FXUS64 KOHX 231115
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
615 AM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 612 AM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026

- Slightly below normal temperatures with dry conditions expected
  through Monday.

- Low to medium rain and storm chances will return Tuesday through
  the end of the week with seasonable temperatures in the low-90s.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 612 AM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026

We've got a few fantastic days ahead of us before rain chances
return on Wednesday. Look for at or below normal highs and very
manageable dew points through Tuesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Monday Night)
Issued at 1026 PM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026

A cold front has worked its way through Middle TN, and drier air is 
filtering in behind the front. Calm conditions are expected tonight 
with just patchy fog to keep an eye on. Confidence in fog is once 
again highest across the Plateau with any fog that does develop 
diminishing after sunrise. Upper-level troughing remains in place 
across the eastern CONUS, and in the wake of the front, temperatures 
on Sunday will cool a few degrees with high temperatures in the mid 
to upper-80s with dry conditions. Monday will be similar with 
highs still in the 80s and dry conditions prevailing.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 1026 PM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026

By Tuesday, the aforementioned trough shifts to the east and ridging 
sets up to the west. For Middle TN, this means northwest flow will 
persist through the end of the week, opening the door for a few 
shortwaves to move through the area. These shortwaves and an 
increase in moisture allows for daily low to medium rain chances to 
return to the forecast Tuesday through the end of the week. 
Temperatures will also warm a few degrees, but high temperatures in 
the low-90s will still be seasonably normal.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 612 AM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026

SRB continues to deal with VLIFR fog, but this should clear by 14Z
leaving everyone with VFR conditions at great flying weather for
the rest of this TAF cycle. Winds will be light and northerly.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      88  61  87  62 /   0   0   0   0 
Clarksville    85  60  84  61 /   0   0   0   0 
Crossville     81  57  82  57 /   0   0   0   0 
Columbia       90  63  88  63 /   0   0   0  10 
Cookeville     83  59  82  58 /   0   0   0   0 
Jamestown      81  58  81  56 /   0   0   0   0 
Lawrenceburg   88  62  86  61 /   0   0   0  10 
Murfreesboro   89  61  87  61 /   0   0   0   0 
Waverly        86  62  85  63 /   0   0   0  10 

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

UPDATE.......Unger
SHORT TERM...Clements
LONG TERM....Clements
AVIATION.....Unger