FGUS51 KTAR 161519
RVFBGM
RIVER FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA
1119 AM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:************************************************************
:Seneca Lake - Geneva, NY 
:Flood stage 448.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 444.5 FT at Oct-16 0700 AM 
.ER GNVN6 20261016 E DC202610161119/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST   /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 
.E1  :1016:          / 444.4 / 444.4 / 444.4 
.E2  :1017:  / 444.4 / 444.4 / 444.4 / 444.4 
.E3  :1018:  / 444.4 / 444.4 / 444.4 / 444.4 
.E4  :1019:  / 444.4 
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.27/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 
:
:************************************************************
:Fall Creek - Ithaca, NY 
:Flood stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 0.7 FT at Oct-16 1045 AM 
.ER FLLN6 20261016 E DC202610161119/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 
.E1  :1016:          /   0.7 /   1.1 /   1.5 
.E2  :1017:  /   1.6 /   1.5 /   1.4 /   1.3 
.E3  :1018:  /   1.2 /   1.1 /   1.1 /   1.0 
.E4  :1019:  /   1.0 
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.27/ 0.11/ 0.04/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 
:
:************************************************************
:Cayuga Lake Inlet - Ithaca, NY 
:Flood stage 383.5 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 382.5 FT at Oct-16 1100 AM 
.ER ICYN6 20261016 E DC202610161119/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST   /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 
.E1  :1016:          / 382.4 / 382.4 / 382.5 
.E2  :1017:  / 382.5 / 382.5 / 382.5 / 382.5 
.E3  :1018:  / 382.5 / 382.5 / 382.5 / 382.5 
.E4  :1019:  / 382.5 
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
:
:
:************************************************************
:Owasco Lake - Owasco Lake, NY 
:Flood stage 715.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 712.2 FT at Oct-16 1045 AM 
.ER OWSN6 20261016 E DC202610161119/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST   /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 
.E1  :1016:          / 712.2 / 712.2 / 712.2 
.E2  :1017:  / 712.2 / 712.2 / 712.3 / 712.3 
.E3  :1018:  / 712.3 / 712.3 / 712.3 / 712.3 
.E4  :1019:  / 712.3 
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.36/ 0.06/ 0.04/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 
:
:************************************************************
:Owasco Lake Outlet - Auburn, NY 
:Flood stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 0.8 FT at Oct-16 1100 AM 
.ER AUON6 20261016 E DC202610161119/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 
.E1  :1016:          /   0.9 /   1.0 /   1.1 
.E2  :1017:  /   1.1 /   1.1 /   1.1 /   1.0 
.E3  :1018:  /   1.0 /   0.9 /   0.9 /   0.9 
.E4  :1019:  /   0.9 
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
:
:
:RIVER IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:************************************************************
:Onondaga Creek - Syracuse-Dorwin Ave, NY 
:Flood stage 5.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 1.6 FT at Oct-16 1030 AM 
.ER ONDN6 20261016 E DC202610161119/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 
.E1  :1016:          /   1.7 /   1.9 /   1.9 
.E2  :1017:  /   1.8 /   1.8 /   1.8 /   1.7 
.E3  :1018:  /   1.6 /   1.6 /   1.6 /   1.6 
.E4  :1019:  /   1.6 
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.33/ 0.06/ 0.03/ 0.06/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 
:
:************************************************************
:Oneida Creek - Oneida, NY 
:Flood stage 11.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 2.2 FT at Oct-16 1015 AM 
.ER NEIN6 20261016 E DC202610161119/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 
.E1  :1016:          /   2.4 /   2.5 /   2.4 
.E2  :1017:  /   2.4 /   2.3 /   2.2 /   2.2 
.E3  :1018:  /   2.1 /   2.1 /   2.1 /   2.1 
.E4  :1019:  /   2.1 
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.21/ 0.13/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 
:
:************************************************************
:Onondaga Lake - Liverpool, NY 
:Flood stage 366.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 363.2 FT at Oct-16 1030 AM 
.ER LVRN6 20261016 E DC202610161119/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST   /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 
.E1  :1016:          / 363.2 / 363.2 / 363.2 
.E2  :1017:  / 363.2 / 363.2 / 363.2 / 363.2 
.E3  :1018:  / 363.2 / 363.2 / 363.2 / 363.2 
.E4  :1019:  / 363.2 
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.36/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.05/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 
:
:*******************************************************************
:
:
$$
:NERFC
:...END of MESSAGE...