FXUS63 KOAX 081719
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
1219 PM CDT Wed Jul 8 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Near-normal temperatures continue through the work week, with
  highs in the 80s to lower 90s.

- Periodic chances for storms Wednesday through Friday. Main 
  hazards with any strong to severe storms will be damaging 
  winds, large hail, and flash flooding.

- A stretch of hot and humid weather is expected this weekend
  into next week. Excessive heat is a concern.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1120 PM CDT Tue Jul 7 2026

Quiet weather is expected tonight, but a gradual increase in middle
to upper- level clouds are an indication of changes to come. 
Overall, light winds and mostly clear skies can be expected
overnight as temperatures fall into the upper 60s to lower 70s
across the area. On Wednesday, a shortwave trough will slide
east across the Upper Midwest, pushing a cold front into
northeast Nebraska and west-central Iowa. A few showers or
storms may linger as the front pushes into the area, but these
should be limited and weakening. Temperatures warm into the
lower 90s during the afternoon, helping to erode the capping 
inversion. Concurrently, a secondary shortwave moves east out of
the central Rockies. This feature and the cold front help to 
initiate storms along the front by mid-afternoon across 
northeast Nebraska into west-central Iowa. Storms gradually sag 
southeast through the afternoon and evening along the front, 
approaching the I-80 corridor during the evening, before moving
into southeast Nebraska and southwest Iowa Wednesday night into
very early Thursday morning. There is a marginal to slight risk
(5-15% chance) of severe storms with this activity. The main 
hazards will be damaging winds, large hail, and flash flooding 
with any strong to severe storms. Overall, limited wind shear 
and high cloud bases should help to limit much of the severe 
risk. 

Thursday and Friday likely offer the nicest weather of the 
forecast period. Despite the cold front, clouds keep 
temperatures warm in the upper 60s and lower 70s heading into 
Thursday morning. In contrast, cooler temperatures filter in by
afternoon with middle 80s for all. Additional showers and
storms chances (10-30%) are expected across the southern half 
of the area from activity spreading east from the Rockies. That
said, surface high pressure limits this potential. Friday 
offers much of the same weather as Thursday, though rain chances
are a touch higher (20-40%).

By this weekend into next week, a return to hot and humid 
weather is forecast. Upper-level ridging and increasing heights
will effectively keep the area dry through this time period 
with increasing temperatures throughout. Upper 80s return this 
weekend, before 90s to near 100 arrive heading through next 
week. With dewpoints in the upper 60s to near 70, heat indices 
near 100 are probable. This heat will continued to be monitored 
as any further increases could result in excessive heat 
concerns.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1205 PM CDT Wed Jul 8 2026

KOFK: Expect VFR conditions through much of the period at the
terminal. A thunderstorm has developed northeast of Albion and
is moving ESE. A few additional showers are beginning to pop up
across northern Nebraska. There is a brief period where
a thunderstorm may impact be in the vicinity of the terminal at
the start of the TAF time. Additional chances for showers and a
few storms are expected by 23Z, with the best chance after 02Z.
Expect winds to become northerly around 5-10kts this evening.

KOMA: VFR conditions are expected for much of the period at the
terminal. There are a few light showers/storms that have
developed across northern Nebraska. These should stay clear of
the terminal. Better chances for showers and thunderstorms are
expected by around 03Z. Any storms that develop will have the
potential of producing some strong winds and possibly some hail.
A few lingering showers/storms will be possible after 06Z;
however, confidence in coverage across the area after this time
is a little less certain. Southerly winds shift to the east this
evening before becoming northerly by 12Z.

KLNK: VFR conditions are expected for much of the period at the
terminals. Expect southerly winds this afternoon into early
evening, transitioning to easterly after 07Z and becoming
northerly by 13Z. There is a chance for a few strong to severe
thunderstorms this evening, mainly after 03Z. The main concerns
with any storms will be strong winds and some hail.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Chehak
AVIATION...ANW