FXUS65 KPIH 081559 AFDPIH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pocatello ID 959 AM MDT Wed Jul 8 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Showers and thunderstorms expected this afternoon with gusty winds and a mix of wet and dry thunderstorms - Critical fire weather conditions expected this afternoon for fire weather zone 427 due to thunderstorms - Drier weather returns for Thursday and beyond with hot conditions likely for the weekend && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 219 AM MDT Wed Jul 8 2026 Expect another round of thunderstorms this afternoon. Best chances are across the southern highlands through the Magic Valley and into the central mountains. Although isolated storms are possible across east Idaho. Dew points are still relatively comparable to what we've seen the past couple days. So expect a mix of wet and dry storms with gusty outflow winds likely. Underneath one of the thunderstorm cores, a quick 0.10 inches of rain or so is possible. A weak cold front, really more of a dry line, arrives Thursday. Timing is a bit slower than we've seen in previous runs. As a result we could still see some isolated storms Thursday if the dry air doesn't arrive by afternoon. Forecast remains dry for Thursday with uncertainty still high as to whether or not enough moisture is still around for storms. Hot and dry weather arrives for the weekend. Heat risk values continue to favor potential heat alerts over the weekend as highs approach 100 for many of our lower elevation communities. It looks like it may be a bit breezy over the weekend, so this could feel more like a blast furnace. Temps cool slightly by Monday, but still mid to upper 90s for the lower elevations. By Tuesday temps cool into the lower to mid 90s. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/... Issued at 956 AM MDT Wed Jul 8 2026 The main impacts will be potential thunderstorms impacting all TAF sites EXCEPT DIJ, where it appears any lingering shower/storm potential will be minimal and/or not close enough to the airport. We have included PROB30 for BYI, SUN, PIH, and IDA for gusts over 35kts, with some potential for gusts exceeding 45-50kts. We should see showers and storms clear these TAF sites later this evening. VFR weather is expected although we might see a brief reduction during any storm that ends up producing heavier rainfall. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 219 AM MDT Wed Jul 8 2026 Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected once again this afternoon. The best chances for storms is across fire zone 427. Gusty outflow winds are likely near storms. Drier weather is likely for Thursday. Hot, dry and perhaps windy weather is expected over the weekend which could warrant additional red flag warnings. && .PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Red Flag Warning from 1 PM this afternoon to 8 PM MDT this evening for IDZ427. && $$ DISCUSSION...13 AVIATION...Keyes FIRE WEATHER...13