thunderstorms each day from Sunday through at least next week. While the better chances for storms will be across the mountains and deserts, there is a small risk of storms reaching coastal/valley areas. The greatest time frame of concern for fire weather will likely be the onset of the monsoonal surge Sunday when moisture will likely be more limited with any thunderstorm activity. Then storms next week will likely be wetter. $$ ECC030-101545- Los Angeles County excluding Angeles National Forest- Discussion for Los Angeles ECC Dispatch 232 PM PDT Thu Jul 9 2026 ...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH FRIDAY AWAY FROM THE COAST, WITH ELEVATED CONDITIONS CONTINUING THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY OVER THE FAR INTERIOR... ...HEAT ADVISORIES EXTENDED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING, WITH EXTREME HEAT WATCHES IN EFFECT TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... ...10 TO 20 PERCENT CHANCE FOR MONSOONAL SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEK... Southwest winds 10 to 25 mph with gusts 25 to 40 mph will be common through Saturday, peaking today and Friday in the afternoon and evening over the far interior. Humidities of 5 to 15 percent have been observed over the far interior today and are expected to slightly improve tomorrow and Saturday, with 10 to 20 percent expected by Saturday. Meanwhile most coastal valleys have and are expected to reach 15 to 25 percent today, improving to 20 to 30 percent Friday and Saturday. Further improvement expected Sunday into early next week over the entire area, especially the coastal side of coastal slope. Southwest Santa Barbara will see weaker northwest winds this afternoon through evening (10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph) and minimum humidites 20 to 30 percent (locally 15 to 20 percent). Temperatures will peak today away from the coasts (90 to 105 degrees), then a slight cooldown will occur Friday and Saturday. Another warming trend will begin early next week, with temperatures peaking by mid week. Onshore flow is expected to weaken next week, with a potential for moderate Sundowner winds and for vertical plume growth. Additionally an influx of monsoonal moisture into the region will bring a 10 to 20 percent chance of showers/thunderstorms each day from Sunday through at least next week. While the better chances for storms will be across the mountains and deserts, there is a small risk of storms reaching coastal/valley areas. The greatest time frame of concern for fire weather will likely be the onset of the monsoonal surge Sunday when moisture will likely be more limited with any thunderstorm activity. Then storms next week will likely be wetter. $$