FXUS64 KMOB 081826 AFDMOB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 126 PM CDT Wed Jul 8 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 124 PM CDT Wed Jul 8 2026 - Heat indices remain in the 100 to 107 range each afternoon through the end of the week. - Isolated to scattered showers and storms continue each afternoon. Locally heavy rainfall, gusty winds, and frequent lightning can be expected with any storms. - A Moderate risk of rip currents will return for all area beaches Friday through the weekend. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1249 AM CDT Wed Jul 8 2026 The upper trough extending from the lower Great Lakes to east Texas has an embedded cutoff low centered over the confluence of Ohio and Mississippi rivers visible on water vapor imagery. This trough will lift northeastward and diminish through Thursday morning as it gets caught up in increasingly westerlies. An upper ridge over Florida, a small portion of the southeast states, and the eastern Gulf will persist into the weekend as a series of weak shortwaves pass over the Ohio River region. The upper ridge will get nudged westward over the weekend as a stronger shortwave dives southeastward from the Ohio River to the eastern seaboard with a large upper high building over the central U.S. putting our region under northwest flow aloft. A weak surface low is expected to develop offshore on Monday under the trough and send a backdoor surface cool front into the region late Monday night. The diurnal pattern continues through the near term with isolated to low-end scattered showers and thunderstorms developing each day as a seabreeze pushes inland and dissipates through mid- evening. Rain chances will increase to 30-50% on Saturday, followed by scattered to numerous coverage on Sunday and numerous to widespread coverage on Monday. As with all summertime convection, instances of stronger storms with frequent lightning, gusty surface winds and locally heavy downpours can be expected. High temperatures the rest of the week will average just above normal, with lows about 4 to 9 degrees above normal. With surface dewpoints mostly ranging from 72 to 77 degrees, maximum apparent temperatures (heat indices) should range from 100-107 degrees with isolated short-duration instances as high as 110 degrees. /22 && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 124 PM CDT Wed Jul 8 2026 VFR conditions are expected through the forecast period. Afternoon thunderstorms are unlikely, but cannot be ruled out. /73 && .MARINE... Issued at 422 AM CDT Wed Jul 8 2026 No impacts expected other than locally higher winds and seas possible near thunderstorms. /13 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Mobile 76 93 76 92 / 10 30 20 40 Pensacola 79 93 79 92 / 10 30 20 30 Destin 81 92 81 91 / 20 20 20 30 Evergreen 74 94 74 93 / 10 40 10 50 Waynesboro 74 95 74 94 / 20 30 10 20 Camden 74 93 75 93 / 10 40 10 30 Crestview 75 95 75 93 / 10 30 10 40 && .MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None. && $$