FXUS64 KSHV 081711
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1211 PM CDT Wed Jul 8 2026

...New DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1203 PM CDT Tue Jul 8 2026

 - Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible through
   this afternoon hours.
   

 - Quiet and dry weather will return Thursday and continue through
   the end of the week, with areawide highs in the low to middle 
   90s. 

 - Unsettled weather looks to return Sunday and continue into
   early next week. 

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1203 PM CDT Wed Jul 8 2026

A lingering upper-trough extending from the Ohio River Valley
southwest into the ArkLaTex, combined with a weak surface 
boundary across northeast Texas along the I-30 corridor, will 
provide enough instability to generate scattered afternoon showers
and thunderstorms across much of the region today. Weak ridging to
build across the region on Thursday in the wake of the front
shifting north and the upper-trough exiting the region. Under a
subsident dome of high pressure, temperatures are forecast to 
climb into the mid 90s on both Thursday and Friday with otherwise 
dry conditions prevailing.

A latitudinally oriented broad upper-level trough and surface
front to build south across the region late in the weekend and
will linger areawide through the end of the forecast period on 
Tuesday night. Instability associated with the trough and surface 
boundary will allow for periods of convection across portions of 
the ArkLatex each day. Additionally, with increased mixing and 
cloud-cover, high temperatures will be slightly cooler than what 
is expected for July, averaging in the upper 80s to lower 90s on 
both Monday and Tuesday. /05/

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 607 AM CDT Wed Jul 8 2026

Some isolated convection has been developing and dissipating all
night near and north of the I-20 Corridor of NE TX into SW AR and
we will continue seeing this to start the 12z TAF package as well.
Decided to prevail VCTS at the TYR/GGG and TXK terminals as a
result, delaying VCTS to mid to late morning at the SHV terminal
and not beginning VCTS til early afternoon at our remaining
terminals. Should see convection dissipating in the 00z-03z
timeframe with VFR conditions prevailing overnight tonight. Winds 
will be varying from SE to SW with speeds generally under 10kts 
during this TAF package except variable and more gusty in and 
around convection. 

13

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1208 PM CDT Tue Jul 8 2026

Spotter activation may be needed this morning and afternoon across
the region. /26/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  77  95  77  95 /  10   0   0   0 
MLU  76  96  77  96 /  20  10  10   0 
DEQ  73  95  76  94 /   0   0   0   0 
TXK  76  97  77  97 /  10   0   0   0 
ELD  74  95  76  95 /  20  10   0   0 
TYR  78  97  78  97 /   0   0   0   0 
GGG  77  96  77  96 /   0   0   0   0 
LFK  76  96  76  95 /  10   0   0  10 

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...13