FNUS75 KMSO 222214
FWSMSO

Spot Forecast for Deer Creek
National Weather Service Missoula MT
414 PM MDT Sat Aug 22 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1700 MDT on August 22. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT SUNDAY...

.DISCUSSION...Showers and thunderstorms headed toward the Fire
will bring a threat of strong outflow winds over 50 mph around 5pm
MDT this afternoon. 

Additional rounds of thunderstorms are possible into early Sunday
morning. 

Elevated fire weather conditions are expected on Sunday due to
gusty southwest winds and low min Rh. 

.REST OF TODAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms
  likely.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...Less than 10 percent. 
* Chance Lightning....20 percent. 
* Max Temperature.....87-92. 
* Min Humidity........15-20 percent. 
* Wind (20 ft)........South around 5 mph. Gusty outflow winds
  40-50 mph with any thunderstorms or nearby showers. 
* Mixing Height.......8500 ft agl. 
* Mixing Winds........Southwest 10 mph. 
* Precip Amount.......0.00 inches. 

.TONIGHT...

* Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and 
  thunderstorms in the evening, then showers likely and slight 
  chance of thunderstorms overnight. 
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...10 percent. 
* Chance Lightning....25 percent. 
* Min Temperature.....55-60. 
* Max Humidity........69-74 percent. 
* Wind (20 ft)........South around 5 mph shifting to the southwest 
  overnight. 
* Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl decreasing to 500 ft agl. 
* Mixing Winds........Southwest 10 mph. 
* Precip Amount.......0.03 inches. 

.SUNDAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny. 
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent. 
* Chance Lightning....Up to 10 percent. 
* Max Temperature.....74-79. 
* Min Humidity........29-34 percent. 
* Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 5-12 mph with gusts to around 25 
  mph. 
* Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl increasing to 7000 ft agl. 
* Mixing Winds........Southwest 15 mph. 
* Precip Amount.......0.00 inches. 

$$
Forecaster...Booth
Requested by...Dylan Kopitzke
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2620122.4/MSO
.DELDT 08/22/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dkopitzke@mt.gov,mtkic@firenet.gov,aaking@mt.gov