FXUS64 KMOB 190420 AFDMOB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 1120 PM CDT Mon May 18 2026 ...New DISCUSSION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1031 PM CDT Mon May 18 2026 - A HIGH risk of rip currents is in effect for all area beaches today. - Rain chances increase by mid to late next week, especially over the western half of the forecast area. - Localized patchy fog will be possible this morning and again late tonight into Wednesday morning. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1031 PM CDT Mon May 18 2026 An isolated shower or storm is possible today mainly across south-central Alabama with isolated to scattered showers and storms possible Wednesday. Thursday isolated to scattered rain and storm chances shift west of I-65, becoming scattered to locally numerous west of the I-65 corridor Friday. Best chances Friday will likely remain confined to southeast Mississippi and interior southwest Alabama. As we head into the weekend, rain chances remain elevated as a series of weak shortwaves round the northern periphery of upper ridging with scattered to locally numerous showers and thunderstorms possible. Patchy fog can't be ruled out through this morning and again Wednesday morning, with a few spots potentially seeing locally dense fog. Better chances for fog appear to be Wednesday morning across the area. Any fog will develop late into the overnight hours before lifting fairly quickly after sunrise. Outside of the rain chances, temperatures will be warm near or just above normal for this time of year on both highs and lows throughout the week and into the weekend. Highs generally fall in the 85 to 90 range, with some localized lower 90's possible any given day. Lows will remain in the upper 60's to lower 70's for most locations each night through the weekend. A High risk of rip currents today becomes a Moderate risk Wednesday. A Low to Moderate risk of rip currents will exist Thursday into Friday. MM/25 && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 636 PM CDT Mon May 18 2026 VFR flight category generally prevails across the area with some spots nearer the coast still dealing with a broken MVFR ceiling from a cumulus field associated with peak afternoon heating. VFR flight category should return for all areas near or shortly after sunset until we see MVFR to IFR ceilings return late tonight into early Tuesday morning. These should lift fairly quickly after daybreak, with most locations returning back to VFR by mid morning. Winds will continue to be out of the southeast at 5 to 10 knots through Tuesday, relaxing to below 5 knots during the night tonight. MM/25 && .MARINE... Issued at 111 PM CDT Mon May 18 2026 A light to occasionally moderate southeasterly flow will prevail through Saturday. Seas will build slightly through tonight then diminish Wednesday into Thursday. /29 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Mobile 87 71 87 70 / 10 0 0 0 Pensacola 85 72 84 72 / 10 10 0 0 Destin 83 71 83 71 / 10 0 0 0 Evergreen 89 66 91 67 / 30 10 20 10 Waynesboro 88 71 90 70 / 10 0 10 10 Camden 88 68 89 69 / 30 0 0 10 Crestview 89 66 91 67 / 20 10 20 0 && .MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...High Rip Current Risk from 7 AM CDT Tuesday through Tuesday evening for ALZ265-266. FL...High Rip Current Risk from 7 AM CDT Tuesday through Tuesday evening for FLZ202-204-206. MS...None. GM...None. && $$