FNUS51 KOKX 150604 FWFOKX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York Northern New Jersey and Southern CT National Weather Service New York NY 204 AM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 .DISCUSSION... Dry to begin the period with high pressure building in from the north. Minimum RH levels will range mainly from 45 to 55 percent before climbing higher Thursday night into Friday. A wetting rain is likely late Thursday night into Friday morning, and then again mainly during Friday evening with a cold front approaching from the west. Winds will become gusty Friday afternoon and evening. NYZ212-160615- New York City- 204 AM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 Today Tonight Fri Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Precip Type None Showers Showers Chance Precip (%) 0 40 70 Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 Temp (24h trend) 63 (-16) 55 (-4) 76 RH % (24h trend) 50 (-14) 97 (+22) 73 Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 7-11 G17 SE 4-8 S 8-12 G20 Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 3-7 SE 6-10 G19 SW 9-13 G20 Precip Amount 0.00 0.09 0.08 Precip Duration 2 5 Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3930 1510 3320 Transport Wnd (mph) E 6 SE 15 SW 28 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 19650 19630 79680 Max ADI Early 65 Good 11 Poor 53 Gen Good Max ADI Late 49 Gen Good 42 Gen Good 61 Good Remarks...None. $$ NYZ213-160615- Long Island- 204 AM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 Today Tonight Fri Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Precip Type None Showers Showers Chance Precip (%) 0 20 60 Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 Temp (24h trend) 62 (-14) 49 (-8) 73 RH % (24h trend) 50 (-17) 99 (+19) 78 Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 7-11 G18 SE 3-7 S 10-14 G24 Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 3-7 SE 5-9 G19 SW 11-15 G26 Precip Amount 0.00 0.04 0.05 Precip Duration 1 3 Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3790 2320 Transport Wnd (mph) NE 7 SE 12 SW 30 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 22740 0 60320 Max ADI Early 58 Gen Good 7 Poor 53 Gen Good Max ADI Late 49 Gen Good 24 Fair 57 Gen Good Remarks...None. $$ NYZ211-160615- Lower Hudson Valley- 204 AM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 Today Tonight Fri Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Precip Type None Showers Showers Chance Precip (%) 0 40 70 Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 Temp (24h trend) 63 (-14) 47 (-6) 73 RH % (24h trend) 50 (-15) 100 (+18) 82 Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 3-7 Lgt/Var S 5-9 G18 Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 7-11 G21 Precip Amount 0.00 0.10 0.13 Precip Duration 1 5 Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4390 3220 Transport Wnd (mph) E 3 E 6 SW 28 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 13170 0 77280 Max ADI Early 44 Gen Good 3 Very Poor 40 Fair Max ADI Late 40 Fair 21 Fair 56 Gen Good Remarks...None. $$ NJZ002-160615- Western Passaic- 204 AM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 Today Tonight Fri Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Precip Type None Showers Showers Chance Precip (%) 0 50 60 Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 Temp (24h trend) 63 (-14) 49 (-5) 73 RH % (24h trend) 52 (-14) 99 (+16) 84 Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 3-7 G18 Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 5-9 G21 Precip Amount 0.00 0.08 0.12 Precip Duration 2 5 Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4270 2870 Transport Wnd (mph) SE 3 SE 5 SW 26 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 12810 0 66010 Max ADI Early 28 Fair 2 Very Poor 35 Fair Max ADI Late 22 Fair 16 Gen Poor 51 Gen Good Remarks...None. $$ NJZ004-160615- Eastern Passaic- 204 AM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 Today Tonight Fri Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Precip Type None Showers Showers Chance Precip (%) 0 50 70 Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 Temp (24h trend) 64 (-16) 50 (-6) 75 RH % (24h trend) 52 (-9) 98 (+16) 77 Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4-8 G17 Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 6-10 G21 Precip Amount 0.00 0.09 0.08 Precip Duration 1 5 Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4530 2990 Transport Wnd (mph) E 3 SE 8 SW 28 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 13590 0 71760 Max ADI Early 44 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 38 Fair Max ADI Late 36 Fair 23 Fair 58 Gen Good Remarks...None. $$ NJZ103-160615- Western Bergen- 204 AM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 Today Tonight Fri Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Precip Type None Showers Showers Chance Precip (%) 0 50 70 Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 Temp (24h trend) 63 (-16) 49 (-6) 75 RH % (24h trend) 52 (-11) 98 (+16) 80 Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 3-7 G17 Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 5-9 G20 Precip Amount 0.00 0.08 0.10 Precip Duration 1 5 Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4510 2950 Transport Wnd (mph) E 2 SE 5 SW 26 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 9020 0 67850 Max ADI Early 38 Fair 2 Very Poor 37 Fair Max ADI Late 37 Fair 16 Gen Poor 55 Gen Good Remarks...None. $$ NJZ104-160615- Eastern Bergen- 204 AM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 Today Tonight Fri Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Precip Type None Showers Showers Chance Precip (%) 0 40 70 Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 Temp (24h trend) 64 (-16) 52 (-5) 