FXUS64 KMOB 191748 AFDMOB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 1248 PM CDT Tue May 19 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1236 PM CDT Tue May 19 2026 - A HIGH risk of rip currents is in effect for all area beaches today. - Rain chances increase by mid to late next week, especially over the western half of the forecast area. - Localized patchy fog will be possible this morning and again late tonight into Wednesday morning. && .UPDATE... Issued at 609 AM CDT Tue May 19 2026 Overall the forecast remains on track. Current observations do show patchy fog has developed across most of the southern half of the area. Some very localized dense fog is possible this morning; however, coverage and duration does not seem to be enough to warrant a advisory at this time. Anyone commuting or traveling this morning should continue to use caution where fog has formed. BB-8 && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1031 PM CDT Mon May 18 2026 An isolated shower or storm is possible today mainly across south-central Alabama with isolated to scattered showers and storms possible Wednesday. Thursday isolated to scattered rain and storm chances shift west of I-65, becoming scattered to locally numerous west of the I-65 corridor Friday. Best chances Friday will likely remain confined to southeast Mississippi and interior southwest Alabama. As we head into the weekend, rain chances remain elevated as a series of weak shortwaves round the northern periphery of upper ridging with scattered to locally numerous showers and thunderstorms possible. Patchy fog can't be ruled out through this morning and again Wednesday morning, with a few spots potentially seeing locally dense fog. Better chances for fog appear to be Wednesday morning across the area. Any fog will develop late into the overnight hours before lifting fairly quickly after sunrise. Outside of the rain chances, temperatures will be warm near or just above normal for this time of year on both highs and lows throughout the week and into the weekend. Highs generally fall in the 85 to 90 range, with some localized lower 90's possible any given day. Lows will remain in the upper 60's to lower 70's for most locations each night through the weekend. A High risk of rip currents today becomes a Moderate risk Wednesday. A Low to Moderate risk of rip currents will exist Thursday into Friday. MM/25 && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1236 PM CDT Tue May 19 2026 VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the afternoon and into the evening hours. By late evening and into the overnight hours, low ceilings of IFR or lower may develop and spread across the area, along with some patchy fog. The greatest potential for dense fog is along and east of I-65. Any fog/low ceilings that does manage to develop will dissipate a little after sunrise. Southeasterly winds of around 5-10 knots will become more light and variable tonight. /96 && .MARINE... Issued at 111 PM CDT Mon May 18 2026 A light to occasionally moderate southeasterly flow will prevail through Saturday. Seas will build slightly through tonight then diminish Wednesday into Thursday. /29 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Mobile 71 88 70 87 / 0 0 0 10 Pensacola 73 87 73 85 / 0 0 0 0 Destin 73 83 72 82 / 0 10 0 0 Evergreen 68 90 67 90 / 10 20 10 10 Waynesboro 70 90 69 89 / 10 30 20 30 Camden 70 90 68 90 / 10 10 20 10 Crestview 70 90 68 91 / 0 30 0 0 && .MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...High Rip Current Risk until 7 PM CDT this evening for ALZ265-266. FL...High Rip Current Risk until 7 PM CDT this evening for FLZ202-204- 206. MS...None. GM...None. && $$