FXUS62 KTBW 182329
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
729 PM EDT Mon May 18 2026

...New UPDATE, AVIATION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Above normal temperatures are expected each day through the next
  week. 

- Thunderstorms are expected to develop each day this week, mainly
  in the afternoon to early evening hours.

- Severe to extreme drought conditions continue for most areas.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 725 PM EDT Mon May 18 2026
Scattered storms linger around the Tampa Bay region this evening
and these will slowly move offshore through the next few hours.
Another round of showers and storms closer to the west coast is
expected tomorrow afternoon and evening. No updates needed to the
forecast. 

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 725 PM EDT Mon May 18 2026
Scattered storms will affect mainly KPIE and KTPA for the next
hour or so, then VFR conditions are expected overnight. For
tomorrow, a very similar pattern is expected, with more scattered
storms near coastal sites in the afternoon and evening. 

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  75  91  74  91 /  30  60  20  40 
FMY  74  93  74  93 /  10  60  10  60 
GIF  73  91  72  91 /   0  30  10  30 
SRQ  73  93  73  92 /  30  70  20  40 
BKV  70  94  69  93 /  10  40  10  30 
SPG  75  94  75  93 /  30  70  20  40 

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Tuesday: 3
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Wednesday: 2

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: 
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

Carlisle