FNUS75 KPUB 081437
FWSPUB

Spot Forecast for Rock Creek...USFS
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
Issued by National Weather Service Denver CO
837 AM MDT Wed Jul 8 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 MDT on July 08. 
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Light and variable winds this morning should transition to east- 
northeast after noon. There is a 50 percent chance of a 
thunderstorm over the fire this afternoon, with chances starting 
after 1300. Any thunderstorms that form nearby will be capable of 
erratic wind gusts up to 35 mph for short periods of time, and 
frequent lightning. On the plus side they could also provide a 
wetting rain. Thunderstorm chances drop under 20 percent after 8 
PM. Expect one or more wind shifts on the fire this afternoon even
without any thunderstorms on top of the fire, and odds are the 
gust front will be from the northeast due to expected convection 
well north and northeast of the fire. While cooler and more moist 
behind any gustfront, these gustfronts could also result in a 
shift to gusty winds up to 30-35 mph for an hour or more. RH 
recovery tonight will be good, reaching 75 percent. Winds are 
expected to be light and variable all night long.

On Thursday more of the same, with about a 50 percent chance of 
an afternoon thunderstorm on the fire, again with potential for 
winds gusting to 35 mph frequent lightning, and hopefully a 
wetting rain.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny(36 percent) until 1200, then 
                    mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of 
                    thunderstorms after 1200. 
Max temperature.....85F. 
Min humidity........19-24 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable until 1200, then northeast around 10 
                    mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near 
                    thunderstorms after 1300. 
Mixing height.......5000 ft agl. 
Transport winds.....North around 12 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to very good. 

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy(56 percent) until 2400, then 
                    partly cloudy(31 percent). 
Min temperature.....58F. 
Max humidity........59-64 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 8 mph until 2400, then 
                    light and variable. Gusty and erratic winds expected 
                    near thunderstorms. 
Mixing height.......3000 ft agl until 2000, then 1000 ft agl. 
Transport winds.....Northwest around 8 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to poor. 

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny(31 percent). Rain showers likely 
                    and chance of thunderstorms after 1200. 
Max temperature.....82F. 
Min humidity........30-35 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Under 10 mph until 1200. Gusty and erratic winds expected 
                    near thunderstorms after 1200. 
Mixing height.......2000 ft agl until 1000, then 6000 ft agl until 
                    1300, then 10000 ft agl until 1500, then 4000 
                    ft agl. 
Transport winds.....West around 11 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to very good. 

$$
Forecaster...NWS Boulder
Requested by...Patrick Nelson - IC
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2616992.0/PUB
.DELDT 07/08/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0