FXUS64 KOUN 081711 AFDOUN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Norman OK 1211 PM CDT Wed Jul 8 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1211 PM CDT Wed Jul 8 2026 - A few isolated showers and storms may be possible today across southeast/south central Oklahoma. - Storm chances will increase towards the end of the week and into the weekend. Severe weather will be possible Thursday evening into early Friday morning. - Hot and humid conditions expected to continue through next weekend with a risk for heat related illnesses. && .NEAR TERM... (Through Wednesday) Issued at 131 AM CDT Wed Jul 8 2026 There continues to be a signal for isolated showers and thunderstorms into early this morning, primarily aided by perturbations within the northwest flow aloft. Increasing mid- level heights today will help temperatures this afternoon get into the low 100s across much of the area. Given the upper 60s to low 70s dewpoints, especially across south central Oklahoma, heat indices will range from 100-105 F for most of the forecast area. Additional showers and thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon and evening, with no severe weather expected. The best chance for storms this afternoon will be across south central and southeastern Oklahoma. Bunker && .SHORT TERM... (Wednesday night through Friday night) Issued at 131 AM CDT Wed Jul 8 2026 Storms will likely develop over the High Plains of eastern Colorado and northeast New Mexico Thursday afternoon, and push into the Plains Thursday night. Although the best chances of storms will be farther north, there is still potential for some of these storms to move across northern Oklahoma. These storms will be capable of damaging wind gusts as they move into northern Oklahoma. As storms move into Oklahoma, they are expected to weaken. Temperatures on Friday will be a few degrees cooler than on Thursday, but overall there won't be much relief from the heat. Hottest heat indices during the afternoon will be across southern and south central Oklahoma. More widespread shower and thunderstorm chances will be possible Friday evening as storms move in from the high Plains. Bunker && .LONG TERM... (Saturday through Tuesday) Issued at 131 AM CDT Wed Jul 8 2026 Aforementioned showers and thunderstorms will continue through Saturday across much of the area. Temperatures will be cooler over the weekend, however, with increasing surface dewpoints, afternoon heat indices will still be in the 100s. Mid-level ridge will shift to the north across the central and high Plains into next week, helping to keep temperatures near average across the southern Plains. As of right now, the overall synoptic pattern next week will support above average temperatures and below average precipitation. Bunker && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1211 PM CDT Wed Jul 8 2026 Isolated showers and storms are possible this afternoon across central and south central Oklahoma, but chances are too low for mention in the TAFs. Additional showers and storms will be possible across northern Oklahoma later tonight for which prob30s have been included. Any storms that develop today and tonight will be capable of erratic and gusty winds and lightning. Winds will show a typical diurnal pattern with afternoon veering and breeziness. Day && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Oklahoma City OK 79 101 78 99 / 0 0 0 0 Hobart OK 78 101 78 100 / 10 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 79 101 78 100 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 76 101 72 99 / 10 10 40 10 Ponca City OK 78 99 74 96 / 20 10 20 10 Durant OK 80 98 76 97 / 0 0 0 0 && .OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. TX...None. && $$ NEAR TERM...13 SHORT TERM...13 LONG TERM....13 AVIATION...14