FNUS73 KMQT 162049 FWSMQT Spot Forecast for Ridge Fire...MI DNR National Weather Service Marquette MI 449 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 EDT on October 16. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... North winds continue to taper off into this evening, shifting northwest as the pressure gradient slackens. Drier air moving in ends any lingering stray light rain showers or flurries early this evening and clears skies out for tonight, allowing for colder temperatures near 30 by Saturday morning; RH recovers into the upper 80s. High pressure building in from the west turns winds southwest for the rest of the weekend, with breezy winds frequently gusting 20-25 mph on Saturday and 20-30 mph on Sunday. There is a 25-50% chance for gusts in excess of 30 mph on Saturday and 40-70% chance for gusts exceeding 35 mph on Sunday. Temperatures trend warmer through the weekend, peaking in the low 50s on Saturday and near 60 on Sunday. Minimum RH will be in the mid 30s over the weekend with excellent ventilation in the afternoons under mostly sunny skies. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of rain showers and flurries early in the evening. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. Chance of thunder...0 percent. Temperature.........39 at forecast start...Min 30. RH..................77 percent at forecast start...Max 89 percent. Dewpoint............32 decreasing to 28. 33-foot winds.......North winds 7 to 18 mph with gusts to around 31 mph shifting to the west 5 to 6 mph overnight. 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds up to 10 mph with gusts to around 25 mph. Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL at forecast start...otherwise 2400-3600 ft AGL decreasing to 400-1400 ft AGL early in the evening. Ventilation index...Excellent (931) at forecast start. Min...good (482.0) decreasing to poor to fair (33.0-248.0) early in the evening. Rainfall amount.....0.01 inches. Ceiling (kft).......3.6 increasing to 23. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........86 80 56 50 49 29 24 29 30 22 16 21 Weather cov.....SCH SCH Weather type....RW RW Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).20 15 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............39 38 37 35 35 34 34 33 33 32 32 31 Dewpoint........32 31 30 30 29 29 29 29 29 29 28 28 RH..............77 77 77 81 81 81 82 83 85 86 87 89 33 ft wind dir..N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W 33 ft wind spd..18 18 18 12 12 12 6 6 6 5 5 5 20 ft wind dir..N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W 20 ft wind spd..14 14 14 10 10 10 5 5 5 4 4 4 Wind gust.......25 25 25 19 19 19 13 13 13 12 12 12 Mix hgt (kft)...3.6 2.4 1.4 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 VIndx kt-ft/100.93 48 25 11 10 7 5 4 3 4 4 4 Ceiling (kft)...3.7 3.6 4.6 5.5 5.1 5.8 6.5 6.9 8.9 12 23 23 .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. Chance of thunder...0 percent. Temperature.........Max 54. RH..................Min 34 percent. Dewpoint............28 decreasing to 24. 33-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 26 mph in the late morning and afternoon. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 26 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Mixing height.......400-2000 ft AGL increasing to 2400-3000 ft AGL in the afternoon. Ventilation index...Poor to good (48.0-512.0) increasing to good to excellent (508.0-654.0) late in the afternoon. Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches. Ceiling (kft).......22. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........11 15 16 23 35 24 25 14 9 7 4 3 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............31 31 31 33 37 42 45 48 51 52 53 53 Dewpoint........28 27 27 27 27 27 26 25 24 24 25 26 RH..............87 88 86 79 67 56 46 40 34 34 34 35 33 ft wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 33 ft wind spd..7 7 7 13 13 13 14 14 14 15 15 15 20 ft wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 ft wind spd..6 6 6 10 10 10 11 11 11 12 12 12 Wind gust.......14 14 14 21 21 21 21 21 21 20 20 20 Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.6 2.0 2.4 2.8 3.0 2.8 2.5 VIndx kt-ft/100.5 5 5 9 20 30 40 51 62 65 61 51 Ceiling (kft)...23 22 22 22 22 22 23 23 22 22 23 22 .SATURDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. Chance of thunder...0 percent. Temperature.........Min 36. RH..................Max 71 percent. Dewpoint............29. 33-foot winds.......Southwest winds 12 to 15 mph with gusts to around 31 mph. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 12 mph with gusts to around 25 mph. Mixing height.......400-1600 ft AGL. Ventilation index...Poor to fair (69.0-277.0). Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches. Ceiling (kft).......23 early in the evening. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........2 5 5 2 2 2 18 7 3 3 6 11 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............51 48 46 42 42 41 41 40 39 40 38 39 Dewpoint........27 27 28 28 29 29 30 30 30 30 29 29 RH..............39 44 50 57 60 62 64 67 69 68 71 67 33 ft wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 33 ft wind spd..14 14 14 13 13 13 12 12 12 15 15 15 20 ft wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 ft wind spd..11 11 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 12 12 12 Wind gust.......21 21 21 22 22 22 22 22 22 25 25 25 Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 VIndx kt-ft/100.28 16 10 9 10 9 8 8 9 7 8 10 Ceiling (kft)...23 23 23 .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. Chance of thunder...0 percent. Temperature.........Max 60. RH..................Min 37 percent. Dewpoint............29 increasing to 33 late in the morning. 33-foot winds.......Southwest winds 16 to 20 mph with gusts to around 35 mph. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 13 to 16 mph with gusts to around 28 mph. Mixing height.......400-2300 ft AGL increasing to 2400 ft AGL late in the afternoon. Ventilation index...Poor to good (79.0-556.0) increasing to good toexcellent (568.0-663.0) in the afternoon. Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches. Ceiling (kft).......MISSING. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........20 15 13 0 6 12 15 17 20 21 21 22 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............39 38 39 41 45 49 53 56 58 59 60 58 Dewpoint........29 28 28 29 31 33 33 33 32 33 34 35 RH..............67 66 64 64 59 54 47 41 38 37 38 42 33 ft wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 33 ft wind spd..18 18 18 18 18 18 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 ft wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 ft wind spd..14 14 14 14 14 14 16 16 16 16 16 16 Wind gust.......28 28 28 28 28 28 26 26 26 25 25 25 Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.4 VIndx kt-ft/100.8 8 12 16 28 45 56 61 63 66 65 57 Ceiling (kft)... $$ Forecaster...77 Requested by...Jeff Vasher Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2623782.2/MQT .DELDT 10/16/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL vasherj@michigan.gov