FNUS53 KMQT 151001 FWFMQT FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR UPPER MICHIGAN National Weather Service Marquette MI 601 AM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 .DISCUSSION... Cloudy but dry weather persists through the morning, then rain spreads into the UP from west to east this afternoon and evening ahead of a cold front. Widespread rain totals of 0.25-0.75" are expected by midnight tonight, then a change over to lake effect/enhanced rain will keep additional totals overnight into Friday limited mainly to the northerly wind belts. Otherwise, expect temperatures today to peak in the lower to mid 50s, while winds turning to the SE come in largely below 15mph. Relative humidity stays above 60% area-wide. Blustery NW winds develop Friday morning, with widespread gusts of 20-30mph, and stronger gusts near/in excess of 40mph closer to Superior. Expect temperatures to peak in the mid/upper 40s Friday, while RH stays above 50% (and above 60% in the eastern UP). MIZ001-003-161200- Keweenaw-Northern Houghton- Including the cities of Copper Harbor, Houghton, and Hancock 601 AM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers by late morning. Rain showers by mid afternoon. Chance of showers near 100 percent. Max temperature.....Around 52. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........76-81 percent. 24 hr trend......10 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph. PCPN amount.........0.20-0.28 inch. Hours of Sun........1. Chance of thunder...1 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers. Chance of showers near 100 percent. Min temperature.....Around 41. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 4 to 9 mph shifting to the north 5 to 10 mph with gusts to around 40 mph late. PCPN amount.........0.35-0.51 inch on the Keweenaw Peninsula...and 0.11-0.23 inch over Isle Royale. Chance of thunder...7 percent. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Rain showers likely early. A chance of rain showers by late morning. Chance of showers 70 percent. Max temperature.....Around 47. Min humidity........58-63 percent. 20-foot winds.......Windy. North winds 21 to 32 mph with gusts to around 50 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.08 inch. Hours of Sun........4. Chance of thunder...5 percent. $$ MIZ002-009-084-161200- Ontonagon-Gogebic-Southern Houghton- Including the cities of Ontonagon, Ironwood, Kenton, and Sidnaw 601 AM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 /501 AM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026/ .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of rain showers by late morning. Rain showers by mid afternoon. Chance of showers near 100 percent. Max temperature.....Around 54. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........72-77 percent. 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph. PCPN amount.........0.23-0.45 inch. Hours of Sun........1. Chance of thunder...1 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers. Chance of showers near 100 percent. Min temperature.....Around 40. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........98-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Variable 5 mph or less becoming northwest 6 to 11 mph with gusts to around 35 mph late. PCPN amount.........0.27-0.60 inch. Chance of thunder...7 percent. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers through mid afternoon. Chance of showers 50 percent. Max temperature.....44-49. Min humidity........54-59 percent. 20-foot winds.......North 18 to 23 mph decreasing to 8 to 13 mph by mid afternoon. Gusts up to 40 mph. PCPN amount.........0.01-0.16 inch. Hours of Sun........2. Chance of thunder...5 percent. $$ MIZ004-005-161200- Baraga-Marquette- Including the cities of L'Anse, Gwinn, and Marquette 601 AM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers by late morning. Rain showers by mid afternoon. Chance of showers near 100 percent. Max temperature.....Around 53. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........74-79 percent inland to 70 percent at the shore. 24 hr trend......5 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph. PCPN amount.........0.15-0.34 inch. Hours of Sun........2. Chance of thunder...1 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers. Chance of showers near 100 percent. Min temperature.....38-43. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Variable 5 mph or less becoming north 6 to 11 mph with gusts to around 35 mph late. PCPN amount.........0.39-0.72 inch. Chance of thunder...7 percent. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers through early afternoon, then a chance of rain showers by mid afternoon. A slight chance of snow showers late. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent. Max temperature.....43-48. Min humidity........73-78 percent inland to 64 percent at the shore. 