FXUS64 KSJT 100000
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
700 PM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES... 

- Seasonably hot and dry conditions return for today and Friday
  with afternoon highs in the mid 90s to around 100 degrees.

- Low to medium (20-50%) chances for showers and thunderstorms 
  return for this weekend through early next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 105 PM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026

Skies were sunny to partly cloudy with warm and dry conditions 
across west central Texas this afternoon.  Temperatures were in the 
low to mid 90s while winds were from the south at 10 to 15 MPH.  At 
the upper-levels, an elongated ridge was set up from southern 
California and across Texas. This will continue to be the 
predominant feature for the rest of today before it starts to break 
down tonight and tomorrow.  A surface low pressure area was moving 
through the central Plains and resulting in stronger southerly winds 
this afternoon.  Winds should diminish tonight with mild 
temperatures in the mid 70s.  On Friday we'll see one more day of 
warm and dry conditions with high temperatures in the mid 90s to 
around 100. Southerly winds of 10 to 15 MPH are expected again as a 
frontal boundary approaches the southern Plains.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 105 PM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026

This weekend, models are in good agreement that the ridge will shift 
northward and become centered over the northern Plains. A broad area 
of mid-level vorticity will rotate around the base of this ridge 
into central Texas by Monday. Conditions on Saturday will be mostly 
warm and dry, but chances for a few thunderstorms will increase for 
the Hill Country by the evening due to the departure of the ridge. 
By Sunday, the low-levels winds should become more southeasterly and 
advect more gulf moisture into west central Texas. A surface cold 
front will also drop into Texas by late Sunday. As a result, this 
should lead to a more unsettled pattern across the region with 
higher chances for scattered showers and thunderstorms, especially 
Sunday night through Tuesday.  At this time, rainfall amounts do not 
look significant. However, any area could see multiple rounds of 
individual storms for the first half of next week which could result 
in localized heavy rainfall. 

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 659 PM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026

VFR conditions are expected through the next 24 hours. Initially 
gusty south-southeast winds this evening will decrease tonight,
and expect to lose the gusts by 03Z-04Z. On Thursday, south winds
will increase by mid-morning and continue through the afternoon. 
Expect gusts to be around 21 knots at KABI, and 18-20 knots at our
other TAF sites. Some VFR-based cumulus clouds may develop over
mainly southern and central parts of the area during the day. 

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     75  97  75  96 /   0   0   0   0 
San Angelo  74  97  74  95 /   0   0   0  20 
Junction    72  94  73  93 /   0   0  20  30 
Brownwood   74  97  75  95 /   0   0   0  10 
Sweetwater  75  99  75  97 /   0   0   0   0 
Ozona       71  93  73  92 /   0   0   0  20 
Brady       72  93  72  92 /   0   0   0  20 

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SK
LONG TERM....SK
AVIATION...19