FXUS64 KOHX 232314
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
614 PM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 612 PM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026

- Drier with cooler evening and overnight periods through Tuesday.
  Fog is possible across the river valleys each morning.

- Low to medium rain and storm chances, mainly mid week, with 
  seasonal temperatures that continue into next weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Monday)
Issued at 1145 AM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026

Water vapor imagery shows a broad area of drier air aloft and
northwesterly flow across the region and we finally got a taste 
of cooler, drier air this morning behind the front that moved 
through last night. This is a welcomed air mass which will promote
continued stable conditions and cooler evenings and overnights 
through Monday as high pressure moves to our north. We currently 
do not have any mentionable rain chances through the short-term as
a result.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday Night through next Sunday)
Issued at 1145 AM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026

Medium-range guidance and ensembles suggest little change in the
background weather pattern through the upcoming week. Generally
speaking, ridging will remain out west with a trough across the 
east. However, the trough should slowly move east mid to late week
which will allow for a bit of moisture return from the Lower
Mississippi Valley. This will foster showers and a few 
thunderstorms mid week. Better coverage of convection is possible 
with passing shortwaves progged during this timeframe and we'll 
have to see if we get any severe weather since we'll remain in
modest mid-level flow. Too early to tell right now. Overall the 
temperature forecast is pretty close to seasonal norms mid to late
week and guidance is on the drier side late week into next
weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 612 PM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026

VFR conditions persist this taf cycle with light northerly winds.
A mid-level cloud deck around 6000 ft is streaming in from the
northwest and this will lead to episodes of SCT to BKN cloud 
coverage through the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      62  89  62  90 /   0   0   0   0 
Clarksville    61  87  62  89 /   0   0   0   0 
Crossville     58  82  57  85 /   0   0   0   0 
Columbia       63  90  63  91 /   0   0   0   0 
Cookeville     60  84  59  86 /   0   0   0   0 
Jamestown      59  82  57  84 /   0   0   0   0 
Lawrenceburg   62  88  62  90 /   0   0   0   0 
Murfreesboro   62  89  62  91 /   0   0   0   0 
Waverly        63  87  64  89 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Sizemore
LONG TERM....Sizemore
AVIATION.....Baggett