20-foot winds.......North 19 to 24 mph with gusts to around 45 mph. PCPN amount.........0.02-0.30 inch. Hours of Sun........3. Chance of thunder...8 percent. $$ MIZ010-011-161200- Iron-Dickinson- Including the cities of Iron River and Iron Mountain 501 AM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers by late morning. Rain showers by mid afternoon. Chance of showers near 100 percent. Max temperature.....Around 53. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........75-80 percent. 24 hr trend......7 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 7 to 12 mph. PCPN amount.........0.22-0.40 inch. Hours of Sun........1. Chance of thunder...1 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers. Chance of showers near 100 percent. Min temperature.....38-43. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Variable 5 mph or less becoming northwest 7 to 12 mph with gusts to around 25 mph late. PCPN amount.........0.30-0.47 inch. Chance of thunder...5 percent. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely early, then a chance of rain showers by late morning. Chance of showers 70 percent. Max temperature.....Around 46. Min humidity........66-71 percent. 20-foot winds.......North 17 to 22 mph with gusts to around 35 mph. PCPN amount.........0.03-0.17 inch. Hours of Sun........3. Chance of thunder...6 percent. $$ MIZ012-161200- Menominee- Including the city of Menominee 501 AM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of rain showers by early afternoon. Rain showers late. Chance of showers near 100 percent. Max temperature.....Around 56. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........67-72 percent. 24 hr trend......10 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......East 7 to 12 mph. PCPN amount.........0.26-0.38 inch. Hours of Sun........2. Chance of thunder...2 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers through midnight, then a chance of rain showers late. Chance of showers near 100 percent. Min temperature.....Around 44. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........100 percent. 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......North 4 to 9 mph shifting to the northwest 5 to 10 mph with gusts to around 20 mph late. PCPN amount.........0.23-0.45 inch. Chance of thunder...4 percent. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely early. A chance of rain showers by late morning. Chance of showers 70 percent. Max temperature.....Around 50. Min humidity........59-64 percent. 20-foot winds.......North 18 to 23 mph with gusts to around 35 mph. PCPN amount.........0.02-0.13 inch. Hours of Sun........3. Chance of thunder...6 percent. $$ MIZ006-007-085-161200- Alger-Luce-Northern Schoolcraft- Including the cities of Grand Marais, Munising, Newberry, and Seney 601 AM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers by early afternoon. Rain showers late. Chance of showers near 100 percent. Max temperature.....Around 55. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........64-69 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 6 to 11 mph. PCPN amount.........0.06-0.27 inch. Hours of Sun........2. Chance of thunder...0 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers. Chance of showers near 100 percent. Min temperature.....Around 42. 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer. Max humidity........100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......East 4 to 9 mph shifting to the north 6 to 11 mph with gusts to around 25 mph late. PCPN amount.........0.47-0.63 inch. Chance of thunder...6 percent. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers early, then a chance of rain showers by late morning. Chance of showers near 100 percent. Max temperature.....Around 48. Min humidity........70-75 percent. 20-foot winds.......North 19 to 24 mph with gusts to around 45 mph. PCPN amount.........0.01-0.24 inch. Hours of Sun........2. Chance of thunder...8 percent. $$ MIZ013-161200- Delta- Including the cities of Escanaba and Gladstone 601 AM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of rain showers by early afternoon. Rain showers late. Chance of showers near 100 percent. Max temperature.....Around 56. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........66-71 percent. 24 hr trend......8 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 7 to 12 mph. PCPN amount.........0.17-0.35 inch. Hours of Sun........1. Chance of thunder...1 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers. Chance of showers near 100 percent. Min temperature.....Around 43. 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer. Max humidity........98-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Northeast 4 to 9 mph shifting to the north 6 to 11 mph with gusts to around 20 mph late. PCPN amount.........0.30-0.53 inch. Chance of thunder...5 percent. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers through early afternoon, then a chance of rain showers by mid afternoon. Chance of showers near 100 percent. Max temperature.....Around 49. Min humidity........72-77 percent inland to 66 percent at the shore. 