FNUS86 KMTR 162004 FWLMTR ECCDA Discussions National Weather Service SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA 104 PM PDT Fri Oct 16 2026 ##################################################################### ## ## ## Discussions from the latest FWF below ## ## ## ##################################################################### ...Discussion from SFOFWFMTR... ...NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH SATURDAY DUE TO WEAK OFFSHORE WINDS AND POOR HUMIDITY RECOVERY FOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS... Offshore winds, poor relative humidity values, and warm weather continue to result in critical to near critical fire weather conditions across the higher elevations through Saturday. Temperatures begin to cool on Sunday due to a pattern change that is likely to bring unsettled weather to the region early next week. Flow shifts to onshore, RH values improve, and the marine layer tries to re-establish itself. Chances for light rain showers remain in the forecast through early next week. However, chances for wetting rains look to be best over the north Central Coast. ...Discussion from SFOFWFEKA... A warming and drying trend continues. Interior valleys will again hit the 90s today with minimum RH less than 15 percent. Recoveries will be poor for one one more night. Moderate northeast winds persist along interior ridges this morning with stronger and more widespread winds in eastern Lake County. Where strong, wind and dry air will create critical fire weather conditions through the morning. Winds will generally weaken through the day Friday but leave behind exceptionally dry air with RH near 10 percent. A cold front arrives this weekend leading to a cooling and moistening trend. ##################################################################### ## ## ## Complete a discussion for each ECCDA segment below ## ## When done click transmit, product sent as KMTRFWLMTR ## ## ## ##################################################################### ECC010-170815- St Helena ECC Dispatch- DISCUSSION FOR Marin and Sonoma and Napa Counties 104 PM PDT Fri Oct 16 2026 Offshore winds, poor relative humidity values, and warm weather continue to result in critical to near critical fire weather conditions across the higher elevations through Saturday. Temperatures begin to cool on Sunday due to a pattern change that is likely to bring unsettled weather to the region early next week. Flow shifts to onshore, RH values improve, and the marine layer tries to re-establish itself. Chances for light rain showers remain in the forecast through early next week. However, chances for wetting rains remain low at this time. $$ ECC014-170815- Morgan Hill ECC Dispatch- DISCUSSION FOR Alameda and Contra Costa and Santa Clara Counties 104 PM PDT Fri Oct 16 2026 Offshore winds, poor relative humidity values, and warm weather continue to result in critical to near critical fire weather conditions across the higher elevations through Saturday. Temperatures begin to cool on Sunday due to a pattern change that is likely to bring unsettled weather to the region early next week. Flow shifts to onshore, RH values improve, and the marine layer tries to re-establish itself. Chances for light rain showers remain in the forecast through early next week. However, chances for wetting rains remain low at this time. $$ ECC013-170815- Felton ECC Dispatch- DISCUSSION FOR Santa Cruz and San Mateo Counties 104 PM PDT Fri Oct 16 2026 Offshore winds, poor relative humidity values, and warm weather continue to result in critical to near critical fire weather conditions across the higher elevations through Saturday. Temperatures begin to cool on Sunday due to a pattern change that is likely to bring unsettled weather to the region early next week. Flow shifts to onshore, RH values improve, and the marine layer tries to re-establish itself. Chances for light rain showers remain in the forecast through early next week. However, chances for wetting rains look to be best over the north Central Coast. $$ ECC018-170815- Monterey ECC Dispatch- DISCUSSION FOR Monterey and San Benito County 104 PM PDT Fri Oct 16 2026 Offshore winds, poor relative humidity values, and warm weather continue to result in critical to near critical fire weather conditions across the higher elevations through Saturday. Temperatures begin to cool on Sunday due to a pattern change that is likely to bring unsettled weather to the region early next week. Flow shifts to onshore, RH values improve, and the marine layer tries to re-establish itself. Chances for light rain showers remain in the forecast through early next week. However, chances for wetting rains look to be best over the north Central Coast. $$