FXUS61 KRLX 081813 AFDRLX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Charleston WV 213 PM EDT Wed Jul 8 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Updated 18Z Aviation Discussion. As of 808 AM Wednesday... Have updated fog coverage across the area over the next hour or so, which should continue to steadily lift / dissipate. Have also removed any rain mention from the forecast until late morning. Fairly widespread fog / stratus this morning should delay any convective shower development across the central/southern zones a bit longer than originally progged. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Showers and thunderstorms continue at times through the work week and into the weekend, with localized flash flooding remaining possible. && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1... Locally heavy rainfall will remain a possibility throughout the rest of the work week and into the weekend as a very moist airmass remains in place amid some forcing from a lingering frontal boundary and periodic crossing upper waves. Steering flow remains light today, at 10 knots or less, but does pickup from Thursday into the weekend as upper air dynamics begin to rule. This will mean mainly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms today will become more driven by the upper air pattern for Thursday into the weekend. Guidance continues to forecast PWATs in the 1.5 to 2.0" range into the weekend. With the ground already saturated in many locations, localized flash flooding remains a threat. && .AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... Isolated to scattered showers and storms have developed across the area this afternoon, providing brief MVFR/IFR restrictions at times. This trend is expected to continue through the evening, with activity gradually diminishing after sunset, with the potential for another developing round later tonight into Thursday morning. More widespread restrictions are expected tonight with developing fog and/or stratus, with LIFR or worse progged for most terminals. Fog/stratus gradually lifts/dissipates through ~ 12 to 14Z, with MVFR CIGs possible thereafter with developing diurnal Cu. MVFR VSBY restrictions are also possible with any heavier showers or storms. Light and variable flow is expected today, going calm in most areas tonight. Light west-southwest flow develops on Thursday. FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY... FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Low to medium. ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Timing and intensity of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening could vary. Restrictions overnight into Thursday morning with fog, stratus, and additional rainfall will vary from the forecast. EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS. L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. UTC 1HRLY 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 EDT 1HRLY 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H M BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H EKN CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H AFTER 18Z THURSDAY... IFR conditions associated with showers and thunderstorms remain possible through the weekend, more likely in the afternoon and evening hours. IFR conditions are also possible with fog and/or stratus each night and early morning, especially across valley locations. && .RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WV...None. OH...None. KY...None. VA...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...RPY/GW AVIATION...GW