20-foot winds.......North 19 to 24 mph with gusts to around 35 mph. PCPN amount.........0.04-0.19 inch. Hours of Sun........3. Chance of thunder...8 percent. $$ MIZ014-095-161200- Southern Schoolcraft-Western Mackinac- Including the cities of Manistique and Engadine 601 AM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers by early afternoon. Rain showers late. Chance of showers near 100 percent. Max temperature.....Around 55. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........66-71 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 6 to 11 mph. PCPN amount.........0.06-0.23 inch. Hours of Sun........1. Chance of thunder...0 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers. Chance of showers near 100 percent. Min temperature.....Around 43. 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. Max humidity........98-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......East 6 to 11 mph shifting to the north late. PCPN amount.........0.44-0.63 inch. Chance of thunder...5 percent. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Chance of showers 50 percent. Max temperature.....Around 49. Min humidity........70-75 percent. 20-foot winds.......North 11 to 16 mph increasing to 18 to 23 mph by mid afternoon. Gusts up to 35 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.07 inch. Hours of Sun........3. Chance of thunder...7 percent. $$ MIZ096-097-161200- Eastern Mackinac-Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island- Including the cities of St. Ignace and Mackinac Island 601 AM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of rain showers late. Chance of showers 50 percent. Max temperature.....Around 55. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........66-71 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 6 to 11 mph increasing to 8 to 13 mph by mid afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.07 inch. Hours of Sun........1. Chance of thunder...1 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers. Chance of showers near 100 percent. Min temperature.....Around 43. 24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer. Max humidity........98-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......East 6 to 11 mph with gusts to around 20 mph shifting to the northeast 7 to 12 mph late. PCPN amount.........0.50-0.71 inch. Chance of thunder...2 percent. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Chance of showers 50 percent. Max temperature.....Around 49. Min humidity........65-70 percent. 20-foot winds.......North 9 to 14 mph increasing to 17 to 22 mph by mid afternoon. Gusts up to 30 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.02 inch. Hours of Sun........3. Chance of thunder...4 percent. $$ MIZ088-161200- Southeast Chippewa- Including the city of Drummond 601 AM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of rain showers late. Chance of showers 50 percent. Max temperature.....Around 55. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........63-68 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.03 inch. Hours of Sun........1. Chance of thunder...0 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers. Chance of showers near 100 percent. Min temperature.....Around 42. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........97-100 percent. 24 hr trend......7 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......East 6 to 11 mph shifting to the northeast 5 to 10 mph late. Gusts up to 20 mph. PCPN amount.........0.59-0.69 inch. Chance of thunder...2 percent. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers early. Chance of showers 50 percent. Max temperature.....Around 50. Min humidity........60-65 percent. 20-foot winds.......North 11 to 16 mph increasing to 17 to 22 mph by mid afternoon. Gusts up to 30 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.01 inch. Hours of Sun........3. Chance of thunder...3 percent. $$ MIZ086-087-161200- Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa- Including the cities of Eckerman and Sault Ste. Marie 601 AM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of rain showers by mid afternoon. Chance of showers 50 percent. Max temperature.....Around 53. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........68-73 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........0.01-0.11 inch. Hours of Sun........1. Chance of thunder...0 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers. Chance of showers near 100 percent. Min temperature.....Around 42. 24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer. Max humidity........100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......East 6 to 11 mph shifting to the northeast late. PCPN amount.........0.52-0.73 inch. Chance of thunder...2 percent. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Chance of showers 50 percent. Max temperature.....Around 48. Min humidity........66-71 percent. 