FNUS72 KMHX 080939 FWSMHX Spot Forecast for Stumpy Point...FWS National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 539 AM EDT Wed Jul 8 2026 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 EDT on July 08. If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather Service in Newport at (252)223-2328. .DISCUSSION... Some patchy fog is possible around the burn site this morning which could reduce visibility for any vehicles or personnel traveling near the area. Any patchy fog is forecast to dissipate by 8AM this morning. Afterwards, the main show will be the approaching backdoor cold front that will be moving across the region later this morning between 10-11AM. This front will bring a wind shift with it as westerly winds gradually shift to a northwest and then northeast direction behind the front. This front will also bring increasing chances for showers and thunderstorms later this morning and afternoon. The strongest storms would bring the potential for gusty and erratic winds (40-60 mph), heavy rain, and frequent lightning. The front washes out tonight bringing a return to S'ry flow to the area by daybreak on Thursday. We return back to a more typical summertime pattern with isolated to widely scattered afternoon showers/storms along seabreeze Thursday. It will remain hot and humid across the area into this weekend with highs getting into the upper 80s to mid 90s each day. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Max temperature.....Around 87. Min humidity........72 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast 5 to 10 mph late in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. Mixing Height.......Max 2500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph shifting to the northeast in the afternoon. Vent Rate...........Max 19895 mph-ft. LVORI...............Max 7. ADI.................Max 23. Stability class.....4. Sfc pressure........29.97 to 30.01 inHg. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........75 68 53 57 59 51 67 76 82 82 78 86 Weather cov.....CHC CHC SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Temp............76 77 79 80 83 84 85 85 85 86 86 86 RH..............97 97 91 88 80 77 75 77 77 75 72 72 20 FT wind dir..W W W NW N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT wind spd..3 3 2 2 3 5 6 5 6 7 7 7 20 FT wind gust.5 5 5 5 5 9 9 9 9 14 14 14 Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.9 1.3 1.5 2.0 2.2 2.5 2.1 2.0 1.9 2.0 1.7 Transp wind dir.W W W W W NW NW NE E E E E Transp wind spd.9 9 8 8 8 7 8 7 7 8 9 8 LVORI...........7 6 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 ADI.............4 11 14 16 21 18 23 18 17 19 22 17 Vrate mph-ft/1K.8 9 10 12 16 15 20 14 14 16 18 14 Sfc pres (in)...997 998 000 000 001 001 001 000 000 000 000 000 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the evening. Min temperature.....Around 76. Max humidity........97 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph early in the evening becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the evening. Mixing Height.......Min 500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southeast around 5 mph after 3 am. Vent Rate...........Min 2760 mph-ft. LVORI...............Max 8. ADI.................Min 3. Stability class.....4. Sfc pressure........29.95 to 30.00 inHg. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........91 86 80 62 68 66 62 50 42 40 40 38 Weather cov.....CHC CHC SCH Weather type....RW RW RW Tstm cov........CHC CHC SCH Temp............85 83 82 81 80 79 79 78 78 77 77 77 RH..............75 77 79 82 85 88 88 91 91 94 97 97 20 FT wind dir..NE NE NE E E E E E E E SE SE 20 FT wind spd..6 6 5 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 20 FT wind gust.13 9 9 7 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 1.7 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 Transp wind dir.NE E E E E E E E E E SE SE Transp wind spd.8 9 9 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 LVORI...........3 4 4 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 8 8 ADI.............17 6 6 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 Vrate mph-ft/1K.13 16 11 8 7 6 7 4 4 4 3 3 Sfc pres (in)...000 000 000 000 000 000 999 997 996 995 995 995 .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Max temperature.....Around 92. Min humidity........64 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 10 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Mixing Height.......Max 2900 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 16 mph. Vent Rate...........Max 37030 mph-ft. LVORI...............Max 6. ADI.................Max 46. Stability class.....3. Sfc pressure........29.88 to 29.98 inHg. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........42 57 63 39 37 35 22 17 50 43 53 40 Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH Weather type.... RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH Temp............78 79 81 84 86 89 90 91 92 92 92 92 RH..............94 94 88 80 77 70 68 68 66 66 64 64 20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE S S S S S S S SW SW 20 FT wind spd..2 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 10 10 20 FT wind gust.5 5 5 9 9 9 9 14 14 14 14 18 Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.8 1.2 1.4 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.6 2.9 1.6 1.3 2.0 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW Transp wind spd.7 7 8 9 9 8 9 12 13 15 16 16 LVORI...........6 6 4 3 3 3 3 3 1 3 2 1 ADI.............3 7 13 17 21 22 27 38 46 31 26 40 Vrate mph-ft/1K.4 5 10 13 17 17 21 30 37 24 20 32 Sfc pres (in)...996 996 997 998 998 998 997 995 993 991 989 988 $$ Forecaster...Fucheck Requested by...Caleb Jones Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2616952.0/MHX .DELDT 07/08/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL caleb_jones@fws.gov