FNUS75 KMSO 231917
FWSMSO

Spot Forecast for Black Bear
National Weather Service Missoula MT
117 PM MDT Sun Aug 23 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on August 24. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A ridge of high pressure will bring a warming and 
drying trend Monday. Thermal belts begin to strengthen Monday 
night, with limited RH recoveries. Light and terrain driven winds
expected Monday into Tuesday. Monsoon moisture will begin to 
stream in aloft Tuesday afternoon, providing enough mid-level 
instability for scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Outflow winds and lightning will be the primary threats should a
storm approach the fire.  

.MONDAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny. 
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent. 
* Chance Lightning....0 percent. 
* Max Temperature.....74-79. 
* Min Humidity........18-23 percent. 
* Wind (20 ft)........East 2-5 mph in the morning becoming west-
  northwest 3-6 mph in the afternoon. 
* Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl increasing to 6000 ft agl in the 
  afternoon. 
* Mixing Winds........Southwest 10 mph. 
* Precip Amount.......0.00 inches. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...

* Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy. 
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent. 
* Chance Lightning....0 percent. 
* Min Temperature.....52-57. 
* Max Humidity........40-45 percent. 
* Wind (20 ft)........East 2-5 mph. 
* Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl decreasing to 500 ft agl early in 
  the evening. 
* Mixing Winds........East 5 mph. 
* Precip Amount.......0.00 inches. 

.TUESDAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and 
  isolated thunderstorms in the afternoon. 
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...10 percent. 
* Chance Lightning....Up to 10 percent. 
* Max Temperature.....77-82. 
* Min Humidity........22-27 percent. 
* Wind (20 ft)........East 2-5 mph in the morning becoming west-
  northwest 3-6 mph in the afternoon.  
* Mixing Height.......2000 ft agl increasing to 9500 ft agl. 
* Mixing Winds........South 5 mph. 
* Precip Amount.......0.00 inches. 

$$
Forecaster...Lukinbeal
Requested by...Zach Lee
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2618935.21/MSO
.DELDT 08/23/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL 2026.northforklosthorse.plans@firenet.gov,clint.mendenhall@usda.gov,jacquie_parks@firenet.gov,chris_kramer@firenet.gov,epaul@blm.gov,epaul284@gmail.com