75 RH % (24h trend) 50 (-12) 99 (+21) 73 Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 4-8 Lgt/Var S 5-9 G17 Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 7-11 G21 Precip Amount 0.00 0.08 0.07 Precip Duration 1 5 Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4580 3080 Transport Wnd (mph) E 3 SE 9 SW 26 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 13740 0 70840 Max ADI Early 57 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 43 Gen Good Max ADI Late 49 Gen Good 28 Fair 58 Gen Good Remarks...None. $$ NJZ105-160615- Western Essex- 204 AM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 Today Tonight Fri Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Precip Type None Showers Showers Chance Precip (%) 0 50 70 Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 Temp (24h trend) 64 (-16) 51 (-5) 75 RH % (24h trend) 51 (-11) 100 (+20) 75 Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 3-7 Lgt/Var S 4-8 G18 Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 7-11 G22 Precip Amount 0.00 0.09 0.08 Precip Duration 2 5 Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4340 250 3080 Transport Wnd (mph) E 5 SE 9 SW 28 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 17360 2000 73920 Max ADI Early 45 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 39 Fair Max ADI Late 33 Fair 24 Fair 61 Good Remarks...None. $$ NJZ106-160615- Eastern Essex- 204 AM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 Today Tonight Fri Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Precip Type None Showers Showers Chance Precip (%) 0 50 70 Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 Temp (24h trend) 64 (-17) 55 (-3) 77 RH % (24h trend) 50 (-10) 97 (+21) 72 Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 4-8 Lgt/Var S 5-9 G17 Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 8-12 G21 Precip Amount 0.00 0.09 0.08 Precip Duration 2 5 Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4100 1830 3180 Transport Wnd (mph) E 5 SE 14 SW 29 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 16400 21960 79500 Max ADI Early 56 Gen Good 9 Poor 46 Gen Good Max ADI Late 42 Gen Good 32 Fair 64 Good Remarks...None. $$ NJZ107-160615- Western Union- 204 AM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 Today Tonight Fri Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Precip Type None Showers Showers Chance Precip (%) 0 60 60 Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 Temp (24h trend) 64 (-17) 52 (-5) 77 RH % (24h trend) 52 (-12) 99 (+20) 73 Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 3-7 Lgt/Var S 3-7 G17 Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 7-11 G21 Precip Amount 0.00 0.10 0.09 Precip Duration 3 5 Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4070 400 3300 Transport Wnd (mph) E 5 SE 9 SW 28 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 16280 3200 79200 Max ADI Early 48 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 40 Fair Max ADI Late 30 Fair 20 Gen Poor 63 Good Remarks...None. $$ NJZ108-160615- Eastern Union- 204 AM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 Today Tonight Fri Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Precip Type None Showers Showers Chance Precip (%) 0 60 60 Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 Temp (24h trend) 64 (-17) 55 (-3) 77 RH % (24h trend) 51 (-11) 100 (+23) 70 Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 4-8 Lgt/Var S 4-8 G18 Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 8-12 G25 Precip Amount 0.00 0.09 0.08 Precip Duration 3 5 Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3870 1490 3390 Transport Wnd (mph) E 5 S 18 SW 29 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 15480 23840 84750 Max ADI Early 55 Gen Good 7 Poor 45 Gen Good Max ADI Late 38 Fair 24 Fair 66 Good Remarks...None. $$ NJZ006-160615- Hudson- 204 AM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 Today Tonight Fri Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Precip Type None Showers Showers Chance Precip (%) 0 40 70 Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 Temp (24h trend) 64 (-16) 55 (-4) 76 RH % (24h trend) 50 (-13) 97 (+21) 70 Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 5-9 SE 3-7 S 7-11 G18 Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 3-7 SE 4-8 SW 9-13 G21 Precip Amount 0.00 0.10 0.08 Precip Duration 2 5 Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4100 1940 3190 Transport Wnd (mph) E 6 SE 15 SW 29 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 20500 25220 79750 Max ADI Early 61 Good 9 Poor 50 Gen Good Max ADI Late 47 Gen Good 37 Fair 64 Good Remarks...None. $$ CTZ005-160615- Northern Fairfield- 204 AM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 Today Tonight Fri Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Precip Type None Showers Showers Chance Precip (%) 0 30 80 Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 Temp (24h trend) 62 (-15) 45 (-8) 70 RH % (24h trend) 51 (-13) 98 (+17) 88 Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 4-8 Lgt/Var S 7-11 G17 Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var SE 3-7 SW 7-11 G18 Precip Amount 0.00 0.08 0.11 Precip Duration 1 6 Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4440 2690 Transport Wnd (mph) E 2 SE 6 SW 25 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 8880 0 59180 Max ADI Early 64 Good 4 Very Poor 41 Gen Good Max ADI Late 42 Gen Good 18 Gen Poor 54 Gen Good Remarks...None. $$ CTZ009-160615- Southern Fairfield- 204 AM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 Today Tonight Fri Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Precip Type None Showers Showers Chance Precip (%) 0 30 70 Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 Temp (24h trend) 63 (-15) 49 (-7) 72 RH % (24h trend) 52 (-13) 99 (+19) 84 Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 5-9 Lgt/Var S 7-11 G18 Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var SE 4-8 SW 7-11 G19 Precip Amount 0.00 0.06 0.07 Precip Duration 1 5 Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4300 2720 Transport Wnd (mph) NE 5 SE 9 SW 25 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 17200 0 59840 Max ADI Early 65 Good 5 Very Poor 48 Gen Good Max ADI Late 50 Gen Good 16 Gen Poor 58 Gen Good Remarks...None. $$ CTZ006-160615- Northern New Haven- 204 AM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 Today Tonight Fri Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Precip Type None Showers Showers Chance Precip (%) 0 20 90 Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 Temp (24h trend) 61 (-16) 46 (-7) 70 RH % (24h trend) 48 (-15) 98 (+16) 85 Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 4-8 Lgt/Var S 7-11 G20 Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var SE 3-7 SW 8-12 G22 Precip Amount 0.00 0.07 0.11 Precip Duration 1 5 Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4540 2640 Transport Wnd (mph) NE 3 E 3 SW 26 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 13620 0 60720 Max ADI Early 61 Good 2 Very Poor 43 Gen Good Max ADI Late 40 Fair 22 Fair 56 Gen Good Remarks...None. $$ CTZ010-160615- Southern New Haven- 204 AM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 Today Tonight Fri Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Precip Type None Showers Showers Chance Precip (%) 0 20 70 Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 Temp (24h trend) 62 (-15) 47 (-8) 70 RH % (24h trend) 49 (-17) 100 (+18) 80 Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 5-9 Lgt/Var S 8-12 G20 Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var SE 4-8 G17 SW 8-12 G22 Precip Amount 0.00 0.04 0.07 Precip Duration 1 3 Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4300 2570 Transport Wnd (mph) NE 5 E 6 SW 28 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 17200 0 61680 Max ADI Early 62 Good 4 Very Poor 48 Gen Good Max ADI Late 47 Gen Good 24 Fair 61 Good Remarks...None. $$ CTZ007-160615- Northern Middlesex- 204 AM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 Today Tonight Fri Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Precip Type None Showers Showers Chance Precip (%) 0 20 80 Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 Temp (24h trend) 61 (-17) 46 (-7) 69 RH % (24h trend) 51 (-12) 99 (+10) 82 Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 4-8 Lgt/Var S 7-11 G21 Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 8-12 G23 Precip Amount 0.00 0.04 0.09 Precip Duration 1 4 Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4430 2530 Transport Wnd (mph) NE 5 SE 3 SW 29 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 17720 0 63250 Max ADI Early 58 Gen Good 2 Very Poor 43 Gen Good Max ADI Late 55 Gen Good 28 Fair 60 Gen Good Remarks...None. $$ CTZ011-160615- Southern Middlesex- 204 AM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 Today Tonight Fri Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Precip Type None Showers Showers Chance Precip (%) 0 20 80 Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 Temp (24h trend) 62 (-15) 47 (-7) 70 RH % (24h trend) 48 (-20) 98 (+16) 79 Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 5-9 Lgt/Var S 7-11 G22 Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var SE 3-7 G17 SW 8-12 G23 Precip Amount 0.00 0.03 0.07 Precip Duration 1 6 Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4470 2530 Transport Wnd (mph) NE 6 SE 5 S 22 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 22350 0 48070 Max ADI Early 59 Gen Good 3 Very Poor 48 Gen Good Max ADI Late 56 Gen Good 33 Fair 63 Good Remarks...None. $$ CTZ008-160615- Northern New London- 204 AM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 Today Tonight Fri Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Precip Type None Showers Showers Chance Precip (%) 0 20 90 Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 Temp (24h trend) 62 (-16) 43 (-10) 69 RH % (24h trend) 46 (-18) 99 (+14) 79 Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 4-8 Lgt/Var S 6-10 G21 Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 8-12 G23 Precip Amount 0.00 0.03 0.07 Precip Duration 1 6 Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4740 2510 Transport Wnd (mph) NE 5 SE 3 SW 30 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 18960 0 65260 Max ADI Early 65 Good 2 Very Poor 45 Gen Good Max ADI Late 65 Good 13 Gen Poor 62 Good Remarks...None. $$ CTZ012-160615- Southern New London- 204 AM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 Today Tonight Fri Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Precip Type None Showers Showers Chance Precip (%) 0 20 90 Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 Temp (24h trend) 63 (-14) 46 (-8) 69 RH % (24h trend) 46 (-23) 98 (+14) 75 Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 5-9 Lgt/Var S 8-12 G22 Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var SE 3-7 G17 SW 9-13 G23 Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.08 Precip Duration 1 6 Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4660 2390 Transport Wnd (mph) NE 5 SE 5 SW 31 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 18640 0 64530 Max ADI Early 63 Good 3 Very Poor 47 Gen Good Max ADI Late 64 Good 22 Fair 64 Good Remarks...None. $$ .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 50s. North winds 20 to 25 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 50s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs around 60. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. North winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal. $$