20-foot winds.......North 8 to 13 mph increasing to 19 to 24 mph by mid afternoon. Gusts up to 35 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.03 inch. Hours of Sun........3. Chance of thunder...4 percent. $$ .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY...Clear. A 20 percent chance of rain showers. Lows 24 to 29 inland to around 37 at the shore. Highs 55 to 60. West winds 7 to 12 mph with gusts to around 30 mph. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 31 to 36 inland to around 42 at the shore. Highs 62 to 67 inland to around 61 at the shore. Southwest winds 11 to 16 mph with gusts to around 35 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 34 to 39 inland to around 45 at the shore. Highs around 65 inland to around 58 at the shore. West winds 3 to 8 mph with gusts to around 30 mph. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 30 to 35 inland to around 42 at the shore. Highs around 65 inland to around 59 at the shore. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear with a 40 percent chance of rain showers. Lows 33 to 38 inland to around 44 at the shore. Highs 63 to 68 inland to around 62 at the shore. .Outlook for Thu Oct 22 through Wed Oct 28...expect above normal temperatures and near normal precipitation. $$ ...................Smoke Management Forecast data.................... The following values are for 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) today: Mixing Transport Ventilation WIMS ID/ Site / Height / Winds / Index ------------------------------------------------------------------ 471301 / WAUSAUKEE / 2400 / SE 6 / 144 (F) 200301 / KENTON / 1800 / S 11 / 198 (F) 200504 /BARAGA PLAINS / 1900 / S 12 / 228 (F) 201004 / MUNISING / 2000 / S 10 / 200 (F) 201002 / DOE LAKE / 2300 / S 10 / 230 (F) 201103 / HIGH BRIDGE / 2000 / S 8 / 160 (F) 200703 / GWINN / 2000 / S 9 / 180 (F) 200903 / LABRANCHE / 1800 / SE 8 / 144 (F) 200503 / PELKIE / 1900 / S 11 / 209 (F) 201504 / RACO / 2300 / SE 16 / 368 (G) 200802 / RANDVILLE / 1800 / S 8 / 144 (F) 201401 / REXTON / 2700 / S 13 / 351 (G) 201505 / RUDYARD / 2300 / SE 14 / 322 (G) 201202 / SENEY / 2200 / S 11 / 242 (F) 201302 /SPINCICH LAKE / 2200 / S 13 / 286 (F) 201102 / STONINGTON / 2000 / SE 8 / 160 (F) 200102 / WAKEFIELD / 1500 / S 12 / 180 (F) 200103 / WATERSMEET / 1800 / S 11 / 198 (F) /DRUMND ISLAND / 2800 / SE 14 / 392 (G) / KEWEENAW / 1400 / S 10 / 140 (F) 201506 / TROUT LAKE / 2300 / SE 13 / 299 (F) THE FOLLOWING VALUES ARE FOR 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) Fri... Mixing Transport Ventilation WIMS ID/ Site / Height / Winds / Index ------------------------------------------------------------------ 471301 / WAUSAUKEE / 4400 / N 32 / 1408 (E) 200301 / KENTON / 3400 / N 31 / 1054 (E) 200504 /BARAGA PLAINS / 3300 / N 33 / 1089 (E) 201004 / MUNISING / 3600 / N 35 / 1260 (E) 201002 / DOE LAKE / 3500 / N 33 / 1155 (E) 201103 / HIGH BRIDGE / 3400 / N 31 / 1054 (E) 200703 / GWINN / 3100 / N 34 / 1054 (E) 200903 / LABRANCHE / 3500 / N 32 / 1120 (E) 200503 / PELKIE / 3700 / N 32 / 1184 (E) 201504 / RACO / 3700 / N 31 / 1147 (E) 200802 / RANDVILLE / 3800 / N 31 / 1178 (E) 201401 / REXTON / 3600 / N 28 / 1008 (E) 201505 / RUDYARD / 3800 / N 27 / 1026 (E) 201202 / SENEY / 4000 / N 31 / 1240 (E) 201302 /SPINCICH LAKE / 3700 / N 31 / 1147 (E) 201102 / STONINGTON / 3500 / N 31 / 1085 (E) 200102 / WAKEFIELD / 3300 / N 29 / 957 (E) 200103 / WATERSMEET / 2900 / N 31 / 899 (E) /DRUMND ISLAND / 3600 / N 25 / 900 (E) / KEWEENAW / 3600 / N 33 / 1188 (E) 201506 / TROUT LAKE / 3700 / N 28 / 1036 (E) Note: Mixing heights are in feet above ground level Transport winds are in miles per hour ..................................................................... The following is point forecast information valid at 1 PM EST. Note that the QPF is from 7 AM to 1 PM EST. Also, wind speeds have been reduced by a factor of 0.7 by the request of local fire officials. WIMS ID/ Site/ Temp/ RH/ WSPD/WGST/WDIR/QPF --------------------------------------------------- 471301 / WAUSAUKEE/ 56/ 72/ 4/ 8/ SE/0.00 200301 / KENTON/ 52/ 74/ 1/ 7/ S/0.00 200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 53/ 73/ 3/ 9/ S/0.00 201004 / MUNISING/ 54/ 69/ 4/ 8/ SE/0.00 201002 / DOE LAKE/ 55/ 65/ 3/ 8/ SE/0.00 201103 / HIGH BRIDGE/ 55/ 62/ 4/ 10/ SE/0.00 200703 / GWINN/ 52/ 76/ 4/ 9/ S/0.00 200903 / LABRANCHE/ 54/ 76/ 4/ 9/ SE/0.00 200503 / PELKIE/ 54/ 74/ 3/ 7/ S/0.00 201504 / RACO/ 52/ 73/ 5/ 10/ SE/0.00 200802 / RANDVILLE/ 53/ 78/ 4/ 9/ SE/0.00 201401 / REXTON/ 53/ 74/ 4/ 11/ SE/0.00 201505 / RUDYARD/ 52/ 72/ 7/ 12/ SE/0.00 201202 / SENEY/ 54/ 69/ 5/ 10/ SE/0.00 201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 52/ 72/ 5/ 11/ SE/0.00 201102 / STONINGTON/ 57/ 67/ 4/ 8/ SE/0.00 200102 / WAKEFIELD/ 51/ 81/ 4/ 8/ S/0.06 200103 / WATERSMEET/ 52/ 78/ 4/ 9/ S/0.00 /DRUMND ISLAND/ 53/ 62/ 7/ 13/ SE/0.00 / KEWEENAW/ 49/ 83/ 5/ 8/ S/0.02 201506 / TROUT LAKE/ 53/ 75/ 4/ 11/ SE/0.00 $$ WFO MQT