FNUS72 KMHX 081006 FWSMHX Spot Forecast for Rough Road Fire...NCFS National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 606 AM EDT Wed Jul 8 2026 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 EDT on July 08. If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather Service in Newport at (252)223-2328. .DISCUSSION... A backdoor cold front moving through the region today will combine with the daily seabreeze to bring increased chances for showers and thunderstorms to ENC this afternoon and evening. The strongest storms would bring the potential for gusty and erratic winds (40-60 mph), heavy rain, and frequent lightning. Winds become more NE-ENE'rly behind the front. The front washes out tonight bringing a return to southerly flow across ENC. We return to a more typical summertime pattern with isolated to widely scattered afternoon showers/storms along the seabreeze Thursday and Friday. Increasing chances for precip return this weekend with the approach of a front. It will remain hot and humid across much if not all of ENC into this weekend with highs getting into the 90s each day. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny then becoming cloudy. Slight chance of showers in the morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms late in the morning, then chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Max temperature.....Around 90. Min humidity........68 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast around 6 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the morning. Mixing Height.......Max 3200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 6 to 7 mph shifting to the east around 7 mph late in the afternoon. Vent Rate...........Max 22080 mph-ft. LVORI...............Max 6. ADI.................Max 27. Stability class.....2. Sfc pressure........29.97 to 30.00 inHg. TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........72 51 53 70 43 60 70 67 76 83 92 Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Temp............77 79 81 83 85 87 88 88 89 89 88 RH..............97 91 85 82 77 72 70 70 68 68 70 20 FT wind dir..W W NW N N N NE NE N NE NE 20 FT wind spd..1 3 1 2 3 3 3 3 2 3 6 20 FT wind gust.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 9 Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.3 1.6 2.1 2.6 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.2 2.2 1.9 Transp wind dir.W W W W W NW W W E E E Transp wind spd.6 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 7 7 7 LVORI...........6 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 ADI.............9 11 14 19 23 26 26 22 27 20 16 Vrate mph-ft/1K.7 9 11 15 18 21 21 18 22 16 13 Sfc pres (in)...997 999 000 000 000 000 999 998 997 998 998 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the evening, then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the evening. Min temperature.....Around 76. Max humidity........97 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the evening. Mixing Height.......Min 400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....East 3 to 6 mph. Vent Rate...........Min 1494 mph-ft. LVORI...............Max 8. ADI.................Min 2. Stability class.....4. Sfc pressure........29.94 to 29.99 inHg. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........88 85 87 80 76 62 62 67 59 49 36 43 Weather cov.....CHC CHC SCH Weather type....RW RW RW Tstm cov........CHC CHC SCH Temp............87 85 83 81 80 79 78 78 78 77 77 77 RH..............72 75 80 85 88 91 94 94 94 97 97 97 20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E N N N N SE SE 20 FT wind spd..5 5 4 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 20 FT wind gust.9 9 9 9 5 5 5 5 Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.3 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 Transp wind dir.E SE E E E E E E E SE SE SE Transp wind spd.6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 3 LVORI...........3 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 8 8 8 ADI.............11 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 Vrate mph-ft/1K.9 8 5 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 Sfc pres (in)...998 998 998 999 999 999 998 996 995 994 994 994 .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Max temperature.....Around 95. Min humidity........55 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Mixing Height.......Max 6100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 8 mph increasing to 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Vent Rate...........Max 90965 mph-ft. LVORI...............Max 8. ADI.................Max 101. Stability class.....3. Sfc pressure........29.86 to 29.97 inHg. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........56 43 38 31 31 23 15 25 52 45 43 30 Weather cov..... SCH SCH Weather type.... RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH SCH Temp............78 80 82 85 87 90 92 93 94 95 95 94 RH..............97 91 88 80 75 68 62 60 56 55 55 56 20 FT wind dir..SE S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT wind spd..1 1 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 7 7 20 FT wind gust.5 5 5 5 5 9 9 14 14 14 14 14 Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 1.1 1.5 1.9 2.5 3.4 4.4 5.1 6.1 4.4 2.9 Transp wind dir.S S S SW SW SW W W SW W W SW Transp wind spd.5 3 6 8 8 8 10 13 14 15 13 15 LVORI...........8 6 5 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.............2 3 8 15 20 26 45 71 81 101 65 54 Vrate mph-ft/1K.2 2 6 12 16 20 35 56 71 91 55 44 Sfc pres (in)...995 996 996 997 997 997 996 994 992 990 988 986 $$ Forecaster...Ellis Requested by...Christopher Bullock Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2616750.4/MHX .DELDT 07/08/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL d13opsrm@ncagr.gov