FXUS64 KLUB 220342
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1042 PM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1040 PM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026

 - Hot temperatures continue into next week. 

 - Isolated thunderstorms possible Saturday evening. 

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Sunday)
Issued at 1040 PM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026

A strong upper ridge will continue to persist across the area. Mild 
overnight lows in the 70s remain expected. Subtle height rises will 
allow for temperatures to increase even further Saturday and the 
Heat Advisory has been expected to include Lubbock. A weak shortwave 
will move over the area by evening. Best chances look to be 
generally east of I-27 where greatest forcing will occur, however a 
stray storm could occur anywhere. Again, brief locally strong gusts 
and downpours would be the main concern. These should taper off by 
late-evening with another quiet and mild evening thereafter.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through next Friday)
Issued at 1040 PM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026

The aforementioned upper ridge will essentially stall in place for 
the next several days and very little change to the forecast is 
expected. Heat Advisory conditions look to continue the weekend 
along and east of I-27 and well into next week for areas off the 
Caprock. Storm chances should remain minimal, but may return by 
mid-to-late next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 602 PM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period. Thunderstorms
are currently developing between KPVW and KCDS. Very small chance
for storms to develop around any terminal, therefore have left out
of TAF. Although these storms are expected to remain sub-severe,
could see some erratic strong wind gusts. Light southerly winds 
will continue through the evening. Winds will gradually shift to 
the west by early Saturday morning. Winds will vary between west 
to southwest Saturday afternoon. Another round of thunderstorms 
will be possible Saturday evening, especially around KCDS. 

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory from noon to 8 PM CDT Saturday for TXZ024>026-
030>032-035>038-041>044.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...10