FZPN03 KNHC 150238 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0430 UTC THU OCT 15 2026 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC THU OCT 15. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI OCT 16. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT OCT 17. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM TRUDY NEAR 12.4N 100.8W 994 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 15 MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...40 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...45 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 7.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N99W TO 14N101W TO 13N102W TO 12N101W TO 12N100W TO 12N99W TO 14N99W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS DESCRIBED ABOVE. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 16N99W TO 15N102W TO 11N103W TO 10N102W TO 10N100W TO 13N97W TO 16N99W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN MIXED SWELL. .12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TRUDY NEAR 12.9N 101.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TRUDY NEAR 13.6N 101.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NW AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 8.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N100W TO 16N102W TO 15N103W TO 14N103W TO 12N102W TO 12N100W TO 15N100W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS DESCRIBED ABOVE. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 16N97W TO 17N103W TO 15N107W TO 06N105W TO 07N98W TO 11N96W TO 16N97W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TRUDY NEAR 15.3N 102.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NW AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 10.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N95W TO 19N105W TO 18N109W TO 14N109W TO 12N104W TO 11N96W TO 15N95W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS DESCRIBED ABOVE. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 18N101W TO 17N104W TO 15N104W TO 14N103W TO 14N100W TO 15N99W TO 18N101W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN MIXED SWELL. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM SIMON NEAR 19.1N 108.6W 991 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 15 MOVING SW OR 220 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM E SEMICIRCLE...45 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 5.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N108W TO 20N109W TO 19N109W TO 19N108W TO 20N108W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 4.0 TO 5.5 M IN W TO NW SWELL. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 21N108W TO 20N109W TO 21N110W TO 18N110W TO 18N109W TO 18N107W TO 21N108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIMON NEAR 19.1N 108.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITH SEAS TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N108W TO 19N108W TO 20N109W TO 19N109W TO 19N108W TO 20N108W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 20N107W TO 20N109W TO 20N110W TO 18N110W TO 17N108W TO 18N107W TO 20N107W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIMON NEAR 20.8N 110.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM E SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 22N107W TO 23N108W TO 23N110W TO 22N111W TO 20N110W TO 20N108W TO 22N107W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 21N109W TO 21N110W TO 21N111W TO 20N110W TO 21N109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .WITHIN 29N112W TO 30N113W TO 29N114W TO 27N112W TO 28N111W TO 29N112W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA... NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M. .24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 29N112W TO 30N113W TO 29N114W TO 27N112W TO 28N111W TO 29N112W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA... NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M. .48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M. .WITHIN 23N114W TO 25N135W TO 24N140W TO 15N140W TO 15N131W TO 18N118W TO 23N114W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 18N120W TO 20N140W TO 12N140W TO 09N129W TO 11N120W TO 18N120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 18N127W TO 20N140W TO 09N140W TO 08N132W TO 13N126W TO 18N127W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL. .WITHIN 03N102W TO 03N129W TO 00N137W TO 01S120W TO 03.4S120W TO 02S102W TO 03N102W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S TO SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 04N98W TO 07N109W TO 06N124W TO 00N128W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S92W TO 04N98W...EXCEPT LEE OF GALAPAGOS ISLANDS... WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S TO SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 09N97W TO 13N114W TO 12N124W TO 00N129W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S88W TO 09N97W...EXCEPT LEE OF GALAPAGOS ISLANDS... WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S TO SW SWELL. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M. CONVECTION VALID AT 0230 UTC THU OCT 15... .T.S. SIMON...SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 18N TO 20N BETWEEN 107W AND 109W. .T.S. TRUDY...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 10N TO 17N BETWEEN 96W AND 106W. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N83W TO 10N90W. IT RESUMES NEAR 07N101W TO 03N117W. ITCZ FROM 02N117W TO 05N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 01N TO 06N BETWEEN 97W AND 114W...AND FROM 00N TO 06N BETWEEN 135W AND 140W. $$ .FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.